1:5 RR Buy Setup for EURGBPCore Analysis Method: Smart Money Concepts
The following analysis has been conducted based on the Smart Money Concepts methodology:
😇 7 Dimension Analysis
Time Frame: H1
Swing Structure:
The structure is bullish with multiple Breaks of Structure (BOS) completed during the impulsive move, including Inducement.
The current corrective swing move is showing signs of weakness in its internal structure, indicating a potential bearish momentum.
A sharp move towards the Point of Interest (POI) is expected, where an extreme Order Block (OB) has been identified in the deepest discounted area for the swing.
Support: A significant support area has been identified at this zone, with proper Change in Polarization (CIP) observed on the H4 timeframe.
Pattern:
🟢 Chart Patterns:
No specific chart patterns have formed yet, but updates will be provided once the price reaches the POI area.
🟢 Candle Patterns:
The previous swing’s initial candles suggest this is a high-demand zone, with the base of the demand indicated by the candle structure.
Volume:
🟢 There is no significant volume during the corrective move, but a massive volume was observed when the initial move started. This suggests that strong buyers are waiting for the price to reach the identified area, where a buying opportunity might be present.
Momentum RSI:
🟢 The market is currently in a super bearish zone, but the price is nearing the oversold area, which is an extremely oversold condition. Monitoring for a divergence as an additional confirmation for a buy will be crucial. The identified area is ideal for a potential reversal.
Volatility Bollinger Bands:
🟢 The complete volatility cycle is observed, including Contraction/Expansion, Squeeze breakout, Walking on the Band, and W pattern. All these parameters have been mitigated. As the price nears the POI level, it may consolidate before giving another sharp and volatile bullish move. Patience is required to capture this classic move.
Strength ADX:
🟢The ADX shows that bears are currently overextended, suggesting it might be time for the market to calm down and for buyers to regain control.
🟢Rating: ⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐⭐ (7 Stars)
This trade is given a 7-star rating, with a probability of 75% due to the alignment of several bullish factors and potential reversal signals.
✔️ Entry Time Frame: H1
✅ Entry TF Structure: Bullish
☑️ POI: Extreme OB
💡 Decision: Buy Limit
🚀 Entry: 0.8511
✋ Stop loss: 0.8475
🎯 Take profit: 0.9695
😊 Risk to reward Ratio: 5 RR
🕛 Expected Duration: 10 Days
SUMMARY:
This setup suggests a strong bullish opportunity on the H1 timeframe, with an entry at 0.8511 and a stop loss at 0.8475. The take profit target is set at 0.9695, offering a 5:1 risk-to-reward ratio. The analysis indicates that the current market conditions are aligning for a potential bullish move, with oversold momentum and key support areas in play. Patience is key as the price approaches the POI, where a classic SMC entry model might provide a high-probability setup for a significant bullish reversal.
Eurgbplong
EURGBP to find buyers at market price?EURGBP - Intraday
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
We look to buy dips.
Daily signals are bullish.
20 1day EMA is at 0.8517.
We look for a temporary move lower.
We look to Buy at 0.8515 (stop at 0.8491)
Our profit targets will be 0.8575 and 0.8590
Resistance: 0.8535 / 0.8550 / 0.8575
Support: 0.8528 / 0.8515 / 0.8500
Risk Disclaimer
The trade ideas beyond this page are for informational purposes only and do not constitute investment advice or a solicitation to trade. This information is provided by Signal Centre, a third-party unaffiliated with OANDA, and is intended for general circulation only. OANDA does not guarantee the accuracy of this information and assumes no responsibilities for the information provided by the third party. The information does not take into account the specific investment objectives, financial situation, or particular needs of any particular person. You should take into account your specific investment objectives, financial situation, and particular needs before making a commitment to trade, including seeking advice from an independent financial adviser regarding the suitability of the investment, under a separate engagement, as you deem fit.
You accept that you assume all risks in independently viewing the contents and selecting a chosen strategy.
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EURGBP - Short active !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURGBP.
Technical analysis: On weekly timeframe we have hidden divergence and on H4 we can see that price formed regular divergence in waves, as well price rejected from LZ.
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EURGBP Bank Money Heist Plan In Bearish SideMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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EURGBP Bullish Momentum 4H TF (Div, Dow,BOS,Trend Break)EURGBP showing bullish momentum supported by 4H bullish divergence. Price actions shows DOW HH and HL setup with BOS (Break of Structure) also supported by break of falling trendline. Entry is placed 15 pips above previous LH and TP at 1:1 R:R at FIB 78.6%. What do you think, will this setup work?
Note: If you are not comfortable with TP at FIB level 78.6%, you can do TP at 61.80%.
EURGBP Trade Setup following ECB Interest Rate Decision.Taking a look at the daily tf, price action closed above the last candle where we saw strong rejection following a retest of the descending support.
Today the ECB also left interest rates unchanged at 4.25%.
Even though this is a low risk to reward setup, I believe it has a good chance of becoming a winning trade.
EURGBP - Short from trendline !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURGBP.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from 4H timeframe perspective, so I look for short position. I wait price to continue the retracement and then to reject from trendline + FIBO 0.5 level.
Fundamental news: Tomorrow (GMT+3) we will see results of CPI on GBP and on Thursday (GMT+3) we have Interest Rate on EUR, news with high impact on currency.
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EURGBP - Bearish continuation !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURGBP.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so as I mentioned in my previous analysis, price filled the imbalance and rejected from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.85000.
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EURGBP, Time for LONG ?Hello traders, hope you doing great.
for upcoming week, I think we'll probably see an upward trend to the specified level.
so with a proper trigger, we can open a long position.
and finally tell me what do you think? UP or DOWN? leave your comment below .
if this post was helpful to you, please like and share with your friends.
Thanks.
BUY EUR/GBP at market .8460 (again!!!)Ever since this pair opened with a gap (see chart) on the 24th June, I've been BUYING this pair in anticipation of the gap closing.
Markets hate gaps and will try to close them.
Usually when a pair open with a gap when the markets open, the gap is closed and then price will continue in the same direction as the gap.
Examples of this can be seen on EUR/USD and EUR/CAD, both of whom opened with a gap.
With both these pairs, the gapwas closed and price then dropped.
I expected EUR/GBP to follow this pattern but it has yet to close the gap after 3 weeks of trading.
As can be seen by the channel drawn, EUR/GBP remain in an uptrend.
WR1 (weekly Resistance 1) at .8471 remains an obstacle to EUR/GBP BULLS.
This level has been reached 3x this week and each time the price has reversed.
I've closed my LONGS whenever the price hit WR1 and opened a position SHORT once it was confirmed that WR1 was holding.
I'm back in LONG on this pair with STOP under the lows and under the 200 EMA on H1.
Target is the closing the gap at .8490.
It seems unlikey we will get anywhere near .8490 today and news at 13:30 is unlikely to move this pair much (US Core PCE Price Index).
EURGBP - Look for a short !!Hello traders!
‼️ This is my perspective on EURGBP.
Technical analysis: Here we are in a bearish market structure from daily timeframe perspective, so I look for short position. My point of interest is if price continue the retracement and fills the imbalance higher, then rejects from bearish order block + institutional big figure 0.85000.
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EUR/GBP Technical Analysis## EUR/GBP Technical Analysis
Timeframe: 15-Minute Chart
### Chart Overview:
The EUR/GBP pair on the 15-minute timeframe exhibits detailed recent price action, incorporating several technical elements that suggest potential future movements.
### Key Elements:
1. Downtrend Channel:
- The chart initially indicates a downtrend channel, with the price respecting the upper trendline as resistance and the lower trendline as support.
- This channel suggests a bearish trend with lower highs and lower lows up to a certain point.
2. Breaking Out of the Channel:
- Recently, the price appears to have broken out of the downtrend channel to the upside, indicating a potential reversal or at least a short-term bullish correction.
- The breakout is accompanied by a consolidation phase just above the previous upper trendline.
3. Support and Resistance Levels:
- Resistance Levels: Immediate resistance levels are noted at 0.84603, 0.85181, and above these, at the previous high around 0.8535.
- Support Levels: Key support levels include 0.84571, 0.84578, 0.84206, and further below at 0.84042 and 0.8400. These levels have provided significant support in the past and could act as potential bounce points if the price declines.
### Conclusion:
The EUR/GBP pair is currently in a critical phase, having recently broken out of a downtrend channel. The price action around key support and resistance levels will be crucial in determining the next move. Volume analysis supports the recent bullish breakout, suggesting potential for further upside if key resistance levels are breached. Always manage your risk with appropriate stop losses and position sizing.
EUR/GBP BUY at market (.8450)2 weeks ago the EUR/GBP opened with a market gap.
Those of you who read my previous posts on this subject will know that I believe gaps in the market are ALWAYS filled.
True, this can be weeks or even months but most commonly gaps are filled within 48 hours.
Last week downward pressure prevented the EUR gaining on the GBP and the gap remained.
I was moderately confident that the gap would be filled this week and I've had muliple LONG positions on EUR/GBP but every trade hit headwinds and were closed (at a profit).
This morning we saw the EUR decline with the weak German and French manufacturing and Services PMI but this was followed by weak GBP Flash Manufacturing and Servicing PMI and a look at the H1 chart will reveal that this has left this pair in a definitive northerly direction.
I've markeed the approximate path of the 200 EMA on the chart as, as can be seen, this was falling, then turned level and is now poised to head north.
At 14:45 (45 minutes) we have trhe USD Flash manufacturing and Services PMI.
I don't expect the release to have much impact on this pair.
I'm happy to be LONG on this pair in anticipation of the gap being closed sometime next week.
BUY STOP at .8455 EUR/GBP (now .8443)At 12:00 today (25 minutes) we shall know what the BOE intend to do about the current round of interest rates.
The market expectation is 0 - 2 - 7.
The first digit is those MPC members who voted to increase rates (no-one expects this to be other than zero).
The second digit is those MPC members who voted for a decrease in rates (the last month saw 2 members vote for a decrease against market expectation)
The third digit reflects the opinion of MPC members who voted to leave rates unchanged.
The most likely print will be 0 - 2- 7 and rates to be held at 5.5% but if we see 0 - 3 - 6 or even 0 - 4 - 5 and we see a rate cut then we can expect a massive move in GBP.
In theory a vote to decrease interest rates and/or a rate cut should be GBP NEGATIVE but this is not guaranteed.
The path of EUR/GBP will be one of 2 ways (see chart) on release of the numbers.
If the market interpret the news as GBP positive (BULLISH) we can expect EUR/GBP to decline rapidly to at least WS1 support at .8400 but this support could easily break.
If the market see the news as GBP negative then I have a BUY STOP placed at .8455 which is a few pips above the 200 EMA on H1.
If this trade triggers then we can expect to see the gap that formed a week last open to close.
However the data comes out at 12:00 be ready for some rapid price moves across all GBP pairs.
Anyone with SHORT or LONG GBP trades will need to tighten stops but remember, spreads will increase by as much as 10 pips, possibly more as the news is announced.
EURGBP
EUR/GBP is showing a bullish trend on the daily timeframe, as it follows a descending channel and has completed the Elliott Wave 12345 pattern. Currently, the price is in the ABC correction phase. A buying opportunity arises after a breakout above the descending trendline, targeting the key resistance level and the descending channel's resistance trendline.
Forextraplaces - the week ahead - EUR/GBPIt's a well know market phenomenon that gaps in the market are inevitably always filled.
The market hates gaps.
No-one seems to know why but its simply a fact.
When the markets opened last Sunday (UK time) EUR gapped open across many pairs.
EUR/USD 25 pip gap - filled.
EUR/JPY 28 pip gap - filled.
EUR/CAD 26 pip gap - filled
EUR/CHF - no gap
EUR/AUD 37 pip NOT filled.
EUR/NZD 42 pip gap NOT filled.
These last 2 trading pairs have been in a steep decline since the end of April and show no signs of reversing so the gaps in these markets may not bve filled for some time but EUR/GBP is the pair to look at.
I expected this gap to have been filled last week particulalrly as GBP was largely BEARISH but this did not happen.
I expect that this gap WILL be filled this week.
Key is .8842.
If we see the price of EUR/GBP break .8842 (where I have a SELL STOP) , I expect the price to close the gap and then reverse sharply.
This will need to be done before Friday as the EURO PMI numbers will most likely set the direction of the EUR and these are due on Friday.
So look to get LONG on this pair and see if the gap is filled but be mindful that the overall picture for is pair is BEARISH.