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Eurnzdsell

Decision point on EURNZD! Up or down?Hi guys, just wanted to let you know that i'm watching attentively to this pair, since price is testing a very important structure level that acted as support and resistance many times in the past. As of now, i'm looking for weaknesses in order to short the market: notice that we're deeply in overbought condition and price is testing a psychological number (along with structure) so any other candlestick signal would make me sell at market. Nonetheless we should be ready to change our mind if price breaks the structure yellow zone so that we can take advantage of both the situations. Never be unprepared! Think ahead! I'll keep you updated. If you want to share your standpoint, feel free to comment below. Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Short
by Roker1
2618 on EURNZDHey guys, this evening i'd want to share a setup that i will closely look at in the next few hours and probably on Monday opening. This is a 2618 trade that's forming on EURNZD. If you're not familiar with this kind of formation, it basically consists in selling/buying the 618 retracement of the leg that breaks the double top/bottom's neckline. Essentially it should be a conservative way to trade double top/bottom after the confirmation of the reversal (break of structure). This analysis also aligns pretty well with higher timeframe analysis: on the daily price has created a new structure low (bearish trend confirmation) and it's now back retesting a 4hr structure level (black line) that could stop the price's rally and starts the new downtrend movement. This is what i look for when trading: additional higher timeframe confirmation! It's very important to have bigger perspective. That's why i'd split my position in two parts in order to follow the bigger trend in case i'm right. The first position should be taken at the retest of the new low. Stops above the highest high. If you have any question, feel free to comment below. Otherwise, see you in the next chart! Have a good weekend!
Short
by Roker1
Cypher pattern on EURNZDHey guys, another advanced pattern formation i'd like to share with you today. As usual, my analysis starts from higher timeframe: the black line represents a daily structure level that's just been broken to the downside by priceaction. Being that, i know i expect a bearish continuation to the south and i want to get involved in short trades if i can. This harmonic pattern, called Cypher, allows me to do so, therefore i'm setting my orders up. Stops above X, targets at .328 and .618 retracements of AD leg. Good luck! If you want to share your standpoint or just ask questions, feel free to write below. Otherwise, see you in the next chart!
Short
by Roker1
Nice opportunity on EURNZDHey guys, this analysis is going to be long, but i want to explain how i view the market and i do my top down analysis. As we can see on the left, we recently broke and closed below an important structure level (blue line) and this means we are in a downtrend. Our bias now is bearsih, and we want to be involved in a short position. Nonetheless, we can't set a limit order there and wait for it to be triggered, this way we are going to go broke after few days. What we can do is identify possible reversal zones and wait for price to enter and give us a reason for entry in a short direction. As a structure trader, the two level i look for are the broke support and the last resistance; the broken support didn't give us any reason for entry and so we wait for price to enter the last resistance zone, so that we can have a very nice risk to reward in this trade. As price enters the reversal zone (grey box) i use my trading timeframe in order to search for short opportunities (1hr and 4hr). On the right there's the 4hr chart and we instantly set the "alert" mode ON, because we can see two long wicks that are saying us the selling pressure is there. In addition to that, we can see the RSI divergence at the bottom signaling bull's fuel is finishing. So we have more conditions all pointing in the same direction (down) but i want to be sure i want to wait for a candlestick pattern. That's why i'm going to short the market if and only if the actual candle will be engulfing. This multiframe analysis allows you to have a better grasp on the market. I hope this looong analysis helped you in someway and let you understand my trading philosophy based on structure. Reading a chart puts you a step forward. Don't forget to ask questions below if you have any doubt. In the meantime, i wish you a merry christmas and a pleasant holiday time. See you in the next chart!
Short
by Roker1
3
EURNZD (4H) - Triple Reasoning...I am liking the look of this potential setup on the EURNZD. We have a downward sloping resistance line, upward sloping support and horizontal resistance (role reversal) all coinciding with the same point (approximately). It is likely that we might see some volatility around this point with a lot of contradictory views over the importance of these lines - however, my bias is with the bearish trend already in action. Price has move 20 pips from the 100 SMA. We can use the SMA as we are in a trending market, and would think that prices might retrace back towards this line. I am looking for short opportunities - especially as previous attempts to move above 1.5468 level could not hold.
Short
by SanktuaryMAM