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EURHUF

EUR/HUF 1H Chart: Surge after breakoutThe Euro continues to strengthen against the Hungarian Forint since hitting a medium-term channel at 317.00 early in June. This appreciation has been bounded in a more junior channel which has guided the pair out of the senior channel. At the time of this analysis, the Euro was testing the 327.00 mark – its highest level in several years. Technical indicators have been located in the overbought territory for two weeks, as well as they are starting to converge with the price level. These signals allow to make an assumption that a correction south could follow soon. Bullish gains should be capped near the monthly R3 at 330.00, thus allowing bears to dominate in the market for a week or two. The nearest support of significance is the 55– and 100-period (4H) SMAs and a channel line circa 322.00. Technical indicators on the 1D chart suggest that this decline might actually prevail for a longer period of time, thus setting the 3.16 level as a possible target for mid-August.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn890690
EUR/HUF 1H Chart: Change in sentiment expectedFollowing a reversal from the senior channel on March 18, the common European currency initiated a new wave up against the Hungarian Forint. Despite breaching a five-month trend-line near 313.50 two weeks ago, the pair did not accelerate but has since remained near this line. Given that technical indicators are starting to converge with the price movement on the four-hour chart, it is likely that the bears eventually prevail and thus push the pair lower. This scenario should be confirmed if the Euro breaches the 200-hour SMA at 314.50. Downside target is the monthly S1 and the senior channel at 311.00. In terms of the following trading days, the rate could still move slightly higher, as it is supported by the 55– and 100-hour SMAs, the monthly R1 and the weekly PP at 314.90. The nearest resistance is formed by the monthly R2 and the weekly R1 at 316.26.
Short
by UnknownUnicorn890690