Eurjpy1hr
EURJPY| STILL BULLISH FOR MEAfternoon Traders,
We have clear uptrend momentum, Id be very interested in seeing how price action responds to the last quarterly highs, (dark blue ray line) At the moment price action is clearly indicating to me further moves to the upside, signified by the large buying that is coming in every time price action tries to push lower,
I've highlighted my area of interest this is where i will be setting my order long if price action confirms it.
if we start showing signs of trend reversal this will usually be significant by large bearish candles, I will of course flip my bias and I will seek an entry to short this pair.
do you agree? let me know.
Thank you.
EURJPY| EARLY MORNING BUY OPPORTUNITY (That I did not take)Afternoon Trader,
I will be honest and say this IS NOT a trade I managed to take, I simply just missed it.
Ill talk you through my thoughts on why I would potentially take this as a trade, we had multi bullish candle closes from the 121.917 level all the way up to the highs of 122.501 level with a swift sell off, initially I was not interested as price action had pushed down too quickly for me showing we may potentially have some non tradable volatility and clear rejection of the most recent high level signalling very little momentum.
However, over the course of the Asian session price action continued to form into a tight range/channel that then hit my key level of interest and my entry would have been triggered and impulsed away.
but as stated I did not enter this trade but for the purposes of being fully transparent I thought It may help fellow traders.
let me know your thoughts if you agree or disagree.
Thank you.
EURJPY: current analysisEvening Traders,
a few potential scenarios on this particular pair:
1) potentially we are in a larger ascending channel structure highlighted with the dotted outer trend lines, if so I see price action going for another move up within structure, but it will be largely corrective and not the best trade-able move, if we do, ideally a high candle rejection with an immediate sell off at the top and a sell area as highlighted in the box, I will be waiting for price action to confirm the significant low at that point if we get there (the box is simply there for illustration purposes)
2) price action could potentially fall out the bottom and retrace all our gains from yesterdays trade, if so once again i will wait for the relevant low and set my order.
3) it could simply just push out of it current structure and then get itself caught in a range as illustrated and then push up.
but I will employ patience and wait for the markets to reveal its direction and i will update if necessary, this is simply my opinion if anyone has any other thoughts let me know. Thank you.
EURJPY to climb from upside confirmation, potential bounce!
EURJPY to climb from its upside confirmation at 122.690 where it could potentially bounce further to 124.370.
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EURJYP BuyI believe the trend has reversed and we are now bullish but have hit a resistance point and should retrace where buyers may take a long position again. I have identified 2 places where you may wish to do a buy either at leg B OR you can decide to wait for market to go lower before buying in again at leg D.
My labelled zones are only a rough idea of where i think the market may touch. Decide on your own Entry & Exit.
DISCLAIMER
Please note that this chart is an opinion based chart only. Please trade at your own risk
Short EURJPY Short Term based on 30M + 1H Charts H&S Pattern I have a longter term Short setup for the EURJPY but here we see a shorter term H&S pattern setup forming for anyone interested in a shorter, possible intraday trade. Wait for a break of the neckline before entering and a more conservative approach would be to wait for a pullback and re-test, however, from experience we know this does not always happen.
If you are interested in a more longer term trade, check out my related idea for a longterm short on the EURJPY with potential of around 200pips.
This research is for informational purposes and should not be construed as personal advice. Trading any financial market involves risk. Trading on leverage involves risk of losses greater than deposits.
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EURJPY right on major support, time to buyBuy above 123.15. Stop loss at 122.49. Take profit at 124.15.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price has dropped strongly and is now testing support at 123.15 (Fibonacci extension, Fibonacci retracement, horizontal swing low support, bullish divergence) and we expect to see a strong bounce above this level to at least 124.15 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing strong support above 4.7% and also sees bullish divergence signalling that a bounce is impending.
Correlation analysis: We’re expecting overall JPY weakness with bounces expected on AUDJPY, USDJPY and EURJPY. Hence this falls very nicely into a correlated move.
EURJPY testing major support, remain bullishBuy above 124.18. Stop loss at 123.62. Take profit at 125.24.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is now testing our major support. We remain bullish looking to buy above major support at 124.18 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support, bullish divergence) for a push up to at least 125.25 resistance (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing strong support above the 5% level where we expect a strong bounce from and also sees bullish divergence signalling that a bounce is impending.
Correlation analysis: We’re expecting overall JPY weakness with bounces expected on USDJPY and EURJPY. Hence this falls very nicely into a correlated move.
Short EURJPY Longterm Based on 30M + 4H ChartsWe saw a bullish EMA crossover (Golden Cross) occur on the 26th of April 2017 on the 4H chart and price has respected this crossover and has been riding above it, making higher highs. However, in recent weeks we've seen progression slow down and we have made our first Lower High as the uptrend begins to curve round to the downside.
Price has also fallen below the EMA50 and is heading towards our first price target of 123.158 which would make it's first Lower Low.
On the 30M chart we can see the EMA50 has now crossed below the EMA200 (Death Cross) and with strong divergence to the downside, this would support our decision to short the EURJPY pair.
Place your stop at 124.695 and price targets of 123.158 but we're not setting a TP, we will let this run and adjust our stop accordingly to secure profits.
This research is for informational purposes and should not be construed as personal advice. Trading any financial market involves risk. Trading on leverage involves risk of losses greater than deposits.
Please comment below and Like if you agree with my analysis.
EURJPY approaching major resistance, prepare to sellSell below 125.80. Stop loss at 126.13. Take profit at 124.60.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is approaching major resistance at 125.80 (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing high resistance) and we expect a strong reaction off this level for a drop to at least 124.60 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (55,5,3) is seeing major resistance below the 96% level where we expect a drop from.
Correlation analysis: We’re expecting overall JPY strength today with drops expected on USDJPY and EURJPY.
EURJPY approaching strong resistance, prepare to sellSell below 124.62. Stop loss at 125.21. Take profit at 123.19.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is approaching strong resistance at 124.62 (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance, Fibonacci extension) and we expect a drop from this level to at least 123.19 support (Fibonacci extension, horizontal swing low support).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major resistance below the 94% level where we expect a strong drop from.
Correlation analysis: AUDJPY and USDJPY are expecting bounces. So we have to exercise caution on this trade.
EURJPY dropping nicely, remain bearishSell below 124.41. Stop loss at 125.10. Take profit at 122.62.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price reached our selling area and is dropping nicely towards our profit target. The plan today is to remain bearish below major resistance at 124.41 (Fibonacci extension, Elliott wave theory, horizontal swing high resistance, bearish divergence) and we expect a drop from this level towards 122.62 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (89,5,3) is seeing major resistance below the 94% level and also sees bearish divergence vs price signalling that a drop is impending.
Correlation analysis: We’re expecting overall JPY strength today with AUDJPY and EURJPY both expecting drops.
EURJPY remain bearish below major resistanceSell below 121.23. Stop loss at 121.83. Take profit at 119.44.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
We turn bearish below 121.23 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, major horizontal overlap resistance) for a push down to 119.44 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback support).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing major resistance below the 95% level.
EURJPY profit target reached perfectly, time to sellSell below 120.23. Stop loss at 120.70. Take profit at 119.44.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price shot up and reached our profit target perfectly from yesterday. We prepare to sell below major resistance at 120.23 (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal overlap resistance) for a drop to at least 119.44 support (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap support).
Stochastic (34,5,3) is seeing major resistance below the 95% level where we expect a reaction from.
EURJPY bounced perfectly, remain bullishBuy above 119.05. Stop loss at 118.19. Take profit at 120.23.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price bounced absolutely perfectly above our buying level. We now remain bullish with price making a further bullish exit of its descending resistance-turned-support line. The goal is to buy above 119.05 support (Fibonacci retracement, pullback support) for a further push up to 120.23 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance).
Stochastic (55,5,3) has made a bullish exit signalling a further rise is expected.
EURJPY remain bullish for a push upBuy above 118.22. Stop loss at 117.45. Take profit at 120.23.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price is approaching support at 118.22 (Fibonacci extension) where we expect to see a bounce from to at least 120.23 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing strong support above the 5.4% level.
EURJPY right on major support, remain bullishBuy above 119.64. Stop loss at 119.16. Take profit at 120.66.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
We remain bullish above 119.64 support (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal support). Target would be 120.66 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing strong support above the 6.4% level.
Reason for the trading strategy (fundamentally):
The main news event driving EUR today is the Euro-Zone Consumer Price Index (CPI) Estimate. The CPI is the key gauge for inflation in the Euro Zone. The index tracks changes in the price of a basket of goods and services that a typical household might purchase. When the CPI is high, it indicates that significant inflationary pressures exist in Euro Zone economies. This puts pressure on the European Central Bank to raise interest rates. When CPI comes out lower than expected the ECB is expected to lower interest rates, or keep them lower, to encourage economic growth. We are expecting a lower CPI which would mean a weaker EUR. This goes against our bullish EURJPY trade today so it is best to exercise caution on this trade.
EURJPY profit target reached perfectly, prepare to buyBuy above 119.64. Stop loss at 119.16. Take profit at 120.66.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
Price dropped perfectly and reached our profit target we have been targeting for the entire of last week. We now turn bullish above 119.64 support (Fibonacci retracement, Fibonacci extension, horizontal support). Target would be 120.66 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal pullback resistance).
Stochastic (21,5,3) is seeing strong support above the 6.4% level.
EURJPY remain bearish at major resistanceSell below 121.09. Stop loss at 121.86. Take profit at 119.65.
Reason for the trading strategy (technically):
We remain bearish below 121.09 resistance (Fibonacci retracement, horizontal overlap resistance) for a push down to 119.65 support (Fibonacci extension, horizontal support, recent swing low support).
Stochastic (34,5,3) has reacted off our 92% resistance level perfectly and continues to see resistance there.