Eurjpy!
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 10 - EURJPY - (31st May 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing EURJPY, starting from the 6-Month chart.
- R2F
Potential bullish rise?EUR/JPY has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 169.40
1st Support: 167.40
1st Resistance: 171.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURJPY Analysis (31st May 2024)
EURJPY Analysis(1HR TF)
Price is at 1 hour Bearish OB Key level.
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
🟢BUYS: Price breaks above the 169.979 level with a body candle close. If this happens. A retest of the Failed 1 hour OB to Buy to target 170.251 first before targeting 170.800.
🔴SELLS: Price Dumps below the 169.734 level with a body candle close. This creates a bearish Pattern to continue to look for sells targeting the 169.400 level.
EURJPY Technical Analysis and Trade Idea Upon analyzing EURJPY, a robust bullish trend is evident on the weekly time frame. Notably, we’ve identified a clear breach in market structure on the 4H timeframes. However, it’s essential to acknowledge that this pullback might lead to an opportunity to get long in an over all HTF bullish trend.
Remember that this analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct thorough due diligence and adhere to risk management principles when implementing any trade ideas. 📈💡
Strifor || EURUSD-30/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: The price did not approach the level of 1.09000 , at least in the first half of this week, and the euro quickly fell to 1.08000 . In the short term, the decline is likely to continue. An important point, of course, will be today's statistics from the US on GDP , the labor market, and so on.
We consider two scenarios, which are depicted in the graph. Scenario №1 assumes a fall from the level of 1.08000 , below which the price is currently located. Scenario №2 - preliminary growth above the level of 1.08000 , the buyer’s attempt to gain a foothold above, and to sell it will be necessary to wait until it closes below the specified level again. The target for the fall is considered to be at the level of 1.07500.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Strifor || USDJPY-29/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: The probability of a fall in the instrument remains, as we wrote about earlier, but we need to consider the global direction as a priority. As for the medium-term prospects, most likely they will develop in favor of the buyer, as well as the long-term prospects. The focus is on the resistance level of 160.209 , this year's high. We consider scenario №2 after the price approaches support at level 153 , but it is not advisable to try to short here. Scenario №1 is a priority, as are medium-term long in general.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Yen Nears Record Low Versus Euro on Divergent Monetary PoliciesThe Japanese yen (JPY) is nearing its all-time low against the euro (EUR), driven by differing monetary policies between the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the European Central Bank (ECB). While the BOJ's interest rates remain significantly lower than those in the Eurozone, the ECB's cautious approach to rate cuts supports the euro.
Key Points:
- Interest Rate Divergence: The BOJ ended its negative interest rate policy in March, but its rates are still much lower than those in Europe. This gap weakens the yen against the euro.
- Carry Trade Dynamics: Low yen volatility boosts carry trades, where investors borrow in yen to invest in higher-yielding euro assets.
- ECB's Rate Cut Outlook: Internal debates within the ECB about the pace of rate cuts add uncertainty but overall support the euro.
- Yen Intervention Risks: Potential interventions by Japanese authorities to support the yen could moderate its decline.
- Economic Assessments: Mixed economic data from Japan and strong wage growth in Europe provide additional support for the euro.
Market sentiment is bullish on the euro against the yen, with positions indicating expectations of further euro strength. The EUR/JPY pair remains firm at around 170.00, benefiting from both fundamental and speculative support.
TRADE SIGNAL - BUY EURJPYWeekly and daily price bars has not moved bullish at all (no top wick), and price seats currently on psychological level 170.000. There are chances that price has found support at that level. If so, then expect a bullish swing up to 171.000 in the coming hours or days.
Confluences (A.K.A checklists) to look out for:
✅Price at psychological level?
❌Has there been a recent intraday range?
❌Do you see 30 mins or 1 hr price bar closure outside recent range?
❌Will position be in the direction of 4hr and Daily trend ?
✅Has nearby wicks to the left-hand-side been identified and marked as potential problem area/TPx?
Go long only when you tick out this checklist!!!
Trade parameters:
Buy @ 169.982 - 169.781
Flex SL 169.449
Final TP 171.002
Warning:
1. trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose.
2. Previous performance is not a guarantee that my signals will profit you. Accept and implement this idea at your own risk.
3. You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!!
BR,
Kings
Learn how to trade. See my signature below or visit my profile for more details
EURJPYEUR/JPY is showing strong bullish momentum with potential for further gains, and a strong uptrend, with moving averages indicating a continuation of this bullish momentum.
Key support levels are noted at 169.05 and 167.31. On the upside, resistance is likely at 170.62 and 171.58. A break above these resistance levels could signal further upside potential towards 172.00 and possibly 175.00 in the longer term.
The euro has been strengthening against the yen due to the interest rate differential between the European Central Bank and the Bank of Japan. The latter's dovish stance continues to exert downward pressure on the yen, making the euro more attractive to investors. Short-term pullbacks in the pair are viewed as buying opportunities.
GBPJPY near the current highest point of this year#GBPJPY EASYMARKETS:GBPJPY
Disclaimer:
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. easyMarkets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EUR/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
The BB upper band is nearby so EUR-JPY is in the overbought territory. Thus, despite the uptrend on the 1W timeframe I think that we will see a bearish reaction from the resistance line above and a move down towards the target at around 166.784.
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sell 154.92 and tp 152.10 with stop loss at 156.2..rr 2.5i sell it coz even when dollars down he not down and so many ti_me BOj talk about to intervene.
i think they will do soon and if not a big pullback have to happens
u can put ur stop lost at 155.6 if u want a bertter RR but i scare about a big leg up
EURJPY Is Bullish! Long!
Take a look at our analysis for EURJPY.
Time Frame: 2h
Current Trend: Bullish
Sentiment: Oversold (based on 7-period RSI)
Forecast: Bullish
The market is approaching a key horizontal level 170.021.
Considering the today's price action, probabilities will be high to see a movement to 170.485.
P.S
Please, note that an oversold/overbought condition can last for a long time, and therefore being oversold/overbought doesn't mean a price rally will come soon, or at all.
Like and subscribe and comment my ideas if you enjoy them!
EURJPY What Next? SELL!
My dear subscribers,
This is my opinion on the EURJPY next move:
The instrument tests an important psychological level 170.41
Bias - Bearish
Technical Indicators: Supper Trend gives a precise Bearish signal, while Pivot Point HL predicts price changes and potential reversals in the market.
Target - 168.97
About Used Indicators:
On the subsequent day, trading above the pivot point is thought to indicate ongoing bullish sentiment, while trading below the pivot point indicates bearish sentiment.
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
TRADE SIGNAL: EURJPY LONG 21 May 2024Factoring in some learning from my previous 2 trade signals, i have strong conviction that EJ might pullback to immediate past resistance(now support) to gather some liquidity before pushing up. Hence i'd recommend long positions for the pair. See details below
Position Parameters;
Entry BUY @ 169.500 - 169.223
Flex SL 169.060
Final TP 170.496
Note: i'd share updated confluences from next post.
Warning:
1. trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose.
2. Previous performance is not a guarantee that my signals will profit you. Accept and implement this idea at your own risk.
3. You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!!
BR,
Kings
Learn how to trade. See my signature below or visit my profile for more details
Strifor || EURUSD-24/05/2024Preferred direction: Neutral
Comment: AToday, the situation on the euro looks more neutral, and for a more grounded trades, it is better to wait until certain levels are reached. Let's start with the most likely scenario №1 , which assumes a fall towards the level of 1.07500 and below. It should be noted that in a more global perspective than in the short term, most likely bears will dominate the market. To fall, you need to wait until the price fixes below the level of 1.08000.
Alternative scenario №2 assumes a short-term strengthening of the euro towards the level of 1.09000 . If such a scenario is realized, it is still most likely that the instrument will turn downward in the medium term.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Large potential but Countertrend short EURJPYPrice is at a level last seen in July 2008. At that time as well, price had made several attempts to go higher and failed (thus printing multiple tops). Once again, we can see several tops. A decline of 55,400 points (about 33%) happened in 2008, I can only wonder what we will see on this occasion. I see a supply zone (yellow rectangle) and expect this pair to fall.
I will be taking a trade as soon as spreads normalize on Monday, but note that this is counter-trend. If you take this too, please manage your risk with a high degree of caution.
Being prepared for the unexpected is always good in trading, so please use sound money and risk management and stay patient in all your trades. If you like my content, please give it a “thumbs up” and follow me to get even more.
What do you think about this trade idea? Please comment and share your thoughts!!
Strifor || USDJPY-22/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: The opinion and trading setup for the Japanese yen also remains the same. In the short term, all this will most likely be a small, but downward movement towards levels 153 and 152 . The two previous scenarios are relevant for today, as already mentioned. Scenario №1 - sales at current prices, and scenario №2 - a preliminary approach to 157-158. In both cases, we fix the target near the level of 153.222 (70%), and at the level of 151.786 (the remaining part).
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Strifor || EURUSD-Week StartingPreferred direction: BUY
Comment: The end of the previous trading week was not in favor of the US dollar , which we were preparing for and talking about during the previous week. The beginning of this week will most likely maintain this bearish sentiment for the US dollar and a short-term strengthening is expected for its main competitors, at a minimum.
Against this background, for the euro we expect a re-test of the resistance area at the level of 1.09000. Most likely, the instrument will move to this resistance area as much as possible from the closing prices of the previous week (scenario №1) . If the American currency strengthens, a long position will be considered at the nearest support at 1.08000 (scenario №2).
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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EUR/JPY buy 1. We had a news release last night during the asian session - the outcome was bullish on EUR/JPY
2. I believe we will have a continuation of this bullish sentiment coming to the NY/LUNCH/PM session.
lets wait and see what the market delivers - staying fixed on a trading model is integral for generating profits.
SIGNAL BUY EURJPY - ENTRY BELOWFind my confluences below;
✅Price at psychological level?
✅Has there been a recent intraday range?
❌Do you see 30 mins or 1 hr price bar closure outside recent range?
✅Will position be in the direction of 4hr and Daily trend ?
✅Has nearby wicks to the lefthand side been identified and marked as potential problem area/TPx?
Go long the moment the pending condition is met;
Position details
Flexible Entry 169.526
Flexible SL 169.309
Target 170.001 area
Warning:
1. trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose.
2. Previous performance is not a guarantee that my signals will profit you. Accept and implement this idea at your own risk.
3. You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!!
BR,
Kings
Learn how to trade. See my signature below or visit my profile for more details
EURJPY Still bullish. Continue buying the dips.The EURJPY pair gave us a textbook buy-low-sell-high two-way trade last time we looked at it (March 25, see chart below) and hit both targets:
Right now it may be shifting into a new Channel Up (dashed), diverging slightly from the (blue) long-term one. The 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) has been holding as Support basically since the January 10 bullish break-out, so technically the long-term trend remains bullish.
Our Target is 173.500, the top of the (blue) long-term Channel Up.
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