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EURHUF

EURHUF Short-term buy signal.The EURHUF pair is attempting to form a new short-term bottom just below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and based on the previous two of August and July, is should take another week to do so. Buy once Friday's Low is re-tested and target the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the long-term Triangle at 397.000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EUR/HUF BUYKey Factors Influencing EUR/HUF: Interest Rates: Decisions by the European Central Bank (ECB) and the Hungarian National Bank (MNB) significantly impact the exchange rate. Higher interest rates in Hungary can strengthen the forint against the euro. Inflation: Higher inflation in Hungary can weaken the forint, while low inflation can have the opposite effect. Economic Growth: The relative economic performance of the Eurozone and Hungary affects the exchange rate. Stronger growth in the Eurozone may strengthen the euro against the forint. Political and Global Risks: Political stability in both regions and global economic conditions can lead to volatility in the EUR/HUF exchange rate. Overall, the EUR/HUF is influenced by a mix of economic, political, and market factors, both locally and globally.
Long
by xMoranTomx
2
EUR/HUF IdeaThe EUR/HUF exchange rate has shown volatility, with the euro generally appreciating against the forint. This trend has been influenced by high inflation in Hungary and global economic uncertainties, which have favored the euro as a safer currency. Key Factors Monetary Policy: The divergence between the European Central Bank's (ECB) tightening and the Magyar Nemzeti Bank's (MNB) efforts to control inflation impacts the rate. Economic Data: Indicators like GDP growth and inflation from both the Eurozone and Hungary influence the currency pair. Geopolitical Issues: EU-Hungary relations and other geopolitical events can affect the forint's stability. Outlook The future of the EUR/HUF exchange rate remains uncertain. If the ECB continues to raise rates and Hungary's inflation remains high, the euro may strengthen further. Conversely, improved economic conditions in Hungary could lead to a stronger forint. But so far we have not managed to break through the 400 level, so I expect the direction shown in the picture.
Long
by xMoranTomx
1
EURHUF 1D MA50 buy entry.The EURHUF pair has been trading within a Triangle pattern, which based on the highly symmtric structure of the 1D RSI, may break above its top (Higher Highs trend-line) and transition into a more aggressive Rising Wedge (diveging Higher Highs). The last Higher Low was priced below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and since the RSI's Channel Down shows we are on the level where the final Low will be priced, we expect a strong rebound next. The previous Higher High was priced a little below the 1.236 Fibonacci extension. As a result, we set a 403.000 Target (on the diverging Higher Highs and marginally below the 1.236 Fib). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Long
by TradingShot
EURHUF Sell the bounce.The EURHUF pair gave us a strong sell signal last time we made a call on it (October 13 2023, see chart below) as it made the bearish break-out below the Triangle and breached through Support 2: The price is now approaching the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), which has been supporting since January 17. The short-term pattern is a Channel Down, a Bearish Leg similar to October - November 2023. As a result, we are waiting for a potential bounce and sell on the next 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) contact. Our Target will be the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Triangle at 384.000. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EURHUF to the upside---------------EURHUF LONG--------------- Regarding to this "exotic" currency pair I can tell I am already in a long position with 3 trades at average price 392.17. In the long run I expect more HUF weakness but first we can go lower to 385-383 area where I plan to add 2 more trades and I am finished with the whole position building and I will be waiting for higher price around 405-407 where I will very likely close the 80-90% of the trade. Rest I will leave to give it a chance if course wants to go even higher. But above 410 or rather 415 I will consider to start building a short position. As of now I am bullish on this pair. Of course I can be wrong and there is a possibility to go down 370ish levels. This is not a financial advice, do your own research and analysis!
Long
by Szuperpotyka
1
EURHUF: Bullish reversal imminent.EURHUF is bearish on the 1D timeframe (RSI = 35.270, MACD = -1.570, ADX = 36.402) after being rejected on a Double Top on the R1 level (394.675). The downtrend crossed under both the 1D MA50 and 1D MA200 and is approaching the S1-S1 Zone, above the HL trendline. This is a major buy zone as the 1D RSI also touched the bottom of its Channel Down. We expect a bullish reversal similar to the one followed the August 30th Low. Target the R1 level again (TP = 394.675). ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
Long
by InvestingScope
EURHUF 1D MA50 makes all the difference between a buy and a sellThe EURHUF pair is on a peculiar Ascending Triangle pattern, currently supported by the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) near the Higher Lows. The 1D RSI is on a Higher Lows trend-line of its own and as long as those hold, we are bullish, targeting 394.6500 (Resistance 1). If a 1D candle breaks and closes below the 1D MA50, we will take the small loss and open a sell instead, targeting first Support 1 (382.7500) and eventually 378.35 (Support 2). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
by TradingShot
#EURHUF is likely to see further upside If you like to trade exotics or Eastern EU currencies like CZK, PLN, HUF I would like to highlight the possibility of future weekness of these currencies. At the moment HUF is strengthening while the other two suffer from selling pressure. I think this is only periodical and due to only the higher interest rate of HUF but this is barely sustainable, central bank has to lower rates and it is doing it right now. This idea can be a longer swing play. Please be aware of such currencies, these are not suited to daytrade or scalp.
Long
by Szuperpotyka
Mirror level increases USD chances for a reboundFor the last nine months, USD/HUF has been in a downtrend erasing all gains made last year. However, I believe it could change in the second half of the year. The currency pair reached the key support level of 340 HUF per USD in April. Since then the USD price has been anchored to the level. Before the spring of 2022, the level of 350 was the key resistance level, the pair knocked on the level in April 2020 and March 2021 (the next month it broke through). This year it is the floor or the mirror level (i.d., the level that previously played the opposite role for the price). By the way, the same mirror-level case with EUR, only the floor is different, it is 370 HUF for EUR. It is more robust than the dollar one. It has prevented four forint deterioration attempts. I think there is a little chance that the USD will break through the support, but a high chance that it will rebound to the first target of 380. On the daily chart, I can estimate that consolidation has done most of its way and the USD bounce may start during the month. But on the weekly and monthly charts, the consolidation may be prolonged and take 4-5 additional months. In case, I am mistaken and the floor brokes, the forint would grow to 320 until this October. From the macroeconomic perspective, my outlook is mixed negative for forint. On one hand, Hungary has the highest rate in the EU, making short of forint to USD or EUR an expensive position. The interest rate is 13%. On the other hand, the rate has been increased to combat high double-digit inflation, which is also the highest in the EU, in the previous autumn, the national bank launched a new one-day deposit rate ECONOMICS:HUINTR . Currently, it is 16%, but a few months ago was 18%. The high deposit rate has motivated private banks to deposit their funds in the national bank. The national bank previously incorporated quantitive easing and bought assets in its portfolio, but nowadays experiences severe capital stress. Due to a decrease in the portfolio and expensive interest costs coming from the expensive deposit rate, its equity has shrunk and become negative! According to EU laws, the Hungarian government must capitalize the bank in 2024. It will cost around 0.5% of countries GDP. News agencies suppose the government will ask the ECB to suspend this regulation and postpone the national bank recapitalization. It happens on the background of a permanent government deficit between 4-6% ECONOMICS:HUGBP . This year they expect around 4%. The economy is in stagflation, and GDP has contracted for the consecutive quarters ECONOMICS:HUGDPQQ . Hungarian consumer is under the pressure of high inflation that devalued their income resulting in the retail sales collapse ECONOMICS:HURSYY . The economic crisis will decrease government incomes ECONOMICS:HUGR , making it impossible to shorten the government deficit, so Hungary will again become active as a borrower ECONOMICS:HUGDG . The high interest rate has affected the money supply. The monetary base ECONOMICS:HUM0 has doubled over the last ten months, while the money supply ECONOMICS:HUM2 has noticeably contracted in real and nominal terms in the amount of 6%, that for the current fiat economy is a rare event. I expect a gradual decrease in the national bank deposit rate. It would induce credit activity and money supply growth and monetary base reduction. An additional supporter of HUF's strength is current account recovery. Hungary is heavily dependent on fossil fuels import. This year TTF ICEEUR:TFM1! drop helps to drastically decrease natural gas expenditures and reduce HUF conversion to foreign currencies. It could save about 5% of countries GDP. Instead of 8% of the current account deficit ECONOMICS:HUCAG , the country would have 3%. Tight relations with the EU, and partly frozen EU funds also negatively affect on Hungarian economy and forint perspectives. Non-EU possible market-moving events: There is only one important: the American economy and the Fed ECONOMICS:USINTR interest rate. American money supply ECONOMICS:USM2 shrinkage may ignite a recession this year, forcing the Fed to decrease the rate. Undoubtedly, the recession would become a shock for the Hungarian economy and forint. I doubt that a drop in the Fed rate and widening interest rate difference will support forint in a short time. Conversely, the shock would drive risk aversion from the developing markets and Hungary, as well as, creating waves of chaotic forint sales. The contraction of the American economy would also motivate the national bank of Hungary to cut its rates critically supporting forint short-sellers activity. The minor risk is natural gas deliveries ECONOMICS:HUNGI from Russia. If something happens with the Ukrainian gas pipeline, the Hungarian economy will suffer, creating forint vulnerable to the consequences. In this case, the Turkish stream may be a backup transportation route for Hungary.
Long
by Nikita_Kalinin
3
Mar-Apr, 2023 Market FocusThis is the March-April, 2023 playbook , focused on four (4) markets - so far -, highlighting potentially important plays, including a longer-term position (weekly/monthly time frame). (One should never maintain more than a maximum of three (3) positions, simultaneously , as there is no possible justification for trading more than 3 instruments at the same time! - Unless the trading plan is unclear - lack of conviction! - or when rolling between markets. Normally, it is justified to maintain a 1) FX position - for currency differentials; 2) Commodity/raw material/index play ; and finally, 3) a well established, Long-term Position . Anything more and one ought to question immediately the validity, the clarity or the lack of conviction in those extra instances. - Diversification is best left for the investment crowd , since Traders have zero (0) use for it!) Of course, things change and ultimately anything can happen in trading. This is just the present outlook.
NYMEX:CL1!
by Nemo_Confidat
EUR/HUF - inverse Head&Shoulders - Long - 1-3wA potential inverse head and shoulders pattern on the chart (not the prettiest, but whatever) and on the RSI as a possible sign of a reversal. Let's see if price can rise above the neckline around 415 HUF, if so: Buy in: above ~415 HUF TP: 433 HUF Time interval ~1-3weeks Fundamental background: The European Commission has concluded that Budapest has not sufficiently fulfilled its reform promises in the fight against corruption, and will recommend to member states to freeze €7.5 billion from three cohesion programs at its meeting next Wednesday, according to the conservative daily Frankfurter Allgemeine Zeitung. ( 23.11.2022-13:14) If the Council adopts the Commission's proposals, it would mean 65 % of the funds for three Hungarian operational programs would be withdrawn from Hungary. This would mean blocking €7.5 billion, or around 3,000 billion HUF, which is around the third of the cohesion funding for the budget period up to 2027. HUF weakened against the euro on the news. source: www.faz.net
Long
by Skill4fun
2
EURHUF // nice test in the correction, what's next?Market corrected all the way down to the daily support zone, and may come back into the countertrend of the countertrend , then long trend may resume at the long trigger zone. Long term shorts are only below the short trigger level. Trade safe! ⚪️⚫️ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANYWAY, a lot of Qs about the direction of the price. But it doesn't matter. WE JUST REACT! Remember that trading is a business. SIZE your TRADES according to your risk aversion! ----------------------------------------------------------
by TheMarketFlow
EURHUF // important levelsEURHUF made a sharp move in the correction zone all the way down to fibo 61.8%. From here, taking back the lower green level means that the correction of the correction starts. The question is what price draws us next? We can have another wave down, or above the long trigger zone, the uptrend may resume. Fundamentals don't bother me, price tells everything, and that's what I see on the chart. Thanks for reading my analysis!🤘🏽 Trade safe! ⚪️⚫️ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ANYWAY, a lot of Qs about the direction of the price. But it doesn't matter. WE JUST REACT! Remember that trading is a business. SIZE your TRADES according to your risk aversion! ----------------------------------------------------------
by TheMarketFlow