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Eurgbpbuy

EURGBP Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on April 10th I shared this idea "EURGBP Short Term Buy Idea" I expected bullish continuation higher from the marked Fibonacci support zones. You can read the full post using the link above. Price reached the first key support zone, respected it and bounced higher as expected!!! If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀 --------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Long
by VladimirRibakov
2
EURGBP Discretionary Analysis: Eyes on the SupplyIt's that feeling when you just know the tide's about to turn (like when you're waiting for the wind to pass but can already smell the rain). EURGBP is giving off that "Next stop? Supply zone" kind of vibe. I see it pushing up to test that level, like it's gearing up for a showdown. If I'm right, I'll be eyeing some clean entries to make a move. If I'm wrong, I'll just grab a coffee and wait for the next opportunity to roll in. Just my opinion, not financial advice.
Long
by davidavasalcai
29
EUR/GBP Analysis Double Bottom Breakout Toward TargetOverview of the Chart This chart displays a EUR/GBP daily timeframe setup, highlighting a Double Bottom Pattern, a well-known bullish reversal formation. The pattern consists of two consecutive lows at a similar price level, followed by a breakout above a key resistance zone. This setup suggests a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. Technical Analysis Breakdown 1. Double Bottom Formation (Reversal Signal) Bottom 1: The first low was established after a prolonged downtrend, where the price found support and bounced higher. Bottom 2: Price revisited the same support area but failed to break lower, indicating that sellers are losing strength and buyers are stepping in. A double bottom pattern signals that the asset is forming a strong base and is likely to move higher after breaking the neckline (resistance level). 2. Support and Resistance Levels Support Level (~0.8322): This level acted as a demand zone, preventing further downside. It marks the price area where buyers accumulated positions, leading to a reversal. Resistance Level (~0.8500): This level previously acted as a supply zone, where sellers controlled the price. A breakout above this level is crucial to confirm the bullish trend continuation. 3. Breakout Confirmation & Retest Expectation The price successfully broke above the resistance zone, confirming a bullish reversal. A potential retest of the broken resistance (now turned support) could occur before further upside movement. Traders often wait for this retest to confirm that the breakout is genuine before entering a position. 4. Price Target Projection Based on the measured move strategy, the expected target is calculated by measuring the height of the double bottom pattern and projecting it above the breakout zone. Target Price: 0.8742, aligning with historical resistance levels. 5. Stop Loss Placement Stop loss at ~0.8322 (below the double bottom support). This ensures risk is managed in case of an invalid breakout or a false move. Trading Plan & Execution Strategy 📌 Entry Strategy: ✅ Breakout Entry: Buy after the breakout above resistance. ✅ Retest Entry: Wait for a pullback to the previous resistance (now support) before entering. 📌 Risk Management: 🔹 Stop Loss: Placed below the recent support at 0.8322 to limit downside risk. 🔹 Take Profit: First target at 0.8742 based on the double bottom structure. 📌 Market Outlook: A successful breakout and bullish momentum could push prices toward the target. If the price fails to hold above the breakout zone, a deeper retracement could occur before continuing higher. Conclusion The EUR/GBP pair has formed a bullish double bottom reversal pattern, signaling a potential uptrend continuation. The key levels to watch include 0.8500 (resistance turned support) and 0.8742 (target projection). Traders should monitor price action around the breakout zone for confirmation and consider risk management strategies before entering a position.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP Bullish Breakout from Falling Wedge – Buy Setup!Introduction This EUR/GBP 4-hour chart analysis presents a high-probability bullish trading setup based on a falling wedge breakout. A falling wedge is a reliable bullish reversal pattern, signaling that selling pressure is fading, and buyers are regaining control. The price has now broken out of the wedge, confirming potential upside momentum. This setup provides a well-defined entry, stop-loss, and target level, allowing traders to capitalize on the bullish breakout while maintaining a proper risk management strategy. 1. Chart Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish Reversal) The primary pattern on the chart is a falling wedge, which is a bullish reversal pattern that forms after a downtrend. It is characterized by converging downward-sloping trendlines, indicating that sellers are gradually losing momentum. 🔹 Key Characteristics of the Falling Wedge Pattern: Lower highs & lower lows within a narrowing price range. Decreasing selling pressure, indicating a potential shift in trend. A bullish breakout above the upper trendline confirms a reversal. Typically followed by a strong price surge, aiming for previous resistance levels. The price action confirms this pattern as it broke above the wedge's upper boundary, signaling the start of a bullish trend. 2. Key Technical Levels & Market Structure 🔹 Resistance Level (Target) – 0.84183 This level marks a previous strong resistance zone, where the price faced rejection multiple times. It serves as the primary profit-taking area for this setup. A successful breakout and close above this level could lead to further upside movement. 🔹 Support Level – 0.83154 This is the major demand zone where price previously bounced. Strong buying pressure emerged at this level, leading to the recent breakout. It serves as an important level to define risk and set stop-loss orders. 🔹 Stop-Loss Placement – Below 0.83154 A stop-loss is placed slightly below the support zone, ensuring a logical exit if the market reverses. This prevents unnecessary losses while allowing room for normal price fluctuations. 🔹 Entry Point Consideration Ideal entry: Around 0.83700, just after the breakout confirmation. Confirmation: A strong bullish candle closing above the wedge. 3. Trade Execution Plan: Long Setup 📌 Trade Idea – Bullish Setup 📈 Buy Entry: 0.83600 – 0.83700 (After wedge breakout) 🎯 Target: 0.84183 (Major resistance level) ❌ Stop-Loss: 0.83154 (Below support level) 🔄 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): ~1:1 📊 Risk Management Strategy Trade with discipline: Never risk more than 1-2% of your capital per trade. Adjust position size: Based on risk tolerance and account balance. Use trailing stops: To secure profits if price continues upward. 4. Market Sentiment & Price Action Analysis Prior Uptrend: The price previously had a strong bullish rally, indicating overall bullish strength. Corrective Move: The market entered a falling wedge correction, allowing for a healthy pullback before resuming the trend. Breakout Confirmation: The breakout above the wedge's upper trendline confirms bullish momentum. 📊 Factors Supporting a Bullish Move: ✅ Breakout confirmation above the wedge pattern. ✅ Higher buying volume supporting the move. ✅ Support level holds strong, preventing further downside. 5. Trading Psychology & Risk Considerations ⚠️ Key Considerations Before Entering the Trade: ✔ Wait for confirmation – Ensure a strong breakout candle before entering. ✔ Avoid chasing the price – Enter at a reasonable pullback level post-breakout. ✔ Monitor economic events – Watch for news that could impact EUR/GBP volatility. ✔ Follow a strict risk-reward ratio – Stick to your predefined stop-loss and target. 6. Conclusion – Bullish Outlook This falling wedge breakout on EUR/GBP suggests a bullish reversal, offering a high-probability long trade setup. The price is expected to move towards the 0.84183 resistance level, with 0.83154 as the key stop-loss level. ✅ Bias: Bullish 🎯 Target: 0.84183 ❌ Stop Loss: 0.83154 📊 Risk-to-Reward: ~1:1 📌 TradingView Idea Title & Description Title: 🚀 EUR/GBP Falling Wedge Breakout – Bullish Move Incoming! Description: 📈 Bullish breakout confirmed! EUR/GBP has broken out of a falling wedge, signaling a trend reversal. A long position above 0.83600 targets the 0.84183 resistance level with a stop-loss at 0.83154. Watch for strong bullish momentum! 📊💹 💡 Risk Management: Stick to your stop-loss, and don’t chase price action. Manage your trade wisely! 🔥
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP Weekly Forecast: Double Bottom Pattern, Bullish ReversalOverview of the Chart This is a EUR/GBP daily chart, showcasing a Double Bottom Pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal formation in technical analysis. The pair has been in a downtrend for several months, but recent price action indicates a potential shift in momentum. The double bottom pattern consists of two distinct lows (Bottom 1 & Bottom 2) at nearly the same level, forming a W-shaped structure. This suggests that sellers attempted to push the price lower twice but failed both times due to strong buying pressure at the support zone. As the price starts to rise from the second bottom, the neckline resistance becomes a crucial level to watch. A confirmed breakout above this neckline would validate the pattern and signal a potential bullish rally. Chart Breakdown & Key Components 1. Double Bottom Pattern Explanation The first bottom formed in December 2024, marking the lowest price point where buyers stepped in. The second bottom formed in March 2025, confirming strong demand in the support zone. The pattern suggests bearish exhaustion, as sellers were unable to push the price lower. The neckline at ~0.84778 acts as a key breakout level. Once price moves above it, the bullish reversal is confirmed. 🔹 Why is this pattern important? It signals a trend reversal from bearish to bullish. It attracts buying interest as traders recognize the formation. The measured move suggests a potential target of 0.87307, aligning with previous resistance levels. 2. Key Support & Resistance Zones ✅ Support Zone (0.82249 - 0.82458) This level has been tested twice, making it a strong demand area. Buyers aggressively defended this zone, preventing further downside. A break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup. ✅ Neckline Resistance (~0.84778) This is the breakout level that confirms the double bottom pattern. A strong bullish daily candle closing above 0.84778 would indicate a trend shift. The price may retest this level after breaking out, offering a second entry opportunity. ✅ Major Resistance & Target Areas 0.86251 → The first major resistance zone, where price may face some selling pressure. 0.87307 → The final target based on the pattern projection, aligning with historical resistance. 3. Trading Setup & Execution Plan 🔹 Entry Strategy (Breakout Confirmation) Enter a buy position after the price breaks and closes above the neckline (~0.84778). A retest of the neckline provides a second chance to enter at a better price. Look for high volume confirmation on the breakout for additional confidence. 🔹 Stop Loss Placement (Risk Management) Place the stop-loss below 0.82249, just under the support zone. This ensures protection against false breakouts. Avoid placing the stop too tight, as price fluctuations can trigger early exits. 🔹 Take Profit Levels (Reward Calculation) First Target: 0.86251 (Intermediate Resistance Level) Final Target: 0.87307 (Measured Move Projection) Partial profits can be taken at 0.86251, while runners target 0.87307. 🔹 Risk-Reward Analysis Entry near 0.84778, stop loss below 0.82249, target at 0.87307. This setup offers a risk-to-reward ratio (R:R) of over 3:1, making it a highly favorable trade. 4. Market Sentiment & Potential Scenarios Bullish Scenario (High Probability) ✅ Price successfully breaks above the neckline at 0.84778. Retests the neckline and holds as new support, leading to strong bullish momentum. Moves toward 0.86251 first, then extends to 0.87307. This scenario aligns with technical confirmation & volume breakout strategy. Bearish Scenario (Low Probability) ❌ Price fails to break the neckline and faces rejection. The pair revisits the support zone (0.82249 - 0.82458) for a third test. If the support breaks, it could invalidate the bullish setup, leading to continued downtrend. 5. Final Thoughts & Summary 🎯 ✅ Pattern Identified → Double Bottom, signaling bullish reversal. ✅ Breakout Level → Watch for confirmation above 0.84778. ✅ Risk Management → Stop loss below 0.82249. ✅ Profit Target → 0.86251 (Partial Profit), 0.87307 (Final Target). ✅ Trade Plan → Buy on breakout, retest entry for better positioning. 🔥 This is a high-probability bullish setup! Watch for breakout confirmation before entering a trade.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EUR/GBP Chart Analysis – Double Bottom Reversal & Breakout Setup1. Market Structure & Context The EUR/GBP daily chart presents a well-defined double bottom reversal pattern, indicating a potential trend shift from a prolonged downtrend to an uptrend. The pair has been in a bearish phase, as reflected by the descending trendline. However, price action suggests a possible trend reversal, as buyers are stepping in near a key demand zone. A successful neckline breakout would confirm the bullish reversal, potentially leading to significant upside movement. 2. Key Chart Patterns & Technical Levels A. Double Bottom Formation (Bullish Reversal Pattern) The double bottom is a powerful reversal pattern, often signaling the end of a downtrend. It consists of two similar low points, forming a "W" shape. Bottom 1: The first low was established around 0.8200 - 0.8250, where buyers initially stepped in to push prices higher. Bottom 2: Price retested this demand zone, but sellers failed to push it lower, confirming a strong support level. Bullish Significance: The inability of sellers to break below the support zone suggests the exhaustion of selling pressure and increasing buy-side interest. B. Neckline Resistance & Potential Breakout Zone The neckline resistance is drawn around 0.8450 - 0.8500, a key level where previous price rallies were rejected. A breakout above this zone, ideally with strong bullish volume, would validate the double bottom pattern and trigger a bullish breakout trade. C. Descending Trendline Breakout Attempt The long-term downtrend resistance (trendline) has been holding since mid-2024. Price is currently testing this trendline; a clear breakout and retest would add further confidence to the bullish bias. 3. Trade Setup & Execution Plan A. Entry Strategy There are two possible entry strategies, depending on risk appetite: Aggressive Entry: Buy immediately upon a breakout above 0.8500, anticipating a strong rally. Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout + retest of the neckline before entering, ensuring confirmation. B. Stop Loss & Risk Management Stop Loss (SL): Placed below the recent swing low at 0.82029. This level acts as the last line of defense for bulls; if price drops below it, the bullish thesis is invalidated. C. Take Profit (TP) Targets TP1: 0.86122 (first resistance zone, a previous swing high). TP2: 0.87284 (higher resistance level, next supply zone). These levels serve as potential profit-taking areas where sellers may re-enter the market. 4. Additional Technical Confluences Supporting Bullish Bias ✔ Key Support Zone Holding Strong – The price has bounced twice from the demand zone (0.8200 - 0.8250), confirming strong buyer interest. ✔ Volume Confirmation Needed – A breakout with high volume increases the probability of sustained bullish momentum. ✔ RSI & Momentum Indicators – If RSI crosses above 50, it would further confirm bullish momentum, supporting the breakout trade. ✔ Favorable Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR) – A well-defined stop loss & take profit strategy ensures an optimal trade setup. 5. Summary & Final Trading Plan Current Market Bias: Bullish if neckline breaks (Double Bottom Confirmation). Entry Confirmation: Look for a breakout above 0.8500 with strong volume. Profit Targets: TP1: 0.8612 TP2: 0.8728 Stop-Loss Level: Below 0.8202 to protect against fake breakouts. 🚀 Final Tip for Traders: Monitor price action & volume closely. A breakout without volume may lead to a false move. Confirmation with bullish momentum is essential for a high-probability trade setup.
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
1
EUR/GBP Chart Analysis – Inverse Head & Shoulders Bullish SetupThis EUR/GBP 1-hour chart showcases a classic Inverse Head & Shoulders (H&S) pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal from bearish to bullish. This pattern is considered one of the most reliable technical formations for spotting upcoming upward momentum, particularly after a prolonged downtrend. 🔎 Market Overview Currency Pair: EUR/GBP Timeframe: 1-Hour (H1) Current Price: 0.83720 Trend: Transitioning from a downtrend to a potential bullish breakout Key Pattern: Inverse Head & Shoulders Trading Bias: Bullish (Pending breakout confirmation) 📊 Chart Breakdown & Technical Analysis 1️⃣ Market Structure & Trend Analysis Before the formation of the Inverse Head & Shoulders, the market was in a strong downtrend, making lower highs and lower lows. However, buyers started stepping in near the 0.8350 level, preventing further decline. This rejection at key support has set the stage for a potential trend reversal. Left Shoulder: Price formed a minor low around 0.8370, followed by a small bounce. Head: Price made a deeper low around 0.8351, confirming strong support and buyer interest. Right Shoulder: Price attempted another dip but failed to break below the previous low, forming a higher low near 0.8370, signaling increasing bullish pressure. Neckline Resistance: 0.8385 - 0.8390 zone – a crucial level that price needs to break for confirmation of an uptrend. 2️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels Support Level: 0.83513 (Major demand zone) Resistance Levels: Neckline: 0.8385 - 0.8390 (Breakout confirmation zone) Major Resistance: 0.84308 (Target level) Curve Zone: A dynamic resistance trendline that has been containing price action. A breakout above this curve signals a potential shift in trend. 📈 Trading Strategy – Bullish Breakout Plan ✅ Entry Strategy: A long trade should be considered only after a confirmed breakout above the neckline (0.8385 - 0.8390). The confirmation comes when: A strong bullish candle closes above the neckline. Increased trading volume supports the breakout. A possible retest of the neckline as new support (0.8385) before continuation. 🎯 Target Price & Stop Loss: Take Profit (TP): 0.84308 (Projected move based on pattern size). Stop Loss (SL): Below 0.83513 (Right Shoulder low). Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR): 1:2 or higher, making this a high-probability trade setup. 🛑 Risk Management & Trade Confirmation: Volume Confirmation: A breakout should be accompanied by a volume spike, confirming strong buyer interest. Fakeout Warning: If price briefly breaks above the neckline but then falls back below, it could be a false breakout. In this case, waiting for a retest would be a safer approach. Trailing Stop: Once price moves toward 0.8410, a trailing stop can help secure profits in case of market reversals. 🧐 Summary – Key Takeaways ✅ Inverse Head & Shoulders Identified – A reliable bullish reversal pattern. ✅ Breakout Zone: 0.8385 - 0.8390 (Watch for confirmation). ✅ Target Price: 0.84308 (Potential profit zone). ✅ Stop Loss: Below 0.83513 (Protect against downside risk). ✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio: Favorable (1:2 or better). ✅ Trading Plan: Buy above the neckline, aim for 0.8430, and manage risk properly. 📌 Final Thought: If the neckline is broken with strong momentum, expect a bullish move toward 0.8430+. However, traders should remain cautious of potential fakeouts and manage risk accordingly. 📢 Share your thoughts in the comments! Are you bullish on EUR/GBP? 🚀📊 #EURGBP #ForexTrading #TechnicalAnalysis #TradingSetup #InverseHeadAndShoulders
Long
by GoldMasterTrades
EURGBP at Key Demand Zone - Rebound Toward 0.83000?OANDA:EURGBP has reached a critical demand zone, marked by previous price reactions and strong buying pressure. Historically, this area has acted as a significant support level, leading to bullish reversals. If buyers step in and confirm a rejection, we could see a move toward the 0.83000 level, which represents a logical target within the current market structure. However, a break below this demand zone would invalidate the bullish outlook and open the door for further downside. If you agree with this analysis or have additional insights, feel free to share your thoughts in the comments!
Long
by DanieIM
1
EUR/GBP "European Cross" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.Hallo! My Dear Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, 🤑 💰 This is our master plan to Heist EUR/GBP "European Cross" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe Attention for Scalpers : If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money 💰. Warning : Fundamental Analysis news 📰 🗞️ comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style. Stay tuned with me and see you again with another Heist Plan..... 🫂
Long
by Thief_Trader
EUR/GBP "CHUNNEL" Bullish Robbery Plan on Long sideHola ola My Dear, Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, This is our master plan to Heist EUR/GBP "CHUNNEL" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Buy Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing Low Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 1h timeframe Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Long
by Thief_Trader
EURGBP "Chunnel" Bullish Robbery Plan on Long SideMy Dear Robbers / Traders, This is our master plan to Heist EURGBP bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money. Stop Loss : Recent Swing Low using 2h timeframe Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style.
Long
by Thief_Trader
EURGBP "Chunnel" Bank Bearish Robbery Plan To Steal MoneyHola ola My Dear, Robbers / Money Makers & Losers, This is our master plan to Heist EURGBP "Chunnel" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich. Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money. Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update. Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target. Support our Robbery plan we can easily make money & take money 💰💵 Follow, Like & Share with your friends and Lovers. Make our Robbery Team Very Strong Join Ur hands with US. Loot Everything in this market everyday make money easily with Thief Trading Style
Short
by Thief_Trader
BUY EUR/GBP at market .8460 (again!!!)Ever since this pair opened with a gap (see chart) on the 24th June, I've been BUYING this pair in anticipation of the gap closing. Markets hate gaps and will try to close them. Usually when a pair open with a gap when the markets open, the gap is closed and then price will continue in the same direction as the gap. Examples of this can be seen on EUR/USD and EUR/CAD, both of whom opened with a gap. With both these pairs, the gapwas closed and price then dropped. I expected EUR/GBP to follow this pattern but it has yet to close the gap after 3 weeks of trading. As can be seen by the channel drawn, EUR/GBP remain in an uptrend. WR1 (weekly Resistance 1) at .8471 remains an obstacle to EUR/GBP BULLS. This level has been reached 3x this week and each time the price has reversed. I've closed my LONGS whenever the price hit WR1 and opened a position SHORT once it was confirmed that WR1 was holding. I'm back in LONG on this pair with STOP under the lows and under the 200 EMA on H1. Target is the closing the gap at .8490. It seems unlikey we will get anywhere near .8490 today and news at 13:30 is unlikely to move this pair much (US Core PCE Price Index).
Long
by forextraplaces
BUY STOP at .8455 EUR/GBP (now .8443)At 12:00 today (25 minutes) we shall know what the BOE intend to do about the current round of interest rates. The market expectation is 0 - 2 - 7. The first digit is those MPC members who voted to increase rates (no-one expects this to be other than zero). The second digit is those MPC members who voted for a decrease in rates (the last month saw 2 members vote for a decrease against market expectation) The third digit reflects the opinion of MPC members who voted to leave rates unchanged. The most likely print will be 0 - 2- 7 and rates to be held at 5.5% but if we see 0 - 3 - 6 or even 0 - 4 - 5 and we see a rate cut then we can expect a massive move in GBP. In theory a vote to decrease interest rates and/or a rate cut should be GBP NEGATIVE but this is not guaranteed. The path of EUR/GBP will be one of 2 ways (see chart) on release of the numbers. If the market interpret the news as GBP positive (BULLISH) we can expect EUR/GBP to decline rapidly to at least WS1 support at .8400 but this support could easily break. If the market see the news as GBP negative then I have a BUY STOP placed at .8455 which is a few pips above the 200 EMA on H1. If this trade triggers then we can expect to see the gap that formed a week last open to close. However the data comes out at 12:00 be ready for some rapid price moves across all GBP pairs. Anyone with SHORT or LONG GBP trades will need to tighten stops but remember, spreads will increase by as much as 10 pips, possibly more as the news is announced.
Long
by forextraplaces