Eurjpytrade
EURJPY is in possible sell zone!!EURJPY has formed a reversal pattern on an important monthly level of resistance. On the monthly close, the price had a bounce and from the monthly resistance, it created a reversal pattern with a test of the neckline as resistance. It is a high probability that EURJPY will continue to drop as the market is over-extended to the upside
EURJPYHi Traders,
I am waiting for SELL at maybe Bat pattern level at 4 Hour chart of EURJPY
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P.S. Personally, I open an entry if the price shows it according to my strategy.
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EURJPY - FUNDAMENTAL AND TECHNICAL VIEW#EURJPY
- EURJPY has a short-term UPSIDE BIAS at the moment. XXXJPY CURRENCIES BUYED VERY FAST WITH JPY WEAKNESS. Maybe it can reach 140.234 LEVEL. 142.295 is a very good resistance limit.
- Some NEWS coming for the USD will help to weaken or strengthen the EURO. But if the RATE HIKE SENTIMENT is PRICED by the ECB, the EURO can be BUY more.
- Anyway, the price can move to the area I mentioned and after that the EURJPY price can move back to the 132.975 LEVEL. For that VIX should be UP and JPY should be STRONG.
EURJPY SELL OPPORTUNITYHello dear traders. Here my idea to EURJPY . we will expect short term bearish continuation to 135.80 level.
Technical Outlook : EURJPY price breakout from the rising channel. So we expect bearish movement will continue to Fibonacci 0.5 level.
Fundamental Outlook : Euro under pressure as the gas crisis. Volatility index up 13%. So we can expect fear of economic growth that will be cause to strengthen the yen.
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This idea does not provide the financial advice.
EURJPY ShortAccording to the higher timeframes (D,W) the price has formed a rising channel, hence a major indicator of a potential bearish pattern, and the price touched the upper trendline, retested it and now formed a bearish confluence. The price touched a major support zone, bounced back up/ pullback, but the bearish confluence is still strong. The price might be rejected at zone 138.2 - 138.9, then it maybe a bearish movement. I predict that the bears will get an upperhand. My entry point is 138 with stoploss at 139, just above the market major zone.
Entry - 138.0
Sl - 139.0
Tp1 - 137, Tp2 -136 , Tp3 - 135
R:R is 1:3.
Remember, only risk 1 - 2% of the account.
EURJPY SHORTAccording to the weekly timeframe, there has been formation of a rising channel, which is a major indicator that the price might have some bearish potential. The price touched the upper trendline twice, before retesting the zone again. The price bounced off, formed a new lower-low, then right now it is in the pullback zone.
According to the chart pattern, I see that the price might have touched the higher low and we might see a significant drop from that. IF the daily candle forms a bearish candle either today or tomorrow, there might be a bearish rally that might follow after that.
The entry will be determined by the lower timeframes (1H and 4H timeframe).
The stop loss is placed slightly above the major market / resistance zone.
Entry @ 141.1, SL @ 142.4 TP 1 @ 139.7, TP 2@ 138.3 and TP3 @ 136.9.
Remember, risk only 1-2% of your account.
is eurjpy forming a downward channel?on the 8 hrs we can see eurjpy establishing a downward channel which, i have reasons to believe is forming, because of Europe's instability & inability to control inflation
i.e. on a broader look on the 3 day we can see eurjpy finish forming the head which i will publish after
key points:
. with the breakout of the jpys we see extreme volatility
. market tends to react strong to opec and largard meetings
. ecb aggressive rate hike to combat inflation spark concerns to whether they downplayed it
. due to its extreme volatile nature trading it on the 8 hrs would reap most profits
take away:
. after the breakout we see eurjpy reaching a high of 144 however failing to break it 3 times which establish a roof/head
. it later found support @139 to retest the high of 144 which it failed to break
> a 139 was created when Ecb hints at a rate hike
. after rejection @ 144 we see it found support @137 to go as far as 142
> 142 rejection was created when Ecb implement a very aggressive rate hike of 50 points which sparks the question, will this aggressive hike spark a recession?
. with that information we can draw our channel line to see that price is down trending with resistance of (144, 142, ???140-138) and support of (139, 137, 135)
> i.e. an interesting look at this chart is that price breach 135 but did it form the head and is this final trend bounce the right shoulder?
outlook:
. if price holds 135/136 we can buy and hold to 138/140 where the counter trend line is
. if price can't maintain this region, we sell right to back 133 which will be current support previous resistance.
. after the price goes back to 133 we take profit and wait for more information to see if price will break this neckline
EURJPY analysis: approaching a dangerous zoneThe yen maintains its positive momentum by attracting buying flows from investors seeking refuge in safe-haven currencies as global recession fears grow.
The yen also received additional support after Bank of Japan Deputy Governor Masayoshi Amamiya acknowledged last week that the BoJ should begin considering tools to end ultra-expansionary monetary policy, though the actual change is unlikely to occur anytime soon.
In addition to the dollar, the Japanese yen is strongly regaining ground also against the euro, with EUR/JPY now trading at late May levels and down about 6% from June highs.
The appreciation of the yen against the euro occurred despite the ECB's 50-basis-point rate hike in July, leaving the BoJ as the only major central bank that has not yet raised rates. Japan has remained more isolated from worrying energy risks in Europe, where the clouds of an impending economic recession are gathering.
The 10-year yield spread between Germany and Japan has fallen to 0.6%, the lowest since mid-May, as Bund yields have collapsed in response to data indicating a bleak economic picture in the Eurozone.
Technically speaking,tThe formation of a triple top at the end of June ended the EUR/JPY currency pair's multi-year uptrend, and the breakout of the neckline support at 137-137.5 solidified the trend reversal bearish pattern. The RSI is dangerously pointing down, but it still doesn't show that technical conditions are oversold. The next level of support is seen at psychological 134, followed by 132.7 (May 12 lows).