EURO - After movement up, price will drop to support lineHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it some time traded below the support area and soon bounced up.
Price broke $1.1455 level and rose to the resistance line of the channel, after which it turned around and made correction movement.
Next, price some time traded near $1.1455 level and then bounced and continued to move up inside the channel.
In a short time Euro rose to $1.1700 level, which coincided with a support area, and some time trades between this level.
Then the price broke this level and continued to move up, until it almost reached the resistance line of the channel and started to fall.
Now, I think the Euro can rise a little and then continue to fall to $1.1610 support line of the channel, breaking $1.1700 level.
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Euro
EUR/USD Wave 5 Topped? Correction Incoming to 1.076FX_IDC:EURUSD PEPPERSTONE:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD
📈 Chart Breakdown
🔢 Elliott Impulse Wave Completed:
Waves (1) to (5) appear to form a clean 5-wave impulse structure upward.
Final wave (5) is diverging on the oscillator (RSI), signaling potential bullish exhaustion.
🧾 ABC Correction Expected:
After the 5-wave impulse, you project an ABC corrective move:
Wave A: initial drop
Wave B: partial recovery
Wave C: deeper move likely toward the 1.07680 support (blue horizontal line)
⚠️ Bearish RSI Divergence:
The label "Div" confirms bearish divergence between price and RSI → typical at end of Wave (5).
🧠 Summary:
Structure: 5-wave impulse + projected 3-wave correction
Bias: Short-term bearish targeting 1.07680
Confirmation: Look for break below support or trendline + momentum shift
EURUSD: Correction to 1D MA50 possible.EURUSD is vastly overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 74.017, MACD = 0.011, ADX = 27.363) having completed a +15.64% rise from the February 3rd 2025 Low. That was a technical HL bottom on the 3 year Channel Up and the same amount of price increase was seen on its first bullish wave. When it peaked it made three successive highs over a 6 month period (Feb-July 2023) before starting a long term bearish sentiment creation. For now, we can expect at least a 1D MA50 test on the short-term (TP = 1.15000).
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EURO - Price can start to decline from resistance line of wedgeHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price grew to $1.1500 level and even broke it, after which started to decline in wedge.
Price declined to support line, breaking two levels, after which it turned around and started to move up.
Soon, EUR broke $1.1215 level and then rose more, after which made a correction to support line.
Then price in a short time rose to $1.1500 level, broke it one more time, and tried to grow more, but failed.
But recently it turned around and quickly rose to resistance line of wedge and now trades near.
In my mind, Euro can bounce from resistance line and fall to $1.1520 support line of wedge pattern.
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Euro H4 | Falling toward a pullback supportThe Euro (EUR/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.1744 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1660 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1.1829 which is a swing-high resistance.
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Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Euro will make correction to support line of channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. In this chart, we can see how the price entered to triangle, where it at once bounced from the support line and rose to the 1.1100 support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Soon, price broke this level, after a small correction, and continued to move up to the 1.1575 current support level, which coincided with the support area. This area also coincided with the resistance line of the triangle, and the Euro rebounded from this line and started to decline. In a short time, it declined to the buyer zone, where it turned around and started to move up. Soon, Euro exited from triangle and continued to rise inside an upward channel, where it made a correction first and then continued to grow. Later, EUR rose to 1.1575 current support level, one more time and even almost broke it, but failed and corrected. But soon, it finally broke this level and rose to the resistance line of the channel, where at the moment it continues to trade near. In my mind, Euro will rebound from this line and go to the correction until to support line of the channel, breaking the support level. For this case, my TP is located near this line - at the 1.1490 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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Internal and external liquidity Here's another mechanical lesson for you.
In my last post I covered a mechanical technique to identify swing ranges. Rule-based, simple and repeatable.
In this post, I want to share another little technique, again part of the mechanical series. But this time I want to talk about liquidity.
Most traders talk about liquidity, they might even have a grasp of what it is. But most do not know how liquidity forms the sentiment and how that creates a type of algo for the market.
You might have heard of Elliott wave theory. There is a saying along the lines of "you ask 10 Elliott traders for their count and you get 11 answers".
But the point is here, when you simplify the concept, it's clear to see that sentiment caused by liquidity swings is what causes a repeatable pattern in the market.
Let's take the idea of the ranges from my last post.
Now after a fair amount of accumulation, this level becomes "defended" - the price will gradually move up until old short stop losses are tagged and new long entries are entered into.
This allows the institutional players to open up their orders without setting off the alarm bells.
Price then comes back from external liquidity to find internal liquidity (more on this in a later post).
But then it looks for the next fresh highs.
As the highs are put in, we can use the range technique to move our range to the new area as seen in the image above.
Next we will be looking for an internal move, not just internal to the range, but a fractal move on the smaller timeframe that drives the pullback down. See this in blue.
The logic here is simple; on the smaller timeframes we have witnessed an accumulation at the 2 region and as we spike up for 3; we will witness a distribution on the smaller timeframes.
Wyckoff called this the accumulation, followed by a mark-up and then the distribution and a mark-down.
It is this pattern, over and over again that leads to this type of structure.
This will then be re-branded by various analysts who will call it things like a head and shoulders, smart money will see a change of character and a retest before breaking the structure.
This is all the same thing - just a different naming convention.
Again, I hope this helps some of you out there!
Disclaimer
This idea does not constitute as financial advice. It is for educational purposes only, our principal trader has over 25 years' experience in stocks, ETF's, and Forex. Hence each trade setup might have different hold times, entry or exit conditions, and will vary from the post/idea shared here. You can use the information from this post to make your own trading plan for the instrument discussed. Trading carries a risk; a high percentage of retail traders lose money. Please keep this in mind when entering any trade. Stay safe.
EURUSD Sell signal at the top of the Channel Up.Last time we analyzed the EURUSD pair (June 23, see chart below) we gave a strong buy signals at the bottom of the 1.5-month Channel Up:
The price is almost near our Target but since it's been consolidating for so many 4H candles on the pattern's top, it is better to take the good profit and turn bearish.
The 0.5 Fibonacci retracement level has been a solid target for the previous two Bearish Legs, but since the last one bottomed just above it on the 4H MA100 (green trend-line), we will place the Target a little higher this time also at 1.16100.
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EUR/USD BULL RAID: Quick Profit Heist Before the Drop!🏴☠️ EUR/USD "The Fiber" HEIST ALERT: Bullish Loot Before the Trap! 🚨💰
🌟 Greetings, Market Pirates & Profit Raiders! 🌟
Hola! Oi! Bonjour! Hallo! Marhaba! 🤑
🔥 Thief Trading Strategy Activated! 🔥
Our bullish heist on EUR/USD is LIVE—time to swipe the loot before the bears set their trap! 🎯💸
📈 Entry (Vault is OPEN!):
Buy Limit Orders preferred (15M/30M swing levels).
Alert up! Don’t miss the breakout.
🛑 Stop Loss (Escape Route):
Nearest Swing Low (1.15200) on 30M TF.
Adjust for your risk & lot size—no reckless robberies!
🎯 Target (Profit Hideout): 1.16400
Scalpers: Stick to LONG only—trail your SL to lock gold!
Swing Traders: Ride the wave or split the haul.
⚡ Why This Heist?
Bullish momentum + weak bears = perfect robbery conditions.
Overbought? Yes. Risky? Absolutely. But thieves thrive in chaos!
📢 Pro Tip:
Avoid news spikes (volatility = jail time for unprepared traders).
Trailing SL = Your Getaway Car.
💥 BOOST THIS PLAN!
Hit 👍, share 🔄, and let’s drain this market together! More heists coming—stay tuned! 🚀🐱👤
(Disclaimer: Trade smart. We’re thieves, not gambleers.)
HelenP. I Euro will drop to trend line, after movement upHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see that EURUSD has been moving in a stable upward trend, supported by a clear ascending trend line. Each time the price approached this line, it rebounded and continued to grow, respecting the bullish structure. After the recent breakout from the support zone around 1.1500, the market made a strong impulse to the upside and reached a local high. Now, the momentum seems to be slowing down, which opens the possibility for a corrective movement. Given this setup, I expect that the price could first make a small upward push to trap late buyers, and then turn around to begin a decline. The trend line remains a critical technical level, and I anticipate the price will revisit it soon. For this reason, I’ve placed my goal at 1.1575 points — this area aligns with the trend line and can serve as the next support if a pullback occurs. As long as this level holds, the market remains in a bullish structure, but a correction seems likely before further growth. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment.
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Euro may start to decline to support line of upward channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Earlier, the price was trading inside a downward wedge, gradually making lower highs and lower lows. After reaching the bottom of the wedge near the buyer zone (1.1210 - 1.1180), we saw a strong bullish impulse that broke through both the resistance line of the wedge and the support area near 1.1450 - 1.1485. This breakout signaled the beginning of a new phase - a transition into an Upward Channel. Since then, the price has been forming higher highs and higher lows, respecting both the upper and lower boundaries of this new structure. Along the way, it has rebounded from the support line multiple times and recently made a strong move up toward the resistance line of the channel. Currently, the price is approaching that resistance line, which may act as a potential reversal area. Given the previous price behavior and the clearly defined channel, I expect the price to reach the top boundary and then start to decline toward the lower support line. That’s why I’ve set my TP 1 at 1.1555 points, which aligns perfectly with the support line of the upward channel. Based on the recent breakout, the structure of the trend, and the reaction from key zones, I remain short-biased for the upcoming sessions. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EURO - Price can correct and then continue move up in channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price entered to triangle, where it at once made an upward impulse from support line to resistance line.
Price broke $1.1070 with $1.1430 levels, after which turned around and started to decline, breaking $1.1430 level again.
Next, price exited from triangle and started to grow inside rising channel, where it rose near support line long time.
Later it reached $1.1430 level one more time and soon broke it again, after which made retest and continued to grow.
But when it reached resistance line of channel, it made correction movement to support area and then bounced up.
Now, I think that Euro can fall to support line and then continue to move up inside rising channel to $1.1800
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EUROUSD updates chartEUR/USD Sell Setup Active 🔻
Pair rejected key resistance zone near 1.0740 – entering sell position now.
📉 Short-term momentum favoring bears.
🎯 Target: 1.0650 → 1.0600
🛑 Stop Loss: Above 1.0755
🕰️ H1/H4 confluence confirms downside pressure.
Trendline + RSI divergence = high-probability short!
📌 Plan the trade. Trade the plan.
USD under pressure ahead of PCE—gold holds $3,300The euro has reached its highest level since October 2021, driven in part by commitments from European leaders to increase NATO defence spending.
The swing factor for the euro dollar in the shorter term is the possibility of US rate cuts. Critical for this will be US inflation data, starting with tomorrow's PCE report. If tariffs fail to significantly lift inflation, the case for a July rate cut strengthens—adding further pressure on the dollar.
That weakness is also supporting gold. XAUUSD is above $3,300. Recent price action has formed a potential symmetrical triangle on the daily chart—a structure that can precede a breakout. A move above $3,400 could signal renewed bullish momentum.
$DXY Repeating 2016 Post-Election I have highlighted the 2016 to 2020 Presidential Elections time period and then pasted that timeframe onto the 2024 election and found that the pattern is going along very similarly to Trump 1.0.
If we assume that the future unfolds the same as last time, which is low probability, of course, then the future will unfold as shown in the yellow bars going into the future, as shown.
Initially in 2016 post election there was a 7% rally in the U.S. Dollar Index and then a 15% retreat for the following year. So far in 2025 we have seen the same rally and a similar decline, but only faster this time.
It would appear as thought the bulk majority of the declines in the TVC:DXY are over at this time with perhaps 4% further downside over the balance of the year.
The Dollar Index has been useful for predicting changes in the earnings estimates for the S&P500 in the USA due to the high percentage of earnings coming back to the US for quarterly reporting. I have posted a few charts in the past which have been helpful at determining the risk in the stock market.
The behavior of the global central banks has certainly had its impact on monetary aggregates and inflation. The policy response since the Covid Pandemic has been for maximum liquidity and maximum Government spending to keep the global economy afloat. The post-Covid response is now coming to a head along with new policy directives to cut wasteful Government spending and to reduce inflation (caused the Gov't spending).
Global investors have flocked to the US for access to high technology stocks and have driven up the value of US assets to extreme levels compared to other markets. This adjustment phase where investors remove money from overvalued, or highly valued, US assets back to other markets has created a wave of selling in the US Dollar and US listed equities.
What does the future hold? We never know but we sure can learn from what happened in the past by looking at charts just like this one to see what may happen. Looks like a bounce in the TVC:DXY from here, followed by a new low and then a rebound into the next few years.
All the best,
Tim
April 22, 2025 1:16PM EST TVC:DXY 98.78 last
Euro can drop from wedge, breaking support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. The price previously started a confident upward movement, breaking out from the buyer zone around 1.1075 and forming an upward wedge pattern. As the trend continued, EUR pushed through the support area and traded inside the wedge, showing multiple bounces from the support line. Eventually, the pair reached the resistance line at the top of the wedge and then reversed. After a short correction, it tried to rebound again but failed to create a new high. The market then pulled back into the support area 1.1455 - 1.1410 and is now testing that level once more. Currently, the Euro is trading just above the support area, and we may see a short-term rebound from here. However, given the overall structure, I expect the price to break the support level and exit the wedge pattern to the downside. In my opinion, this breakout will initiate a strong bearish wave, targeting the 1.1250 points, which is where I’ve set my TP 1. Given the pattern structure, recent lower highs, and the weakening bullish momentum, I remain bearish and anticipate further decline once support is broken. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EURO - Price can continue to decline inside wedge patternHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago, price tried to grow, but failed and dropped below $1.1220 support level, after which started to grow in channel.
In rising channel, price broke $1.1220 level one more time and then rose to resistance line and then corrected.
Next, Euro rose to $1.1455 level and some time traded inside this level, until it broke it and continued to move up.
Price exited from rising channel and later started to decline inside wedge pattern, where it declined to $1.1455 level.
Recently, price bounced from this level and in a short time rose to resistance line of wedge pattern.
In my mind, Euro can continue to decline to $1.1400 support line of wedge, breaking support level.
If this post is useful to you, you can support me with like/boost and advice in comments❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
Euro H4 | Potential reversal off a multi-swing-high resistanceThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards a multi-swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.1609 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
Stop loss is at 1.1675 which is a level that sits above the 127.2% Fibonacci extension.
Take profit is at 1.1535 which is a pullback support that aligns with a 50% Fiboancci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com ):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com ):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EURUSD Channel Up formed bottom. Heavily bullish.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Up since the May 12 Low. Today it hit its 4H MA100 (green trend-line) for the first time since May 12 and having just broken also above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line), it confirmed that the pattern has already priced its bottom.
This is initiating the new Bullish Leg and based on the previous two, it should grow by at least +3.21%. We have a modest short-term Target at 1.1800.
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HelenP. I Euro will break resistance level and continue to fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. On this chart, we can see how price initially moved inside a triangle formation, forming higher lows from the trend line and testing the resistance zone multiple times. Eventually, price broke out to the downside, falling sharply and breaking through the lower boundary of the triangle and also the trend line, signaling a shift in market sentiment. After touching the support zone and forming a temporary bottom, the pair started climbing back up, but this movement was more of a correction than a trend reversal. Price respected the trend line from below and followed it upward, but failed to break significantly higher. It managed to push above both support 2 and support 1 levels, which now act as resistance. Currently, EURUSD is trading inside the resistance zone, where previous reactions have led to strong bearish impulses. Given this behavior and the recent false breakout, I expect the price to rebound from this area and break back below support. My goal is set at 1.1350, anticipating further downside movement as the bearish structure remains valid. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.
SHORT ON EUR/GPBWe have a rising channel (bearish reversal chart pattern) at a major level of resistance (confluence)
Price has given us a breakout of the channel to the downside and is currently respecting resistance.
I will be selling EUR/GBP to the next support level looking to catch over 120 pips.
Euro can fall to support area and then rebound upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing this chart, we can see how the price, after a period of sideways trading, the price started to grow gradually and formed a consistent bullish structure. The trend was supported by regular bounces from the support line, confirming the bullish sentiment. At some point, price made a temporary drop below the support area, but this move was short-lived; bulls quickly stepped in, and the pair recovered. After that, EURUSD returned back into the channel and began forming higher highs and higher lows again, confirming the continuation of the trend. Right now, the price is declining slightly and approaching the support area again, which is located between 1.1455 and 1.1430. This zone has shown itself as a strong support during previous moves and is now being retested from above. Given the current structure and the upward channel in play, I expect the Euro to rebound from this support area and continue growing toward the 1.1580 points - that’s my current TP 1. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Disclaimer: As part of ThinkMarkets’ Influencer Program, I am sponsored to share and publish their charts in my analysis.