Short EURJPY Longterm Based on 30M + 4H ChartsWe saw a bullish EMA crossover (Golden Cross) occur on the 26th of April 2017 on the 4H chart and price has respected this crossover and has been riding above it, making higher highs. However, in recent weeks we've seen progression slow down and we have made our first Lower High as the uptrend begins to curve round to the downside.
Price has also fallen below the EMA50 and is heading towards our first price target of 123.158 which would make it's first Lower Low.
On the 30M chart we can see the EMA50 has now crossed below the EMA200 (Death Cross) and with strong divergence to the downside, this would support our decision to short the EURJPY pair.
Place your stop at 124.695 and price targets of 123.158 but we're not setting a TP, we will let this run and adjust our stop accordingly to secure profits.
This research is for informational purposes and should not be construed as personal advice. Trading any financial market involves risk. Trading on leverage involves risk of losses greater than deposits.
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Eurjpybreakout
what's most importantEURJPY found support last year at the lower bound of a multi year channel (109.50) and a swift recovery has taken shape since then. It headed towards an intermittent hurdle near 124 the 76.4% retracement from march2016.
Currently the pair is retesting the channel limit at 11.70 in what appears to be the fourth wave from an elliot perspective. With the daily indicators closing in on support 119.70 should contain nearterm downside.
A break above will take it towards 122.50/123 with the next handle at the recent high of 124.
eurjpy daily chartAs mentioned in previous post we found support last year at the lower bound of a multi year channel at 109.50 and a swift recovery has taken shape since then.
A recovery appears plausible towards 121. A break above will take it towards 122.50/123 with the next handle at 124.
All the best and trade with care.
Thanks for your support.
EURJPY Pending Sells, model suggests large move comingMorning guys,
Glad we all managed to make some on the eurusd trade yesterday at 1.08298, with the ECB offering a bazooka purchasing bonds with a minimum one year maturity including those with yields below deposit rate (-40bps).
EURUSD has begun its move toward parity in coming months, most likely before the French Elections. If anything the ECB policy meeting yesterday confirms that stance. Whilst mapping out the political landscape with Netherlands election in March, France April/May and Merkel losing ground to populist parties. An election in Italy should not be ruled out either given the limits on the banking system particularly stemming from Italy.
Technically speaking, selling rallies into previous areas like this are a nice play, it is possible that we have missed the eurjpy move coming close with no cigar. It is also expected for those who are in the 1.08x shorts on eurusd that we will see a pullback, staying short and selling rallies is a good play where FOMC will be raising rates.
The model is implying a large trend change will come in January 2017 so paying attention to events ahead will be imperative moving forward.
Likes and comments are always appreciated, and please expect me to go on about my euro parity call for so long once we get there :)
EURJPY Trading Tips and Market Analysis 4th July 2016SUMMARY:
The EURJPY pair bounced slightly during the course of the day on Friday, using the 113.28 level as support. At this point in time, the market is looking bearish. The primary trend of EURJPY is bearish on charts and price is trading below its support trend line in its 1 hourly chart. In its daily chart the price is sustaining below 200 day SMA that are appears on the above image indicating downtrend of the pair. It is having an important resistance at the level of 115.50 Support at the level of 113.28. If it breaks its support level on the downside and sustains below it then we can expect it to show further bearish movement in the pair.
INDICATORS:-
MACD is sustaining in its negative territory indicating the bearish trend in the pair.
RSI is sustaining in its selling zone indicating the upcoming negative trend in the pair.
STRATEGY:
EURJPY is looking bearish on charts for next few trading session. One can go for sell on higher level strategy for this pair for intra day to mid term positions in it.
Likes and comments much appreciated here guys, thanks.
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EUR/JPY1. Price may continue going down to .382 (S3), if it breaks the S3 price should retrace off the channel and go into an uptrend.
2. Possible reversal at 122.417 & 122.216
4. Once the resistance level at 122.739 is broken it turns into support for the uptrend
5. Once uptrend starts price may retrace 2 times before reaching target.
6. Watch for the retracement and exit trade "long and re-enter "Short" until the indication of the next uptrend
1,260 or more Possible Pips gained, if entries are on time