EURO - Price can break resistance level and rise to $1.0500Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price started to trades inside a triangle, bouncing from $1.0450 level and dropping to $1.0275 level.
After this, price bounced from this level and rose to resistance line of triangle and then started to decline.
Price fell to $1.0175 support line of triangle and then in a short time rose to resistance line and exited from this pattern.
Next, Euro started to trades another one triangle, where it reached $1.0530 points and then dropped.
Euro made a strong gap and later rose back to resistance line of triangle, but recently it fell below $1.0450 level.
Possibly, price can fall to support line and then bounce up to $1.0500 resistance line of triangle.
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Euro
HelenP. I Euro can break resistance level and continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Looking at the chart, we can see that the price broke through the support level, which aligned with the support zone, and then started to rise. Soon after, it reached the resistance level, which also coincided with a resistance zone, and even managed to break above it, attempting to push higher. However, the momentum faded, and the price reversed, beginning a decline. In a short time, it dropped below the 1.0470 level, breaking through it and forming a strong gap. The price continued to fall, moving below the 1.0315 support level and reaching the trend line. From there, it started to rise again, moving within an upward channel. Inside the channel, the Euro broke back above the 1.0315 level and climbed toward the resistance line. However, before making a fake breakout, it pulled back to the support level, briefly touching the trend line before continuing its upward movement within the channel. Later, the price reached the resistance zone, reversed, and made a small correction. After that, it attempted another move back toward the resistance zone, but recently, it has fallen below it and is now trading very close to this level. In my view, the price may drop to the trend line, which serves as the channel’s support, and then rebound higher, breaking above the resistance level. If that happens, I expect EURUSD to continue its upward movement, so I’ve set my goal at 1.0540. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro may continue to rise inside wedge, after a small correctionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Analyzing the chart, we can see that the price initially climbed from the support line, which lies within the buyer zone, and quickly advanced to the resistance level, aligning with the seller zone. Following this movement, the price pulled back from the 1.0440 level and corrected down to the support line. It hovered around this level for a while before breaking through and dropping into the buyer zone, creating a gap. After that, the Euro began moving upward within a broadening wedge, but soon it retraced back to the support level again. From there, it rebounded and climbed to the resistance level, eventually breaking through and rising toward the upper boundary of the broadening wedge. However, at that point, the price reversed direction and started declining, quickly falling to the support line of the wedge and breaking the resistance level once again. Recently, the Euro bounced off this line and broke above the 1.0440 level again. Currently, it is trading within the seller zone, and I anticipate a correction toward the support line of the broadening wedge before the price resumes its upward movement. Given this outlook, my TP is set at 1.0540 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURGBP 4H Channel Down topped. Drop expected.The EURGBP pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern below its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) since the February 12 High. Technically that pattern is similar to the Channel Down of late January, which saw an accelerated decline after it failed to break above the 4H MA50.
We expect the pattern to complete a similar -2.18% decline and target 0.81750.
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U.S. FIRMS SWAP DOLLARS FOR EURO to lower funding costsU.S. FIRMS SWAP DOLLARS FOR EURO to lower funding costs—SMART MOVE?
(1/9)
Good afternoon, Tradingview! U.S. companies are flipping dollar debt into euros—slashing borrowing costs 📈🔥. Cross-currency swaps are the hot ticket amid rate gaps. Let’s break it down! 🚀
(2/9) – SWAP SURGE
• Trend: Dollar bonds morph into euros 💥
• Why: Eurozone rates lag U.S. by ~200 points 📊
• Volume: $266B in Jan ‘25 swaps, up 7% YoY
Lower rates, big savings—companies pounce!
(3/9) – THE TRIGGER
• Fed: Holds steady—U.S. rates stay high 🌍
• ECB: Eases up—eurozone softens 🚗
• Trump Tariffs: Stir inflation fears—volatility spikes 🌟
Dollar strength pushes firms to euro deals!
(4/9) – HOW IT WORKS
• Swap: Trade dollar debt for euro payments 📈
• Gain: Cheaper interest, currency hedge
• Impact: Millions saved, euro cash flows shine
It’s a financial jujitsu move—clever stuff! 🌍
(5/9) – RISKS IN PLAY
• Euro Flip: Stronger euro could zap savings ⚠️
• FX Losses: Hedging costs climb if dollar dips 🏛️
• Uncertainty: Fed vs. ECB—rate dance wobbles 📉
Smart bet, but not risk-free!
(6/9) – WHY NOW?
• Rate Gap: U.S. high, eurozone low—carry’s juicy 🌟
• Trump Effect: Tariffs fuel dollar power 🔍
• Global Ops: U.S. firms shield Europe earnings 🚦
Timing’s ripe—swaps are the shield!
(7/9) – MARKET VIBE
• Early ‘25: Swap restructures cash in 🌍
• Savings: redirected to debt, flexibility 📈
• Trend Watch: Grows if rate split holds
Companies adapt—financial acrobatics in action!
(8/9) – Dollar-to-euro swaps—what’s your take?
1️⃣ Bullish—Cost cuts win big.
2️⃣ Neutral—Works now, risks later.
3️⃣ Bearish—Euro rebound kills it.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
U.S. firms swap dollars for euros—saving millions as rates diverge 🌍🪙. Tariffs and Fed fuel the play, but euro risks lurk. Genius or gamble?
EUR/USD Breakout PotentialIt's been a grinding month of February so far but the big takeaway at this point for EUR/USD has been deductive in nature, and that's the fact that sellers haven't been able to break any fresh ground below the January low.
Early-Feb saw the threat of tariffs drive a spike-low in the pair, but that held above 1.0200, and then as the tariff threat seemed to recede a bit, EUR/USD pushed up to 1.0500 for two different tests of the big figure.
At this point bulls haven't exactly taken over matters, but the slow build of 'less bearish' can then lead into bullish breakouts.
In EUR/USD, the Fibonacci retracements produced by the 2021-2022 sell-off, and then the 61.8% bounce from that sell-off, continue to highlight important levels. The 1.0200 level is confluent with the 23.6% retracement of the longer-term move and the 61.8% retracement of the shorter-term move plotting within a single pip of each other.
The 50% mark of the shorter-term move from the 2022 low to the 2023 high (which was the 61.8% retracement of the longer-term move) is what helped to hold support last week, after showing as resistance the week before.
And sitting overhead is the 1.0611 level, which is confluent as this is the 38.2% retracement of the shorter-term move as well as the 38.2% retracement of the 2022-2023 move. If EUR/USD can push a breakout, that's the next major level of interest. - js
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 19, 2025 EURUSDU.S. President Donald Trump said late Tuesday that he would likely impose tariffs on imports of cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals of about 25%, with an announcement to follow as early as 2 April.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said a peace deal could not yet be concluded. He postponed his visit to Saudi Arabia, scheduled for Wednesday, until 10 March to avoid giving ‘legitimacy’ to the US-Russia talks. This uncertainty could lift the US dollar and serve as a tailwind for the pair.
Investors are awaiting the release of the minutes of the January FOMC meeting, which are due to be released later on Wednesday. This report could provide some clues as to how policymakers assess the risk of a global trade war.
On the other side of the pond, the ZEW Eurozone Economic Sentiment Index came in at 24.2 in February versus 18.0 previously, missing expectations. Rising bets that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates three more times this year could put pressure on the Euro (EUR).
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0450, SL 1.0500, TP 1.0350
Gold(XAUUSD Bullish Breakout with Upside Potential Towards 2,940This chart shows a bullish structure in gold (XAUUSD) on the 15-minute timeframe.
1. **Break of Structure (BOS)** – There was a BOS to the upside, confirming bullish momentum.
2. **Change of Character (ChoCH)** – Multiple ChoCH events indicate a shift in sentiment before the breakout.
3. **Liquidity & Equal Highs (EQH)** – A weak high is marked around 2,940, suggesting a possible liquidity grab.
4. **Demand Zone & Trendline Support** – The price rebounded from a key demand zone and trendline support, fueling the breakout.
5. **Current Price Action** – Gold is currently in a minor pullback around 2,911 after a strong bullish push. The next potential target is near the 2,940 resistance.
If the price holds above the 2,904–2,911 support zone, further upside is expected toward 2,940. A failure to hold could lead to a retest of lower demand zones.
EUR/USD: A Small Bearish Bias Emerges at the 1.0464 ZoneDespite the Euro recent appreciation since February 11—gaining more than 2% —a new bearish bias has appeared, triggering a minor downside correction.
The temporary strengthening of the U.S. dollar is occurring as markets await the release of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes scheduled for tomorrow.
Possible New Trend Formation
The recent upward movement in favor of the euro has created progressively higher lows since mid-January and early February. These higher lows suggest the potential formation of a new short-term uptrend.
However, the price is currently testing a key resistance zone. Until a new higher high is confirmed, it is too early to validate a sustained bullish bias in EUR/USD.
RSI Indicator
The RSI remains above the 50 level, indicating some bullish momentum.
However, its slope has started to decline as the price approaches resistance.
If this trend continues, bearish pressure from the last session may gain more relevance.
ADX Indicator
The ADX line remains below 20, signaling neutrality in most recent price movements.
This lack of a clear trend makes it difficult for EUR/USD to sustain the short-term uptrend.
If the ADX remains neutral in the coming sessions, price action is likely to remain sideways rather than forming a strong directional move.
Key Levels to Watch:
1.02373 – Distant Support: Lowest level in the past two months.
Persistent bearish pressure at this level could invalidate the developing bullish formation in the short term.
1.04646 – Current Resistance: Aligns with January’s high and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
A break above this zone could confirm a continuation of the new uptrend forming in recent sessions.
1.05994 – Key Resistance: Coincides with the 100-period moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
If the bullish momentum pushes price toward this level, it would confirm a much stronger uptrend in EUR/USD.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
EUR/USD at a Crossroads: Will Trade Tensions Push It Lower? EUR/USD has been struggling to maintain momentum above the 1.0500 mark, facing renewed selling pressure as macroeconomic and geopolitical factors influence sentiment. With the US Dollar regaining strength and concerns about European economic stagnation growing, the pair remains vulnerable to further downside.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance Levels: 1.0532 (January 27 high), 1.0629 (December peak), 1.0744 (200-day SMA).
Support Levels: 1.0405 (55-day SMA), 1.0282 (February 10 low), 1.0209 (February 3 low), and 1.0176 (January 13 YTD low).
Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 55, indicating modest momentum, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) remains around 15, suggesting a weakening trend.
Moving Averages: The 200-day SMA at 1.0744 serves as a key dynamic resistance, while the 55-day SMA at 1.0405 acts as interim support.
Fundamental Analysis:
Several key fundamental factors are exerting downward pressure on EUR/USD:
Trade Policy Uncertainty: While US tariff tensions have temporarily eased, lingering trade disputes, including a 10% duty on Chinese imports and potential EU-targeted tariffs, keep investors cautious.
Diverging Central Bank Policies: The Federal Reserve remains firm on keeping interest rates elevated, while the European Central Bank has begun rate cuts, signaling weaker economic confidence in the Eurozone.
Economic Growth Divergence: The US economy continues to show resilience with robust labor markets and stable inflation, while the Eurozone faces stagnation and potential contraction, particularly in Germany.
European Political Risks: Uncertainty in Germany and wider Eurozone economic struggles add to the Euro’s bearish outlook, making it less attractive compared to the US Dollar.
The EUR/USD pair is at a critical juncture, with key support levels in focus. Trade policies, central bank divergence, and economic growth disparities continue to drive market sentiment. This week is pivotal for the Eurozone, with key economic data releases culminating in Friday’s PMI figures, which could determine the pair’s next major move. Traders should remain cautious and closely monitor both technical and fundamental developments.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
EUR/USD: Dollar Surges,Technical Indicators Point to ReversalThe EUR/USD currency pair is showing a clear downward trend today, retreating from Friday's brief rally that saw it briefly touch the 1.051 level. Currently hovering around 1.0448, the pair's weakness is fueled by a slightly resurgent US Dollar. Buoying the greenback are climbing US government yields; the 10-year Treasury note, for instance, has risen to 4.51%, an increase of 4 basis points. However, the positive sentiment pervading global stock markets is acting as a counterweight, tempering the USD's potential for significant gains.
Analyzing the technical landscape, the price action appears to be hitting a critical juncture. The current trading range is approaching a clearly defined resistance zone, which also presents as a supply area. Compellingly, insights gleaned from the Commitments of Traders (COT) report reveal that retail traders hold a significant long position within this area. This, combined with a potential bearish seasonal trend, adds further weight to the possibility of a downward reversal.
Based on this confluence of technical indicators, we are actively watching for a potential price reversal within the identified resistance zone. The interplay of market forces and trader positioning suggests a bearish outlook for the EUR/USD pair in the near term.
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Euro can drop from seller zone to 1.0350 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can observe that the price was moving within a downward channel. After bouncing off the resistance line, it quickly dropped to the 1.0480 resistance level. It then broke below this level and continued to decline inside the channel until eventually breaking out and transitioning into a ranging phase. Within this range, the Euro dipped into the buyer zone, even slightly below it, before reversing and making a strong upward impulse toward the resistance level, briefly entering the seller zone. After that, the price dropped back into the range and soon made a sharp gap down, returning to the buyer zone. However, following this movement, the Euro started to rise again, climbing back to the 1.0480 resistance level in a short period and forming another gap in the process. The price even touched the seller zone before pulling back slightly and is now hovering near the 1.0480 level. Given this setup, I anticipate a rejection from the seller zone, leading to a decline. Based on this, my TP is set at 1.0350 within the range. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURO - Price can break support level and drop to $1.0370 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon broke $1.0255 level and continued to grow.
Then it made a correction and after this continued to move up and soon reached $1.0490 level and broke it.
After this, Euro started to decline and exited from a channel, breaking $1.0490 level too, after which continued to fall.
Price made a strong gap and dropped to support line of wedge, after which started to grow and later made another gap.
Next, EUR bounced up from support line of wedge and in a short time rose to $1.0490 level and broke it.
Now, it trades close this level and I think it can break $1.0490 level and continue to decline to $1.0370
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Fed Talk Lifts Dollar, EUR/USD Under PressureEUR/USD hovers around 1.0455, while the dollar index rebounded to 107 on Tuesday, snapping a three-day losing streak. The recovery followed remarks from Federal Reserve officials signaling a pause in rate cuts to focus on inflation control. Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested holding off on cuts unless inflation trends match 2024 levels, while Governor Michelle Bowman stressed the need for more evidence before easing policy. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker also supported maintaining current rates amid economic strength.
Markets now await this week’s FOMC minutes for further rate guidance. Last week, the dollar weakened due to mixed US economic data and reduced tariff concerns. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted that currency manipulation is now a key factor in trade strategy.
Technically, resistance stands at 1.0515, with further barriers at 1.0600 and 1.0650. Support lies at 1.0350, followed by 1.0275 and 1.0220.
EURUSD About to turn bearish again on Double StructureThe EURUSD pair has been on a Bullish Leg since the February 09 Low and is approaching the January 27 High, which is its technical Resistance level. Technically, every such test has been rejected down to at least the 0.786 Fibonacci level but since we might be within a Channel Up, it is possible to see one last push to complete a +2.68% rise from the February 09 Low.
The 0.786 Fib then will fall below the Channel Up so to account for that technical miss of support, our Target will be the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 1.03125.
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HelenP. I Euro may correct to trend line before continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. From this chart, it's clear that the price initially moved upward within a rising channel. At one point, it briefly dipped below the 1.0260 level but quickly recovered and pushed higher. After hovering around this level for a while, the price resumed its upward movement within the channel. Later, the Euro reached Support 1, which aligned with a support zone, and consolidated there for some time before breaking through. The price then climbed to 1.0520 before reversing and starting to decline. In a short span, it dropped back to Support 1, broke below it again, exited the channel, and fell further to the trend line, forming a strong gap and breaking through Support 2 along the way. However, the price soon reversed sharply, rallying back to Support 1 before correcting below the trend line. Following this correction, the price began to climb below the trend line, and after some time, EURUSD managed to break above both the trend line and Support 1. Currently, it is continuing its upward movement near the trend line. In my view, EURUSD is likely to drop back to the trend line before resuming its upward trajectory. With that in mind, I’ve set my target at 1.0560. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro will break resistance level and continue to grow nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. A few days ago, the price was trading within a range. It dropped to the seller's zone but immediately rebounded to the upper boundary of the range. Shortly after, the price began to decline, falling below the resistance level, breaking it, and exiting the range pattern. Following this move, the price dropped to the support line and continued to hover near it. Occasionally, it bounced back toward the resistance level but quickly reversed downward. The Euro continued to fall, reaching 1.0175 and breaking through the support level, which aligned with the buyer's zone. From there, it began to climb near another support line. Later, the price broke the support level once again but then rallied to the resistance level, breaking through that as well. Afterward, EUR formed its first gap, followed by a sharp drop to the buyer's zone, creating a second, stronger gap and breaking the support line. Subsequently, the Euro started to climb within an upward channel, where it formed a third gap. At the moment, it remains in this upward trajectory. Based on this, I believe the Euro will continue to rise within the channel and eventually break the resistance level. Once the breakout occurs, I expect the price to maintain its upward momentum, so my TP is set at 1.0550. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD’s Bullish Breakout—Targets Set for $1.046 & $1.049!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) came to the above of the 100_SMA(4-hour) once again and managed to break the Resistance zone($1.039-$1.033) and Resistance lines , and today we saw EURUSD made a pullback to this zone.
It is also possible that EURUSD will form an ascending channel , so we have to wait for the second hit to the Upper line and confirm its major point .
I expect the EURUSD to trend higher after coming above the 100_SMA(4-hour) and attacking the next Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) and Resistance lines .
The First Target: $1.04651
The Second Target: $1.04981
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.0347, we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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EURCHF Last bearish sequence of the Channel Down.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a +2 year Channel Down pattern since the September 26 2022 Low and has lately found its price action ranging within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
We are currently on the pattern's 2nd Bearish Leg and based on the 1D RSI's Higher Highs, we are in symmetrical terms on a High like November 17 2023. That was the price's last Lower High before the Bearish Leg bottomed on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we remain bearish on EURCHF, targeting 0.91000 (Fib 1.236 ext).
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Gold (XAU/USD) Bullish Momentum: Key Buy Zone & Targets Identify gold (XAU/USD) analysis on the 1-hour chart indicates a strong bullish trend with a clear buying opportunity. Here are the key observations:
**Analysis & Key Levels:**
1. **Uptrend Formation:**
- The price is consistently making higher highs and higher lows.
- A trendline is supporting the move, confirming bullish momentum.
2. **Support & Buying Zone:**
- The chart highlights a **possible buy zone** around 2,930–2,920.
- This area coincides with a prior resistance-turned-support, making it an ideal re-entry for buyers.
3. **Resistance & Target Levels:**
- **1st target:** Around **2,943** – a short-term resistance level.
- **2nd target:** Around **2,960–2,970**, indicating a higher timeframe resistance where price might slow down.
**Trading Plan:**
- A potential buy entry could be near the **support zone (2,930–2,920)** if price pulls back.
- If the price remains above the trendline, the bullish move is likely to continue toward 2,943 and potentially 2,970.
- A break below the trendline could invalidate the bullish move, leading to a deeper correction.