EURJPY - Buy Stop- Bullish divergence in the current bearish trend
- Expected to complete reversal AB-CD pattern
- Support at D
- Take entry if Trend change and C is broken
EURJPY
Narrative Analysis and Market Insights | EU & EJ - 09 June, 2024Join me as I dive into my daily analysis routine, conducted every evening before the market opens. I'll show you how I decide whether to trade or stay out of the market the following day. My strategy revolves around trading just two currency pairs, and I'm excited to share my insights with you. Stay tuned for regular updates and trading tips.
EURJPY - Look for Continuation Long (SWING) 1:2!EURJPY is somewhat correlated with GBPJPY, which currently shows no signs of going bearish.
After solidly breaking the monthly support and executing a nice pullback, EURJPY reacted firmly on the support with a few strong hourly candlesticks.
Like GBPJPY, we need to wait for it to break the current resistance before going long. Look for a strong bullish candlestick and a firm correction before entering.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
#EURJPY:1000+ Pips Swing Selling Chance! Comment down your viewsDear Traders,
JPY has been bullish since this week, and will likely to remain bullish as we approach NFP. If DXY turns out to be bearish it will likely boost JPY to continue the bullish momentum. In short time, we expect price to drop further and make smaller correction towards our entry zone. Once it does that, we can then enter with accurate risk management.
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EURJPY ANALYSIS (RECENT WEEKS + FUTURE)A lot of the JPY pairs have been recently moving similarly (not surprising due to their obvious relationship). I’ve been keeping an eye on UJ, GJ and my personal favourite EJ - for me to notice their recent similarities.
Anyway, price successfully reached the supply zone and instantly began to dump, successfully shown by the initial displacement. This signalled weakening in the price and that price was ready to go to demand. This idea was further strengthened by the initial sweep and immediate BOS on the 4H chart to the downside giving me a potential entry point (on the 4H which I’m not a big fan of) and a new POI to work from.
POI formed - and another nice BOS- with an order block. However this wasn’t clear enough for me to confidently trade from.
Price broke ONCE more - fully confirming the bearish bias and it gave me two points to decide to work from either off of the 15min or the 1h OB’s created.
I’ll be seeking to TP at 168.485 and then 167.665.
EURJPY: Inside day, first green day, three days cycleHi everyone and welcome to my channel, please don’t forget to support all my work subscribing and liking my post, and for any question leave me a comment, I will be more than happy to help you!
“Trade setups, not movements”
1. DAY OF THE WEEK (Failed Breakout, False Break, Range Expansion)
Monday DAY 1 Opening Range
Tuesday DAY 2 Initial Balance
Wednesday DAY 3 (reset DAY 1) Mid Point Week
Thursday DAY 2 ✅ day 3 cycle
Friday DAY 3 Closing Range
2. SIGNAL DAY
First Red Day
First Green Day ✅
3 Days Long Breakout
3 Days Short Breakout
Inside Day ✅
3. WEEKLY TEMPLATE
Pump&Dump
Dump&Pump ✅
Frontside
Backside ✅
4. THESIS:
Long: primary, potentially weekly dump and pump scenario back to the HOW. Market came back into the opening range, currently consolidating inside the range.
Short: secondary, yesterday the market performed a pump phase, closing as in inside day, which it can typically give two type of trade, reversal for this specific scenario. Second hour NY will give more clue regarding the further movement.
Please note that the purpose of my analysis is to help me and you hunting the best trade setup for the day, none of my technical aspects are a way to forecast any directional market movement.
Gianni
EURJPY H4 | Bearish Drop Based on the H4 chart analysis, we can see that the price is currently at our sell entry at 169.89, an overlap resistance close to the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Our take profit will be at 167.40, an overlap support.
The stop loss will be placed at 171.58, which is a swing-high resistance.
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EUR/JPY looks ready to ripThe ECB are expected to cut their benchmark rate for the first time in 8 years in a few hours. Yet as it has been so well telegraphed and they seem unlikely to provide promise of further cuts just yet, we suspect upside potential for euro pairs once the dust has settled. And with Wall Street at new highs and appetite for risk on the rise, EUR/JPY looks good for long setups.
A bullish inside day formed on Wednesday, and whilst it met resistance at the 2008 high it has since found support at the 20-day EMA. The daily chart shows prices holding above the daily pivot point, and a bullish engulfing candle has formed with a bullish RSI divergence. A bullish flag also appears to be forming.
The bias remains bullish above 169, although the 20-day EMA or cycle lows can be used to aid with risk management if momentum turns higher. A break above 170 brings the daily R2 / 61.8% projection into focus, and the flag suggests a target just above the 170.72 highs.
Heading into 50% Fibonacci resistance?EUR/JPY is rising towards the pivot point which has been identified as an overlap resistance and could reverse to the 1st support.
Pivot: 169.45
1st Support: 167.39
1st Resistance: 170.82
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
SELL NZDCHF - 35 pipsThere has been historic support and resistance within the zones marked on the setup above. This was a late entry and will still respect the stop loss and take profit zones.
Thanks
Don
EURJPYBUY on the theory markets ranges 70% of the time, and BUY on the theory markets retraces HALF of the previous leg 90% of the time. Entry on the 5m TF.
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Identifying Bearish OpportunitiesThe EUR/JPY presents a compelling price action scenario with notable opportunities. Recently, the pair encountered strong absorption at the 171.500 level, evidenced by a significant spike indicating substantial seller presence in this price area. This absorption led to a pronounced bearish impulse driving the price down to the 164.000 level. Since then, the price has been on a recovery trajectory, creating an area of imbalance that the market may seek to revisit for potential retests of previous price levels.
In addition to these observations, technical analysis reveals a divergence on the RSI, which suggests a potential double top formation. This divergence indicates weakening bullish momentum, strengthening the case for a bearish outlook. Given these conditions, we have positioned our stop loss at 171.000 to protect against any attempts by the price to retest higher absorption levels above the current range.
This strategic setup highlights a promising bearish opportunity, supported by the significant absorption at the 171.500 level, the initial bearish impulse around 164.000, and the divergence observed on the RSI. Traders should closely monitor these technical indicators and price levels to capitalize on potential market movements. This analysis underscores the importance of vigilance in managing positions and adjusting strategies as the market evolves.
EUR/JPY SENDS CLEAR BEARISH SIGNALS|SHORT
Hello,Friends!
We are going short on the EUR/JPY with the target of 169.809 level, because the pair is overbought and will soon hit the resistance line above. We deduced the overbought condition from the price being near to the upper BB band. However, we should use low risk here because the 1W TF is green and gives us a counter-signal.
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EURJPY My Opinion! BUY!
My dear subscribers,
My technical analysis for EURJPY is below:
The price is coiling around a solid key level - 169.80
Bias - Bullish
Technical Indicators: Pivot Points Low anticipates a potential price reversal.
Super trend shows a clear buy, giving a perfect indicators' convergence.
Goal - 170.35
About Used Indicators:
By the very nature of the supertrend indicator, it offers firm support and resistance levels for traders to enter and exit trades. Additionally, it also provides signals for setting stop losses
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WISH YOU ALL LUCK
Trade Like A Sniper - Episode 10 - EURJPY - (31st May 2024)This video is part of a video series where I backtest a specific asset using the TradingView Replay function, and perform a top-down analysis in order to frame ONE high-probability setup. I choose a random point of time to replay, and begin to work my way down the timeframes. Trading like a sniper is not about entries with no drawdown. It is about careful planning, discipline, and taking your shot at the right time in the best of conditions.
A couple of things to note:
- I cannot see news events.
- I cannot change timeframes without affecting my bias due to higher-timeframe candles revealing its entire range.
- I cannot go to a very low timeframe due to the limit in amount of replayed candlesticks
In this session I will be analyzing EURJPY, starting from the 6-Month chart.
- R2F
Potential bullish rise?EUR/JPY has reacted off the pivot which has been identified as an overlap support and could rise to the 1st resistance.
Pivot: 169.40
1st Support: 167.40
1st Resistance: 171.57
Risk Warning:
Trading Forex and CFDs carries a high level of risk to your capital and you should only trade with money you can afford to lose. Trading Forex and CFDs may not be suitable for all investors, so please ensure that you fully understand the risks involved and seek independent advice if necessary.
Disclaimer:
The above opinions given constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of IC Markets or any form of personal or investment advice.
Any opinions, news, research, analyses, prices, other information, or links to third-party sites contained on this website are provided on an "as-is" basis, are intended only to be informative, is not an advice nor a recommendation, nor research, or a record of our trading prices, or an offer of, or solicitation for a transaction in any financial instrument and thus should not be treated as such. The information provided does not involve any specific investment objectives, financial situation and needs of any specific person who may receive it. Please be aware, that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future performance and/or results. Past Performance or Forward-looking scenarios based upon the reasonable beliefs of the third-party provider are not a guarantee of future performance. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. IC Markets makes no representation or warranty and assumes no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of the information provided, nor any loss arising from any investment based on a recommendation, forecast or any information supplied by any third-party.
EURJPY Analysis (31st May 2024)
EURJPY Analysis(1HR TF)
Price is at 1 hour Bearish OB Key level.
BUY/SELL SCENARIOS:
🟢BUYS: Price breaks above the 169.979 level with a body candle close. If this happens. A retest of the Failed 1 hour OB to Buy to target 170.251 first before targeting 170.800.
🔴SELLS: Price Dumps below the 169.734 level with a body candle close. This creates a bearish Pattern to continue to look for sells targeting the 169.400 level.
EURJPY Technical Analysis and Trade Idea Upon analyzing EURJPY, a robust bullish trend is evident on the weekly time frame. Notably, we’ve identified a clear breach in market structure on the 4H timeframes. However, it’s essential to acknowledge that this pullback might lead to an opportunity to get long in an over all HTF bullish trend.
Remember that this analysis is for educational purposes only. Always conduct thorough due diligence and adhere to risk management principles when implementing any trade ideas. 📈💡
Strifor || EURUSD-30/05/2024Preferred direction: SELL
Comment: The price did not approach the level of 1.09000 , at least in the first half of this week, and the euro quickly fell to 1.08000 . In the short term, the decline is likely to continue. An important point, of course, will be today's statistics from the US on GDP , the labor market, and so on.
We consider two scenarios, which are depicted in the graph. Scenario №1 assumes a fall from the level of 1.08000 , below which the price is currently located. Scenario №2 - preliminary growth above the level of 1.08000 , the buyer’s attempt to gain a foothold above, and to sell it will be necessary to wait until it closes below the specified level again. The target for the fall is considered to be at the level of 1.07500.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Strifor || USDJPY-29/05/2024Preferred direction: BUY
Comment: The probability of a fall in the instrument remains, as we wrote about earlier, but we need to consider the global direction as a priority. As for the medium-term prospects, most likely they will develop in favor of the buyer, as well as the long-term prospects. The focus is on the resistance level of 160.209 , this year's high. We consider scenario №2 after the price approaches support at level 153 , but it is not advisable to try to short here. Scenario №1 is a priority, as are medium-term long in general.
Additional comments on this trade will be provided as situation changes. Follow us!
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Yen Nears Record Low Versus Euro on Divergent Monetary PoliciesThe Japanese yen (JPY) is nearing its all-time low against the euro (EUR), driven by differing monetary policies between the Bank of Japan (BOJ) and the European Central Bank (ECB). While the BOJ's interest rates remain significantly lower than those in the Eurozone, the ECB's cautious approach to rate cuts supports the euro.
Key Points:
- Interest Rate Divergence: The BOJ ended its negative interest rate policy in March, but its rates are still much lower than those in Europe. This gap weakens the yen against the euro.
- Carry Trade Dynamics: Low yen volatility boosts carry trades, where investors borrow in yen to invest in higher-yielding euro assets.
- ECB's Rate Cut Outlook: Internal debates within the ECB about the pace of rate cuts add uncertainty but overall support the euro.
- Yen Intervention Risks: Potential interventions by Japanese authorities to support the yen could moderate its decline.
- Economic Assessments: Mixed economic data from Japan and strong wage growth in Europe provide additional support for the euro.
Market sentiment is bullish on the euro against the yen, with positions indicating expectations of further euro strength. The EUR/JPY pair remains firm at around 170.00, benefiting from both fundamental and speculative support.
TRADE SIGNAL - BUY EURJPYWeekly and daily price bars has not moved bullish at all (no top wick), and price seats currently on psychological level 170.000. There are chances that price has found support at that level. If so, then expect a bullish swing up to 171.000 in the coming hours or days.
Confluences (A.K.A checklists) to look out for:
✅Price at psychological level?
❌Has there been a recent intraday range?
❌Do you see 30 mins or 1 hr price bar closure outside recent range?
❌Will position be in the direction of 4hr and Daily trend ?
✅Has nearby wicks to the left-hand-side been identified and marked as potential problem area/TPx?
Go long only when you tick out this checklist!!!
Trade parameters:
Buy @ 169.982 - 169.781
Flex SL 169.449
Final TP 171.002
Warning:
1. trading derivative could result to loss of your capital, kindly apply caution and use only the money you can afford to lose.
2. Previous performance is not a guarantee that my signals will profit you. Accept and implement this idea at your own risk.
3. You are advised to apply proper risk management while trading derivatives...!!!
BR,
Kings
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