Eurjpybreakout
Short EURJPY Short Term based on 30M + 1H Charts H&S Pattern I have a longter term Short setup for the EURJPY but here we see a shorter term H&S pattern setup forming for anyone interested in a shorter, possible intraday trade. Wait for a break of the neckline before entering and a more conservative approach would be to wait for a pullback and re-test, however, from experience we know this does not always happen.
If you are interested in a more longer term trade, check out my related idea for a longterm short on the EURJPY with potential of around 200pips.
This research is for informational purposes and should not be construed as personal advice. Trading any financial market involves risk. Trading on leverage involves risk of losses greater than deposits.
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Short EURJPY Longterm Based on 30M + 4H ChartsWe saw a bullish EMA crossover (Golden Cross) occur on the 26th of April 2017 on the 4H chart and price has respected this crossover and has been riding above it, making higher highs. However, in recent weeks we've seen progression slow down and we have made our first Lower High as the uptrend begins to curve round to the downside.
Price has also fallen below the EMA50 and is heading towards our first price target of 123.158 which would make it's first Lower Low.
On the 30M chart we can see the EMA50 has now crossed below the EMA200 (Death Cross) and with strong divergence to the downside, this would support our decision to short the EURJPY pair.
Place your stop at 124.695 and price targets of 123.158 but we're not setting a TP, we will let this run and adjust our stop accordingly to secure profits.
This research is for informational purposes and should not be construed as personal advice. Trading any financial market involves risk. Trading on leverage involves risk of losses greater than deposits.
Please comment below and Like if you agree with my analysis.
what's most importantEURJPY found support last year at the lower bound of a multi year channel (109.50) and a swift recovery has taken shape since then. It headed towards an intermittent hurdle near 124 the 76.4% retracement from march2016.
Currently the pair is retesting the channel limit at 11.70 in what appears to be the fourth wave from an elliot perspective. With the daily indicators closing in on support 119.70 should contain nearterm downside.
A break above will take it towards 122.50/123 with the next handle at the recent high of 124.
eurjpy daily chartAs mentioned in previous post we found support last year at the lower bound of a multi year channel at 109.50 and a swift recovery has taken shape since then.
A recovery appears plausible towards 121. A break above will take it towards 122.50/123 with the next handle at 124.
All the best and trade with care.
Thanks for your support.
EURJPY Pending Sells, model suggests large move comingMorning guys,
Glad we all managed to make some on the eurusd trade yesterday at 1.08298, with the ECB offering a bazooka purchasing bonds with a minimum one year maturity including those with yields below deposit rate (-40bps).
EURUSD has begun its move toward parity in coming months, most likely before the French Elections. If anything the ECB policy meeting yesterday confirms that stance. Whilst mapping out the political landscape with Netherlands election in March, France April/May and Merkel losing ground to populist parties. An election in Italy should not be ruled out either given the limits on the banking system particularly stemming from Italy.
Technically speaking, selling rallies into previous areas like this are a nice play, it is possible that we have missed the eurjpy move coming close with no cigar. It is also expected for those who are in the 1.08x shorts on eurusd that we will see a pullback, staying short and selling rallies is a good play where FOMC will be raising rates.
The model is implying a large trend change will come in January 2017 so paying attention to events ahead will be imperative moving forward.
Likes and comments are always appreciated, and please expect me to go on about my euro parity call for so long once we get there :)