Strifor || USDJPY-04/04/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: As expected earlier, the American currency began to adjust against its main competitors, but this does not apply to the Japanese yen . Here, as was said, the US dollar will most likely either trade at previous levels, or begin to grow altogether, as indicated on our chart.
In general, both scenarios are relevant despite the fall in the US dollar in the short term, which may last until the end of next week. The growth target in the medium term for this currency pair is located at the level of 153 and 154 .
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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EURJPY 73 PIPS TRADE BREAKDOWN (3rd April 2024)
EURJPY Trade Breakdown
Price broke through the 1 hour bearish orderblock during London. This resulted in a creation of a 1 hour Market structure shift to the upside.
So once price retested, the 15 minute orderblock and broke its own higher high on the 15 minutes timeframe, I entered a long and place stop loss at the 1 hour orderblock low targeting a 164.200 For a 1 : 3.66 Risk to Reward Ratio.
During New York Session, Price action finally provided the volume to push All the way up into the 1 hour Orderblock, Smashing Full TP.
EURJPY:🟢Another bullish move...🟢(Details on caption)
Well, by examining the 1-hour EURJPY chart we can figure out the price has the potential to rise after collecting the sell-side liquidity.
In this case, we can define the bullish FVG which is below the sell-side liquidity, also this FVG aligns with the 50% previous upward leg and we have a lot of buy-side liquidity that can defined as targets.
All in all, we can expect the price to move lower to collect the sell side liquidity then hit the FVG, and then we will look for an LTF confirmation.
💡Wait for the update!
🗓️01/03/2024
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EURJPY's Upward Momentum and Opportunities AheadThe EURJPY pair has shown promising strength after a corrective phase from its peak on March 21, 2024. Today, it successfully breached a significant resistance level at 163.322, providing a stronger confirmation of the existing bullish momentum. With this noteworthy breakout, the allure of a Long position becomes increasingly compelling.
Technical Analysis:
On the 4-hour timeframe, EURJPY is currently trading above several key moving averages, including the SMA 7, SMA 24, and SMA 150. This indicates clear bullish strength, especially after a prolonged correction period. The breakout from the resistance level at 163.322 adds confidence to further bullish momentum, with technical indicators suggesting potential for higher moves.
Fundamental Insights (JPY):
Despite the Bank of Japan's exit from negative interest rate policy, BOJ Governor Ueda has reiterated the commitment to continue purchasing Japan Bonds and refrain from raising interest rates. This monetary policy stance has triggered sustained weakness in the Japanese yen, evident from its recent depreciation. With supportive fundamental conditions, yen weakness adds impetus for the EURJPY pair to continue its bullish trend.
Trade Targets:
- Target 1: 164.414
- Target 2: 165.380
- Target 3: 167.252
These targets are calculated using Fibonacci ratios, with Target 3 reaching approximately 140% of the previous rally and the historical resistance. Each target offers potential for significant gains for traders entering Long positions.
Risks to Consider:
- Sudden shifts in market sentiment or unforeseen fundamental developments may impact the direction of EURJPY movements.
- Market volatility and the possibility of retracement during the journey towards the take profit targets should be duly noted.
With a strong confirmation of bullish breakout and support from both technical and fundamental analyses, Long positions in EURJPY present enticing profit opportunities. However, it is essential to remain vigilant of risks and manage them prudently with every trade executed.
EURJPY to find resistance at the current market level?EURJPY - 24h expiry
We are trading at overbought extremes.
Our short term bias remains negative.
This is negative for sentiment and the downtrend has potential to return.
We look to sell rallies.
Weekly pivot is at 163.55.
We look to Sell at 163.55 (stop at 164.05)
Our profit targets will be 162.65 and 162.45
Resistance: 164.30 / 167.35 / 168.95
Support: 161.90 / 160.00 / 158.70
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EURJPY Potential DownsidesHey Traders, in today's trading session we are monitoring EURJPY for a selling opportunity around 163.500 zone, EURJPY is trading in a downtrend and currently is in a correction phase in which it is approaching the trend at 163.500 support and resistance area.
Trade safe, Joe.
Bearish continuation expected EURJPY is rising toward pivot point that is close to 50% Fibonacci retracement. and could potentially fall to a support level.
Alternatively, if price breaks above the pivot, it could continue to rise to the next resistance level
Pivot: 163.42
Support: 162.53
Resistance: 164.41
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
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Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential bounce off EURJPY is falling toward a support level and could potentially bounce off a pullback support that aligns the 50% Fibonacci retracement and rises toward an overlap resistance
Alternatively, if price breaks below the pivot, it could continue to fall to another overlap support level
Pivot: 1162.53
Support: 161.87
Resistance: 163.42
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
Potential reversal from overlap resistance levelPrice is currently at an overlap resistance level and could reverse from this level to our take profit
Entry: 163.446
Why we like it:
There is an overlap resistance level that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement
Stop loss: 164.364
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Take profit: 162.661
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level that aligns with the 50% Fibonacci retracement
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EURJPY 515 PIPS SHORT TRADE READ DISCRIPTION
1. **Bearish Setup and Reversal**: EUR/JPY is showing signs of a bearish setup and potential reversal. A fresh supply zone has been identified between 162.957 and 163.457, where investors, institutions, big players, and hedge funds are anticipated to initiate short trades in bulk. This zone serves as a significant area of resistance, suggesting a potential reversal in the pair's price movement.
2. **COT Data Analysis**: The Commitments of Traders (COT) data indicates a substantial bearish sentiment, with 443,000 short positions and only 180,000 long positions. This data suggests a significant imbalance in favor of short positions, reinforcing the potential for downward pressure on EUR/JPY.
3. **Trader Sentiments**: Trader sentiments show a strong bias towards shorts, with 78% of traders holding short positions and only 22% holding long positions. This sentiment aligns with the bearish outlook indicated by the COT data.
4. **Fundamental Analysis**: The fundamental analysis suggests that the Japanese yen is weakening after the Bank of Japan (BOJ) adopted a dovish tone, signaling expectations for further weakness. This news is likely to impact EUR/JPY negatively, supporting a bearish bias.
5. **Technical Analysis Indicators**: All trading indicators are signaling a strong sell sentiment, further supporting the bearish outlook for EUR/JPY.
6. **Trade Parameters**:
- Risk-to-Reward Ratio: The risk-to-reward ratio for this trade setup is 24.73, indicating a potentially favorable risk-reward profile.
- Take Profit Levels (TPs): Three take profit levels have been identified and marked with yellow horizontal lines. These levels provide traders with opportunities to scale out of their positions as the price moves in the desired direction.
- Profit Target: The overall profit target for this trade is set at 515 pips, representing a significant potential profit.
In conclusion, the technical, fundamental, and sentiment analysis collectively suggest a strong bearish outlook for EUR/JPY. The identified supply zone, coupled with the overwhelmingly bearish sentiment and supportive fundamental factors, presents a compelling opportunity for short trades. Traders should closely monitor the trade, adjusting their positions based on market dynamics and adhering to risk management principles.
EUR/JPY BEARS ARE GAINING STRENGTH|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
EUR-JPY uptrend evident from the last 1W green candle makes short trades more risky, but the current set-up targeting 159.920 area still presents a good opportunity for us to sell the pair because the resistance line is nearby and the BB upper band is close which indicates the overbought state of the EUR/JPY pair.
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EURJPY I Potential intraday buy from support Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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EURJPY - 4hrs ( Sell Trade Target Range 200 PIP ) 💵Pair Name EUR/JPY
Time Frame : 4 hrs
Scale Type : line chart + Candle Stick
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🔗 Key Technical / Direction ( Short )
Type : Mid Term Swing
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Bearish Break
163.600 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level
- Fixed Range Hvn
- Trend Break Out
- Fibo Golden Break
- Turn Over Trend
Bullish Reversal
161.250 Area
Reasons
- Major Turn level / D
- Trend Line Area
- Choch ZOne
- Pattern Target
- Fixed Poc Area