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Eurnzdlong

EURNZD: Bullish Shift and Institutional Re-Entry from SupportGreetings Traders, In today’s analysis of EURNZD, we observe that institutional order flow on the H4 timeframe has recently shifted bullish. This alignment now provides us with a clear bias to seek buying opportunities in line with the predominant higher timeframe trend. Higher Timeframe Context: The weekly timeframe is currently delivering bullish order flow. With the recent bullish market structure shift (MSS) on the H4, we now have confluence across both timeframes, which strengthens our confidence in seeking long setups on lower timeframes. Key Observations on H4: Sell Stop Raid & Structural Rejection: Price action recently swept sell-side liquidity, a typical behavior indicating institutional order pairing. Following this, price attempted to move lower but failed to break the previous low, instead being supported by a Rejection Block. This led to a bullish market structure shift—our key signal of trend continuation. Mitigation Block Entry Zone: Price has since retraced into a Mitigation Block—an area where previous institutional selling occurred. The purpose of this pullback is to mitigate earlier positions and initiate fresh buying orders. This now becomes our zone of interest for potential confirmation entries towards the upside. Trading Plan: Entry Strategy: Look for lower timeframe confirmation entries within the H4 Mitigation Block. Target: The objective is to target the H4 liquidity pool residing at premium prices, aligning with the discount-to-premium delivery model. For a detailed market walkthrough and in-depth execution zones, be sure to watch this week’s Forex Market Breakdown:https://www.tradingview.com/chart/EURNZD/BZC9xW1L-July-21-Forex-Outlook-Don-t-Miss-These-High-Reward-Setups/ As always, remain patient and disciplined. Wait for confirmation before executing, and manage your risk accordingly. Kind Regards, The Architect 🏛️📈
Long
by The_Archi-tect
EURNZD Trendline & Hawkish ECB Bias Support Bullish ContinuationEURNZD is holding beautifully above the ascending trendline on the 4H, and I’m watching this level closely for a bounce continuation setup. Fundamentally, the euro remains supported by sticky inflation and hawkish ECB commentary, while the kiwi is showing softness after dovish signals from the RBNZ and mixed jobs data. If this trendline holds, I’ll be targeting a retest of the upper wedge resistance near 1.9640. 🔍 Technical Setup (4H): Structure: Ascending triangle forming – price is pressing into dynamic support. Support Zone: Around 1.9480 trendline area – price rejected this level several times in July. Resistance Target: 1.9640 highs – double top and triangle resistance. Bullish Confirmation: Rebound with bullish engulfing or strong 4H close above 1.9525 could trigger long setup. Invalidation: Clean break below trendline and 1.9440 invalidates bullish scenario short-term. 💡 Fundamental Insight: EUR Drivers: ECB members remain cautious about declaring victory on inflation. German and Eurozone CPI data remain above target, supporting higher-for-longer ECB stance. Speculation that ECB won't cut aggressively compared to RBNZ. NZD Weakness: RBNZ minutes show concern over downside inflation risks. Labor market cooling, and migration pressures remain high. Commodity and China-linked sentiment weakening NZD. ⚠️ Key Risks: If Eurozone inflation or PMI data surprises to the downside, EUR may weaken. RBNZ hawkish pivot or surprise tightening would flip sentiment toward NZD. Global risk-on could favor NZD as a high-beta currency. 🧭 Summary: I’m bullish on EURNZD as long as price holds above the trendline near 1.9480. The technical structure shows a clean ascending pattern, and the fundamentals currently favor EUR strength over NZD. My eyes are on a potential move toward 1.9640, especially if upcoming ECB rhetoric stays hawkish. EURNZD tends to lead NZD-crosses like NZDJPY or NZDCHF in risk-off regimes and could signal euro strength if it breaks out. Watching closely for price action confirmation.
Long
by ultreosforex
5
Euro vs Kiwi Bull Raid: High Reward Target Strategy🏴‍☠️EUR/NZD Heist Plan: "Robbing the Kiwi Vault with Thief Trading Style" 💰🔥 🌍 Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🌍 Dear Money Makers, Chart Bandits & Market Strategists! 🤑💸✈️ Here’s the EUR/NZD (Euro vs Kiwi) blueprint crafted using the signature 🔥Thief Trading Style🔥 — a blend of bold technicals, insightful fundamentals, and pure tactical precision. We’re setting our sights on a potential bullish breakout — targeting the high-security resistance zone where big money hides. 💡The Robbery Plan (Thief Entry Setup): 🟢 Entry Point: "The vault is wide open — time to extract the bullish loot!" ⚔️ Entry can be taken at market price, but the smarter thieves use a layered Buy Limit strategy at pullback zones (near swing lows/highs on the 15-30 min TF) to snipe the best entries with reduced exposure. 🔁 Scaling in = DCA-style Thief Method: split entries for efficiency, just like robbing in waves. 🔻 Stop Loss Plan (Escape Route): 🔒 Place SL below the recent swing low using 3H timeframe (1.94500 for scalpers/day traders). 🛡️ Adjust based on risk appetite, lot size, and number of entries in play. 🎯 Take Profit Target: 🏁 Exit the heist near 1.98500, where strong resistance awaits. That’s the Danger Zone — the edge of our mission. 🔍EUR/NZD Outlook Snapshot: This pair is flashing bullish vibes due to: 🏛️ Macro & Fundamental tailwinds 📊 COT positioning & Sentiment readings 🔗 Intermarket influences 📈 Price structure & liquidity zones For more depth: dive into external analysis tools, COT reports, and sentiment dashboards to fine-tune your view. The direction is clear — the bulls are assembling. ⚠️ Trading Alerts & Risk Management Reminders: 🚨 News releases = volatility mines. Before entering, make sure to: Avoid new positions near red-flag economic events Protect your open trades with trailing SLs or partial exits Stay alert — the market shifts fast, adapt faster 💬 Final Word from the Vault Boss: 📢 Smashing likes = boosting the crew. 💥 Support the Thief Trading Style by hitting the BOOST button and keep the robbery crew rolling strong 💪💸 We're here to outsmart the market — one clean chart raid at a time. Stay tuned for the next master plan. Until then, rob smart, rob safe. 🧠🔐💥
Long
by The-Thief
EURNZD – Bearish Reversal Expected from Channel Top ResistanceEURNZD has reached the upper boundary of a well-defined ascending channel on the 2H chart and printed a rejection wick, suggesting exhaustion and potential for a pullback. The pair is likely to retrace toward the channel midline or base, with downside targets near 1.9423 and 1.9264, assuming confirmation follows. 🧠 Fundamentals: EUR Drivers: ECB remains cautious with weak Eurozone inflation and rising recession risks. Recent German and Eurozone data (retail sales, factory orders) disappointed. Political instability in France and ECB’s dovish tone are capping upside momentum in the euro. NZD Drivers: RBNZ remains one of the more hawkish central banks, reiterating restrictive stance despite slowing inflation. Dairy auctions improved recently, adding strength to NZD fundamentals. China exposure is a double-edged sword — optimism helps, but slowdown risk remains. 🔍 Technical Structure: Clear ascending channel from mid-June remains intact. Price rejected perfectly at the upper trendline near 1.9585. Strong bearish divergence may form if rejection persists. Bearish scenario targets the 1.9423 zone first (support + midline), then 1.9264 (bottom of channel). Invalid if price breaks and closes above 1.9600 on strong volume. ⚠️ Risk Factors: A sudden euro bid from safe-haven demand or ECB surprise could break the channel. NZD weakness could emerge if China disappoints or RBNZ shifts tone unexpectedly. 🔁 Leader/Lagger Dynamics: EURNZD often lags risk-sensitive NZD pairs (like NZDJPY, NZDCAD), especially during Asia session moves. However, during European hours, EUR’s tone can dominate due to ECB speeches or EU data. ✅ Trade Bias: Bearish TP1: 1.9423 TP2: 1.9264 SL: Above 1.9600 Event to Watch: ECB speakers this week China CPI/PPI (affects NZD) US CPI (indirect cross-pressure on both currencies) 📌 Look for bearish confirmation on the 2H/4H candle close below 1.9540. Risk-reward favors a tactical short if the channel structure holds.
Short
by ultreosforex
13
"Euro vs Kiwi Heist - Bullish Loot Opportunity!🔥 EURNZD BULL HEIST! Euro vs Kiwi Raid Plan (Swing/Day) 🚨💰 🌟 Attention, Market Bandits! 🌟 "The vault is cracked—time to grab the loot!" 🔮 Thief’s Intel (TA + FA): EURNZD is flashing BULLISH signals, but beware—overbought traps & police (bears) lurk near resistance! 🎯 ENTRY POINTS (Where to Strike!) 🟢 LONG RAID (Bullish Thieves): "Swipe the loot on pullbacks!" Buy limit orders (15-30min TF) near swing lows/highs. Aggressive heist? Enter any price—but watch for traps! 🛑 STOP-LOSS (Escape Plan) 📍 SL at recent swing low (2H TF) = 1.93500 (Adjust based on risk!) 💰 TAKE-PROFIT (Cash Out Before Cops Arrive!) 🎯 TP = 1.98500 (Or escape early near red zones!) ⚠️ WARNING: Police (Bears) Ahead! Overbought + Consolidation = Reversal risk! News = High alert! Avoid new trades during volatility. Trailing SL = Your getaway car! 📡 FUNDAMENTAL BACKUP (Why This Heist Works) Bullish momentum from COT data, macro trends & sentiment. Check full analysis for targets & intermarket clues! 💥 BOOST THIS HEIST! 💥 Like & Share to strengthen our crew! More alerts = More profits! 🚨 Next raid coming soon… Stay tuned, thieves! 🚨
Long
by The-Thief
EUR/NZD Robbery Blueprint – Targeting Pink Zone Profits💰EUR/NZD Robbery Setup: The Bullish Breakout Blueprint for Euro vs Kiwi Heist! 🚨📈 (Targeting High-Risk Zones With Dynamic Entry & Exit Tactics – Long Setup Explained) 🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba!🌟 Dear Market Pirates & Chart Bandits, 🏴‍☠️💸📊 Ready to rob the Kiwi vaults with precision? Based on our 🔥Thief Trading Strategy🔥 (technical + fundamental), here’s the grand blueprint for the EUR/NZD Long Heist. We’ve scoped the market, sniffed out consolidation traps, and locked eyes on that Pink Zone of high-risk, high-reward. The bulls are regrouping. This is our moment. 📍 🎯 ENTRY PLAN – “The Breakout Is The Lock Pick” 📈 Strike Price: 1.93900 Wait for a clean candle close above the Major Dynamic Resistance (MA level). Once breached, place buy stop orders above the MA line — entry must align with breakout rules. 🔁 Optional: For early robbers, place buy limits on the nearest swing low within the 15M or 30M timeframe (confirmation from wick rejections). 📌 Set alerts (📳) at breakout zones. Stay sharp. Opportunity doesn't knock—it smashes doors. 🛑 STOP LOSS – “Protection Is Power” Set your SL near the previous swing High/Low wick (4H chart zone), aligning it with your personal lot size, risk %, and number of trades. 📍“SL is your vault lock. Set it smart, not soft. You’re not gambling — you’re robbing with logic.” 🔥 Reminder: No premature SL on pending orders—wait for breakout validation. 🧨 TARGET – “Escape Plan” 🎯 Profit Target: 1.97500 Or dip out early if resistance alarms start ringing. 🏃‍♂️💨 ⚖️ OVERVIEW – “The Scoreboard” The EUR/NZD is currently in a neutral chop, but multiple trend reversal signs are emerging. 🔥 Oversold zones, squeeze structure, and a potential bull charge all support this heist-worthy long setup. 📚 BONUS INTEL Unlock the deeper story: 🧠 Sentiment Analysis 💼 COT Report Data 🌍 Macro Insights 🔍 Intermarket Correlations 📊 Quant Metrics 👉 Followw the 🔗 in the idea for more details and thief-style scoring! 🚨 NEWS ALERTS & POSITION MANAGEMENT 🗞 Avoid new trades during high-impact news. Use trailing SL to protect and lock in gains as the plan moves. Stay adaptive — markets shift fast. 💥 FINAL WORD – “Boost The Gang, Fuel The Plan” If this heist plan fuels your trading journey, smash the Boost button 💥💖 Help more traders rob the market, not each other. We operate clean, with precision and thief-style logic. Let’s get this bag. 💰💼🎉 🧠 Stay tuned for the next operation. Till then — rob smart, rob safe. 🐱‍👤🤑📈
Long
by The-Thief
EURNZD Potential Breakout or Reversal? | Technical Analysis EURNZD Potential Breakout or Reversal? | Technical Analysis 🚀🔄 The chart illustrates a key technical setup on the EURNZD pair with both bullish and bearish possibilities depending on price action near critical zones. 🔍 Technical Highlights: Bearish Harmonic Pattern Completed 📉 A harmonic structure has formed and completed near the resistance zone (~1.9500), triggering a bearish move towards the target at 1.90688. Major Resistance Zone 🔺 Marked between 1.9450 - 1.9500, where previous price action showed strong rejection (highlighted by the red arrow). This remains the key zone to break for further upside. Support & Breakout Zone 🟦 The price bounced off the support zone around 1.9068 - 1.9100, aligning with trendline support and a previous structure level. This zone also aligns with the target of the bearish harmonic move. Trendline Retest & Bullish Continuation Possibility 🔼 The price broke above the bearish leg and is now consolidating. If price closes above 1.9350-1.9400, a potential breakout toward the 1.9500 resistance zone is expected (blue arrow). 🔄 Scenarios to Watch: ✅ Bullish Case: Break and hold above 1.9400 Target: 1.9500 Resistance Zone Confirmation: Strong bullish candles with volume above current range ❌ Bearish Case: Rejection at current level (near 1.9350-1.9400) Target: 1.9068, the harmonic completion target and support zone Confirmation: Bearish engulfing/rejection candle with trendline break 📌 Conclusion: EURNZD is at a crucial decision point. Watch closely for a breakout above or rejection from the current price range to determine whether the pair will retest highs or complete the bearish target move.
by MrStellanSight
7
EURNZD Eyes 1.99 — Technical & Fundamental Bulls AlignedToday, I want to analyze EURNZD ( OANDA:EURNZD ) for you, which is in good shape both technically and fundamentally . Please stay with me. EURNZD is moving close to the Support zone(1.88750 NZD-1.7970 NZD) and 100_SMA(Daily) and has managed to form a Double Bottom Pattern . From the perspective of Elliott Wave theory , EURNZD seems to have completed the main wave 4 , and we should wait for the main wave 5 . The main wave 5 could complete at the Heavy Resistance zone(2.120 NZD-1.9927 NZD) . ----------------------------------- EURNZD – Fundamental Analysis: The EURNZD pair currently reflects a divergence between two very different economic outlooks. Eurozone (EUR): The European Central Bank (ECB) has recently begun cutting interest rates to support slowing economic activity, especially in the industrial and manufacturing sectors. Despite this dovish shift, inflation remains relatively under control, and the euro has held up well against riskier currencies thanks to global uncertainty and safe-haven flows. New Zealand (NZD): New Zealand's economy is under pressure. The latest GDP figures confirmed a weak growth outlook, and signs of a technical recession are mounting. While the Reserve Bank of New Zealand (RBNZ) has maintained a relatively hawkish tone, it faces a dilemma: inflation is sticky, but domestic demand and housing remain fragile. The RBNZ may be forced to soften its stance sooner than expected. Outlook: This fundamental backdrop supports a bullish bias for EURNZD. The euro’s relative stability versus the increasingly vulnerable New Zealand dollar makes this pair attractive for long positions — especially if upcoming NZ data disappoints or global risk sentiment weakens further. ----------------------------------- Based on the above explanation, I expect EURNZD to rise to at least 1.9917 NZD . Note: Stop Loss(SL): 1.8779 NZD Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/New Zealand Dollar Analyze (EURNZD), Daily time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
1