EURGBP: Significant upside potential on the short term.EURGBP is neutral on its 1D techhnical outlook (RSI = 48.804, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 22.675) as it consolidates having failed to cross over the 1D MA50. Given the 1 year Channel Down pattern, the 1D MA50 shouldn't stand as a Resistance for long, since the price is having this rebound after a clear LL on its bottom. We expect the 1D MA200 to be tested (TP = 0.8500) with the upside potentially extending as high as +2.80%.
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Eurgbptrading
EURGBP: Short term rebound initiatedEURGBP is neutral on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 53.577, MACD = 0.001, ADX = 12.005) as it is ranges between the 1D MA50 (Support) and 1D MA200 (Resistance). Having made a Double Bottom on S1 on March 8th, with that level holding since August 23rd 2023, the current rebound is expected to extend to the LH trendline, essentially the top of the Descending Triangle. The Bullish Wave before this one, crossed the 0.5 Fibonacci level and then reversed, which gives us a TP = 0.86400.
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EURGBP: Rejection on the 1D MA50. Sell signal.EURGBP is technically bearish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 37.174, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 32.150) as it is extending the selling since the December 28th 2023 High near the top of the 1 year Channel Down. For the last 3 days it has failed to cross over the 1D MA50, even though it got too close, and a rejection today can start a bearish wave of minimum -1.78%, much like July 11th 2023. Consequently we are short with TP = 0.84250, even though the long-term extension can even be at -4.04% or even the 2.0 Fibonacci level.
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EURGBP: Testing the 1D MA100 inside diverging Channels.EURGBP hit today the 1D MA100 but so far has failed to cross over it. This is keeping the 1D technical outlook neutral (RSI = 45.430, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 43.111) which is usual after a rebound at the bottom of a Channel. On this particular occasion, it is a Channel Up, rebounding after the 1D RSI turned oversold. However since July 20th, the 1D MA100 got tested four times as Resistance and it rejected the price three. Only then it closed a 1D candle over it, did the trend manage to continue rising past it.
Consequently, if it closes a candle over the 1D MA50, we will go long and target the R1 level (TP = 0.87650). If rejected, we can see a Channel Down emerging much like last May-July. In that case, we will short and target the S2 level (TP = 0.85000).
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EURGBP: Sell following the 1D MA50 rejection.EURGBP got rejected last week on the 1D MA50 turning the 1D timeframe bearish technically (RSI = 42.823, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 20.983). Given the fact that the 2023 pattern is a Bearish Megaphone, we expect a continuation of this downtrend to the LL trendline.
We are selling with an initial target on the 0.786 Fibonacci level (TP = 0.84450).
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EURGBP Oversold being a great buy opportunity.EURGBP is approaching a Triple Support combination: Support A (0.85500), the bottom of the Channel Down, and the 1day RSI's Channel Down bottom.
The 1day RSI is also oversold under 30.00.
As long as the price closes over Support A, buy and target the top of the Channel Down at 0.87500.
If it closes under Support A, sell and target Support B at 0.83700.
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