EURO - Price can make small correction and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURO, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently, price entered to falling channel, where it at once fell to $1.1330 level and then not long time traded near this level.
Next, price rose to resistance line of channel, and some time traded near, after which dropped.
Price broke $1.1330 level and started to traded below this level, and later it continued to decline in channel.
Later, Euro made a gap and then exited from channel, after which turned around and started to grow in a rising channel.
In this channel, price broke $1.1140 level and continued to move up until it reached resistance line.
Then price corrected, and now I expect that Euro can bounce up from support area to $1.1280 inside channel.
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Euro
Euro can continue to decline in channel to buyer zoneHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Earlier, the Euro formed a symmetrical triangle, where the price squeezed between resistance and support lines before breaking out with a strong impulse move. After this breakout, the pair quickly climbed toward the 1.1420 - 1.1455 resistance area, a major seller zone, but failed to hold above it. Since then, the price structure shifted into a well-defined downward channel. Within this channel, we’ve seen repeated rejections from the upper boundary and controlled declines toward the support line. Recently, EUR rebounded again from the resistance line, confirming that sellers remain in control. Now the price is heading lower once more. Given this repeated rejection and the prevailing bearish structure, I expect the decline to continue toward the next key area, the 1.1070 - 1.1035 buyer zone. This level aligns with the channel’s support and has acted as a reaction zone in the past. That’s why I set my TP at 1.1035, the bottom of the buyer zone and a logical target within this bearish setup. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
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EURUSD Pullback in Play – Next Stop: $1.1337EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving in the Resistance zone($1.1310-$1.1162) while the upper line of the descending channel has been broken.
According to Elliott Wave theory , a breakout of the descending channel can at least confirm the end of a corrective wave . The corrective wave structure was a Double Three Correction(WXY) .
I expect EURUSD to rise to at least $1.1337 after completing a pullback to the upper line of the descending channel .
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.11590, we can expect further declines.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame.
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EURUSD 1st 4H Death Cross after 7 months. Is it enough to short?The EURUSD pair just formed its first Death Cross on the 4H time-frame since October 04 2024. The last such formation signaled the bearish extension of the trend by breaking below its Higher Lows trend-line.
That was a similar Higher Lows trend-line the price rebounded on on May 12, exactly on the 1D MA50 (red trend-line). With the 1D RSI on levels similar with that previous Death Cross, we will wait for confirmation before shorting again and the price to break is the Higher Low/ 1D MA50 Cluster.
If broken, our Target will be just above the 0.618 Fibonacci from the bottom at 1.07350.
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Euro H4 | Overlap resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.1263 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1395 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.1081 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Euro H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Euro (EUR/USD) could fall towards an overlap support and potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.1274 which is an overlap support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1195 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement.
Take profit is at 1.1426 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com/uk):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com/eu):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com/en):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EURJPY- SHORTI can see that with the expectations of the upcoming CPI due on Monday.
1. Prices moved back into our NO TRADE ZONE (FAIR VALUE) after touching our Key retail area.
2. The initial direction is showing a downtrend.
personally feel the rally has been exhausted and is ready for cooling of the Euro/Jpy
MY EXPECTATIONS:
- Deflationary Data outcome for the CPI
- Weaker Euro
- Bad news for the Euro
TO PUSH DOWN PRICES FURTHER into my wholesaler area
EURGBP | A Shift in Market Dynamics: GBP to Gain StrengthThe current environment, driven by increasing uncertainty in the dollar, presents a unique opportunity in the EURGBP trading pair. With the Eurozone having lowered interest rates, the euro has gained value somewhat unnecessarily, largely in response to some of the illogical market moves we've seen from the Trump era. However, as the volatility from such unpredictable actions settles down, the British pound (GBP) will likely make a comeback.
📉 Euro's Overvaluation and GBP's Stability
While the Euro has benefited from these external factors, its recent strength is arguably not reflective of the underlying economic realities. On the other hand, the British pound has maintained stability with consistent interest rates. This relative calmness has allowed GBP to gain strength against the euro over time.
📈 GBP Will Play Catch-Up
As we move forward, the GBP is poised to compensate for its recent underperformance. The Bank of England's steady approach to interest rates will provide a solid foundation for the pound to regain lost ground. In contrast, the euro may struggle to sustain its current levels, particularly with the potential risks surrounding further economic policies in the Eurozone.
🔍 Trade Strategy for EURGBP
As a trader, I see EURGBP as a clear short opportunity, with the pound likely to outperform the euro in the near-term. Patience is key here, as waiting for the right technical setup, especially on the lower timeframes, will allow you to enter with confirmation.
💡 Why This Matters
The shifts in these two economies — one facing potential fallout from low rates and the other benefiting from a more stable policy environment — create an optimal setup for taking advantage of currency movements. Just as in any trade, follow the clear path where value has been mispriced and capitalize on that gap.
Stay informed and be ready to act when these market conditions play out — because this opportunity might not last long.
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Euro may break support level and fall to support line of channelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. In this chart, we can see how the price after another rejection from the resistance boundary of the descending channel, the Euro began to show renewed bearish pressure. The price attempted to gain ground above the buyer zone, but the breakout lacked follow-through and quickly reversed. This false breakout scenario often acts as a trigger for a deeper drop, especially when it occurs near the mid-range of a well-defined channel. The market remains inside a structured downward channel, with lower highs and lower lows still intact. At this point, the price is approaching the upper section of the buyer zone again. If sellers regain control and push the market lower, a breakdown below 1.1135 could open the way for another leg to the downside. I expect EUR will continue declining toward the support line of the channel. That’s why my current TP 1 is set at 1.100, which aligns with the lower boundary of the structure and marks a potential short-term target for bearish continuation. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Euro may reach resistance level and break itHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Observing this chart, we can see how the price appears to be finding stability just above the trend line support. This zone also aligns closely with the local swing low formed after the rejection from the resistance area near 1.1270. Buyers managed to defend this key trend structure, forming a potential higher low setup within the broader bullish framework. The price is now trading below a significant resistance cluster, where both horizontal and supply pressure meet, the 1.1270 to 1.1315 zone. However, the fact that EUR is respecting the rising trend line and hasn't broken below the previous local low suggests that bullish momentum may still be intact. A corrective dip into the trend line could offer the final shakeout before a new leg upward begins. If price manages to build strength around this support and push back toward the resistance zone, a breakout becomes increasingly likely. In such a case, the market may extend toward the 1.1400 area, which I consider my current target. Given the sustained higher lows, trend support, and structure of accumulation forming below resistance, I expect EURUSD to continue pushing upward after this retest phase. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
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Euro H4 | Overlap resistance at 38.2% Fibonacci retracementThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.1263 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1395 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.1081 which is an overlap support that aligns close the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EURO - Price can continue to decline in falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURO, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Not long ago, price entered to pennant, where it at once made an impulse up and broke $1.0820 level.
Then price rose to resistance line of a pennant and then corrected to support area, where it later reached the support line.
Next, Euro made an upward impulse, thereby exiting from the pennant pattern and breaking $1.0820 level again.
Price made a small correction and then rose higher than $1.1270 level, breaking it, but later started fall in falling channel.
In channel, Euro broke $1.1270 level one more time and fell to support line, after which rose almost to this level.
Now, I expect that price can rise to the resistance line and then continue to fall in a falling channel to $1.0960
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EUR/USD Daily Short SetupSetup: Retest of the former support zone (now supply) after the recent pullback from the mid-April highs
Entry: Short around 1.1336 (within the shaded resistance box)
Stop-Loss: Above the recent swing high at 1.1390
Take-Profit: Near the lower range support at 1.0735
Risk : Reward: ~1 : 5
Rationale:
Following a strong rally from early March to mid-April, EUR/USD has corrected sharply and is now back into the grey supply area that previously acted as support. This zone is likely to cap upside moves, making a short entry here attractive. The next major support lies around 1.0735, offering a high reward relative to risk. A break above 1.1390 would invalidate the setup.
Euro H4 | Rising into an overlap resistanceThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards an overlap resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.1263 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement.
Stop loss is at 1.1395 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a multi-swing-high resistance.
Take profit is at 1.1081 which is an overlap support that aligns close the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (tradu.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 63% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Global LLC (tradu.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Tradu (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of Tradu and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of Tradu or any form of personal or investment advice. Tradu neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is Tradu responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Digital Euro: Separating Fact from Conspiracy TheoriesIn today’s fast-paced digital landscape, misinformation can spread rapidly and mislead even those well-intentioned readers. With the Digital Euro project circulating online, numerous pieces of fake news have surfaced—not just criticism or differing opinions, but outright falsehoods that may convince citizens, especially those less familiar with financial innovations, that the project is something it is not. In this article, we delve into the most common misconceptions and explain with clarity and factual context why these claims do not correspond with reality.
1. Myth: "The Digital Euro Will Replace Cash"
❌ False. Despite alarming headlines, cash will not vanish. The Digital Euro is poised to become an additional payment option alongside physical money. The Eurosystem is committed to ensuring that banknotes and coins remain accessible. In fact, plans are already underway to introduce new series of euro banknotes, reaffirming the continued value of cash in our daily transactions.
2. Myth: "The ECB Will Be Able to Control and Block Your Payments"
❌ False. Privacy is a cornerstone of the Digital Euro. Similar to the way cash transactions operate, offline payments would be possible without any tracking by the Eurosystem. This means that your personal transactions remain private and free from arbitrary interference. The design of the digital euro ensures that your financial autonomy is preserved.
3. Myth: "There Will Be Arbitrary Limits on How Much Digital Euro Can Be Held"
❌ False. Any limits imposed on holding digital euros would not be arbitrary measures of control but rather tools to safeguard financial stability. Such thresholds are considered from the perspective of systemic security—not the curtailment of individual freedom. The focus is on ensuring that the financial ecosystem remains resilient rather than monitoring or constraining individual spending.
4. Myth: "The Digital Euro Is a Way to Introduce Negative Interest Rates on Deposits"
❌ False. The digital euro is designed to mirror cash in its fundamental properties—namely, being interest-free. It is not a mechanism for financial authorities to impose negative interest rates on personal funds. The purpose is to complement traditional cash by offering a modern payment solution without altering the neutrality of money.
5. Myth: "It Will Be Mandatory to Use the Digital Euro"
❌ False. Use of the digital euro is entirely optional, serving as one out of many available payment instruments. Just as consumers choose between cash, credit cards, or other digital means, the digital euro is simply an additional tool. No regulation compels you to adopt this innovation if you prefer your existing methods.
6. Myth: "Banks Will Lose All Their Role"
❌ False. The introduction of the digital euro will not render banks obsolete. Banks will continue to provide essential financial services, acting as intermediaries and offering the digital euro alongside other products. The evolution of the payment system enhances consumer choice without dismantling the traditional banking framework.
7. Myth: "The Digital Euro Will Be Programmable, So They Will Tell You How to Spend Your Money"
❌ False. The concept of programmability—that is, dictating how funds are spent—has been explicitly ruled out by the ECB. Both proposals from the European Commission and the legislative frameworks confirm that the digital euro will not be programmable. The goal is to maintain financial freedom and user discretion, similar to how cash operates.
8. Myth: "It's a Project to Eliminate Cryptocurrencies"
❌ False. Rather than extinguishing cryptoassets, the Digital Euro is designed to coexist alongside them. While cryptocurrencies are often speculative and volatile, the digital euro aims to offer a more stable and secure means of payment. The two are intended to serve different purposes: cryptoassets are generally considered investment or speculative instruments, whereas the Digital Euro would fulfill everyday transactional needs.
9. Myth: "There Will Be No More Privacy in Payments"
❌ False. Privacy in the digital age remains a top priority. Offline transactions with the Digital Euro will mirror the privacy features of cash, shielding your personal data. For online transactions, robust privacy regimes are in place. Importantly, the issuer—the Eurosystem—will not have the ability to directly connect transactions to specific individuals, ensuring that your financial privacy is maintained.
Conclusion
The Digital Euro is not the harbinger of a new era of financial surveillance or control. Instead, it represents an additional, modern means of payment designed to coexist with traditional cash and current banking services . By dispelling these myths, we hope to foster a clearer understanding of the Digital Euro project and promote informed discussions based on official facts.
Embracing accurate information is crucial to navigating the ever-changing world of digital finance, ensuring that choices are made based on facts rather than fictions.
FX_IDC:EURUSD TVC:DXY TVC:EXY INDEX:BTCUSD CRYPTO:BTCUSD TVC:SPX EUREX:FESX1! EURONEXT:N100 AMEX:FXE TVC:GOLD FX_IDC:XAUUSD
EURGBP: Shifting to long term bearish.EURGBP is heavily bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 36.165, MACD = 0.000, ADX = 36.508), and most likely will close the day under its 1D MA50. At the moment it is crossing below the 2025 Channel Up and if it closes under it, we will have a validated trend shift to bearish long term. It will be similar to the August 2024 decline that made a new Low after a 1D MA50 rejection. We first aim for the S1 level (TP1 = 0.83500) and as long as it remains under the 1D MA50, resell on the bounce to the S1 level (TP2 = 0.82500).
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EURUSD first 1D MA50 test since March 03. Bearish?Last time we had a look at the EURUSD pair (April 28, see chart below), we gave a bearish continuation signal, which not only did it hit its 1.12500 Target but also broke below the 3-month Channel Down:
This has brought us to the almost the first 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) test since the March 03 break-out. As long as this holds, it keeps the trend bullish but the 1D RSI is on a Bearish Divergence, indicating a potential long-term trend change.
Technically it is similar with the December 28 2023 High, which at the time of the 1D MA50 test was also on Higher Lows but its RSI on Lower Lows (Bearish Div). The 1D MA50 eventually broke, leading to a sell continuation that hit the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level from the bottom.
As a result, if the D MA50 breaks, we will turn bearish, targeting 1.07000 (the 0.618 Fib).
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