EURJPY - Looking To Sell Pullbacks In The Short TermM15 - Strong bearish move.
Lower lows on the moving averages of the MACD.
No opposite signs.
Currently it looks like a pullback is happening.
Expecting bearish continuation until the two Fibonacci resistance zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Eurjpyprediction
The Correlation Between EURJPY and NASDAQ You Shouldn't IgnoreCurrently keeping a close eye on EURJPY — price action has been bullish 📈, showing a strong upward push on the daily timeframe 🕒.
Right now, we’re seeing a bit of indecision 🤔, which is fairly typical for a Monday session as the market finds its footing.
🔍 I’m watching for continuation to the upside, as long as NASDAQ remains bullish. That said, NASDAQ is looking quite overextended 🧗, and a pullback could trigger a short-term retracement in the euro as well — these two tend to move in correlation 🔗, so keep a close watch on NAS100 for early clues.
If EURJPY consolidates sideways ⏸️, and we then get a clear break of market structure to the upside 🚀, I’ll be looking for a long setup on the retest and failure of the range floor — textbook continuation play 🎯.
As always, this is not financial advice — full breakdown in the video 🎥.
EURJPY: A Big Move In Making, Please Share Your Views! Date: 22/06/2025
Hello everyone,
I hope you’re all having a good weekend. As we previously discussed, we expected a sharp decline in Europe/JPY, but unfortunately, it didn’t work out in our favour due to the extremely bullish US dollar. This led to the crossing and invalidation of our two selling zones.
Looking at next week’s price projection, we can confirm that the price is heading towards 170.50 and may be selling at this level. Therefore, we will be keeping a stop loss at 171.50.
Once the trade is activated, we can set our target at 166.0, 163.50, and the final target will be placed at 158.50.
If you like our work, please like our idea.
Good luck and trade safely next week.
#EURJPY: Major Swing Sell +1100 Pips, One Not To Miss! The Japanese Yen (JPY) is most likely to continue its bullish trend, as the Dollar Index (DXY) is expected to decline due to the ongoing conflict between Israel and Iran. Historically, JPY and CHF, alongside gold and silver, have been favoured by global investors and remain bullish. Strong fundamentals and technical support further support our analysis.
The 167-169 price region remains a critical point for sellers, where we anticipate significant selling volume. There are two entry points to consider: one near the current price and another slightly further away. Please monitor volume and use smaller time frames for entries.
Our Swing Target is at 154, but you can also target smaller zones once the trade is activated. For instance, set take-profit levels at 164, 160, and finally, at 154.
To encourage and support us, you can like the idea, comment on it, or share it.
Team Setupsfx_
❤️❤️🚀🚀
EURJPY Long Position EURJPY is currently in a bullish trend from a higher timeframe perspective with the potential for a further long opportunity at the end of the current retracement. On the 1 hour timeframe, EURJPY is trading above the 50 SMA and is approaching the 55 zone of the RSI indicating the end of the retracement and continuation of the bullish trend. addition confluences include the breakout level at 166,566 being tested and the the bullish trendline at play... Will be looking for an entry at 166,566 with stop loss below structure, riding the bullish trend towards the 167,190 resistance zone.
EURJPY Trade IdeaEURJPY is maintaining a strong bullish structure on the 1H chart, with price action consistently forming higher highs and higher lows.
My targets are set at the next resistance levels for partial and extended profits, with a final target at the upper resistance if bullish momentum persists.
Stop loss is placed just below the previous swing low.
Technical Analysis: JPY Price Action Near Resistance – Potential📊 Technical Analysis: JPY Price Action Near Resistance – Potential Reversal Ahead? ⚠️
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🔍 Overview:
This chart illustrates the recent price action of a JPY-based asset (likely a JPY forex pair), currently testing a major resistance zone around the 165.286–165.500 area. The market is reacting sharply at this level, suggesting a possible rejection and correction downward. The setup is marked with well-defined support/resistance levels and potential retracement targets.
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🟧 Key Zones:
🛑 Resistance Zone (165.286 – 165.500): Price is currently reacting at this overhead supply zone. This level has historically rejected bullish attempts, as seen in previous price action.
🟩 Support Zone (161.302 – 161.550): This demand zone has served as a strong base previously and is marked as the final potential retracement level (labeled "4") in the chart.
---
🔻 Retracement Levels:
Labeled as 1 through 4 in purple lines:
1. Level 1 – 163.948 🟣: Initial minor support; might provide a short-term pause if price pulls back.
2. Level 2 – 162.803 🔄: Mid-level support; watch for consolidation or bounce.
3. Level 3 – 162.091 🧲: Stronger support and possible bounce level.
4. Level 4 – 161.550 🛡️: Key support aligning with historical demand zone. A break below this could signal trend reversal.
---
🔄 Price Projection:
The curved arrow indicates a potential correction from the resistance zone down toward the support levels, especially targeting Zone 4. This move reflects a typical market reaction when price meets strong resistance after a steep rally.
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📈 Strategic Implications:
For Bulls 🐂: Wait for confirmation of support at any of the retracement levels (especially 3 or 4) before entering.
For Bears 🐻: This is an optimal area to look for short entries, especially if bearish candlestick patterns confirm rejection from the resistance zone.
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✅ Conclusion:
Price is at a critical decision point near major resistance. A bearish reversal is likely if the resistance holds, with a corrective move toward 161.302–161.550 being the most probable target range. Traders should watch for confirmation signals before committing to positions.
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📌 Tip: Keep an eye on candlestick patterns and volume at the resistance zone to validate the reversal hypothesis.
EURJPY - Look for Short (SWING) 1:XX!It’s been a while since I last shared a trading idea — here’s one for you.
EURJPY has spent the past few weeks in an accumulation phase and now looks poised to shift into a distribution phase to the downside. Let’s see how it unfolds.
Disclaimer:
This is simply my personal technical analysis, and you're free to consider it as a reference or disregard it. No obligation! Emphasizing the importance of proper risk management—it can make a significant difference. Wishing you a successful and happy trading experience!
TEXT BOOK LTF PA EURJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25TEXT BOOK LTF PA EURJPY LONG FORECAST Q2 W21 D22 Y25
Professional Risk Managers👋
Welcome back to another FRGNT chart update📈
Diving into some Forex setups using predominantly higher time frame order blocks alongside confirmation breaks of structure.
Let’s see what price action is telling us today!
💡Here are some trade confluences📝
✅Weekly 50 EMA
✅Daily 50 EMA
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
✅Intraday 15' order block
✅Tokyo ranges to be filled
🔑 Remember, to participate in trading comes always with a degree of risk, therefore as professional risk managers it remains vital that we stick to our risk management plan as well as our trading strategies.
📈The rest, we leave to the balance of probabilities.
💡Fail to plan. Plan to fail.
🏆It has always been that simple.
❤️Good luck with your trading journey, I shall see you at the very top.
🎯Trade consistent, FRGNT X
EURJPY Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 27th I shared this idea "EURJPY - Expecting The Price To Bounce Higher Further"
Expected bullish continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price moved as per the plan here!!!
Price respected the second Fibonacci support zone and bounced higher.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
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Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
Mid Term Short on EURJPYIn the short term, I predict a bounce back to the trendline as we sweep some liquidity around this current location. If/When we break the 155 support, we will hit a minimum of 140 and even lower.
This is an idea. If you agree with the fundamentals of the chart you can follow my trade.
Short-term target with price reversal from 1.55
Target 1 - 159
Target 2 - 161.500 (I will look for a reversal and short from this location)
Price target with price breaking below 1.55 support zone
Short Term Target - 140
Mid Term Target - 135
EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is to escape near the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (163.500) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level for Pullback entries.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (5100) Day trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 165.700 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
💰💵💸EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex Market Heist Plan (Scalping/Day) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors. 👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets..., go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
EURJPY Short Term Buy Idea Update!!!Hi Traders, on March 27th I shared this idea "EURJPY - Expecting The Price To Bounce Higher Further"
Expected bullish continuation higher until the two Fibonacci support zones hold. You can read the full post using the link above.
Price is moving as per the plan!!!
Price respecting the second Fibonacci support zone and bounces higher. My bullish view still remains.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
"EUR/JPY Trendline Break & RBR Zone Setup"🔹 Trendline Breakout
* ✍️ A descending trendline was clearly broken
* 📉 This signals a shift from bearish to bullish sentiment
* 🚀 Potential for a strong move upward
🔵 RBR Zone (Rally-Base-Rally)
* 📦 Marked as a demand zone
* 🧲 Price dipped into this zone and bounced — bullish sign!
* ✅ Ideal entry area for long trades
🎯 Target Point: 164.208
* 📈 This aligns with a previous swing high
* 🎯 Potential move: +309.8 pips / +1.92%
* 🥅 Clear bullish target if the momentum holds
🛑 Stop Loss: 160.455
* 🧱 Placed just below the demand zone
* 💡 Gives the trade breathing room
* 🔐 Risk-managed setup
📊 Indicators & Price Action
* 📍 Current Price: 161.443
* 📈 Above the DEMA (9) = Short-term bullish
* 🟢 Price action supports long entry
Summary
* 📌 Bias: Bullish
* 🎯 Target: 164.208
* 🛑 Stop: 160.455
* ⚖️ Risk-Reward: Excellent (R:R ≈ 1:3+)
EUR/JPY Bullish Reversal Setup – Entry, Stop Loss & Target StratEMA (30) - Red Line (160.596): Short-term trend.
EMA (200) - Blue Line (161.267): Long-term trend, currently above the 30 EMA indicating a bearish macro trend.
2. Entry Zone:
Marked in purple between 159.751 and 160.161, suggesting a buy (long) opportunity if price retests this demand/support zone.
3. Stop Loss:
Set just below the entry zone at 158.907, protecting against deeper bearish momentum.
4. Target Zone:
163.025 is the profit target, with a purple rectangle showing a resistance/supply zone around that level.
5. Price Action:
The price is currently consolidating near the ent
EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Swing/Day)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk ATR Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (164.000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an "alert (Alarm)" on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑: "🔊 Yo, listen up! 🗣️ If you're lookin' to get in on a buy stop order, don't even think about settin' that stop loss till after the breakout 🚀. You feel me? Now, if you're smart, you'll place that stop loss where I told you to 📍, but if you're a rebel, you can put it wherever you like 🤪 - just don't say I didn't warn you ⚠️. You're playin' with fire 🔥, and it's your risk, not mine 👊."
📍 Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 4H timeframe (161.000) Day / swing trade basis.
📍 SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 167.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex Market Heist Plan (Swing / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.👇👇👇
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets..., go ahead to check 👉👉👉🔗
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex Bank Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade)🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰💸✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸"Take profit and treat yourself, traders. You deserve it!💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (163.000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low level Using the 30 mins timeframe (161.500) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
🏴☠️Target 🎯: 166.000 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex Market Heist Plan (Scalping / Day Trade) is currently experiencing a bullishness,., driven by several key factors.
📰🗞️Get & Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, On Chain Analysis, Sentimental Outlook, Intermarket Analysis, Future trend targets.. go ahead to check 👉👉👉
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀
I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱👤🤗🤩
EURJPY - Expecting The Price To Bounce Higher FurtherH4 - Bullish trend pattern in the form of higher highs, higher lows structure
Strong bullish momentum
Expecting retraces and further continuation higher until the two key Fibonacci support zones hold.
If you enjoy this idea, don’t forget to LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌, and COMMENT ✍! Drop your thoughts and charts below to keep the discussion going. Your support helps keep this content free and reach more people! 🚀
--------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
Disclosure: I am part of Trade Nation's Influencer program and receive a monthly fee for using their TradingView charts in my analysis.
EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex Market Money Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟
Dear Money Makers & Thieves, 🤑 💰🐱👤✈️
Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes long entry. Our aim is the high-risk Red Zone. Risky level, overbought market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bearish robbers are stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉
Entry 📈 : "The heist is on! Wait for the MA breakout (161.000) then make your move - Bullish profits await!"
however I advise to Place Buy stop orders above the Moving average (or) Place buy limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe most recent or swing, low or high level.
📌I strongly advise you to set an alert on your chart so you can see when the breakout entry occurs.
Stop Loss 🛑:
Thief SL placed at the recent/swing low or high level Using the 4H timeframe (158.000) swing trade basis.
SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take.
Target 🎯: 165.700 (or) Escape Before the Target
🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Long side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰.
📰🗞️Read the Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Quantitative Analysis, Intermarket Analysis, Sentimental Outlook before start the plan.
EUR/JPY "The Yuppy" Forex market is currently experiencing a Bullish 🐃 trend,., driven by several key factors.
👉Fundamental Analysis
Fundamental analysis examines the economic and political factors driving currency value. For EUR/JPY, we focus on Eurozone vs. Japan.
👉Eurozone (EUR) Factors:
Interest Rates: Assume the European Central Bank (ECB) has maintained or raised rates by March 2025 to combat inflation or support growth. Higher rates attract capital inflows, strengthening EUR.
Inflation: If Eurozone inflation remains elevated (e.g., 2-3%), the ECB might tighten policy, supporting EUR.
GDP Growth: Strong growth (e.g., 2% annualized) signals economic health, boosting EUR.
Political Stability: Stable EU leadership and no major crises (e.g., elections or debt issues) favor EUR.
Trade Balance: A surplus in exports (e.g., German machinery) strengthens EUR.
👉Japan (JPY) Factors:
Interest Rates: The Bank of Japan (BoJ) historically keeps rates low or negative. If still near 0% or slightly positive by 2025, JPY remains weak.
Inflation: Japan’s chronic low inflation/deflation (e.g., 1%) limits JPY strength.
GDP Growth: Slow growth (e.g., 1%) due to aging population and export reliance weakens JPY.
Yen as Safe Haven: JPY gains during global risk-off events (e.g., wars, recessions). If 2025 is calm, JPY weakens.
Trade Balance: Japan’s export-driven economy (e.g., cars, tech) supports JPY if global demand holds.
Conclusion: At 160.000, EUR likely benefits from higher yields and growth, while JPY is pressured by low rates and risk-on sentiment.
👉Macroeconomic Factors
Macro trends influence long-term currency movements:
Global Growth: Strong global growth in 2025 favors risk assets, weakening JPY (a safe haven).
Commodity Prices: Rising oil/energy prices hurt Japan (net importer) more than the Eurozone, weakening JPY.
Central Bank Policies: ECB tightening vs. BoJ easing widens yield differentials, pushing EUR/JPY higher.
Geopolitics: Assume no major conflicts by March 2025; stability favors EUR over JPY.
Demographics: Japan’s aging population caps growth, while Eurozone’s diverse economies adapt better.
Conclusion: Macro trends lean bullish for EUR/JPY.
👉Global Market Analysis
Equity Markets: Rising global stocks (e.g., S&P 500, DAX) signal risk-on, weakening JPY.
Bond Yields: Higher Eurozone yields (e.g., German 10-year at 2.5%) vs. Japan’s (e.g., 0.5%) drive EUR strength.
FX Volatility: Low volatility favors carry trades (borrowing JPY to buy EUR), supporting EUR/JPY.
USD Impact: If USD weakens (e.g., Fed cuts rates), EUR may outperform JPY due to Eurozone resilience.
Conclusion: Risk-on global markets support a bullish EUR/JPY.
👉Commitment of Traders (COT) Data
COT reports show positioning of large speculators, commercials, and asset managers:
Speculators: If net long EUR/JPY increases (e.g., +50,000 contracts), it signals bullish sentiment.
Commercials: Hedgers shorting EUR/JPY (e.g., -30,000 contracts) suggest exporters locking in rates, a neutral signal.
Open Interest: Rising open interest with price indicates trend continuation (bullish if above 160.000).
Historical Context: Extreme positioning often precedes reversals; moderate longs suggest room to run.
Hypothetical Conclusion: Moderate bullish positioning supports further upside.
👉Intermarket Analysis
Intermarket relationships link forex to other assets:
EUR/JPY vs. Stocks: Positive correlation with risk assets (e.g., Nikkei 225, Euro Stoxx 50) favors bulls.
EUR/JPY vs. Yields: Strong correlation with Eurozone bond yields; rising yields push EUR/JPY up.
EUR/JPY vs. Gold: Inverse correlation; if gold falls (risk-on), EUR/JPY rises.
USD/JPY Impact: If USD/JPY rises (JPY weakens broadly), EUR/JPY follows suit.
Conclusion: Bullish intermarket signals align with EUR/JPY strength.
👉Quantitative Analysis
Quantitative models use data-driven metrics:
Interest Rate Differential: Assume ECB rate at 3% vs. BoJ at 0.5%; 2.5% differential favors EUR.
Purchasing Power Parity (PPP): Long-term fair value might be 140; at 160, EUR/JPY is overvalued but momentum-driven.
Volatility (ATR): Low 14-day ATR (e.g., 1.5) suggests steady uptrend, not exhaustion.
Moving Averages: If 50-day MA (e.g., 158) < 200-day MA (e.g., 155) < price (160), trend is bullish.
Conclusion: Quant metrics support a bullish bias.
👉Market Sentiment Analysis
Sentiment reflects trader psychology:
Retail Positioning: If 70% of retail traders are short EUR/JPY (per broker data), contrarian logic favors bulls.
News Flow: Positive Eurozone headlines (e.g., growth data) vs. neutral Japan news boost EUR.
Social Media (X): Assume X posts show optimism on EUR, pessimism on JPY carry trade unwind.
Conclusion: Sentiment leans bullish.
👉Positioning
Carry Trade: Low JPY rates make it a funding currency; longs in EUR/JPY profit from yield and appreciation.
Hedge Funds: Assume funds are net long EUR/JPY, per COT or market rumors.
Central Banks: BoJ intervention unlikely unless EUR/JPY spikes (e.g., to 170).
Conclusion: Positioning favors bulls.
👉Next Trend Move
Technical Levels: Resistance at 162.000, support at 158.000. Break above 162 signals strong bulls.
Catalysts: ECB hawkish statement or BoJ dovishness could push EUR/JPY to 165.000.
Risks: Sudden risk-off (e.g., stock crash) could drop it to 155.000.
Prediction: Uptrend to 162-165, barring shocks.
👉Overall Summary Outlook
Bullish Factors: ECB tightening, BoJ easing, risk-on markets, yield differentials, bullish positioning.
Bearish Risks: Global risk-off, BoJ intervention, or EUR overvaluation correction.
Outlook: Bullish. EUR/JPY likely rises to 162-165 by Q2 2025, assuming stability. Watch for reversals if risk sentiment shifts.
Real-Time Market Feed (Simulated)
Since I can’t access live data, here’s a hypothetical snapshot as of March 10, 2025, 12:00 UTC:
Bid/Ask: 159.980 / 160.020
1-Hour Change: +0.150 (+0.09%)
Daily High/Low: 160.300 / 159.700
Volume: Moderate, carry trade-driven.
👉Future Prediction
Short-Term : Bullish to 162-166.
Long-Term : Depends on global risk and policy shifts; potential correction to 150 if JPY strengthens.
📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly.
⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏
As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions,
we recommend the following:
Avoid taking new trades during news releases
Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits
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eurjpy buy signal
Don't forget about stop-loss.
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P.S. I personally will open entry if the price will show it according to my strategy.
Always make your analysis before a trade