Eurgbptrend
EURGBP: Keep an Eye on 0.8925 Next WeekBy Tuesday at 5 pm EST, EURGBP sellers had secured a 0.9008 close, which was well below our key level at 0.9040. This left us watching for selling opportunities from the 0.9040 area for a move toward 0.8920 and perhaps 0.8780.
This week’s aggressive selloff leaves the EURGBP overextended, particularly when we compare today’s price with the 10 and 20 EMAs in the chart below.
With this in mind, a bounce from the 0.8780 area early next week would not be a surprise. In fact, I’ll be keeping an eye on this level for a second opportunity to get short.
A daily close below the 0.8780 handle over the coming weeks would expose the next key support at 0.8600. A close below that would target the unfilled gap from April 21st at 0.8369.
EURGBP - Long on Hawkish DraghiWe have a lot of EUR news due out tomorrow together with a speech from Mario Draghi, the President of the European Central Bank.
His comments alone will move the market and we are hoping for an alignment with the PMI data due out later on in the morning. This will give us a great trading opportunity on the EUR throughout the rest of the week.
We are planning a long trade on the EURGBP should we see and hear hawkish sentiment from Draghi. The Euro has been the stronger of the two currencies over the past week, and over the past month, and is currently sitting at resistance. We would prefer to see this pair fall into a level of support before the news, giving us a better entry. We would also look to take a long on a breakout condition with a small position, adding to it as the bullish move is confirmed.
Patience is virtue with this annoying pairAfter forming a fakey bar on the daily time frame, this Forex pair took me out of my trade just to have another price rejection in which I did re-enter again a long trade. For four trading days, this pair has been going on sideways which was slightly tempting me to close the trade at Breakeven,.. not closing it was a good decision. Plus I also noticed the inside bar formation on weekly time frame.
This pair has been trying hard to push the price higher and higher.
EURGBPOur preference: sales position below 0.8845 with targets at 0.8815 & 0.8800 in extension.
Alternative Scenario: In excess of 0.8845, aim for a continuation of the increase with 0.8860 & 0.8880 in line of sight.
Comment: the support sinking at 0.8845 triggered a bearish acceleration on the support at 0.8800.
EUR/GBP Long Scenario Breakout ChanceEUR/GBP is knocking on the 0,886 the last days, and also did so two times before. So with the third try a breakout to direction 0,90 seems possible.
Higher highs and higher lows are showing an uptrend. At the moment it is pending very close near the border to breakout.
EURGBPOur preference: position bought above 0.8830 with targets at 0.8860 & 0.8880 in extension.
Alternative scenario: in break of 0.8830, a continuation of the decrease will be envisageable with 0.8815 & 0.8800 in line of sight.
Comment: A support base of 0.8830 was formed and allowed temporary stabilization
EURGBP ... winner takes it all (Part II)congratulations to those who decided to read the description on the previous EURGBP idea ahead of the UK elections (related idea) ... those who decided to enter via fibs, or via price on the Long side are already in from 0.867xx ... and are perfectly positioned to add here on any spikes below via exhaustion.
Euro-Pound's descending triangleFor the past several days, the EURGBP pair has been trading on a descending triangle. As what the formation suggests, a downside is imminent from this day forward despite the spike up. I actually had a long setup at 0.86020 wherein an inside bar pleasantly formed just about the 200sma along with a huge bullish pin bar as the mother bar.
I've drawn a second descending trend line just above the hypotenuse to prevent trading a false breakout as seen just right above the right angle. Shorting at this level may be ideal; good risk-reward ratio. However, risk may heighten as Draghi is scheduled to give a speech hour(s) from now.
EURGBP FINDING RESISTANCEEURGBP found enough energy to break out of the triangle but it appears as if a 78.6% level may be putting a slight hold on the upward move. The anticipation is that the fib level will hold and that the move out of the triangle is a fakeout. Look for more downside order flow if price moves back into the triangle.
EUR GBP: a short term upward movement yet possibleI believe that trading success relies heavily upon identifying consolidation zones. Consolidation zones provide us the right direction of the market. A consolidation happens when a market move sharply upside or downside. Later, a trader can use these consolidation zones to identify patterns, whether it be continuation or reversal.
It requires attention and care. Rather than turning out to be a factory of producing signals, it is better to sit down and look for a setup. Setups are important because we are planning a trade and execute them on time. If you fail to plan a setup, then you are planning to fail.
Another advantage of trade setup is that we know where to get out and the right time to go in. Know the market. Study the price movements and make your your trades.
My charts use price movements, patterns, structures and indicators such as moving averages and oscillators. Trading intelligence is combining multiple knowledge to produce a favourable trade setups and plans.
#EURGBP: Confluence of 3 resistance & potential for inverse H&S Confluence of three resistance: 0.8600 is 200 DMA, trend line resistance, and 61.8fib these 3 can act as resistance
If it breaks this resistance, then in breakout territory and inverse Head & Shoulder comes into place and takes this up to 0.8800.