EURJPY
EUR/JPY – Bearish Setup with Elliott Wave AnalysisThis EUR/JPY daily chart shows an Elliott Wave analysis, suggesting a possible bearish continuation. The current wave structure indicates the pair is moving through the final phase of a five-wave impulsive sequence.
The market has completed three waves of a larger impulsive cycle, with Wave (4)
The price movement between Wave (2) and Wave (4) shows a pause or slowdown after going up. This means the buyers are losing strength, and the price may soon start to fall
If the price gets rejected near 162.900 , it could confirm further downside.
If it breaks below the 159.674 level, it may speed up the decline, with a possible target around 155.526 level.
EUR/JPY – Double Bottom Breakout & Trendline Retest, Trade Setup📊 Chart Type: 1-Hour (H1)
💹 Asset: EUR/JPY
📈 Technical Patterns: Double Bottom, Trendline Breakout, Retest
📌 Overview of the Chart
The EUR/JPY chart showcases a bullish reversal setup, characterized by a Double Bottom pattern, a trendline breakout, and a successful retest. This combination suggests a potential continuation towards higher price levels, making it an ideal setup for traders looking for breakout entries.
The price action initially followed a downtrend, but buyers stepped in at key support zones, leading to the formation of a strong reversal pattern. Now, the price is testing a key resistance level, and if it breaks out, we could see a significant upward move.
🟢 Key Technical Analysis Breakdown
1️⃣ Double Bottom Formation – A Bullish Reversal Signal
🔹 The Double Bottom is a classic reversal pattern that forms after an extended downtrend.
🔹 In this case, price found strong support at 160.139, forming two lows (Bottom 1 & Bottom 2), indicating buyer dominance.
🔹 The confirmation of the pattern comes with a break above the neckline at around 162.000, suggesting a shift from bearish to bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Trendline Breakout & Retest
🔹 A descending trendline had been acting as dynamic resistance, pushing prices lower.
🔹 Recently, the price broke above the trendline, signaling a potential trend shift.
🔹 Now, price is retesting the trendline, which is a key factor in confirming whether the breakout is valid.
🔹 If the retest holds, it could trigger a strong bullish move towards the next resistance zone.
📍 Support & Resistance Zones
🔹 Support Level (160.139):
The lowest point in the chart, where price tested twice and formed the Double Bottom.
Buyers stepped in aggressively at this level, preventing further decline.
Stop Loss Placement: Below this support zone for long trades.
🔹 Resistance Zone (163.725 - Target Level):
The previous swing high and a major supply zone.
A breakout above this area could lead to further bullish momentum.
📈 Trading Strategy – How to Trade This Setup?
✅ Bullish Trade Setup (Breakout & Retest Confirmation)
This setup is ideal for traders looking to capitalize on breakout and retest strategies.
📌 Entry:
Wait for a strong bullish candle to confirm the retest of the trendline.
A break above the 162.500 level could be a good entry confirmation.
📌 Target:
First target: 163.725 (Resistance Zone).
If momentum continues, the next upside target could be around 164.500.
📌 Stop Loss:
Below 160.139 (previous support level) to minimize risk.
Alternatively, place it below the trendline retest zone if entering aggressively.
📌 Risk-to-Reward Ratio (RRR):
This trade offers a strong RRR, as the downside risk is limited, while the upside potential is higher.
🔴 Bearish Scenario – What if the Retest Fails?
While the bias is bullish, traders must be prepared for a fake breakout scenario. If price fails to hold above the trendline and neckline, the structure might break down.
📌 Bearish Entry:
If price rejects the retest zone and closes back below 161.500, it could indicate a false breakout.
📌 Target:
160.139 (Support Level).
📌 Stop Loss:
Above the trendline retest zone to protect against unexpected bullish moves.
🔎 Key Takeaways & Final Thoughts
✅ The Double Bottom pattern signals a potential trend reversal.
✅ The trendline breakout & retest adds further confirmation to the bullish bias.
✅ A breakout above 162.500 could accelerate buying pressure toward 163.725.
✅ Risk management is essential: A well-placed stop loss below the support level ensures minimal downside risk.
✅ If price rejects the retest zone, traders should be prepared for a possible bearish reversal.
📌 Overall Bias: Bullish ✅
📌 Trade Confirmation: Needs trendline retest hold + bullish breakout 📈
📌 Key Level to Watch: 162.500 (Breakout Confirmation Zone) 🔥
💡 Pro Tip : Always wait for confirmation before entering a trade. A strong bullish candlestick pattern (e.g., engulfing candle) on the H1 or H4 timeframe could provide extra confidence in the setup! 🚀
EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
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Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 30 mins timeframe (161.500) swing trade basis.
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🏴☠️Target 🎯: 166.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
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EUR/JPY Breakdown: Falling Wedge Breakout & Bullish SetupThe EUR/JPY 4-hour chart is presenting a well-structured price action setup, featuring a falling wedge breakout, a strong bullish trendline, and key resistance and support levels. This detailed analysis will walk through each aspect of the chart to provide a professional trading perspective.
1. Market Context & Price Action Overview
At the beginning of the chart, EUR/JPY was experiencing a downtrend, characterized by a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a falling wedge pattern. This pattern is typically a bullish reversal signal, indicating that sellers are losing strength and buyers may take control.
Once the price reached a key support zone near 156.08, it bounced, leading to a breakout of the falling wedge. Since the breakout, the price has been moving in a bullish trend, forming higher highs and higher lows, respecting an ascending trendline.
2. Technical Patterns & Key Levels
🔹 Falling Wedge Pattern – Bullish Breakout
The falling wedge is identified by two converging trendlines sloping downward.
It indicates that bearish momentum is weakening as price compresses.
A breakout above the upper wedge line confirmed the shift in trend direction.
The breakout candle had strong bullish momentum, suggesting increased buyer interest.
🔹 Support and Resistance Levels
📉 Major Support Level (~156.08):
This level acted as a demand zone, where buyers aggressively stepped in.
The price formed multiple rejections at this level before breaking upwards.
A stop-loss placement below this level is ideal for bullish trades.
📈 Resistance Level (~163.50 - 164.00):
This zone has been tested multiple times as price approaches from below.
A break and retest of this resistance would confirm further bullish momentum.
If price faces strong rejection, a short-term pullback to the trendline may occur.
🎯 Final Target (~166.79):
This is the next major resistance level, aligning with previous swing highs.
It serves as a strong take-profit (TP) level for long positions.
If price reaches this level, we may see a consolidation phase or possible reversal.
3. Trend Analysis & Market Structure
📈 Bullish Trendline:
The price has been respecting an ascending trendline, acting as dynamic support.
This trendline connects higher lows, confirming a strong bullish trend.
As long as price stays above this line, buyers remain in control.
📊 Market Structure:
Since breaking out from the falling wedge, the price is forming a classic bullish structure of higher highs and higher lows.
This indicates sustained buyer pressure and a potential continuation toward resistance levels.
4. Trading Setup & Risk Management
📌 Entry Strategy:
Aggressive Entry: After the wedge breakout with a tight stop-loss.
Conservative Entry: Wait for a pullback to the trendline support or a break and retest of resistance at 163.50 - 164.00.
🔻 Stop Loss Placement:
Below 156.08 (previous support zone) to protect against trend invalidation.
Alternatively, below the rising trendline for a dynamic SL approach.
🎯 Take Profit Targets:
TP1: 163.50 - 164.00 resistance zone (Partial profits).
TP2: 166.79 final target, aligning with historical resistance.
5. Market Outlook & Potential Scenarios
✅ Bullish Scenario (High Probability)
If price holds above the trendline and breaks 163.50 - 164.00, we expect a continuation towards 166.79.
The structure remains intact as long as higher highs and higher lows persist.
❌ Bearish Scenario (Low Probability, but Possible)
If price fails at resistance and breaks below the trendline, it could signal a deeper retracement.
A break below 156.08 would completely invalidate the bullish setup, leading to a potential downtrend.
6. Summary & Key Takeaways
Trend Bias: Bullish, supported by a falling wedge breakout and higher highs.
Key Levels: Support at 156.08, resistance at 163.50 - 164.00, final target at 166.79.
Trading Strategy: Buy on retests of trendline or resistance breakouts.
Risk Management: Use dynamic stop-loss levels to minimize downside exposure.
🔹 Final Verdict:
If price remains above support and successfully breaks 163.50 - 164.00, a strong move toward 166.79 is expected. However, traders should remain cautious of trendline breakdowns and manage risk accordingly.
📊 Stay disciplined, follow your trading plan, and always use stop-loss protection! 🚀 #EURJPY #Forex #TradingStrategy #PriceAction
USDJPY BUY📊 EUR/JPY - Order Block & Break of Structure (BOS) Strategy 📊
Tracking EUR/JPY on the 15-minute timeframe, we see a potential bullish setup based on order blocks (OBs) and smart money concepts (SMC). However, confirmation via Break of Structure (BOS) on lower timeframes will be key before entering a trade.
Key Zones:
Bullish Order Block (Demand Zone): 161.000 - 160.700
Expecting price to drop into this area, where institutions previously showed strong buying pressure.
Looking for BOS on lower timeframes (M5/M1) to confirm bullish intent before entering a buy position.
Bearish Order Block (Supply Zone): 163.500 - 163.700
A strong resistance level where price previously sold off.
If price reaches this area, we could see a reaction or potential reversal.
Trade Plan:
📉 Wait for price to enter the demand zone (161.000 - 160.700).
🔎 Look for a Break of Structure (BOS) on lower timeframes (M5/M1) to confirm bullish reversal.
✅ Enter a long position upon confirmation.
🎯 Targeting the supply zone at 163.500 - 163.700.
⚠️ Stop-loss below 160.700 to manage risk.
EUR/JPY Chart Analysis - Falling Wedge Target with Bullish SetupThis EUR/JPY 1-hour chart reveals a well-defined falling wedge pattern, which is a bullish reversal formation. Additionally, we see key support and resistance levels, a double bottom, and a breakout potential that traders can use to plan an entry. Let’s dissect this chart in a professional and detailed manner to understand the trade setup and market psychology.
🔹 Market Trend & Structure Analysis
The market was previously in an uptrend, making higher highs and higher lows, until it faced strong resistance at the 163.500 level. Upon reaching this zone, the price reversed downward, forming a series of lower highs and lower lows, which resulted in a falling wedge pattern.
This downward movement was accompanied by a trendline break, signaling a shift in momentum. The price has since reached a strong support level and is showing signs of potential bullish reversal.
🔹 Key Technical Patterns & Indicators
1️⃣ Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish Reversal Signal)
A falling wedge is a pattern characterized by two downward-sloping trendlines that converge, indicating that selling pressure is weakening. This pattern is considered a bullish signal because:
✔️ The declining price movement shows exhaustion of sellers.
✔️ Volume typically decreases as the wedge forms, indicating a breakout is coming.
✔️ Once price breaks out of the wedge, a strong bullish move often follows.
The key here is to wait for a breakout above the upper trendline, which will confirm the bullish momentum.
2️⃣ Double Bottom Formation at Support (Reversal Confirmation)
The price tested the 160.500 support level twice, forming a double bottom pattern. This is another bullish sign, as it indicates:
✔️ Buyers are actively defending this level.
✔️ There’s strong demand around this price zone.
✔️ If price breaks above the wedge resistance, it could trigger a significant rally.
🔹 Key Support & Resistance Levels
Identifying support and resistance is crucial for defining entry and exit points.
✅ Support Levels:
160.500 – Strong horizontal support (Price tested this twice).
158.982 – Stop-loss level (Below this, the bullish setup is invalid).
✅ Resistance Levels:
163.500 – Major resistance (Previous high and supply zone).
165.090 – Final target (Key breakout level).
If the price successfully breaks out of the wedge, it has room to rise significantly, with 163.500 as the first target and 165.090 as the ultimate goal.
🔹 Trade Setup & Execution Plan
🎯 Bullish Breakout Trade Strategy
Since this setup signals a potential reversal, here’s how traders can execute a high-probability trade:
🔹 Entry Points:
✅ Aggressive Entry: Enter as soon as price breaks above the wedge resistance.
✅ Conservative Entry: Wait for a breakout and a retest of the resistance-turned-support before entering.
🔹 Target Levels:
🎯 First target: 163.500 (Previous resistance level).
🎯 Final target: 165.090 (Major resistance zone).
🔹 Stop-Loss Placement:
❌ Place the stop loss below 158.982, as a break below this level would invalidate the bullish setup.
🔹 Risk-Reward Ratio & Trade Justification
📈 Why This Trade Has a High Potential Reward?
Low-risk, high-reward: The stop loss is tight, while the upside potential is large.
Confluence of bullish signals: Falling wedge + Double bottom + Strong support.
Institutional interest likely: Buyers are stepping in at key levels.
A proper risk-to-reward ratio (RRR) for this trade would be at least 1:3, meaning for every 1% risk, there’s a 3% profit potential. This makes it a great swing trading setup.
🔹 Market Psychology Behind the Setup
The falling wedge represents a market correction after a strong bullish trend.
The double bottom shows that sellers are exhausted and buyers are gaining control.
If price breaks out, many traders will enter, triggering a strong upward rally.
This bullish breakout setup aligns with the smart money concept, where institutions accumulate positions before a big move.
🔹 Final Thoughts & Trade Outlook
This EUR/JPY setup presents a high-probability trade opportunity with a bullish breakout scenario. The combination of:
✅ Falling Wedge Pattern (Bullish reversal)
✅ Double Bottom at Support (Buyers stepping in)
✅ Key Resistance Targets (Clear trade exit points)
…creates a great trading setup.
📌 Trading Plan Summary:
✔️ Buy on breakout above the falling wedge.
✔️ Target 163.500 & 165.090 for profits.
✔️ Stop-loss below 158.982 for risk management.
🚀 If executed correctly, this trade has the potential for strong bullish momentum. Would you like a real-time update once the price confirms the breakout? Let’s keep an eye on this trade! 📊🔥
EURJPY Is Bearish! Short!
Here is our detailed technical review for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 1h
Current Trend: Bearish
Sentiment: Overbought (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bearish
The market is trading around a solid horizontal structure 161.513.
The above observations make me that the market will inevitably achieve 160.742 level.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EUR/JPY Trading Setup – Falling Wedge Breakout Potential1. Overview of the Market Structure
The EUR/JPY daily chart presents a falling wedge pattern, which is a classic bullish reversal setup. This pattern has been forming for several months, indicating that the price has been consolidating within a narrowing range. The falling wedge typically suggests that selling pressure is weakening, and a potential breakout to the upside could follow.
The chart also highlights key support and resistance zones, along with a well-defined trading setup based on technical confluences.
2. Key Technical Levels
Support Level: ~ 155.819 (Marked as Stop Loss)
This level has acted as strong support multiple times.
A break below this level would invalidate the bullish bias.
Resistance Level: ~ 163-164
The price has previously struggled to break above this region.
Currently, it is retesting this level after a breakout attempt.
Target Levels:
175.246 – This aligns with a previous all-time high zone and a strong resistance level.
179.562 – Marked as the ultimate target, indicating a full breakout potential.
3. Falling Wedge Formation & Breakout Analysis
A falling wedge is a bullish pattern that indicates a decrease in selling pressure over time.
The price has tested the lower trendline multiple times, showing strong demand at support.
Recently, the price broke above the upper wedge trendline, suggesting that a breakout is in progress.
However, the breakout needs confirmation in the form of a successful retest at the previous resistance level (~163-164).
4. Retest Confirmation & Trade Setup
Retest Scenario: If the price holds above the previous resistance and confirms it as support, the probability of continuation towards 175-179 increases.
Entry Strategy: A buy entry can be considered after a successful retest with bullish price action confirmation.
Stop-Loss Placement: Below 155.819 (previous strong support).
Risk-Reward Ratio: The target offers a strong risk-reward ratio if the breakout holds.
5. Market Sentiment & Volume Analysis
The previous downward move showed declining bearish momentum, further confirming the validity of the falling wedge.
A volume increase on the breakout would provide additional confirmation.
If the price consolidates near the breakout zone with low volatility, a strong move upward could follow.
Final Conclusion: Bullish Breakout in Progress
The falling wedge breakout suggests that EUR/JPY is poised for further upside.
A successful retest at 163-164 could push the price towards 175.246 and ultimately 179.562.
Risk management is crucial, and a stop-loss below 155.819 is recommended to avoid invalidation of the setup.
This setup presents a high-probability trading opportunity, but confirmation through price action and volume analysis remains key.
Key Trading Plan Summary:
📌 Pattern: Falling Wedge (Bullish)
📌 Breakout Confirmation: Yes, but retesting is ongoing
📌 Entry Point: Above 163-164 after successful retest
📌 Stop Loss: Below 155.819
📌 Target Levels: 175.246, then 179.562
📌 Risk-Reward: Favorable if breakout sustains
Would you like any refinements or a more concise version for your TradingView post? 🚀📈
EUR/JPY → False Breakout at Key Resistance!OANDA:EURJPY is shaping up for a potential reversal as a false breakout of resistance emerges, forming a classic bearish pattern against the upper boundary of the descending price channel. Meanwhile, mounting pressure on the market continues to fuel the dollar’s correction, reinforcing downside risks.
On the daily chart, the broader structure remains bearish following a failed breakout of key resistance. The ongoing correction suggests the price could revisit the imbalance zone or the previously broken resistance, capturing liquidity before resuming its decline. With the global trend still neutral, traders should focus on key local support levels as potential downside targets.
Resistance Levels: Channel boundary, 162.3, 163.0
Support Levels: 160.84, 158.9
A potential retest of the 162.4 - 163.0 area or the channel’s resistance remains on the table. However, if the price fails to hold above resistance and consolidates within the selling zone, this could serve as a strong bearish confirmation, triggering a deeper decline in the coming sessions.
Best regards, KevinSterling!
EURJPY: Potential downward move towards 161.00?OANDA:EURJPY is currently approaching a significant resistance zone, an area that has been a key point of interest where sellers have regained control, leading to notable reversals in the past. Given this, there is potential for a bearish reaction if price action confirms rejection, such as a bearish engulfing candle, long upper wicks or increased selling volume.
If the resistance level holds, I anticipate a downward move toward 161.00, a target that seems at least achievable. This would more likely be a call on a bearish outlook, as sellers may step in to push the price lower from this key level. However, if the price breaks this zone and sustains the up move, the bearish outlook may be invalidated, and we could potentially see a larger upside move.
Given the potential volatility around this zone, it’s crucial to monitor candlestick patterns and volume closely to identify strong selling opportunities. Proper risk management is essential to handle any potential volatility and protect your capital if the price breaks out.
EURJPY Breakout Analysis: Falling Wedge & Key LevelsChart Pattern Breakdown
The chart presents a 4-hour timeframe for EUR/JPY, revealing a strong technical setup with multiple key patterns in play. The price action has been forming a falling wedge, a bullish reversal pattern, followed by a breakout.
Falling Wedge Formation
A falling wedge pattern is characterized by a narrowing range, where both highs and lows trend downward but converge towards a breakout point. This setup indicates a loss of bearish momentum and the potential for a strong bullish move once the price breaks out.
The wedge began forming in early February, with price making lower highs and lower lows within the structure.
The support level remained stable, while the resistance trendline kept the price within a tightening range.
Around early March, the price successfully broke above the wedge resistance, confirming the bullish breakout.
Key Resistance & Support Levels
Resistance Level (Marked on the chart)
Around 163.500 - 164.000, where the price faced rejection multiple times.
The market tested this level but struggled to break through immediately, confirming its importance.
Support Level (Marked on the chart)
Around 158.500 - 159.000, acting as a strong demand zone.
This area provided multiple bounces before the final wedge breakout.
Current Price Action & Trading Setup
Breakout Confirmation: The price successfully broke the wedge and moved higher, testing the resistance zone.
Pullback & Retest: The market is currently pulling back, testing the recent breakout area. This could be an ideal entry point for a long trade.
Bullish Target: The next significant resistance is at 166.754, followed by an extended target at 166.938.
Trade Plan
✅ Long Entry: On a successful retest of support near 160.500 - 161.000
🎯 Target 1: 166.754
🎯 Target 2: 166.938
🔒 Sell Stop (Stop Loss): Below 158.918 to minimize risk
Conclusion
The EURJPY chart is showcasing a strong bullish setup with a confirmed falling wedge breakout. As long as price holds above the key support level, the market is likely to continue its bullish momentum towards the 166+ zone. Traders should watch for confirmations such as bullish candlestick patterns, volume surges, and trendline support before entering a long position.
🚀 Do you agree with this setup? Drop your thoughts in the comments! 🚀
EURJPY Massive Long! BUY!
My dear friends,
Please, find my technical outlook for EURJPY below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 161.01
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 162.16
About Used Indicators:
The pivot point itself is simply the average of the high, low and closing prices from the previous trading day.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
EUR/JPY SENDS CLEAR BULLISH SIGNALS|LONG
EUR/JPY SIGNAL
Trade Direction: long
Entry Level: 161.131
Target Level: 162.550
Stop Loss: 160.184
RISK PROFILE
Risk level: medium
Suggested risk: 1%
Timeframe: 3h
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
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eurjpy buy signal. Don't forget about stop-loss.
Write in the comments all your questions and instruments analysis of which you want to see.
Friends, push the like button, write a comment, and share with your mates - that would be the best THANK YOU.
P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade
DeGRAM | EURJPY decline in the channelEURJPY is in a descending channel between the trend lines.
The price is moving from the upper boundary of the channel and dynamic resistance, which has previously acted as a point of decline.
The chart keeps the harmonic pattern relevant, as well as the descending structure.
We expect the decline to continue.
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DeGRAM | EURJPY retest of trend lineEURJPY is above the descending channel between the trend lines.
The price broke the upper boundary of the channel, formed a harmonic pattern and approached the dynamic resistance.
The chart maintains the descending structure.
We expect the decline to continue after consolidation under the nearest support level.
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Bearish drop?EUR/JPY is rising towards the pivot which is a pullback resistance and could drop to the 1st support.
Pivot: 162.24
1st Support: 160.36
1st Resistance: 164.02
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EURJPY - Expecting Retraces Before Prior Continuation HigherHi Traders, on March 12th I shared this "EURJPY Short Term Buy Idea"
We expected to see correction prior to the bullish continuation. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price is moving as per the plan!!!
Based on the current scenario my bullish view still remains the same here.
We have bearish divergence in play based on the moving averages and histogram of the MACD and I expect to see retraces now before further continuation higher.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.-