EURNZD 650 pips longHi there,
I'm sharing this interesting long term trade idea on EURNZD pair. We have two solid intact trendline on this pair Ascending and descending trend line. This particular trade is based on the ascending trendline which is intact since 2017 and agian we have seen a nice bounce from the trend line and from a major level. We can already see a bullish reversal on a smaller timeframe and I'm anticipating the same on the higher time frame.
Trade war and uncertainities should continue to drag Aussies and Kiwis while Euro should gain some strength in coming days as it has been rock bottom (Dead Cat) for some time now.
I have marked the tp and sl for you as well. Remember this is not a short term trade and it may take good few weeks before reaching closer to tp. Please use the correct risk manangement.
Any questions? Just ask.
Let me know your thoughts.
Trade safe and good luck.
Eurnzdsignal
EURNZD 4H EURNZD 4H
**Disclaimer**
the content on this analysis is subject to change at any time without notice, and is provided for the sole purpose of assisting traders to make independent investment decisions.
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Thank you for your support!
Tradewithsam
#EURNZD, Powerful technical modelWe usually prefer to analyze graphs in D1 but this pattern in the monthly graph forces us to write about it.
2 Doji candlestick symbolizing a trend ending (to confirm the current candle theory should close in red ... got off to a good start)
The 200 moving average line synchronizes with the resistance line at 1.7760.
This is the third time eurnzd has touched the average line and is responding to declines.
Target: 1.7110
EURNZD SEEMS TO BE READY FOR A MASSIVE DECLINEEURNZD has been in recovery mode for the past 10 months. The pair took off from 1.63323 in December 2018 low and climbed to as high as 1.76993 in October 2019.
The daily chart above puts EURNZD's entire 2-month sell-off in 2018 and the 10-months recovery in an Elliott Wave context. The pair’s decline can easily be seen as a five-wave impulse. The pattern is labeled 1-2-3-4-5, wave 3 is the longest among the three impulse waves.
The recovery looks like a textbook W-X-Y-X-Z triple three corrections. Waves W unfolded as an expanded flat pattern while wave X, Y, X, and Z can both be labeled as simple (a)-(b)-(c) zigzags.
Once a correction is over, the larger trend resumes. Here, a sharp selloff from 1.79282 in October 2018 precedes the above-shown corrective recovery, so the larger trend is down. Also, note how the resistance level, wedge trend line, and 78.6% Fibonacci level discouraged the bulls in wave Z. This is another indication that the entire 5-3 wave cycle is complete. If this count is correct, last week's bearish reversal is the start of a major plunge, whose targets lie beneath 1.63323 in the long term.
In my opinion, selling the rallies is a viable strategy as long as EURNZD trades below 1.76993 invalidation level. Instead of giving in to complacency, the bulls should take last week’s bearish reversal very seriously.
Thanks for Reading!
Veejahbee
Next Retracement is coming... EURNZD short trade opportunityIn the image above you can clearly see a prime example of a double top which indicates a Reversal is coming. This pair is still in a Up Trend so I expect a short retracement down just like you see on the chart happend end June and July. The execution of this trade will take a view weeks I guess so a lot of patience is needed.
EURNZD Is Drawing a Pattern That Should Scare the BullsThe Daily chart reveals something that should make the bulls feel uncomfortable. It shows that EURNZD’s massive decline from October 2018 high at 1.79337 to December 2018 low at 1.63279 took the shape of a textbook five-wave impulse. The pattern is labeled 1-2-3-4-5.
EURNZD Bears Remain in Control
According to the theory, the impulses point in the direction of the larger sequence, and a three-wave recovery in the opposite direction follows every impulse pattern. This means that once the corresponding A-B-C expanding flat correction in wave (B) is over, another decline in wave (C) can be expected.
The resistance area around 61.8% Fibonacci level and the blue box zone is where a bearish reversal is likely to occur. However, even if the bulls manage to lift the price of EURNZD higher, the bearish outlook remains valid as long as the high/starting point of wave (A) at 1.79337 is intact.
If this count is correct, traders should not put too much trust in EURNZD bulls right now and start to take profit in the blue box, especially given that wave (C)’s targets lie below wave (A) low at 1.63279.
Did you like this analysis? Kindly let me know in the comment.
EURNZD LOOKING GOOD FOR A BULLISH EXTENSION I previously marked up EURNZD with a bullish prospective ( i have attached the previous mark ups). Price recently broke out bullish after respecting support.
Price is currently moving bearish into what i would see as a retracement. So price has the potential to reach the support i have marked at the grey price line which is also our entry and move bullish again.
Entry - Grey line
Stop loss - Red line
Take profit - Green line
Happy trading all
EURNZD TO KEEP GOING LONG I previously did a daily mark up on this pair and in my opinion, this pair is bullish. I have attached the daily mark up on below. We may see price retrace to the price level i have marked with the grey horizontal line and then move toward our take profit (green line). We also have bullish divergence forming.
I would recommend only risking 1% on this trade.
Stop loss - Red line
Take profit - Green line
Happy trading.