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EURGBP

EUR/GBP at a Tipping Point: Key Demand Zone or Breakdown Ahead?The EUR/GBP cross is currently trading in a key technical area, hovering around 0.8427, showing signs of mild recovery after a bullish reaction from a previously tested demand zone. 📊 Technical Analysis Price action reveals a compression phase within a descending channel (corrective flag), followed by a breakout to the upside last week. Price reached the supply zone between 0.8480 and 0.8535, which triggered a strong bearish candle rejection. Currently, the pair is testing support around 0.8400–0.8380, a level previously defended by buyers. The RSI bounced from oversold territory, suggesting the potential for a consolidation phase or sideways movement, rather than a clear divergence. 📌 Key Levels Dynamic Resistance: 0.8480 – 0.8535 Structural Support: 0.8380 – 0.8285 Upside breakout target (if momentum builds): 0.8660 📅 Seasonality Historically, June tends to be slightly bullish for EUR/GBP, especially on the 5-year and 10-year seasonal patterns. Curves indicate upward pressure between the second and third weeks of the month, suggesting that any retracement could present a seasonal long opportunity. 💼 COT Report Euro FX Non-Commercials reduced both longs (-1.7K) and shorts (-6.7K) → signaling indecision or rebalancing. Net positioning remains positive, but momentum is fading. British Pound Non-Commercials added significantly to longs (+14.2K) and slightly to shorts (+2.8K) → GBP is attracting bullish interest. This could reduce upside pressure on EUR/GBP in the short term. Overall, COT data currently favors the British Pound in the near term. 📈 Retail Sentiment Retail traders are heavily skewed to the long side (74% long), which may create contrarian downside pressure if the market moves against the crowd. The average entry price is around 0.8481, meaning many traders are currently underwater. 🎯 Conclusion & Bias Outlook Short-term bias: Neutral to bearish down to 0.8380 Mid-term bias: Moderately bullish if price holds above 0.8380 with higher lows confirmation Ideal long entry could emerge from a retest of 0.8380 with bullish confirmation (candlestick or RSI support) Alternatively, a clear H4 close below 0.8380 could open space down to 0.8280
Long
by EdgeTradingJourney
3
DAILY HOT PICK HTF 50 EMA'S -EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W23 D2 Y25🔥👀TECHNICAL HOT PICK OF THE DAY EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W23 D2 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅HTF 50 EMA'S ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EURGBP Weekly Analysis (MMC) – Structure Mapping & Target🧠 Market Structure Overview: The current EURGBP structure is a textbook example of Market Mapping Cycle (MMC) behavior—where price progresses through accumulation, breakout, manipulation, and eventual rebalancing. The pair has completed a liquidity sweep and is on its final leg toward a defined reversal target zone. 🔹 Phase 1: Accumulation Within Channel From August to late December 2024, EURGBP traded inside a descending channel. This move created an illusion of bearish control, but careful observation reveals it was a liquidity engineering setup. Institutions were accumulating beneath key swing lows, marked by equal lows and multiple false breaks. The “Previous Channel Structure” identified on the chart is crucial—it acted as a bear trap and formed the base of the MMC curve. 🔹 Phase 2: Break of Structure (BOS) and Smart Money Entry In early January 2025, the market broke structure with strong bullish candles. This Major BOS was the first signal of institutional engagement, shifting the structure from distribution to accumulation phase. After the BOS, price tested the breakout level, forming a curve support (MMC's bullish arc structure). This is where smart money typically adds positions on retracement. 🔹 Phase 3: Liquidity Sweep & Acceleration In March 2025, EURGBP dipped sharply, triggering a liquidity sweep below prior lows. This fakeout move was a classic manipulation phase—clearing late buyers before a fast reversal. Price rejected strongly from the curve support, confirming the MMC continuation. 🔹 Phase 4: Expansion Toward MMC Target The market moved vertically, respecting the MMC curve structure and 50% retracement zone of the last impulse (noted on the chart). This movement shows momentum expansion, typical of MMC Phase 3. Price is now rapidly approaching the Target + Next Reversal zone at 0.86800–0.87200. 🔻 What to Expect Next: The Target Zone aligns with multiple confluences: supply imbalance, psychological round number, and prior liquidity void. Expect strong reaction or reversal from this zone. Confirmation is needed before shorting, ideally via: Lower Timeframe Break of Structure (LTF BOS) Bearish divergence or volume exhaustion Candlestick rejections (e.g., bearish engulfing, pin bars) 📈 Summary of Key Technical Elements: Concept Observation MMC Phase Expansion (Phase 3) Liquidity Sweep March 2025 – below prior support BOS (Break of Structure) Early 2025 bullish breakout Current Bias Bullish until 0.8700 zone Reversal Potential High at MMC Target + Supply Zone 📚 Educational Note: This analysis follows the Market Mapping Cycle (MMC) method—a higher-level view of Smart Money Concepts. By studying price curves, liquidity zones, and psychological areas, traders can anticipate market behavior before traditional indicators catch up.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR-GBP Resistance Ahead! Sell! Hello,Traders! EUR-GBP made a nice Rebound from the support Level below just as we predicted In our previous analysis and is Growing nicely but the pair Will soon hit a horizontal resistance Level of 0.8460 from where A local bearish correction Is to be expected on Monday! Sell! Comment and subscribe to help us grow! Check out other forecasts below too! Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Short
by TopTradingSignals
1
EURGBP 1D: This isn't a breakoutEURGBP 1D: This isn't a breakout — it's a deep reaction before the real move EURGBP continues to form a textbook bullish megaphone, a structure designed not to trend, but to destabilize — forcing liquidity on both sides while smart money quietly positions. Two touches above (January and April), two below (February and May) — clean geometry, expanding volatility. Price is now reacting from the lower boundary, but we are still inside the pattern — and that matters. The reaction zone sits right on the 0.786 Fibonacci level, near 0.8350, precisely where price meets the lower trendline and the 200-day moving average. The bounce didn’t come from noise — it came from confluence. Candle structure is clean, volume slightly expands — not panic, but controlled demand. As long as price holds above the MA200, the scenario remains intact. A break below kills the setup — but that hasn’t happened. We’re not in breakout mode — yet. But price action is shifting. Pullbacks are weak, candles are full-bodied, and sellers don’t press. Momentum indicators confirm early recovery, but the real signal lies in how price holds its ground at key structure without struggle. Buyers aren’t running — they’re holding position. If the market pushes above 0.8430–0.8480 and confirms — acceleration begins. Until then, we remain in balance. Every candle is a stress test — and so far, the structure is holding strong. If smart money controls 0.8350, the breakout won’t just be bullish — it’ll be aggressive.
Long
by TotoshkaTrades
4
EURGBP – transitioning from bearish to bullish .. week of 02 JunIt appears that the bearish move that began in April may have ended now. Price that mostly stayed under the 50ema has crossed over to the other side. The downward trendline has also been broken with price moving above it. We already have a higher high and higher low in place. Aggressive traders can take a long now, but I want to be more conservative these days. I would like to see: a break above the recent swing high (0.8459). another sequence of HL and HH. and a retest of the minor resistance/support at 0.8459. Even with all these precautions, we can still get a +2.3R trade. If PA continues to develop as per my analysis, I will monitor on lower time frames to find more confluence and bullish evidence before committing to a trade. My initial target will be the region just before the swing high at 0.8623. This is not a trade recommendation; it’s merely my own analysis. Trading carries a high level of risk so carefully managing your capital and risk is important. If you like my idea, please give a “boost” and follow me to get even more.
Long
by Trading_Vista
EURGBP Megaphone bottom. Strong buy opportunity.The EURGBP pair is trading within a Bullish Megaphone since the start of the year. For the past 2 weeks it has been ranging within the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and 1D MA200 (orange trend-line). This is technically the bottom formation of the pattern on its new Higher Low, as the 1D RSI has been printing the same sequence as February's which priced the previous Higher Low. We are expecting at least a Resistance 1 test at 0.87400. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
4
EURGBP Bullish Structure Analysis – Channel Breakout + Target🧱 1. Market Structure Breakdown EURGBP has been trading within a descending channel, forming consistent lower highs and lower lows, which indicates a short-term bearish trend. However, price action recently broke out above the upper boundary of this channel, suggesting a potential bullish reversal or trend correction. This breakout marks a significant structural shift in market behavior. 🔵 Old Structure: Bearish, confined within the channel 🟢 New Structure: Bullish breakout above trendline + key resistance zone 🧩 Implication: Change in directional bias; potential for long opportunities 📍 2. Breakout Confirmation The breakout was confirmed by: A strong bullish impulse candle that closed above the descending trendline Price sustaining above previous resistance (~0.8405) Increase in bullish volume at the breakout point (if volume indicator is used) This suggests that the breakout is genuine, not a false spike or liquidity grab. 🌀 3. Retest Phase – The Critical Zone After breaking out, the market is now pulling back to retest the previous structure. This is a textbook price action move: 🔄 What’s Being Retested? ✅ Upper boundary of the descending channel ✅ Major horizontal support/resistance zone (~0.8405–0.8415) ✅ Broken trendline from previous lower highs ✅ QFL base (Quasimodo level that was swept) ✅ 50% Fibonacci retracement of the breakout move This zone forms a multi-level confluence area, making it a strong support for potential long entries. 🔍 4. Key Technical Observations Element Description 📐 Descending Channel Defined the prior bearish structure. Breakout invalidates this bias. 🧱 Trendline Retest Acts as dynamic support; price currently sitting on it. 🔃 SR Flip Zone Old resistance (~0.8405) turned into support—critical level. 📊 Fib 50% Retracement Provides technical alignment with potential buying interest. 📌 QFL/Order Block Zone Historical demand was swept and now being respected again. 🎯 5. Target Levels & Trade Plan If the structure holds and the price responds bullishly from the current zone, the next levels of interest are: ✅ Primary Target – 0.8460 A clear supply/liquidity zone from previous structure highs Also aligns with psychological round number and Fib extension ⚠️ Interim Target – 0.8430 Previous intra-channel resistance level May serve as a short-term reaction point ❌ Invalidation Level A clean break and close below 0.8390 would invalidate the breakout structure This would reintroduce bearish pressure and signal a potential fakeout 🧠 6. Trade Idea (Not Financial Advice) Entry: Around 0.8405–0.8415 on bullish confirmation (e.g., engulfing candle, pin bar, break of minor downtrend) Stop-Loss: Below 0.8390 (beneath structure & invalidation point) Take-Profit 1: 0.8430 Take-Profit 2: 0.8460 This offers a high R:R opportunity if managed with proper confirmation. 🧭 7. Risk Management & Considerations Avoid entering prematurely without a bullish signal (e.g., pin bar, engulfing, RSI divergence). Monitor macroeconomic news—especially from BoE or ECB—as they can disrupt technical setups. Scaling into the position or using a split TP strategy can help protect profits. ✅ Conclusion This EURGBP setup is a textbook case of market structure trading: A well-defined channel breakout Followed by a clean pullback to structure With confluence across horizontal, diagonal, and Fibonacci levels If price respects this zone, bulls could drive toward 0.8460, offering a solid opportunity for traders who understand structure-based setups. 📌 Always wait for confirmation—structure gives us context, but entries need price action signals to minimize risk.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP Breakdown in Play: Time to Target the Next Support Below🔍 Technical Analysis Summary: EUR/GBP (Daily) The pair is in a clear downtrend, with two descending blue trendlines confirming strong bearish pressure. After breaking below key support (now turned resistance), the price is forming lower highs and lower lows, a classic bearish continuation pattern. Currently, price is testing the trendline zone after a steep rejection, indicating renewed selling interest at resistance. Price failed to break above recent structure, validating the short setup further. 📉 Bearish Confluences 1. Descending Trendline The price respects a multi-month downward trendline, rejecting it multiple times — confirming institutional selling interest. 2. Failed Retest of Structure (0.8465) This level acted as prior support and has flipped into strong resistance. Price was rejected upon retesting, validating bearish continuation. 3. Momentum Shift Candlestick structure and shrinking bullish bodies near resistance show fading bullish momentum — favoring sellers. 4. Lower Highs and Lower Lows The chart clearly prints lower highs, indicating continuous bearish structure since early April. ✅ Trade Setup: Short Position • Entry Point 🟡 Current market price around 0.83710–0.83740 after rejection from resistance • Stop Loss (SL) 🔴 Above recent resistance and trendline at 0.84650 • Take Profit 1 (TP1) 🟢 Near recent support zone at 0.83234 • Take Profit 2 (TP2): 🟢 Near major trendline confluence / stronger support at 0.82218 📌 Final Thoughts This EUR/GBP short setup is technically sound: • It aligns with the overall trend • Resistance has been confirmed with rejection wicks and weak bullish candles • Bearish structure and trendline resistance remain intact 💡 Unless EUR/GBP breaks above 0.84650, the bias remains bearish, and this setup favors a continuation toward lower supports.
Short
by SupertradeOfficial
HOT PICK OF THE DAY EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25🔥👀TECHNICAL HOT PICK OF THE DAY ALONGSIDE HTF 50 EMA EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D29 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
EUR/GBP Weekly Breakout With Potential Retest Toward 0.85On the weekly timeframe, EUR/GBP has broken above a long-standing descending trendline that has acted as dynamic resistance since late 2022. This trendline has been respected multiple times, as shown by the repeated rejections near the line, indicating strong selling pressure in previous attempts. However, the recent bullish breakout marks a potential shift in the market structure. After a clean break above the descending trendline, price has started to retrace toward the breakout zone. This behavior is typical and aligns with classical technical analysis, where previous resistance often turns into new support. The region around the broken trendline, particularly near the psychological level of 0.8500, now becomes a key area to watch for a retest and potential bounce. A successful retest around 0.835–0.84 could signal continuation of the bullish breakout, with 0.8500 serving as the next key resistance and potential short-term target. A rejection from this area, combined with bullish candlestick confirmation, could offer a favorable long entry opportunity. However, if the retest fails and price falls back below the trendline, it would invalidate the breakout structure and could indicate a false breakout scenario. Trade Plan: Retest Entry Zone: 0.8350–0.8400 (look for bullish confirmation) Target: 0.8500 (psychological resistance) Stop-Loss: Below 0.8300 (to invalidate trendline support) This setup reflects a textbook breakout-and-retest structure, offering a clear technical roadmap supported by trendline theory and psychological level behavior. Traders should wait for confirmation before committing to a position. Disclaimer: This analysis is part of a trading plan and does not constitute trading advice. Always apply proper risk management in every trading decision.
Long
by DNP-FX
EURGBP INTRADAY downtrend continuation capped at 0.8420Trend: The overall sentiment remains bearish, with price action below key resistance levels. Recent Movement: Price is forming an oversold basing pattern near a previous swing low, indicating potential for a short-term bounce. Key Levels Resistance: 0.8420 – Critical level from previous consolidation. Above that: 0.8435, then 0.8450 – Further resistance if bullish momentum builds. Support: 0.8360 – Immediate support. Below that: 0.8350, then 0.8330 – Deeper support zones on continued weakness. Trading Scenarios Bearish Continuation: A failed rally near 0.8420 followed by rejection, could lead to a move lower toward 0.8360, 0.8350, and 0.8330. Bullish Reversal: A break and daily close above 0.8420 would negate the bearish bias and open the door to a rally toward 0.8435 and potentially 0.8450. Conclusion EUR/GBP remains bearish overall, but short-term oversold conditions could trigger a bounce. Watch the 0.8420 level closely—rejection favours downside continuation, while a breakout would signal a shift to a more bullish outlook. This communication is for informational purposes only and should not be viewed as any form of recommendation as to a particular course of action or as investment advice. It is not intended as an offer or solicitation for the purchase or sale of any financial instrument or as an official confirmation of any transaction. Opinions, estimates and assumptions expressed herein are made as of the date of this communication and are subject to change without notice. This communication has been prepared based upon information, including market prices, data and other information, believed to be reliable; however, Trade Nation does not warrant its completeness or accuracy. All market prices and market data contained in or attached to this communication are indicative and subject to change without notice.
by TradeNation
HOT PICK ALONGSIDE HTF 50 EMA - SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D28 Y25 🔥👀TECHNICAL HOT PICK ALONGSIDE HTF 50 EMA EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W22 D28 Y25 Professional Risk Managers👋 Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈 Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure. Let’s see what price action is telling us today! 💡Here are some trade confluences📝 ✅Weekly order block ✅15' order block ✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure ✅Tokyo ranges to be filled 🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies. 📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities. 💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail. 🏆It has always been that simple. ❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top. 🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Short
by JCFRGNT
Bullish bounce?EUR/GBP is falling towards the pivot and could bounce to the 1st resistance, which has been identified as an overlap resistance. Pivot: 0.8377 1st Support: 0.8326 1st Resistance: 0.8461 Risk Warning: Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary. Disclaimer: The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice. Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Long
by ICmarkets
Could the price bounce from here?EUR/GBP is falling towards the support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection and could bounce from this level too ur take profit. Entry: 0.8373 Why we like it: There is an overlap support level that lines up with the 127.2% Fibonacci extension and the 61.8% Fibonacci projection. Stop loss: 0.8322 Why we like it: There is a pullback support level that is slightly above the 100% Fibonacci projection. Take profit: 0.8444 Why we lik eit: There is a pullback resistance level. Enjoying your TradingView experience? Review us! Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Long
by VantageMarkets
Why EUR vs GBP Could Be Your Best Trade This Week!When it comes to forex swing trading or even forex intraday trading, the temptation to zoom into lower timeframes—like the 15-minute or 1-hour charts—is strong. Most forex traders focus on short-term momentum, often diving into scalping strategies that chase quick pips. However, the real edge lies where most don’t look: the higher timeframes, particularly the weekly chart. The EUR/GBP forex pair is a perfect example of these higher timeframes' power, especially when paired with smart money concepts like demand and supply imbalances. EUR/GBP: A Hidden Gem for Forex Swing Traders The EUR/GBP Forex cross pair is often overlooked compared to major USD-based pairs. However, for seasoned swing traders and institutional players, EUR/GBP offers deep liquidity, cleaner technical analysis and price action structures, and strong reaction zones that are respected time and time again. At the end of May 2025, a significant weekly demand imbalance at 0.8384 finally took control of price action—something smart money traders had been anticipating for months. This wasn't a surprise for those watching the higher timeframes. Similar to how the previous weekly imbalance at 0.8299 took control in February 2025, these zones have proven critical in guiding the medium- to long-term direction of EUR/GBP.
Long
by AlfonsoMoreno
EURGBP Expected Growth! BUY! My dear friends, Please, find my technical outlook for EURGBP below: The instrument tests an important psychological level 0.8393 Bias - Bullish Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bullish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market. Target - 0.8412 About Used Indicators: Super-trend indicator is more useful in trending markets where there are clear uptrends and downtrends in price. Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis. ——————————— WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Long
by AnabelSignals
1
EUR/GBP Bullish Breakout Forming – Falling Wedge & Retest SetupEUR/GBP has been in a prolonged downtrend over the past several weeks, characterized by lower highs and lower lows. However, the recent price action shows signs of exhaustion in selling pressure, as the candles begin to compress into a Falling Wedge pattern — a classic bullish reversal formation. The wedge is defined by two descending, converging trendlines. As price moves closer to the apex of this wedge, volatility contracts and volume typically dries up (not shown here, but conceptually expected). This signals that market participants are preparing for a directional breakout, most likely to the upside in this context. 🔍 Key Technical Elements: 🔸 1. Falling Wedge Pattern: The Falling Wedge is a bullish setup that forms during a downtrend and signals a potential reversal when confirmed. Price here has followed a steady decline, but the slowing momentum and structure of the wedge suggest the sellers are losing control. The wedge acts as a compression zone, where bearish moves are becoming less impactful. Price touches both upper and lower wedge boundaries multiple times, increasing pattern validity. A breakout has already occurred, and the pair is now undergoing a textbook retest of the broken wedge resistance (now acting as support). 🔸 2. Retest at Key Support Zone (SR Interchange): The retest is happening precisely at a former support/resistance flip zone, labeled SR – Interchange on the chart. This is a historically significant area where price has reacted multiple times, adding confluence to the setup. If this level holds during the retest, it may invite strong buying interest, fueling the bullish breakout move. 🔸 3. Resistance Zones & Targets: Inner Resistance (~0.8460): First hurdle for bulls; breaching this will signal strong momentum. Minor Resistance (~0.85618): This is the primary target of the setup, based on previous structure and wedge height projection. Major Resistance (~0.8740): A longer-term bullish objective if momentum sustains beyond the first two targets. These zones serve as logical areas for profit-taking and reassessment. 📐 Measured Move & Target Projection: The projected breakout target of 0.85618 is derived using a combination of: The vertical height of the wedge at its thickest point. Previous market structure resistance zones. Fibonacci and price symmetry (if analyzed further). This target also aligns with a previous supply zone, making it a strong magnet for price if bullish momentum kicks in. 💡 Trading Plan (Not Financial Advice): This setup provides a good risk-to-reward opportunity if executed with patience and proper confirmation: Entry Zone: After bullish confirmation at the retest (e.g., bullish engulfing candle, pin bar, or break of minor lower high). Stop Loss: Below the SR Interchange zone or recent swing low (~0.8350–0.8360). Target 1: Inner Resistance (~0.8460) Target 2: Minor Resistance (~0.85618) Target 3 (extended): Major Resistance (~0.8740) 🔄 Market Psychology: This chart setup reflects a shift in momentum and sentiment: Sellers have driven the price down consistently but have failed to create new significant lows with force. Buyers are stepping in at key demand zones, creating higher lows within the wedge. The breakout suggests smart money accumulation, and the current retest offers one of the last low-risk entries before a broader move. 🔔 Confirmation to Watch: Bullish reversal candlestick patterns at the retest zone. Break above local lower highs near 0.8440–0.8460. Momentum indicators (if used) showing divergence or crossover confirmation. 📉 Bias: Short-Term Bullish Valid if support at 0.8390–0.8400 holds and price confirms breakout continuation. 🧠 Minds Post (Expanded Explanation) Title: EUR/GBP Bullish Reversal Developing – Falling Wedge Breakout Retest EUR/GBP has broken out of a textbook falling wedge on the 4H chart, which often signals the end of a downtrend and beginning of a new bullish phase. The price is currently pulling back, testing the breakout zone — a crucial step in confirming the validity of the breakout. If this retest holds, we may see a sharp move toward the 0.8460 and 0.8560 levels — both key resistances based on past price action. This pattern reflects a deeper market psychology shift — from consistent bearish dominance to a potential bullish takeover. Smart money may already be positioning here. I’m watching for confirmation at the support zone around 0.8390. If price holds and breaks above local highs, a continuation toward the upper resistance is likely. Let the market come to you. Don’t chase. Wait for structure, then trade with confidence.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades