Scenario on EURJPY 11.12.24In this market we see an ongoing correction which appears to be a triangle, if this were the case then the price would complete 164 and go down if this formation was evaluated as a double bottom or more accurately it would be a running triple bottom and after breaking through the BOS at the 166.5 level we would be here they had a long set up.
Eurjpylong
#EURJPY 4HEURJPY 4-Hour Analysis
The EURJPY pair is trading near a key support level on the 4-hour chart, a zone where buyers have previously stepped in to push prices higher. This support area presents a potential buying opportunity if the price shows signs of holding above this level.
Technical Outlook:
Pattern: Support
Forecast: Bullish (Buy Opportunity)
Entry Strategy: Enter a buy position near the support level, confirming with bullish price action.
Traders should look for confirmation such as bullish candlestick patterns (e.g., bullish engulfing or pin bar) or indicators like RSI signaling oversold conditions. Proper risk management is essential, with stop-loss orders placed below the support level and profit targets set at the next resistance zone.
EURJPY Analysis - Bullish - Trade 05EUR/JPY Analysis Overview
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1. Seasonality
EUR: Strong seasonal buy signal for first week of December. Historically, EUR tends to perform well during the early part of December, particularly as year-end market dynamics drive demand for European assets.
JPY: Seasonal performance is mixed to weak in first week of December, suggesting potential weakness for JPY in this period.
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2. COT Report
EUR:
COT RSI: At the bottom (0%) for 52 weeks, 26 weeks, and 13 weeks, signaling an oversold condition, suggesting a buy setup for EUR.
Non-commercial Positioning: Non-commercial long positions are decreasing, short positions are increasing, but net non-commercial is still decreasing. This indicates that while there may be some sell-side pressure, the market may be nearing a reversal, with less aggressive short interest.
COT Index: At the bottom (0%) for 3-year and 1-year periods, indicating a strong potential for EUR to rise from this point.
JPY
COT RSI: At the middle, indicating a neutral stance. This is less of a concern compared to other currencies, but it points to a market that is less bullish on JPY.
Non-commercial Positioning: Non-commercial long positions are increasing, short positions are also rising, and net non-commercial is decreasing. This suggests that JPY has some strength but is facing growing pressure from increased short positions.
COT Index: Neutral positioning, which does not indicate any clear bullish or bearish bias.
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3. Fundamental Analysis
LEI (Leading Economic Indicators)
Global: Increasing LEI suggests positive global economic momentum, supporting the EUR.
EUR: Positive LEI, indicating economic growth and improving outlook for the Eurozone.
JPY: Decreasing LEI, signaling a potential slowdown or economic stagnation in Japan, which is bearish for JPY.
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Endogenous Factors
EUR: Increasing endogenous factors, indicating positive growth in the Eurozone. Economic recovery is likely to continue through the end of the year, supporting EUR strength.
JPY: Mixed to increasing endogenous factors, suggesting some potential for JPY to strengthen but not strongly enough to outperform the EUR.
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Exogenous Factors
EURJPY: Exogenous factors support a buy EUR, sell JPY strategy due to the relative strength of EUR and the weakness in JPY from factors like EURJPY = Buy and EURUSD = Buy signals in exogenous correlations.
EUR/JPY Pairs: Strong support for EUR in the cross-pair comparisons (EURJPY = Buy) and weak performance from JPY, confirming a bullish stance for EURJPY.
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4. Technical Analysis
RSI Divergence: The RSI for EUR/JPY is not in overbought territory, suggesting room for further upside.
Support Levels: There is days support level from which the pair has bounced and is likely to continue upward if it maintains above these levels.
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Bias: Long EURJPY
Conclusion: The combination of favorable seasonality, positive COT signals for EUR, strong fundamental support from global and Eurozone LEIs, and bullish technical indicators positions EUR/JPY for further upside. The relative weakness of JPY and its mixed economic signals reinforce the bias to go long on EUR/JPY.
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Trade Plan
Entry: 157.241
SL: 156.020
TP: 158.462
EURJPY possible reversal for 160.80eurjpy near to its three month support level. 156.60 & 155.90 level of interest for buying. stop below the 5th August strong support level i.e. 154.40, sl is wider, while tp is too long as 160.80.
3rd December daily key reversal bar as well, made a new low closed in the middle. reversal trade need a lot of patience and discipline with proper money management.
EURJPY to find buyers at current swing low?EURJPY - 24h expiry
We are trading at oversold extremes.
This is positive for short term sentiment and we look to set longs at good risk/reward levels for a further correction higher.
Preferred trade is to buy on dips.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further downside before the uptrend returns.
We therefore, prefer to fade into the dip with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back higher.
Although the anticipated move higher is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
We look to Buy at 162.20 (stop at 161.18)
Our profit targets will be 164.70 and 164.95
Resistance: 164.90 / 167.40 / 170.90
Support: 162.45 / 159.40 / 154.40
Risk Disclaimer
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EUR JPY Trade Setup Daily TimeframeEUR JPY has broken through a major resistance level, which has now turned into a support level, forming break and retest pattern on the daily timeframe.
We’ll be looking for buy entries from the retest level. to get our entry, let’s scale down to lower timeframes to identify chart patterns and candlestick confirmations.
📉🔄📈
EURJPY BUY | Idea Trading AnalysisEURJPY is moving in an UP trend channel.
The chart broke through the dynamic Resistance line..
We expect a decline in the channel after testing the current level which suggests that the price will continue to rise
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great BUY opportunity EURJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad
#EURJPY: 156 TO 166 A total of 1000+ pips emerging! Daer Traders,
We are witnessing a bullish reversal on EURJPY and that is why we think price is likely to continue going up. With possibility of price reaching towards a level of 166 which is a key level where we have fair value gap within the chart frame. good luck
Buy EUR/JPY Bullish FlagThe EUR/JPY pair on the M30 timeframe presents a potential Buying opportunity due to a recent downward breakout from a well-defined Bullish Flag pattern. This suggests a shift in momentum towards the Upside in the coming Hours.
Key Points:
Buy Entry: Consider entering a Long position around the current price of 164.33, positioned close to the breakout level. This offers an entry point near the perceived shift in momentum.
Target Levels:
1st Support – 165.42
2nd Support – 166.05
Stop-Loss: To manage risk, place a stop-loss order below 163.70. This helps limit potential losses if the price unexpectedly reverses and breaks back upwards.
Your likes and comments are incredibly motivating and will encourage me to share more analysis with you.
Best Regards, KABHI FOREX TRADING
Thank you.
EURJPY I Potential upside but caution around Yen Policy RateWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
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Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
EUR JPY Entry Setup 2 Hour TimeframeOn the 2 hour timeframe, EURJPY has formed a bullish rectangle continuation pattern, followed by a strong breakout to the upside.
To confirm our entry, we need to wait for the price to pull back to the retest level, where we'll look for candlestick confirmations before entering a buy position.⏰
EUR JPY Trade Setup 4 Hour TimeframeOn the 4-hour timeframe, EUR JPY is pulling back for a retest of the broken resistance level, which has now turned into a new support level.
The pair continues to move in an uptrend, forming higher highs and higher lows while bouncing off a support trendline.
We will be looking for buy opportunities as the price tests this key support level.
EUR/JPY Technical Analysis:(READ DESCRIPTION)EUR/JPY Technical Analysis: Upside Potential with Key Support at 162.53
Pivot Point: 162.53
The pivot at 162.53 is a crucial support level for EUR/JPY, acting as the foundation for potential upward movement. As long as the pair holds above this level, bullish momentum could take the price higher.
Our Preference: Long Positions
Recommended Trade:
Long positions are favored as long as the price remains above the 162.53 pivot point. This could lead to a significant move toward higher resistance levels.
Target Levels for Upside Movement:
First Target: 164.52
This is the main upside target where traders may aim to take profits or assess further bullish continuation.
Alternative Scenario: Downside Risks
If the price drops below 162.53:
Bearish Outlook:
First Target: 161.79
Second Target: 161.35
These levels serve as potential support zones if a bearish trend emerges.
Technical Insights:
RSI Indicator:
The RSI is above 50, signaling bullish momentum. This suggests that the price has potential to rise further as buying interest increases.
MACD Indicator:
The MACD is positive but below its signal line, indicating potential short-term retracement before the uptrend resumes.
Moving Averages:
The price is trading above both the 20-period and 50-period moving averages (163.03 and 162.76, respectively), reinforcing the bullish outlook.
EURJPY I Potential slight pullback and more growthWelcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
** EURJPY Analysis - Listen to video!
We recommend that you keep this pair on your watchlist and enter when the entry criteria of your strategy is met.
Please support this idea with a LIKE and COMMENT if you find it useful and Click "Follow" on our profile if you'd like these trade ideas delivered straight to your email in the future.
Thanks for your continued support!Welcome back! Let me know your thoughts in the comments!
EURJPY Bullish Bat pattern: Forecasting an Upside moveHello traders,
A number of harmonic patterns are surfacing today. Here is my analysis of a clear bullish Bat pattern spotted on the EURJPY Pair. The Bullish Bat pattern is a harmonic pattern used in technical analysis to predict potential reversal zones. The EURJPY pair has formed this pattern with the following parameters:
X = 168.022
A = 170.293
B = 168.940
C = 169.976
D = 168.302
Here's the breakdown of the Fibonacci relationships for this pattern:
AB Leg: Retraces 38.2% to 50% of the XA leg. Point B at 168.940 confirms this.
BC Leg: Retraces 38.2% to 88.6% of the AB leg. Point C at 169.976 confirms this.
CD Leg: Extends 161.8% to 261.8% of the BC leg or retraces 88.6% of the XA leg. Point D at 168.302 confirms this and is close to the 88.6% retracement of the XA leg.
In summary, the points X, A, B, C, and D fit within the Fibonacci retracement and extension levels for a Bullish Bat pattern on EURJPY. This indicates a high probability of a bullish reversal at point D (168.302), which also qualifies as a good support zone for price.
In addition, my Elliott Wave analysis suggests the pair has completed the corrective wave ABC to the downside. I'm anticipating an impulsive move to the upside towards 169.70 and 170.31. Let's watch out for confirming price action.
Cheers and happy trading.
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EUR/JPY: Bullish trendline breakOn the daily chart, there is a clear break of a downtrend line with a confirmed weekly close above it - unlike during the liquidity grab where the price broke higher but then closed the week under the trendline.
This broken trendline and Friday’s low at 161 is now support. Should the price be able to break above the August peak, a next possible upside target is 167.5 (the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement of July-August drop.
But that’s just what we think, do you agree or disagree?
Send us a message and let us know
Happy Trading!
Jasper, WeTrade Market Analyst and Founder of Trading Writers.