EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 W15 D11 Y25
Good day Traders!
Take a look at this potential short setup on EURGBP!
It has indeed been a slow week, perhaps we can capitalise on some price action to gain Fun coupons on Friday ! Price action currently sat in the higher time frame order block. For us that means our directional bias is against current trends however, as always if we see shifts and signs in that bullish pressure. Our management skills come into play.
We are currently forecasting a rejection form the weekly order block that was created Christmas week of 2023 of which shifted price action below 0.86607 until now.
Let's see if we price will come to us in a way of bearish price action.
More info on this setup later.
FRGNT X
Eurgbpshort
EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 D9 W15 Y25EURGBP SHORT FORECAST Q2 D9 W15 Y25
Welcome back Traders! Here's my take.
We have two points of interest here. As always you know how we look into every play. It is imperative we have a turn around of price action prior getting involved even more so when the point of interest is not an order block.
My reasoning behind selection of the weekly/daily highs is simply due to how it aligns with market structure. IF we break the most recent Asia lows from that point of interest followed by a pull back into an order block that would have been created and left behind as a result. The short position will be entertained.
With the above said, in reflection I am already having second thoughts but feel free ti dive into the way I chart and analysis. Would I risk capital from simply a high? It does not seem "smart".
The above is scrapped and we must wait for price action to enter into the daily order block. Let us await a reaction from the area and again, show signs of a turn around. Await for 1'/5' break of structure and lower time frame order block creation.
THEN! We arm our capital and take the short position for what I can foresee will be a worthwhile risk to reward.
Trade well!
FRGNT X
EURGBP: A Potential Short Opportunity Amidst ConsolidationEUR/GBP daily chart reveals a compelling narrative of consolidation followed by a potential bearish reversal. The pair has been trading within a defined range, bounded by key horizontal support and resistance zones (highlighted in blue). The recent price action suggests a rejection from the upper resistance zone, setting the stage for a possible short trade.
Key Observations:
Range-Bound Consolidation: The chart clearly shows EUR/GBP oscillating within a well-defined range. This pattern indicates a period of indecision, where neither buyers nor sellers have established a clear dominant trend.
Resistance Zone Test and Rejection: The price recently revisited the upper resistance zone. The subsequent price action, characterized by a sharp downward move, suggests a strong rejection from this level. This rejection is a critical signal that sellers are stepping in, potentially reversing the recent upward momentum.
Bearish Engulfing/Pin Bar Formation (Possible): While the chart doesn't explicitly highlight a candlestick pattern, the sharp rejection from the resistance zone suggests the formation of a bearish engulfing or a pin bar on a lower timeframe. This pattern reinforces the bearish bias.
Retracement and Entry Opportunity: The price has retraced a portion of the recent decline. This retracement presents a potential opportunity to enter a short position, capitalizing on the anticipated continuation of the bearish move.
Support Zones as Targets: The lower support zone serves as a primary target for the potential short trade. The intermediate support level (around 0.83727) can act as a partial profit-taking zone or a point to trail the stop loss.
Pattern Identification:
The dominant pattern observed is a range-bound consolidation followed by a potential bearish reversal triggered by a rejection from a key resistance zone. Trade Setup:
Entry: A short entry can be considered at the current price level (around 0.85021-0.85129) or on a break below the immediate support level (0.84772). A more conservative approach would be to wait for a clear bearish candlestick pattern confirmation on a lower timeframe (e.g., H4 or H1).
Stop Loss: The stop loss should be placed above the recent swing high (around 0.85867) to protect the trade from unexpected price reversals.
Take Profit: The primary target is the lower support zone (around 0.82537-0.82218). An intermediate target can be set at the 0.83727 level.
Risk-Reward Ratio: The potential trade offers a favorable risk-reward ratio, with a relatively small stop loss and a significant profit target.
EUR/GBP (1H) – Rising Wedge Breakdown & Short Trade Setup1. Overview of Market Structure
The EUR/GBP pair is forming a Rising Wedge Pattern, a well-known bearish reversal formation, which suggests that the current uptrend may soon reverse into a downtrend. The price has been moving within a tightening range, making higher highs and higher lows, but the upward momentum appears to be weakening.
A breakdown from this wedge is a strong bearish signal, indicating that sellers are gaining control, and a significant price drop is expected.
2. Chart Pattern: Rising Wedge – Bearish Reversal
A Rising Wedge is a pattern that occurs when price moves upward within a contracting range. This pattern typically forms after an uptrend and suggests that bullish momentum is slowing down.
Characteristics of the Rising Wedge in This Chart:
The price has tested the upper resistance zone multiple times, but each attempt has resulted in a rejection.
The lower support trendline has been tested frequently, showing that buyers are losing strength.
The breakdown of the wedge signals a strong bearish move, with price expected to drop toward key support levels.
This pattern becomes valid once the price breaks below the lower trendline, confirming the bearish outlook.
3. Key Technical Levels & Zones
A. Resistance Zone (0.84853) – Strong Supply Area
Marked as a Resistance Zone, where price has struggled to break through.
Sellers have stepped in around this level multiple times, preventing any further bullish movement.
Acts as a major stop-loss level for bearish trades, as a breakout above this zone could invalidate the setup.
B. Support Zones (Potential Take-Profit Targets)
1st Support Level (TP1) – 0.82539
This level has previously acted as strong support, where buyers have entered the market before.
A short-term pullback or consolidation may occur here.
2nd Support Level (TP2) – 0.81332
This is the final bearish target, marking a key demand zone from where price has bounced in the past.
If bearish momentum continues, price could reach this level, making it an ideal take-profit zone for swing traders.
4. Trading Strategy & Execution
A. Entry Strategy
A short trade is ideal after the price breaks below the rising wedge pattern. There are two possible entries:
Aggressive Entry:
Enter immediately after the breakout of the lower trendline, anticipating strong downside momentum.
Higher risk as price might retest the trendline before moving down.
Conservative Entry:
Wait for a retest of the broken trendline before entering short.
This confirms the breakdown, reducing false breakout risks.
B. Stop-Loss Placement
Stop-loss should be placed just above the resistance zone (0.84853).
This prevents being stopped out by minor pullbacks before the actual move happens.
C. Take-Profit Targets
TP1: 0.82539 (First major support level – potential profit booking area)
TP2: 0.81332 (Final bearish target – strong demand zone)
5. Risk Management & Trade Management
Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
This trade offers a high RRR, making it an attractive setup.
The stop-loss is small compared to the potential downside move.
Trailing Stop Strategy
A trailing stop can be used to lock in profits as price moves lower.
If price reaches TP1, move stop-loss to breakeven to secure capital.
If price reaches TP2, close the trade for maximum profit.
Exit Strategy
Exit early if price fails to break key support zones.
Monitor price action around TP1 & TP2 for signs of reversal.
6. Sentiment Analysis & Market Context
Bearish Confirmation:
Breakdown from the wedge signals bearish sentiment in the market.
If price fails to sustain above support zones, further downside is likely.
News & Fundamentals:
Major economic events or interest rate decisions could impact EUR/GBP volatility.
Traders should check for UK & Eurozone news before entering the trade.
7. Conclusion – Bearish Outlook
The Rising Wedge breakdown is a strong short-selling opportunity.
Confirmation is key: Enter short after the breakdown, use proper risk management, and aim for TP1 & TP2.
If price invalidates the pattern by breaking above 0.84853, the trade setup should be reconsidered.
This setup provides a high-probability bearish trade with a well-defined stop-loss and risk-to-reward ratio.
EUR/GBP Triangle Pattern - Bearish Breakdown SetupProfessional Analysis of the EUR/GBP Chart
This EUR/GBP (Euro/British Pound) daily chart from OANDA, published on April 3, 2025, highlights a key technical setup based on price action analysis, chart patterns, and support/resistance levels.
1. Market Context: Accumulation & Transition to a Triangle Pattern
Curve Zone Formation (Rounded Bottom):
The market initially exhibited a rounded bottom structure (curve zone) from July 2024 to February 2025, indicating a gradual accumulation phase.
This phase often signals a shift in market sentiment, where sellers lose dominance, and buyers start stepping in.
Breakout from Accumulation:
After reaching the support zone (~0.8250 - 0.8300), price rebounded sharply in March 2025, confirming strong buyer interest.
However, it failed to sustain upward momentum near the resistance zone (~0.8470 - 0.8500), leading to consolidation.
2. Formation of a Symmetrical Triangle Pattern
Lower Highs & Higher Lows:
Price action began forming a symmetrical triangle, a classic consolidation pattern that typically precedes a strong breakout.
The market is currently trading near the apex of the triangle, indicating that a breakout is imminent.
Potential Breakout Direction:
Symmetrical triangles are neutral patterns, meaning they can break either upward or downward.
However, the price structure and resistance rejection suggest a higher probability of a bearish breakdown.
3. Key Levels & Trading Setup
Resistance & Support Zones:
🔴 Resistance Zone (~0.8470 - 0.8500):
This area has repeatedly acted as strong resistance, where sellers have consistently pushed prices lower.
A breakout above this zone would indicate a bullish invalidation of the current bearish bias.
🟢 Support Zone (~0.8250 - 0.8300):
This level has held price multiple times, acting as key support.
A break below this zone would confirm bearish momentum, targeting lower price levels.
4. Bearish Trade Setup
📉 Entry Strategy (Short Position):
Wait for a confirmed breakout below the triangle’s lower trendline (~0.8320 - 0.8350).
A retest of the broken support turning into resistance would provide the best short entry.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement (~0.84764):
Positioned above recent highs and the resistance zone to minimize risk.
This ensures the trade is protected against potential false breakouts.
🎯 Profit Target (~0.81190 - 0.81134):
The projected move aligns with historical support levels, making it a logical target.
This level represents a previous market structure where buyers stepped in.
5. Conclusion & Trade Considerations
✅ Bearish Bias: The price action and pattern suggest a higher probability of a downside breakout.
✅ Defined Risk & Reward: A well-structured stop-loss and target level ensures a solid risk management strategy.
✅ Watch for Confirmation: Traders should wait for a confirmed breakout before entering a trade to avoid false moves.
📊 Overall Verdict: A high-probability short setup is forming, with a clear entry, stop-loss, and take-profit strategy. If the market respects the triangle breakdown scenario, this could lead to a significant bearish move toward the 0.81190 target.
EURGBP POTENTIAL SHORT Q2 W14 Y25 THURSDAY 3RD APRIL 2025EURGBP POTENTIAL SHORT Q2 W14 Y25 THURSDAY 3RD APRIL 2025
Thank you Mr Trump for sending the majority of pairs loopy! We are now faced with exponential and over extending price action. It really is a time to sit patiently. Allow the market to settle and take shape. In an ideal world, this outlook is exactly how we managed our capital as professional risk managers. We say it continuously, our role is to managed capital by way of risk expose. A super by product of managing that risk is making returns. It's a strange concept, yes. " what do you mean our main aim is not to make money" More on that note another time.
If it resonates, let it continue to do so.
A potential set up.
How do you like the plan?
FRGNT X
EURGBP - Sell ideaEntry: 0.84018
SL: 0.84203
TP: 0.83700
Selling EURGBP looks favorable due to recent price action showing a rejection at a key resistance level , indicating potential exhaustion of bullish momentum. Technical indicators like the RSI are approaching overbought territory, suggesting a pullback is likely. The pair has also broken below a short-term ascending trendline, signaling a shift to bearish momentum. Declining volume on recent upward moves supports the case for weakening buyer interest. Additionally, macroeconomic factors, such as stronger UK economic data compared to the Eurozone, could further pressure EURGBP downward.
EURGBP ShortEURGBP had a good week
good news eurozone
falling oil prices
Rising oil prices boosting again GBP
Also tariffs on Eurozone bringing Euro again under pressure
hedgefunds long,time for me to Sell EURGBP again
i DONT USE PRICE ACTION!!!!!!Because I dont believe in price action
Profit target zone is area where the euro bulls defend their position
EUR/GBP: Caught Between Key Support and Resistance LevelsEUR/GBP is currently consolidating between critical technical levels, with price action centered around 0.8360-0.8361. The pair recently bounced from support at 0.8346 but appears to be facing resistance at the 0.8367 level.
The multiple EMA crossover zone (0.8346-0.8359) is creating a decision point for this pair. Recent price history shows a clear downtrend from the March highs above 0.8400, suggesting bearish momentum remains in play.
Volume readings indicate moderate market interest at current levels.
Trade Scenario
Bearish Case:
Failure to break above 0.8367 resistance could trigger another downward move
Initial target: 0.8346 support
If broken: Watch for extension to 0.8320 horizontal support
Bullish Case:
Decisive break above 0.8367 with increased volume would signal potential trend reversal
Initial target: 0.8400 psychological level
Key Levels to Watch:
Resistance: 0.8367, 0.8400
Support: 0.8346, 0.8320
#EURGBP
EUR/GBP 4H | Sell Opportunity After Resistance Rejection The EUR/GBP pair has been in a downtrend, with lower highs and lower lows forming. Recently, price rejected a key resistance zone and is now continuing its bearish momentum.
🔎 Key Observations:
✅ Resistance Levels: 0.83598 - 0.83910 acted as a strong rejection zone.
✅ Sell Confirmation: Price has broken below minor support and is now moving downward.
✅ Bearish Expectation: The next major support target is 0.82618.
📌 Trading Plan:
🔻 Sell on pullbacks near resistance levels (0.83598 - 0.83676).
🔻 Target: 0.82618 as the next key support.
🔻 Stop-loss: Above 0.83827 to minimize risk.
🚨 Risk Management Tip: Always maintain a good risk-reward ratio and wait for confirmations.
💬 What’s your take on this setup? Are you looking to sell or waiting for a better entry?
EUR/GBP (1H) Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown – Trade SetupThe EUR/GBP 1-hour chart presents a symmetrical triangle formation that has now broken to the downside, signaling a bearish continuation. This pattern is widely recognized in technical analysis and often acts as a continuation or reversal pattern, depending on the breakout direction. In this case, the price has breached the lower support boundary, indicating that sellers have taken control of the market.
In this detailed analysis, we will explore the chart structure, key technical levels, potential trade setups, and risk management strategies to navigate this move efficiently.
1️⃣ Understanding the Symmetrical Triangle Formation
A symmetrical triangle occurs when price action creates lower highs and higher lows, forming two converging trendlines. This reflects a period of market indecision, where buyers and sellers are evenly matched until a breakout occurs.
📌 Key characteristics of this triangle:
✅ Converging Trendlines – Representing lower highs and higher lows, suggesting market compression.
✅ Price Consolidation – The pair traded within this structure, awaiting a catalyst for breakout.
✅ Breakout Direction – A breakdown from the support level confirms a bearish move.
Pattern Psychology:
A symmetrical triangle often precedes a significant price move. Traders and investors monitor the breakout direction to determine the next trend. Here, the breakdown below the lower boundary signals a continuation of the prevailing bearish trend.
2️⃣ Key Levels & Chart Structure
🔹 Resistance Zone (Upper Boundary) – 0.84227
The upper trendline acted as a strong resistance level, preventing price from breaking higher multiple times.
The yellow-highlighted area represents a supply zone, where selling pressure was dominant.
Price attempted to break above this region but failed, confirming bearish dominance.
🔹 Support Level (Lower Boundary) – 0.83500
The lower boundary of the triangle previously held as support, where buyers attempted to push the price higher.
However, once price broke below this support, it confirmed a bearish trend continuation.
The blue horizontal support line represents a potential retest area, where sellers may step in again.
🔹 Breakout Confirmation & Price Action
The chart clearly shows a bearish breakout, as price broke through the lower trendline.
Retest Probability: Many breakouts experience a pullback to the broken support (now resistance) before resuming the downtrend.
The dashed black lines illustrate the expected bearish move, with a potential decline towards 0.82815.
3️⃣ Trading Plan & Entry Strategy
Based on this setup, traders can capitalize on the bearish move using a structured trading plan:
📌 Bearish Trading Setup (Short Position)
✔ Entry Strategy:
Traders can enter a short position either immediately after the breakout or after a retest of the broken support at 0.83500 - 0.83700.
The ideal confirmation would be bearish candlestick patterns, such as an engulfing candle or pin bar rejection on the retest.
✔ Stop-Loss Placement:
To mitigate risk, a stop-loss should be placed above the previous resistance level (0.84227).
This ensures protection against fake breakouts or sudden reversals.
✔ Target Price (Take Profit Level):
The measured move of a symmetrical triangle breakout is typically equal to the height of the triangle.
Based on this projection, the expected target is around 0.82815, a significant support level.
Traders may also scale out at intermediate levels (0.83000) to lock in profits.
✔ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR):
A well-structured trade here presents an attractive RRR of approximately 1:3, meaning the potential reward is three times the risk.
A higher RRR enhances the probability of profitability over multiple trades.
4️⃣ Market Context & Fundamental Analysis
🔍 Why Is EUR/GBP Dropping?
While technical patterns are valuable, traders must also consider fundamental factors that drive currency pairs.
🟢 Possible Bearish Catalysts for EUR/GBP:
GBP Strength: If the British Pound (GBP) strengthens due to strong economic data or hawkish Bank of England (BoE) policy, EUR/GBP may continue declining.
EUR Weakness: The Euro (EUR) may be under pressure due to weak GDP growth, higher inflation, or dovish European Central Bank (ECB) statements.
Geopolitical Events: Any negative news impacting the Eurozone (e.g., political instability) could trigger further selling pressure on EUR/GBP.
5️⃣ Risk Management & Alternative Scenarios
While the current outlook favors a bearish move, traders must remain prepared for alternative scenarios.
⚠ Alternative Scenarios: 📌 False Breakdown:
If price closes back above the support level (0.83500 - 0.83700), it could indicate a failed breakout, potentially leading to a bullish reversal.
In this case, a breakout above 0.84227 would invalidate the bearish setup.
📌 Sideways Consolidation:
If the price stalls around 0.83300 - 0.83500, the market may range before the next move.
Traders should wait for clear confirmation before entering new trades.
6️⃣ Summary & Key Takeaways
✅ Pattern Identified: Symmetrical Triangle Breakout (Bearish).
✅ Breakout Direction: Price has broken below support, confirming a downtrend.
✅ Trade Setup:
Sell below 0.83500 (or on retest at 0.83700).
Stop Loss: Above 0.84227 (previous resistance).
Take Profit: Targeting 0.82815 based on the pattern’s measured move.
✅ Risk-Reward: Favorable, offering 1:3 or higher RRR.
✅ Fundamental Drivers: GBP strength or EUR weakness could accelerate the downtrend.
📢 Final Thoughts
This symmetrical triangle breakdown offers a high-probability trading opportunity for short sellers, with a clear technical structure supporting the bearish move. However, traders should remain cautious of false breakouts and adjust stop-loss levels accordingly.
For best results:
✔ Wait for price action confirmation (retest rejection or bearish candle formations).
✔ Follow proper risk management (stop-loss placement and profit-taking levels).
✔ Monitor key economic events impacting EUR and GBP movements.
By combining technical analysis, fundamental insights, and sound risk management, traders can enhance their profitability and navigate the markets with confidence. 🚀📉
EUR/GBP - Double Bottom Reversal Setup | Trendline BreakoutThis EUR/GBP (Euro to British Pound) daily chart presents a textbook double bottom reversal pattern, signaling a potential trend reversal after a prolonged downtrend. Additionally, a trendline breakout further strengthens the bullish outlook.
The market structure suggests that buyers are regaining control, and a breakout above the neckline resistance zone (0.84500 - 0.85000) could trigger a significant upward move. Let's break down this setup in detail.
📊 Technical Breakdown of the Chart
1️⃣ Double Bottom Formation – A Strong Reversal Signal
🔹 The double bottom is a powerful bullish reversal pattern that forms after an extended downtrend, indicating that selling pressure is fading and buyers are stepping in.
🔹 First Bottom: Established in December 2024, where the price reached a key support level (~0.82453) before bouncing back.
🔹 Second Bottom: Formed in March 2025, confirming the validity of the support level and creating a solid demand zone.
🔹 The neckline resistance (0.84500 - 0.85000) is the key level that price must break to confirm the reversal.
2️⃣ Trendline Breakout – Shift in Market Sentiment
🔹 The market has been in a downtrend, as shown by the descending trendline acting as resistance for several months.
🔹 Recently, the price broke above this trendline, indicating that bearish momentum is weakening and a potential trend reversal is underway.
🔹 This breakout adds confluence to the double bottom pattern, reinforcing the bullish bias.
3️⃣ Key Support & Resistance Levels to Watch
📌 Support Zone (Bottom Area) – 0.82453:
✅ This level has been tested twice (December & March), confirming it as a strong demand zone.
✅ Price consistently rebounded from this level, showing buyers’ dominance.
✅ This is the ideal stop-loss level to protect against downside risks.
📌 Resistance Zone (Neckline) – 0.84500 - 0.85000:
✅ A breakout above this neckline resistance is necessary for a bullish continuation.
✅ If price breaks and retests this level as support, it will confirm a high-probability buy setup.
📌 Target Level – 0.87394 (Projected Move)
✅ This is calculated using the measured move technique, where the distance from the bottom to the neckline is projected upwards.
✅ This level coincides with a previous resistance zone, making it a realistic target.
📈 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup
🎯 Entry Plan for Long Position (Buy Setup)
1️⃣ Breakout Entry:
Enter a long position after a confirmed breakout above 0.85000.
Watch for strong bullish candles with volume confirmation.
2️⃣ Retest Entry (Safer Option):
If price breaks above resistance, wait for a pullback and retest of the 0.84500 - 0.85000 level.
If price holds this zone as new support, it strengthens the bullish confirmation.
📉 Stop-Loss Placement (Risk Management)
✅ Place a stop-loss just below the support zone (0.82453) to protect capital.
✅ This level is strong because price has bounced off it twice, confirming buyer strength.
🎯 Profit Target (Take Profit)
✅ The projected target is 0.87394, aligning with previous resistance.
✅ This offers a high reward-to-risk ratio (RRR), making the trade worth taking.
⚠️ Risk Management & Market Outlook
✅ Bullish Bias – Price action suggests uptrend continuation after breaking out of the trendline.
✅ Confirmation is Crucial! – Enter only after a clear breakout and retest.
✅ Watch for Fakeouts – If price fails to hold above the neckline, it could be a false breakout.
✅ Fundamental Factors – Keep an eye on economic data and central bank policies (ECB & BoE) that may impact the GBP & EUR.
📢 Final Thoughts – Why This Trade is High-Probability
🚀 Double Bottom + Trendline Breakout = Strong Bullish Signal
🚀 Neckline Breakout Above 0.85000 = Confirmation of Trend Reversal
🚀 Targeting 0.87394 with a Favorable Risk-Reward Setup
If price successfully breaks and holds above resistance, we could see a strong rally toward 0.87394 in the coming weeks.
📌 Monitor price action carefully and wait for confirmation before entering the trade.
🔔 Like & Follow for More Trading Setups! 🚀📈
EUR/GBP Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Breakdown & Bearish MoveThis EUR/GBP chart on the 1-hour timeframe showcases a well-defined symmetrical triangle formation, a widely recognized pattern in technical analysis that signals potential breakout opportunities. The price action has respected the converging trendlines, indicating consolidation before a decisive move. Recently, the market has broken below the support zone, confirming a bearish breakdown and providing a strong signal for potential downside movement.
This analysis will cover pattern formation, key technical levels, trading strategy, risk management, and future market outlook to provide a comprehensive professional breakdown of this setup.
1. Chart Pattern Analysis – Symmetrical Triangle Formation
A symmetrical triangle consists of two converging trendlines that squeeze price action into a narrowing range, reflecting market indecision. This pattern is considered a continuation pattern, meaning that the price is likely to continue in the direction of the prevailing trend after the breakout.
Pattern Characteristics in This Chart:
✅ Lower Highs: Price fails to break previous peaks, indicating weakening bullish momentum.
✅ Higher Lows: Buyers step in at higher points, preventing aggressive declines.
✅ Volume Decrease: Typical of consolidation within a symmetrical triangle.
✅ Breakout Confirmation: A strong bearish candle broke below the support level, signaling further downside potential.
2. Key Technical Levels & Zones
📌 Resistance Level + All-Time High (ATH) – 0.8421
This level represents the highest point in the pattern, where price faced repeated rejections.
It aligns with a historical resistance zone, indicating a strong supply area.
A breakout above this level would shift the market to a bullish bias.
📌 Support Level – 0.8379 (Now Acting as Resistance)
Previously a key demand zone where buyers defended the price.
Price has now broken below this level, confirming it as new resistance in a bearish scenario.
A successful retest followed by rejection increases downside confirmation.
📌 Stop-Loss Placement – 0.8421
Located above the upper trendline and recent highs to avoid false breakouts.
If price regains this level, the bearish scenario will be invalidated.
📌 Target Zone – 0.82926 (Major Support Area)
This is the next strong support level, acting as a potential take-profit zone for short positions.
It aligns with a previous price reaction area, making it a logical target for sellers.
3. Trading Setup & Strategy – Bearish Trade Plan
The breakdown from the symmetrical triangle structure presents an opportunity to short the pair with a defined risk-to-reward setup.
📌 Entry Strategy:
Enter short positions after price breaks and retests the 0.8379 support level as resistance.
Confirmation should come from bearish candlestick patterns like engulfing candles or pin bars.
📌 Stop Loss:
Placed above 0.8421, above the last swing high, to protect against potential false breakouts.
📌 Take Profit (TP) Target:
First TP: 0.8325 (Intermediate support)
Final TP: 0.82926 (Major support and key structure level)
Alternative Scenario – Bullish Reversal Possibility
If price reclaims 0.8379 and closes above it consistently, the bearish breakdown might be a false move.
A move above 0.8421 would invalidate the bearish setup, leading to potential bullish momentum.
4. Risk Management & Trade Confirmation
✅ Volume Analysis
A significant increase in volume on the breakdown strengthens the bearish outlook.
Low volume retests may indicate a weak reversal attempt, favoring continuation downward.
✅ Bearish Price Action Confirmation
Lower highs and consistent lower lows reinforce a bearish sentiment.
Rejections from the broken support (now resistance) validate the trade setup.
✅ Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR)
The Stop-Loss (SL) is tight, and the profit target is significantly larger, making this a high RRR trade.
Ideally, a RRR of at least 2:1 or 3:1 should be maintained for proper risk control.
5. Market Sentiment & Future Outlook
Bearish Bias Strengths:
Trendline break indicates strong downside pressure.
Failed attempts to break resistance suggest weakening bulls.
Global macroeconomic factors and fundamental catalysts may favor GBP strength over EUR in the near term.
Reversal Risks:
A strong bullish breakout above 0.8421 would shift momentum to the upside.
Fundamental news events (e.g., ECB or BoE statements) can impact market direction unexpectedly.
6. Summary & Conclusion
🔹 The EUR/GBP 1-hour chart has broken below a symmetrical triangle pattern, confirming a bearish breakout.
🔹 Key levels to watch: Resistance at 0.8421, support at 0.82926.
🔹 Trading strategy favors short positions, with a target at 0.82926 and a stop loss at 0.8421.
🔹 Confirmation comes from trendline breaks, volume analysis, and lower highs/lows structure.
📌 Final Verdict:
The setup is bearish unless price reclaims 0.8379 and invalidates the structure.
Traders should monitor price action, volume, and news events for further confirmations.
🔥 Potential Profit Target: 80-90 Pips 📉
⚠️ Risk Management is Crucial – Always Use Stop Loss & Proper Position Sizing
EUR/GBP Analysis – Bearish Momentum Gaining StrengthThe EUR/GBP pair has shown a significant shift in market structure, breaking below a critical support level and signaling further downside potential. After facing strong resistance near the 0.84400 region, the price struggled to maintain bullish momentum and started forming lower highs, indicating selling pressure.
Technical Breakdown:
Resistance Zone: The upper boundary near 0.84400 acted as a supply area where sellers gained control. Multiple rejection candles at this level confirmed that buyers were losing strength.
Support Breakdown: The price recently broke below a key support zone, which had previously acted as a demand area. This breakdown suggests a shift in market sentiment from bullish to bearish.
Bearish Continuation Pattern: The chart displays a clear lower high and lower low formation, reinforcing the bearish trend. The price is now retesting the breakdown zone, which could serve as a new resistance level before further declines.
Target Projection: The next major support lies at 0.82508, which aligns with a previous consolidation zone. If the bearish momentum persists, we may see a test of this level in the coming sessions.
Trading Considerations:
📌 Bearish Bias: Traders may look for sell opportunities on pullbacks toward resistance levels.
📌 Confirmation: A retest of the breakdown level with rejection signals could provide a strong entry point.
📌 Risk Management: Stop-loss placements above 0.83800 could help manage risk in case of an unexpected bullish reversal.
💡 Final Thoughts:
With the prevailing bearish momentum, EUR/GBP is likely to continue downward unless buyers regain control at key levels. Traders should watch for price action signals near support and resistance zones to confirm trade setups.
EUR/GBP Bearish Trading Setup | Resistance Rejection & BreakdownMarket Context & Overview
The EUR/GBP currency pair is currently showing signs of bearish momentum, as illustrated in this 1-hour trading chart. The price is facing a strong resistance zone while forming a descending trendline, indicating that sellers are gaining control over the market. Given this technical setup, traders can anticipate a potential breakdown leading to further downside movement.
This analysis highlights key price levels, technical indicators, and potential trade opportunities based on current price action. The bearish outlook is supported by the market structure, which is displaying signs of a potential trend reversal from the resistance zone.
🔹 Key Technical Levels
1️⃣ Resistance Zone (0.84200 - 0.84300)
This area has acted as a strong selling zone in previous price action.
Multiple rejection points indicate that buyers are struggling to push beyond this level.
This resistance aligns with the descending trendline, further strengthening the bearish bias.
2️⃣ Support Level (0.84000)
The current support level has provided temporary demand, preventing immediate downside movement.
If the price breaks below this support, it will confirm a bearish continuation.
3️⃣ Major Resistance Zone (0.84495)
This is the all-time high resistance zone in the short-term structure.
A break above this level would invalidate the bearish setup and could lead to bullish momentum.
4️⃣ Target Level (0.83735)
If the price successfully breaks below 0.84000, the next target would be 0.83735.
This level aligns with previous swing lows, making it a realistic downside target for short positions.
5️⃣ Stop Loss Placement (Above 0.84201)
A stop-loss above 0.84201 ensures protection against false breakouts.
If price breaks above this level, it could signal a shift in market structure.
🔹 Technical Insights & Market Sentiment
1️⃣ Descending Trendline: The price is respecting a descending trendline, indicating a bearish bias.
2️⃣ Multiple Resistance Rejections: Price has tested the resistance zone multiple times without breaking through.
3️⃣ Bearish Price Action: The recent candles show lower highs, reinforcing the downtrend.
4️⃣ Volume Analysis: A drop in buying pressure at resistance signals potential weakness among buyers.
5️⃣ Fundamental Factors : GBP strength due to macroeconomic factors could add further pressure on EUR/GBP.
🔹 Trade Plan & Strategy
📌 Entry Criteria
Ideal entry near 0.84150 - 0.84200 if price shows rejection at resistance.
Alternatively, enter after a confirmed breakdown below 0.84000 for safer confirmation.
🎯 Profit Target
First target: 0.83735
If bearish momentum continues, price could extend towards 0.83600 as an extended target.
🛑 Stop Loss Placement
Above 0.84201 to minimize risk.
This ensures the trade remains valid while avoiding market noise.
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Management
✅ Risk-Reward Ratio (RRR): Approximately 2:1, making this a favorable setup.
✅ Trade Management:
If price starts reversing before hitting the target, consider trailing stop-loss to secure profits.
If price consolidates around support, watch for breakout confirmations before entering.
🔹 Final Thoughts & Market Sentiment
This trading setup suggests a strong bearish opportunity based on price action, resistance rejection, and trendline confluence. The break below 0.84000 will be the key trigger for further downside movement. If price remains below resistance, a sell position with a stop-loss above 0.84201 and a target of 0.83735 offers a high-probability trade setup.
EUR/GBP - Bearish Rejection from Resistance
This 4-hour chart of EUR/GBP indicates a potential sell opportunity following a rejection from a key resistance level.
Key Observations:
Resistance Level: Price is struggling to break above 0.84200, suggesting strong selling pressure.
Bearish Structure: The price action shows a rejection at resistance, forming a potential lower high.
Target Support: The next major support level is around 0.83448, followed by 0.82562 for further downside.
Trading Plan:
📉 Sell Entry: After price confirmation below 0.84000
🎯 Take Profit: First target at 0.83448, second target at 0.82562
🔴 Stop-Loss: Above 0.84300 to minimize risk
Technical Indicators to Watch:
✅ Bearish Candlestick Patterns confirming resistance rejection
✅ RSI Divergence or overbought conditions
✅ Break & Retest Confirmation before entering a short trade
EURGBP at Key Resistance – Will Sellers Step In?OANDA:EURGBP is currently trading at a key resistance zone, where sellers may regain control. The recent bullish momentum has pushed price into this supply zone, suggesting a potential for bearish bounce if price action confirms a rejection.
If the price confirms rejection from this zone, a move lower toward 0.83300 is likely. However, a strong breakout above could invalidate this setup, shifting momentum back to the bulls.
Do you agree with this analysis? Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
EURGBP Short SetupEURGBP Analysis
The EUR/GBP pair is exhibiting a bearish trend on the higher time frames, which is favorable for our analysis. The market has formed a series of lower highs and lower lows, confirming the downward momentum. Currently, the price is testing a strong resistance level that has been retested, presenting a critical juncture. At this point, it is prudent to adopt a wait-and-see approach to observe how the market interacts with this level. A break above the resistance could invalidate our bearish setup, while a rejection and consolidation below this level would reinforce the likelihood of the bearish trend continuing.
We will monitor the market's behavior closely. I hope you all had a profitable trading week, and I wish you a pleasant and restful weekend ahead.
Cheers!
My EURGBP Short idea 21/2/2025EURGBP is bearish on Edgefinder and the fundamental economic data all point out to a bearish momentum for the EURGBP. The pound has been strengthening and a modest amount of volume is present to short this trade.
I am having tight loss on this but optimistic on this trade so far. ECB is looking forward to cut more rates, cautiously though. Meanwhile BOE are taking an easing approach which may strengthen the Pound.
Scenario on EURGBP 13.2.2025On this chart, I see the situation like this: if I should take a short, then the first sfp at the price level of 0.83800-0.84000, if I should be interested in a long position, then the first target that makes more sense to me is the sfp at the price of 0.8300, other scenarios are other alternatives where the market could react if certain conditions are met
EURGBP: What Are You Anticipating With This Volatile Pair?I am a swing trader, as you can probably tell from the timeframes I use in my posts. However, I do believe that EURGBP lends itself better to day trades or position trades, if you can stomach the movement. Considering it has made, for me, surprising reverses just when you think it would push further, I offer a couple of scenarios for both a sell and buy possibility. I do see EURGBP selling further but this is a pair you want to be prepared for movement in the opposite direction as well. Game plan, ready! What would be your move?