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Eurjpyshort

EUR/JPY – High-Probability Short Setup 1️⃣ Market Overview – Bearish Bias Confirmation EUR/JPY remains in a strong downtrend, forming lower highs and lower lows. Currently, the price is retracing into a critical Fibonacci resistance zone, making this a prime opportunity to short the pair in line with institutional sentiment and seasonality trends. 2️⃣ Fibonacci Levels – Identifying Key Resistance The Fibonacci retracement is drawn from the most recent bearish impulse. Resistance Zone: 0.5 (156.888) to 0.786 (157.107) – a high-probability rejection area. If price fails to break above this zone, a continuation to the downside is expected. Prime Seasonality Insights – Historical Data Supports the Short Bias 📊 Seasonality trends over 15 years indicate that EUR/JPY historically declines in late February and early March. 🔻 February seasonality performance: -0.7% average return 🔻 Next 3-5 day forecast: Bearish probabilities (-0.06% to -0.21%) 🔻 Seasonality prediction candles show a short-term retracement, followed by downside continuation. 💡 This aligns with the technical setup, reinforcing a short bias. 4️⃣ Retail Sentiment – Smart Money Edge 🚨 79% of retail traders are LONG on EUR/JPY – a contrarian signal for a short trade. 🔻 Institutions (Smart Money) are aggressively shorting EUR/JPY, as seen in COT data. 🔻 Commitment of Traders (COT) Report shows increased institutional short positioning. 🔻 Retail traders trapped in longs will likely get stopped out, fueling further downside. 5️⃣ Technical Confirmation – Trendline & Indicators ✅ Price is below all major EMAs (6, 24, 72, 288) on the 4-hour chart. ✅ Supertrend remains bearish on the 4-hour timeframe. ✅ A downward sloping trendline aligns with the Fibonacci resistance zone. 💡 I will wait for confirmation (rejection wick, bearish engulfing candle) before entering a short position. 6️⃣ Conclusion – Trade Plan for EUR/JPY 🔹 Bias: Bearish due to downtrend, Fibonacci resistance, seasonality, and institutional short positioning. 🔹 Trade Setup: Sell EUR/JPY at 156.88 - 157.10 (Upon rejection) Stop Loss: Above 157.26 Take Profit Targets: 156.30, 156.04, 156.00 🔹 Key Confirmation: Retail traders are trapped in longs, seasonality supports further downside, and institutions are short. 🚀 This is a prime example of how combining Seasonality, Smart Money Positioning, and Technicals can create a powerful trade setup. 📌 What’s your outlook on EUR/JPY? Let’s discuss in the comments!
Short
by LDForex_
Mid Term Short on EURJPYIn the short term, I predict a bounce back to the trendline as we sweep some liquidity around this current location. If/When we break the 155 support, we will hit a minimum of 140 and even lower. This is an idea. If you agree with the fundamentals of the chart you can follow my trade. Short-term target with price reversal from 1.55 Target 1 - 159 Target 2 - 161.500 (I will look for a reversal and short from this location) Price target with price breaking below 1.55 support zone Short Term Target - 140 Mid Term Target - 135
Short
by SuperiorJG
I'm waiting for a good drop on the chart.It is at a historical ceiling where resistance is very strong. I expect a return to the 170 range and a market decline. Our main target is 9%. There is a possibility of a decline of up to 20% in the long term. The decline is probably as low as 20%. I am taking profit with a stop. 1- Break of the uptrend line 2- Start of the bearish phase 3- Retracement to the 86% Fibonacci line in the bearish phase 4- Start of our short position and receive 9% of the chart OANDA:EURCAD
Short
by Bijan2002
2
Strong Downtrend in EURJPY—Here’s My Trade Plan!In this video, we take a quick look at the EURJPY currency pair, which is currently in a strong downtrend. On the four-hour timeframe, we can clearly see lower highs and lower lows. However, price has now reached a key support zone on the weekly and daily timeframes. While my bias remains bearish, I’ll be watching for a retracement toward previous swing highs for a potential entry, as the pair is trading into a significant liquidity pool and is likely to react at this level. This is not financial advice.
Short
by fxtraderanthony
6
EURJPY - Intraday forecast, Technical Analysis & Trading Ideas💡 H4: ShortTerm Forecast: Price rejected from Downtrend and Sell Zone. Sell Zone: 163.18 ~ 164.84 Forecast: 1- Correction wave toward the Sell Zone 2- Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs SL: Above 164.84 💡 H1: Intraday Forecast: The Uptrend is broken, and the price could start an impulse wave. Sell Zone: 162.71 ~ 163.18 Forecast: 1- Correction wave toward the Sell Zone 2- Another Downward Impulse wave toward Lower TPs SL: Above 163.18
Short
by ForecastCity
5