EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D1 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
Eurgbpshort
Shorts for EURGBPFX:EURGBP
Previously, we mentioned about the price having potential to react off the daily swap zone after falling from the daily resistance zone. However, price gave us only about 100 pips, before failing and breaking down below the daily swap zone. Since price previously reacted off the high time frame daily resistance zone, the break below of the swap zone signals continuous push towards the downside. Currently, price has reached the demand zone and price has rebounded. This zone may be seen as insignificant because, from the bearish price action, we expect it to eventually break below the demand zone and continue the downtrend towards the daily demand zone.
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D30 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅15' order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D29 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D29 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅5' order blockS
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D28 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 D28 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅4 Hour order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure to be created
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W18 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly order block
✅4 Hour order block
✅Intraday bearish breaks of structure to be created
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURGBP LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D25 Y25EURGBP LONG FORECAST Q2 W17 D25 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly imbalance filled
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅4H order block rejection
✅intraday bullish breaks of structure
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D3 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D23 Y25
Summary
- Weekly Orderblock
- 15' Orderblock
Requirements
- Setup A) Await 15' breaks of structure - Pull back short from created 15' order block
- Setup B) Lowertime frame break of structure via current available 15' order block
- Setup C) Break and retest via 15' order block created upon the break of structure.
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W17 D22 Y25
Summary
- Weekly Orderblock
- 15' Orderblock
Requirements
- Setup A) Await 15' breaks of structure - Pull back short from created 15' order block
- Setup B) Lowertime frame break of structure via current available 15' order block
FRGNT X
IG - JCFRGNT
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D18 Y25
Fun Coupon Friday !
SUMMARY
- Trading areas identified
- Long position via 4H order block + weekly wick imbalance fill alignment. 15' breaks of structure required prior. 15' order block to be created post 15' break of structure. B set up.
- Short position via weekly order block 15' order block identified.15' breaks of structure required prior & lower time frame break of structure + turn around in price actions. A Set up
FRGNT X
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W16 D16 Y25
Morning All,
A short forecast to begin a monday morning!
Weekly order block rejection to start the week.
Bullish pressure visible therefore as always, we await confluences prior making an assumption.
In addition, we accept another reason for the trade to play against us - the weekly wick high, there is always a chance this is filled prior the turn around in price action however, if a break of 15' structure is presented, that risk will be accepted.
Happy to get involved in either of the set ups illustrated- set up 2 is clearly the "risky" trade of the two BUT did we ever forget our role is to manage risk. Set up two however have an added confluence of Tokyo range to be filled, pulling price action short.
I trust the chart analysis is becoming self explanatory.
Let's see how EURGBP plays!
FRGNT X
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25
Good day Traders!
Take a look at this potential short setup on EURGBP!
It has indeed been a slow week, perhaps we can capitalise on some price action to gain Fun coupons on Friday ! Price action currently sat in the higher time frame order block. For us that means our directional bias is against current trends however, as always if we see shifts and signs in that bullish pressure. Our management skills come into play.
We are currently forecasting a rejection form the weekly order block that was created Christmas week of 2023 of which shifted price action below 0.86607 until now.
Let's see if we price will come to us in a way of bearish price action.
More info on this setup later.
FRGNT X
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 D9 W15 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 D9 W15 Y25
Welcome back Traders! Here's my take.
We have two points of interest here. As always you know how we look into every play. It is imperative we have a turn around of price action prior getting involved even more so when the point of interest is not an order block.
My reasoning behind selection of the weekly/daily highs is simply due to how it aligns with market structure. IF we break the most recent Asia lows from that point of interest followed by a pull back into an order block that would have been created and left behind as a result. The short position will be entertained.
With the above said, in reflection I am already having second thoughts but feel free ti dive into the way I chart and analysis. Would I risk capital from simply a high? It does not seem "smart".
The above is scrapped and we must wait for price action to enter into the daily order block. Let us await a reaction from the area and again, show signs of a turn around. Await for 1'/5' break of structure and lower time frame order block creation.
THEN! We arm our capital and take the short position for what I can foresee will be a worthwhile risk to reward.
Trade well!
FRGNT X
EURGBP: A Potential Short Opportunity Amidst ConsolidationEUR/GBP daily chart reveals a compelling narrative of consolidation followed by a potential bearish reversal. The pair has been trading within a defined range, bounded by key horizontal support and resistance zones (highlighted in blue). The recent price action suggests a rejection from the upper resistance zone, setting the stage for a possible short trade.
Key Observations:
Range-Bound Consolidation: The chart clearly shows EUR/GBP oscillating within a well-defined range. This pattern indicates a period of indecision, where neither buyers nor sellers have established a clear dominant trend.
Resistance Zone Test and Rejection: The price recently revisited the upper resistance zone. The subsequent price action, characterized by a sharp downward move, suggests a strong rejection from this level. This rejection is a critical signal that sellers are stepping in, potentially reversing the recent upward momentum.
Bearish Engulfing/Pin Bar Formation (Possible): While the chart doesn't explicitly highlight a candlestick pattern, the sharp rejection from the resistance zone suggests the formation of a bearish engulfing or a pin bar on a lower timeframe. This pattern reinforces the bearish bias.
Retracement and Entry Opportunity: The price has retraced a portion of the recent decline. This retracement presents a potential opportunity to enter a short position, capitalizing on the anticipated continuation of the bearish move.
Support Zones as Targets: The lower support zone serves as a primary target for the potential short trade. The intermediate support level (around 0.83727) can act as a partial profit-taking zone or a point to trail the stop loss.
Pattern Identification:
The dominant pattern observed is a range-bound consolidation followed by a potential bearish reversal triggered by a rejection from a key resistance zone. Trade Setup:
Entry: A short entry can be considered at the current price level (around 0.85021-0.85129) or on a break below the immediate support level (0.84772). A more conservative approach would be to wait for a clear bearish candlestick pattern confirmation on a lower timeframe (e.g., H4 or H1).
Stop Loss: The stop loss should be placed above the recent swing high (around 0.85867) to protect the trade from unexpected price reversals.
Take Profit: The primary target is the lower support zone (around 0.82537-0.82218). An intermediate target can be set at the 0.83727 level.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The potential trade offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, with a relatively small stop loss and a significant profit target.
EUR/GBP (1H) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Short Trade Setup1. Overview of Market Structure
The EUR/GBP pair is forming a Rising Wedge Pattern, a well-known bearish reversal formation, which suggests that the current uptrend may soon reverse into a downtrend. The price has been moving within a tightening range, making higher highs and higher lows, but the upward momentum appears to be weakening.
A breakdown from this wedge is a strong bearish signal, indicating that sellers are gaining control, and a significant price drop is expected.
2. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge – Bearish Reversal
A Rising Wedge is a pattern that occurs when price moves upward within a contracting range. This pattern typically forms after an uptrend and suggests that bullish momentum is slowing down.
Characteristics of the Rising Wedge in This Chart:
The price has tested the upper resistance zone multiple times, but each attempt has resulted in a rejection.
The lower support trendline has been tested frequently, showing that buyers are losing strength.
The breakdown of the wedge signals a strong bearish move, with price expected to drop toward key support levels.
This pattern becomes valid once the price breaks below the lower trendline, confirming the bearish outlook.
3. Key Technical Levels & Zones
A. Resistance Zone (0.84853) – Strong Supply Area
Marked as a Resistance Zone, where price has struggled to break through.
Sellers have stepped in around this level multiple times, preventing any further bullish movement.
Acts as a major stop-loss level for bearish trades, as a breakout above this zone could invalidate the setup.
B. Support Zones (Potential Take-Profit Targets)
1st Support Level (TP1) – 0.82539
This level has previously acted as strong support, where buyers have entered the market before.
A short-term pullback or consolidation may occur here.
2nd Support Level (TP2) – 0.81332
This is the final bearish target, marking a key demand zone from where price has bounced in the past.
If bearish momentum continues, price could reach this level, making it an ideal take-profit zone for swing traders.
4. Trading Strategy & Execution
A. Entry Strategy
A short trade is ideal after the price breaks below the rising wedge pattern. There are two possible entries:
Aggressive Entry:
Enter immediately after the breakout of the lower trendline, anticipating strong downside momentum.
Higher risk as price might retest the trendline before moving down.
Conservative Entry:
Wait for a retest of the broken trendline before entering short.
This confirms the breakdown, reducing false breakout risks.
B. Stop-Loss Placement
Stop-loss should be placed just above the resistance zone (0.84853).
This prevents being stopped out by minor pullbacks before the actual move happens.
C. Take-Profit Targets
TP1: 0.82539 (First major support level – potential profit booking area)
TP2: 0.81332 (Final bearish target – strong demand zone)
5. Risk Management & Trade Management
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
This trade offers a high RRR, making it an attractive setup.
The stop-loss is small compared to the potential downside move.
Trailing Stop Strategy
A trailing stop can be used to lock in profits as price moves lower.
If price reaches TP1, move stop-loss to breakeven to secure capital.
If price reaches TP2, close the trade for maximum profit.
Exit Strategy
Exit early if price fails to break key support zones.
Monitor price action around TP1 & TP2 for signs of reversal.
6. Sentiment Analysis & Market Context
Bearish Confirmation:
Breakdown from the wedge signals bearish sentiment in the market.
If price fails to sustain above support zones, further downside is likely.
News & Fundamentals:
Major economic events or interest rate decisions could impact EUR/GBP volatility.
Traders should check for UK & Eurozone news before entering the trade.
7. Conclusion – Bearish Outlook
The Rising Wedge breakdown is a strong short-selling opportunity.
Confirmation is key: Enter short after the breakdown, use proper risk management, and aim for TP1 & TP2.
If price invalidates the pattern by breaking above 0.84853, the trade setup should be reconsidered.
This setup provides a high-probability bearish trade with a well-defined stop-loss and risk-to-reward ratio.
EUR/GBP Triangle Pattern - Bearish Breakdown SetupProfessional Analysis of the EUR/GBP Chart
This EUR/GBP (Euro/British Pound) daily chart from OANDA, published on April 3, 2025, highlights a key technical setup based on price action analysis, chart patterns, and support/resistance levels.
1. Market Context: Accumulation & Transition to a Triangle Pattern
Curve Zone Formation (Rounded Bottom):
The market initially exhibited a rounded bottom structure (curve zone) from July 2024 to February 2025, indicating a gradual accumulation phase.
This phase often signals a shift in market sentiment, where sellers lose dominance, and buyers start stepping in.
Breakout from Accumulation:
After reaching the support zone (~0.8250 - 0.8300), price rebounded sharply in March 2025, confirming strong buyer interest.
However, it failed to sustain upward momentum near the resistance zone (~0.8470 - 0.8500), leading to consolidation.
2. Formation of a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
Lower Highs & Higher Lows:
Price action began forming a symmetrical triangle, a classic consolidation pattern that typically precedes a strong breakout.
The market is currently trading near the apex of the triangle, indicating that a breakout is imminent.
Potential Breakout Direction:
Symmetrical triangles are neutral patterns, meaning they can break either upward or downward.
However, the price structure and resistance rejection suggest a higher probability of a bearish breakdown.
3. Key Levels & Trading Setup
Resistance & Support Zones:
🔴 Resistance Zone (~0.8470 - 0.8500):
This area has repeatedly acted as strong resistance, where sellers have consistently pushed prices lower.
A breakout above this zone would indicate a bullish invalidation of the current bearish bias.
🟢 Support Zone (~0.8250 - 0.8300):
This level has held price multiple times, acting as key support.
A break below this zone would confirm bearish momentum, targeting lower price levels.
4. Bearish Trade Setup
📉 Entry Strategy (Short Position):
Wait for a confirmed breakout below the triangle’s lower trendline (~0.8320 - 0.8350).
A retest of the broken support turning into resistance would provide the best short entry.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement (~0.84764):
Positioned above recent highs and the resistance zone to minimize risk.
This ensures the trade is protected against potential false breakouts.
🎯 Profit Target (~0.81190 - 0.81134):
The projected move aligns with historical support levels, making it a logical target.
This level represents a previous market structure where buyers stepped in.
5. Conclusion & Trade Considerations
✅ Bearish Bias: The price action and pattern suggest a higher probability of a downside breakout.
✅ Defined Risk & Reward: A well-structured stop-loss and target level ensures a solid risk management strategy.
✅ Watch for Confirmation: Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout before entering a trade to avoid false moves.
📊 Overall Verdict: A high-probability short setup is forming, with a clear entry, stop-loss, and take-profit strategy. If the market respects the triangle breakdown scenario, this could lead to a significant bearish move toward the 0.81190 target.
EURGBP POTENTIAL SHORT Q2 W14 Y25 THURSDAY 3RD APRIL 2025EURGBP POTENTIAL SHORT Q2 W14 Y25 THURSDAY 3RD APRIL 2025
Thank you Mr Trump for sending the majority of pairs loopy! We are now faced with exponential and over extending price action. It really is a time to sit patiently. Allow the market to settle and take shape. In an ideal world, this outlook is exactly how we managed our capital as professional risk managers. We say it continuously, our role is to managed capital by way of risk expose. A super by product of managing that risk is making returns. It's a strange concept, yes. " what do you mean our main aim is not to make money" More on that note another time.
If it resonates, let it continue to do so.
A potential set up.
How do you like the plan?
FRGNT X
EURGBP - Sell ideaEntry: 0.84018
SL: 0.84203
TP: 0.83700
Selling EURGBP looks favorable due to recent price action showing a rejection at a key resistance level , indicating potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. Technical indicators like the RSI are approaching overbought territory, suggesting a pullback is likely. The pair has also broken below a short-term ascending trendline, signaling a shift to bearish momentum. Declining volume on recent upward moves supports the case for weakening buyer interest. Additionally, macroeconomic factors, such as stronger UK economic data compared to the Eurozone, could further pressure EURGBP downward.
EURGBP ShortEURGBP had a good week
good news eurozone
falling oil prices
Rising oil prices boosting again GBP
Also tariffs on Eurozone bringing Euro again under pressure
hedgefunds long,time for me to Sell EURGBP again
i DONT USE PRICE ACTION!!!!!!Because I dont believe in price action
Profit target zone is area where the euro bulls defend their position
EUR/GBP: Caught Between Key Support and Resistance LevelsEUR/GBP is currently consolidating between critical technical levels, with price action centered around 0.8360-0.8361. The pair recently bounced from support at 0.8346 but appears to be facing resistance at the 0.8367 level.
The multiple EMA crossover zone (0.8346-0.8359) is creating a decision point for this pair. Recent price history shows a clear downtrend from the March highs above 0.8400, suggesting bearish momentum remains in play.
Volume readings indicate moderate market interest at current levels.
Trade Scenario
Bearish Case:
Failure to break above 0.8367 resistance could trigger another downward move
Initial target: 0.8346 support
If broken: Watch for extension to 0.8320 horizontal support
Bullish Case:
Decisive break above 0.8367 with increased volume would signal potential trend reversal
Initial target: 0.8400 psychological level
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 0.8367, 0.8400
Support: 0.8346, 0.8320
#EURGBP
EUR/GBP 4H | Sell Opportunity After Resistance Rejection The EUR/GBP pair has been in a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows forming. Recently, price rejected a key resistance zone and is now continuing its bearish momentum.
🔎 Key Observations:
✅ Resistance Levels: 0.83598 - 0.83910 acted as a strong rejection zone.
✅ Sell Confirmation: Price has broken below minor support and is now moving downward.
✅ Bearish Expectation: The next major support target is 0.82618.
📌 Trading Plan:
🔻 Sell on pullbacks near resistance levels (0.83598 - 0.83676).
🔻 Target: 0.82618 as the next key support.
🔻 Stop-loss: Above 0.83827 to minimize risk.
🚨 Risk Management Tip: Always maintain a good risk-reward ratio and wait for confirmations.
💬 What’s your take on this setup? Are you looking to sell or waiting for a better entry?
EUR/GBP (1H) Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown – Trade SetupThe EUR/GBP 1-hour chart presents a symmetrical triangle formation that has now broken to the downside, signaling a bearish continuation. This pattern is widely recognized in technical analysis and often acts as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the breakout direction. In this case, the price has breached the lower support boundary, indicating that sellers have taken control of the market.
In this detailed analysis, we will explore the chart structure, key technical levels, potential trade setups, and risk management strategies to navigate this move efficiently.
1️⃣ Understanding the Symmetrical Triangle Formation
A symmetrical triangle occurs when price action creates lower highs and higher lows, forming two converging trendlines. This reflects a period of market indecision, where buyers and sellers are evenly matched until a breakout occurs.
📌 Key characteristics of this triangle:
✅ Converging Trendlines – Representing lower highs and higher lows, suggesting market compression.
✅ Price Consolidation – The pair traded within this structure, awaiting a catalyst for breakout.
✅ Breakout Direction – A breakdown from the support level confirms a bearish move.
Pattern Psychology:
A symmetrical triangle often precedes a significant price move. Traders and investors monitor the breakout direction to determine the next trend. Here, the breakdown below the lower boundary signals a continuation of the prevailing bearish trend.
2️⃣ Key Levels & Chart Structure
🔹 Resistance Zone (Upper Boundary) – 0.84227
The upper trendline acted as a strong resistance level, preventing price from breaking higher multiple times.
The yellow-highlighted area represents a supply zone, where selling pressure was dominant.
Price attempted to break above this region but failed, confirming bearish dominance.
🔹 Support Level (Lower Boundary) – 0.83500
The lower boundary of the triangle previously held as support, where buyers attempted to push the price higher.
However, once price broke below this support, it confirmed a bearish trend continuation.
The blue horizontal support line represents a potential retest area, where sellers may step in again.
🔹 Breakout Confirmation & Price Action
The chart clearly shows a bearish breakout, as price broke through the lower trendline.
Retest Probability: Many breakouts experience a pullback to the broken support (now resistance) before resuming the downtrend.
The dashed black lines illustrate the expected bearish move, with a potential decline towards 0.82815.
3️⃣ Trading Plan & Entry Strategy
Based on this setup, traders can capitalize on the bearish move using a structured trading plan:
📌 Bearish Trading Setup (Short Position)
✔ Entry Strategy:
Traders can enter a short position either immediately after the breakout or after a retest of the broken support at 0.83500 - 0.83700.
The ideal confirmation would be bearish candlestick patterns, such as an engulfing candle or pin bar rejection on the retest.
✔ Stop-Loss Placement:
To mitigate risk, a stop-loss should be placed above the previous resistance level (0.84227).
This ensures protection against fake breakouts or sudden reversals.
✔ Target Price (Take Profit Level):
The measured move of a symmetrical triangle breakout is typically equal to the height of the triangle.
Based on this projection, the expected target is around 0.82815, a significant support level.
Traders may also scale out at intermediate levels (0.83000) to lock in profits.
✔ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
A well-structured trade here presents an attractive RRR of approximately 1:3, meaning the potential reward is three times the risk.
A higher RRR enhances the probability of profitability over multiple trades.
4️⃣ Market Context & Fundamental Analysis
🔍 Why Is EUR/GBP Dropping?
While technical patterns are valuable, traders must also consider fundamental factors that drive currency pairs.
🟢 Possible Bearish Catalysts for EUR/GBP:
GBP Strength: If the British Pound (GBP) strengthens due to strong economic data or hawkish Bank of England (BoE) policy, EUR/GBP may continue declining.
EUR Weakness: The Euro (EUR) may be under pressure due to weak GDP growth, higher inflation, or dovish European Central Bank (ECB) statements.
Geopolitical Events: Any negative news impacting the Eurozone (e.g., political instability) could trigger further selling pressure on EUR/GBP.
5️⃣ Risk Management & Alternative Scenarios
While the current outlook favors a bearish move, traders must remain prepared for alternative scenarios.
⚠ Alternative Scenarios: 📌 False Breakdown:
If price closes back above the support level (0.83500 - 0.83700), it could indicate a failed breakout, potentially leading to a bullish reversal.
In this case, a breakout above 0.84227 would invalidate the bearish setup.
📌 Sideways Consolidation:
If the price stalls around 0.83300 - 0.83500, the market may range before the next move.
Traders should wait for clear confirmation before entering new trades.
6️⃣ Summary & Key Takeaways
✅ Pattern Identified: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout (Bearish).
✅ Breakout Direction: Price has broken below support, confirming a downtrend.
✅ Trade Setup:
Sell below 0.83500 (or on retest at 0.83700).
Stop Loss: Above 0.84227 (previous resistance).
Take Profit: Targeting 0.82815 based on the pattern’s measured move.
✅ Risk-Reward: Favorable, offering 1:3 or higher RRR.
✅ Fundamental Drivers: GBP strength or EUR weakness could accelerate the downtrend.
📢 Final Thoughts
This symmetrical triangle breakdown offers a high-probability trading opportunity for short sellers, with a clear technical structure supporting the bearish move. However, traders should remain cautious of false breakouts and adjust stop-loss levels accordingly.
For best results:
✔ Wait for price action confirmation (retest rejection or bearish candle formations).
✔ Follow proper risk management (stop-loss placement and profit-taking levels).
✔ Monitor key economic events impacting EUR and GBP movements.
By combining technical analysis, fundamental insights, and sound risk management, traders can enhance their profitability and navigate the markets with confidence. 🚀📉