Large potential but Countertrend short EURJPYPrice is at a level last seen in July 2008. At that time as well, price had made several attempts to go higher and failed (thus printing multiple tops). Once again, we can see several tops. A decline of 55,400 points (about 33%) happened in 2008, I can only wonder what we will see on this occasion. I see a supply zone (yellow rectangle) and expect this pair to fall.
I will be taking a trade as soon as spreads normalize on Monday, but note that this is counter-trend. If you take this too, please manage your risk with a high degree of caution.
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Eurjpyshort
EURJPY SELL | Idea Trading AnalysisThe price has recently reached a strong resistance zone, noting previous sell-offs in that area. It appears that we may see more sideways movement
EURJPY is near the resistance, where price dropped before.
We expect a bearish move from the confluence zone.
Hello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity EURJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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Traders, if you liked this idea or if you have your own opinion about it, write in the comments. I will be glad 🤝
Short EURJPY for 100 pipsFind trade parameters below;
Entry 167.927-168.233
Textbook SL 168.261
Final TP 166.989
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EURJPY to turnaround?EURJPY - 24h expiry
Although the bulls are in control, the stalling positive momentum indicates a turnaround is possible.
This is negative for short term sentiment and we look to set shorts at good risk/reward levels for a further correction lower.
The hourly chart technicals suggests further upside before the downtrend returns.
Preferred trade is to sell into rallies.
Although the anticipated move lower is corrective, it does offer ample risk/reward today.
Our profit targets will be 165.50 and 165.20
We look to Sell at 167.40 (stop at 168.10)
Resistance: 168.95 / 171.20 / 175.50
Support: 164.30 / 161.90 / 160.00
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Sell Signal Approaching or Is a New Highs On The Way?Last week, there were fireworks across all JPY pairs, with each hitting multi-decade highs. Notably, EURJPY reached an all-time high, peaking at 171.5 before experiencing a sharp drop due to two rounds of intervention by the Bank of Japan (BOJ).
So, what’s next for this pair? This week, it’s been slowly creeping back toward the zone where the second round of intervention occurred last week, between 167 and 168.(see image below)
On the 4-hour chart, a similar sell pattern seems to be emerging. After the first intervention, the price slowly crept back up to the intervention zone before dropping again (second round of intervention).
You can see on this 4-hour chart how the price is inching back toward the 167 level. It dropped 300 pips from there on Friday. Above that, the price dropped heavily from 168.5, so will this pattern repeat, or will we see a return to 170 or above?
In the short term, I see a potential sell setup between 167.5 and 168.5. I'll be using my TRFX indicator on the 1-hour chart to find the right signals for a sell as we approach this zone.
I'll keep a tight stop-loss above 169.7, with a primary target at last week's low of 164, a good short-term goal.
In the longer term, we might see a retest of 171.5 before another significant sell-off. However, the JPY remains quite weak, making it tough to predict the long-term outlook. It's best to see if the price steadies at these levels over the coming weeks or if volatility spikes again, causing another crash.
For now, I'm favoring a short-term sell setup if the right signals appear.
EURJPY: Asian foreign exchange decline, dollar stable; The Yen cJapanese Yen weakened after intervention, USDJPY increased
Markets are now looking for more information on Japan's inflation and wage growth to gauge whether the Bank of Japan will raise interest rates further this year, which is expected to bring some relief for the Japanese currency.
EUR/JPY Bearish Scalping Robbery PlanMy Dear Robbers / Traders,
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I'll show you the EURJPY where the buying force is holding down Hi friends, I brought the FOREX interesting charts
The buying force is making adjustments by beating the sell-off and rising.
If the Fibonacci 0.618 section is set as the primary target and breaks upward, the AB=CD pattern can reach the 1 value D
EURJPY - Bearish Crab Pattern Indicates Potential ReversalEURJPY is currently showing signs of a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern (XABCD) on the 4-hour chart, indicating a potential reversal in trend. Additionally, the price is approaching a significant trendline, further supporting the bearish bias.
Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern (XABCD):
The formation of a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern suggests that the price is likely to reverse downwards from Point D. This pattern typically indicates a high probability of a trend reversal.
4-Hour Trendline:
The price is currently at a 4-hour trendline, adding confluence to the potential bearish scenario. A breach below this trendline could signal further downside momentum.
Entry, Stop Loss, and Take Profit Levels:
Entry: 165.900
Stop Loss: 167.060
Take Profit Levels:
TP-1: 164.720
TP-2: 163.600
TP-3: 162.450
Risk Management:
It's essential to adhere to proper risk management practices when executing this trade. Position sizing should be adjusted to ensure that potential losses are within acceptable limits relative to account size and risk tolerance.
Conclusion:
In conclusion, the technical analysis suggests a bearish outlook for EURJPY, with the formation of a Bearish Crab Harmonic Pattern and the price approaching a 4-hour trendline. Traders may consider selling at 165.900 with a stop loss at 167.060 and targeting take profit levels at 164.720, 163.600, and 162.450.
SHORT EUR/JPY 165.59Trading FX is a risk/reward exercise.
And the greatest reward for the least risk is taking trades that relying on experience.
I've traded Fx for over 20 years so I recognize chart patterns and price movements without really thinking about hem.
If I was teaching how to trade FX I would be advising novice or inexpereinced tarderes NOT to take a trade like this but I'm shorting this pair for the following reasons.
a). Risk/reward is massively in my favour. I can get a SHORT trade on with a 20 pip STOP.
b). We are at WR1 Pivot area and this is a universally known area where SELLERS MAY enter the market.
c). The last 4 15m candles have been doji indecision candles.
d). RSI on multiple time frames is high (70 on H4 and high 60's H1, 30M, 15M).
e). 15M Andean Oscillator sees the red SELL line lifting away from zero.
Put these together and this "looks" a SHORT trade but there's always the chance EUR/JPY BULLS hace not finsihed with this pair.
f). we have a nice candle tweezer pattern on H1 right at resistance.
It should be noted that it's 24 years since this pair was at 165.60 so its highly likely that we are looking at a short term retracement but this could be back to the 200 EMA on M15 which would be 164.91 (+68 pips).
If this trade does take off and there is strong selling momentum then 164.50 is posssible.
EUR/JPY (Swing) Short IdeaAfter seeing a spike upside sweeping out liquidity, price swiftly caused a Shift in structure to the downside leaving some imbalances along the way, over time price has collectively moved back to the upside showing little bullish strength… Returning to my areas of interest i.e fib entry zone and supply zones. Dropping to lower tfs we have now made some additional structural shifts downside giving me more confirmation for short positions.
Potential double top in EUR/JPY, sell if the resistance holdsHello traders, I am observing the 4H chart in EUR/JPY and I have noticed a potential
sell opportunity. This could be a potential double top on the 4H chart.
So, if the resistance zone holds, traders can consider selling EURJPY@164.88-165
with TP at 163.65 Note that, the sell condition will be valid only if the resistance
zone highlighted in the chart remains unbroken.
EURJPY SELL | Day Trading AnalysisHello Traders, here is the full analysis.
I think we can soon see more fall from this range! GOOD LUCK! Great SELL opportunity EURJPY
I still did my best and this is the most likely count for me at the moment.
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EURJPY Analysis (12th April 2024)
Market Analysis PT2/2 (12th April 2024)
EURJPY Analysis
On the 4 hour timeframe, price action has created a a nice support and resistance of about 40 pips wide. This tells us that price on EJ is currently consolidating.
There are 2 potential scenarios here:
1) Price pushes higher, breaking through the 4 hour resistance, and retesting it before going higher. I am leaning towards a bullish Bias due to how the higher timeframe on the weekly and daily is also bullish.
2) IF price decided to break the support, i will wait until the over all Daily Orderblock fails, before looking for potential Sells.
Inflation Deflator Prints 30m Sell Signal for $EURJPYThe price is currently retesting 30m supply zone after a hard drop off Inflation Deflator sell signal. Price may retest purple trendline, but strong 4h supply zone above should hold (green box). We should get a drop soon down to green line. 1:1 RR