EUR/USD analysis – two Key Scenarioshello guys.
The EUR/USD pair has witnessed a strong bullish surge, breaking through key resistance levels. However, two possible scenarios emerge from this critical point:
🔴 First Scenario (Bullish Continuation):
Price could retrace to the 1.07-1.072 demand zone before resuming its upward trajectory.
If support holds, the pair may climb towards the 1.10-1.105 resistance zone, aligning with the upper boundary of the ascending channel.
🔵 Second Scenario (Bearish Reversal):
If bullish momentum fades, a deeper correction may follow, breaking below the key support zone.
This could lead the price toward the 1.04-1.043 area, marking a retest of previous lows and reinforcing bearish sentiment.
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Conclusion:
The current level serves as a critical decision point. If price sustains above support ($1.072-$1.068), bullish momentum may continue. However, a break below could signal a bearish correction, shifting market sentiment. Traders should watch key levels for confirmation of either scenario.
EURO-USD
Euro can reach resistance line of wedge and then drop to $1.0400Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price reached the resistance line before beginning to decline. Shortly after, the Euro dropped to the support level, aligning with the buyer zone, then rebounded back to the resistance line before falling again and breaking below the 1.0300 level. Following that, the Euro made a strong upward move, pushing past the resistance level and briefly entering the seller zone. However, the price quickly reversed and started declining within a wedge pattern, eventually breaking through the support line as well. It then fell to the lower boundary of the wedge, forming a gap before beginning to climb again. Not long after, the Euro broke above the 1.0300 level, retested it, and surged toward the resistance level, where it immediately re-entered the seller zone. After some consolidation in this area, the price dropped back to the wedge’s support line, breaking below 1.0490 once again. Recently, however, it rebounded and is now trading near the 1.0490 resistance level. From my perspective, the Euro has the potential to rise toward the wedge’s resistance line, breaking above the resistance level before reversing downward. If that happens, I expect the price to break below 1.0490 again and continue falling toward the wedge’s support line. That’s why I’ve set my TP at 1.0400, as it aligns with this key level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURO - Price can continue to decline inside falling channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price declined to $1.0380 level and then started to grow inside a wedge, where it at once reached $1.0500 level.
Then price turned around and made correction movement to support line of the wedge, after which quickly bounced up.
Price grew to $1.0500 level and some time traded near this level and later finally broke it, after which turned around.
Euro broke $1.0500 level again, exited from wedge and continued to decline inside falling channel.
Inside channel, price declined to $1.0380 level and a few moments ago broke it and now continued to fall.
Possibly, Euro can rise a little higher than $1.0380 level and then continue to fall to $1.0300 inside channel.
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EUR/USD: Double Top Formation with Potential Downside TargetTechnical Analysis:
The EUR/USD chart shows the formation of a double top pattern around the 1.0480 level, which is commonly interpreted as a bearish reversal signal. The price action highlights that the previous resistance level has been tested twice, with an inability to break above this level, suggesting that selling pressure is building. Additionally, a broken trendline (indicated in the chart) supports the likelihood of a downward move.
The price has already broken below the ascending trendline, confirming the weakening bullish momentum. The target for this pattern is located at around 1.0325, which aligns with previous support levels and the projected completion of the pattern.
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Fundamental Analysis:
Fundamentally, several factors could contribute to a potential downside for EUR/USD:
Economic Data Releases:
The Eurozone has been facing challenges with economic growth, particularly due to inflationary pressures and the ongoing impact of global supply chain disruptions.
On the other hand, the US economy has shown resilience, with strong labor market reports and consumer spending data that may indicate continued strength. If these trends persist, the USD could gain strength relative to the EUR.
Monetary Policy Divergence:
The European Central Bank (ECB) has been cautious in raising interest rates, with a focus on stimulating growth in the region. This contrasts with the US Federal Reserve, which has been tightening its monetary policy more aggressively to combat inflation.
The divergence in monetary policy could continue to support the USD, adding downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair.
Geopolitical Events:
Ongoing geopolitical uncertainties, including the impact of global trade tensions and regional conflicts, could further affect the Eurozone's economic outlook, while the USD might benefit as a safe haven in times of uncertainty.
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Conclusion: With both technical and fundamental factors pointing to a potential bearish scenario for EUR/USD, traders should be cautious of further downside movement. The key support around 1.0325 is critical, and a break below this level could open up further downside towards the next support levels.
Euro can reach resistance level, break it and continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. A few days ago, the price entered a wedge pattern, where it immediately rebounded from the support line into the seller's zone. It then started to decline, quickly dropping to the 1.0355 support level, which aligned with the buyer's zone. Following this, the Euro experienced a sharp gap down, breaking out of the wedge and falling below the support level. However, it soon reversed direction and began to rise, reaching the support level again and breaking through it. After that, the Euro continued moving upward within the range formed by the resistance and support lines. It first corrected to the support line before making a strong push toward the support-turned-resistance level. After breaking it and completing a retest, the price climbed further to the resistance line. From there, it briefly pulled back before making another upward move, reaching the seller's zone, which coincided with a key resistance level. The price consolidated near this level for some time before dropping to the support line. However, not long ago, it rebounded and started to rise again. In this scenario, I expect the price to continue its upward movement toward the resistance level. If it manages to break through, a retest could follow before further growth. Based on this, I have set my TP at 1.0580. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Euro can bounce from support line of channel and continue growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. A few days ago, the price entered a downward channel, breaking through the 1.0520 level, which aligned with the seller’s zone, and continued its decline. Shortly after, it dropped even lower but quickly rebounded, almost reaching the resistance line of the channel before falling back to the support line, breaking the 1.0285 level. Following this move, the price once again climbed to the resistance line but then swiftly dropped back before making a strong upward push, breaking the 1.0285 level and exiting the channel. After that, the Euro rallied toward the resistance level but soon pulled back into the buyer’s zone, forming a strong gap. From there, the price began moving inside an upward channel, rising to the resistance level, making a brief correction, and then climbing back to resistance. However, after this move, the Euro reversed and started to decline. Given this setup, I expect the price to reach the support line of the channel before continuing its upward movement within the channel, potentially breaking the resistance level. If this scenario plays out, I have set my TP at 1.0600 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EUR/USD at a Crossroads: Will Trade Tensions Push It Lower? EUR/USD has been struggling to maintain momentum above the 1.0500 mark, facing renewed selling pressure as macroeconomic and geopolitical factors influence sentiment. With the US Dollar regaining strength and concerns about European economic stagnation growing, the pair remains vulnerable to further downside.
Technical Analysis:
Resistance Levels: 1.0532 (January 27 high), 1.0629 (December peak), 1.0744 (200-day SMA).
Support Levels: 1.0405 (55-day SMA), 1.0282 (February 10 low), 1.0209 (February 3 low), and 1.0176 (January 13 YTD low).
Indicators: The Relative Strength Index (RSI) is near 55, indicating modest momentum, while the Average Directional Index (ADX) remains around 15, suggesting a weakening trend.
Moving Averages: The 200-day SMA at 1.0744 serves as a key dynamic resistance, while the 55-day SMA at 1.0405 acts as interim support.
Fundamental Analysis:
Several key fundamental factors are exerting downward pressure on EUR/USD:
Trade Policy Uncertainty: While US tariff tensions have temporarily eased, lingering trade disputes, including a 10% duty on Chinese imports and potential EU-targeted tariffs, keep investors cautious.
Diverging Central Bank Policies: The Federal Reserve remains firm on keeping interest rates elevated, while the European Central Bank has begun rate cuts, signaling weaker economic confidence in the Eurozone.
Economic Growth Divergence: The US economy continues to show resilience with robust labor markets and stable inflation, while the Eurozone faces stagnation and potential contraction, particularly in Germany.
European Political Risks: Uncertainty in Germany and wider Eurozone economic struggles add to the Euro’s bearish outlook, making it less attractive compared to the US Dollar.
The EUR/USD pair is at a critical juncture, with key support levels in focus. Trade policies, central bank divergence, and economic growth disparities continue to drive market sentiment. This week is pivotal for the Eurozone, with key economic data releases culminating in Friday’s PMI figures, which could determine the pair’s next major move. Traders should remain cautious and closely monitor both technical and fundamental developments.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
HelenP. I Euro can break resistance level and continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Looking at the chart, we can see that the price broke through the support level, which aligned with the support zone, and then started to rise. Soon after, it reached the resistance level, which also coincided with a resistance zone, and even managed to break above it, attempting to push higher. However, the momentum faded, and the price reversed, beginning a decline. In a short time, it dropped below the 1.0470 level, breaking through it and forming a strong gap. The price continued to fall, moving below the 1.0315 support level and reaching the trend line. From there, it started to rise again, moving within an upward channel. Inside the channel, the Euro broke back above the 1.0315 level and climbed toward the resistance line. However, before making a fake breakout, it pulled back to the support level, briefly touching the trend line before continuing its upward movement within the channel. Later, the price reached the resistance zone, reversed, and made a small correction. After that, it attempted another move back toward the resistance zone, but recently, it has fallen below it and is now trading very close to this level. In my view, the price may drop to the trend line, which serves as the channel’s support, and then rebound higher, breaking above the resistance level. If that happens, I expect EURUSD to continue its upward movement, so I’ve set my goal at 1.0540. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro may continue to rise inside wedge, after a small correctionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Analyzing the chart, we can see that the price initially climbed from the support line, which lies within the buyer zone, and quickly advanced to the resistance level, aligning with the seller zone. Following this movement, the price pulled back from the 1.0440 level and corrected down to the support line. It hovered around this level for a while before breaking through and dropping into the buyer zone, creating a gap. After that, the Euro began moving upward within a broadening wedge, but soon it retraced back to the support level again. From there, it rebounded and climbed to the resistance level, eventually breaking through and rising toward the upper boundary of the broadening wedge. However, at that point, the price reversed direction and started declining, quickly falling to the support line of the wedge and breaking the resistance level once again. Recently, the Euro bounced off this line and broke above the 1.0440 level again. Currently, it is trading within the seller zone, and I anticipate a correction toward the support line of the broadening wedge before the price resumes its upward movement. Given this outlook, my TP is set at 1.0540 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Euro can drop from seller zone to 1.0350 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can observe that the price was moving within a downward channel. After bouncing off the resistance line, it quickly dropped to the 1.0480 resistance level. It then broke below this level and continued to decline inside the channel until eventually breaking out and transitioning into a ranging phase. Within this range, the Euro dipped into the buyer zone, even slightly below it, before reversing and making a strong upward impulse toward the resistance level, briefly entering the seller zone. After that, the price dropped back into the range and soon made a sharp gap down, returning to the buyer zone. However, following this movement, the Euro started to rise again, climbing back to the 1.0480 resistance level in a short period and forming another gap in the process. The price even touched the seller zone before pulling back slightly and is now hovering near the 1.0480 level. Given this setup, I anticipate a rejection from the seller zone, leading to a decline. Based on this, my TP is set at 1.0350 within the range. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURO - Price can break support level and drop to $1.0370 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon broke $1.0255 level and continued to grow.
Then it made a correction and after this continued to move up and soon reached $1.0490 level and broke it.
After this, Euro started to decline and exited from a channel, breaking $1.0490 level too, after which continued to fall.
Price made a strong gap and dropped to support line of wedge, after which started to grow and later made another gap.
Next, EUR bounced up from support line of wedge and in a short time rose to $1.0490 level and broke it.
Now, it trades close this level and I think it can break $1.0490 level and continue to decline to $1.0370
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HelenP. I Euro may correct to trend line before continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. From this chart, it's clear that the price initially moved upward within a rising channel. At one point, it briefly dipped below the 1.0260 level but quickly recovered and pushed higher. After hovering around this level for a while, the price resumed its upward movement within the channel. Later, the Euro reached Support 1, which aligned with a support zone, and consolidated there for some time before breaking through. The price then climbed to 1.0520 before reversing and starting to decline. In a short span, it dropped back to Support 1, broke below it again, exited the channel, and fell further to the trend line, forming a strong gap and breaking through Support 2 along the way. However, the price soon reversed sharply, rallying back to Support 1 before correcting below the trend line. Following this correction, the price began to climb below the trend line, and after some time, EURUSD managed to break above both the trend line and Support 1. Currently, it is continuing its upward movement near the trend line. In my view, EURUSD is likely to drop back to the trend line before resuming its upward trajectory. With that in mind, I’ve set my target at 1.0560. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURO - Price may leave pennant and then start to declineHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price started to decline inside a falling channel, where it at once broke $1.0430 level.
In channel, price declined to $1.0250 level and then tried to grow, but failed and dropped lower $1.0250 level to $1.0175 points.
After this, price started to grow in rising channel, where it rose to $1.040 points, breaking two levels.
Then Euro exited from a rising channel and started to decline inside pennant, where it soon made a strong gap.
Next, price rose to resistance line of pennant, after which corrected, making a second gap and rose back.
Possible now, Euro can exit from pennant, rise almost to resistance level, and then fall to $1.0275
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Euro can drop to support level, exiting from pennantHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. When analyzing the chart, it’s clear that the price initially climbed to the resistance level, which overlapped with the seller zone, but immediately bounced back and dropped to the support level. Shortly after, the Euro broke through the support level, falling below the buyer zone. However, it quickly reversed and began rising within an upward channel. Within this channel, the Euro broke the 1.0265 support level and performed a retest, consolidating near that level for a while before continuing its upward momentum. Eventually, the Euro reached the resistance level, broke through it, and moved up to the resistance line of the channel, ultimately exiting the channel. Afterward, the price formed its first gap and started declining within a pennant pattern, where it soon broke the 1.0435 resistance level. Later, the price created a strong second gap, dropped below the support level, and hit the pennant's support line. From there, the Euro began rising again, breaking the support level once more and climbing back to the resistance level. However, not long ago, the price fell back to the pennant’s support line, creating a third gap. In my view, the Euro can attempt to rise to 1.0360 before dropping back to the support level and exiting the pennant pattern. For this reason, I’ve set my take-profit target at the 1.0265 support level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Euro will correct to support level and then start growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some time ago, the price rose close to the resistance level but then made a small correction. After that, it quickly climbed to the resistance level again. The Euro broke this level, which coincided with the resistance zone, and traded near it for some time before breaking it once more and starting to decline. In a short time, the price dropped to 1.0380 and then rebounded back to the resistance level, after which it reversed and continued to decline. Soon, the price reached the support level, which coincided with the support zone, broke it, and made a strong gap down, falling to the trend line. Then, the Euro started to move up within a pennant pattern, where the trend line acted as a support. Soon, the Euro reached the support level and broke it once again, then made a retest and continued moving higher. Later, it climbed to the resistance line of the pennant pattern, turned around, and quickly fell to the support level before resuming its upward movement. Currently, the price is trading near the trend line, and I expect EURUSD, after a break out of the pennant, to correct to the support level. After that, it may reverse and start rising toward the resistance level. In this scenario, my target is set at 1.0465 level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURO - Price can leave pennant and rise to $1.0500 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price entered to rising channel and soon reached resistance line, after which fell below.
Next, price rose to $1.0455 level, and then corrected to support line, after which bounced up and broke $1.0455 level.
Then Euro reached resistance line of channel and then started to decline, making a first gap and dropped to resistance area.
Price exited from channel, breaking $1.0455 level, and continued to fall inside pennant, where it fell to $1.0210 points.
Before this, price made a strong second gap, and then quickly rose to resistance line breaking $1.0455 level.
I think that Euro can bounce up from pennant to $1.0500, breaking resistance level and exiting from this pattern.
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Euro could rise to 1.0560 points within the wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price traded near the seller zone, which coincided with the resistance level and when it moved up, it at once turned around and dropped to the 1.0350 level, breaking the resistance level. Then price started to grow inside the pennant, where it rose higher than the resistance level again, making a gap and later even reaching the resistance line of the pennant pattern. After this movement, the Euro started to decline and quickly fell to the support line of the pennant, breaking the 1.0510 level and soon it exited from the pennant pattern and then fell to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then the price rose a little and dropped to 1.0220 points, breaking the support level too. But soon, the Euro turned around and made impulse up, breaking the support level again and even later started to trades inside the wedge. In this pattern price first made a correction to the support line and then in a short time rose back to the support level, broke it, and continued to move up. Later price reached a resistance level, but a not long time ago it rebounded and fell to the support line, which recently bounced and started to grow. So, in my opinion, the Euro can continue to move up in wedge to resistance line, breaking resistance level. For this reason, I set my TP near the resistance line, at 1.0560 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I After correction movement, Euro will continue growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. In this chart, we can see how the price rebounded from the resistance level and then tried to grow, but failed and soon fell back. Next, the price some time traded near this level and then broke it and dropped below. After this, the price almost rose back, but then turned around and dropped more to the trend line, breaking the support level, which coincided with the support zone. Later Euro rebounded from the trend line and rose to almost a resistance level, after which turned around and dropped back, breaking the trend line with the support level again. After this movement, Euro rebounded up, breaking the support level one more time, and then made a retest and continued to move up until it reached the trend line. Then price continued to move up near the trend line and soon broke the resistance level, but recently fell below. At the moment, I expect that EURUSD, after correction movement, can continue to move up, breaking the resistance level with the trend line. So, for this case, I set my goal at 1.0550 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro can enter to seller zone and then drop to support lineHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago price entered to wedge and started to decline, but firstly it entered to seller zone and then bounced down. In a short time, the Euro declined to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone, and soon broke this level and fell to the support line of the wedge. Then the price turned around and started to grow. Euro quickly rose to the support level, broke this level one more time, and made a retest, after which rose a little more. After this movement, the EUR some time traded near the support level until it reached the support line of the wedge and then bounced up from this line to the resistance level. When Euro reached this level, it corrected and then continued to move up to the seller zone. When the price entered to this area, the Euro some time traded inside and later reached the resistance line of a wedge, after which rebounded down. Price broke the 1.0420 level and continued to fall. At the moment, the price is traded below this level and I think that the price can fall to rise to the seller zone and then drop to the support line of the wedge. After this, the Euro can exit from this pattern, make a retest, and continue to decline to the support level. So, that's why I set 1st TP at 1.0350 points and 2nd at the 1.0260 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
HelenP. I Euro can fall to support zone and then start to riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some days ago price reached a trend line and then started to decline inside a downward wedge, where it soon declined to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Euro some time traded in this area and then broke the 1.0550 level and fell to the support line of the wedge, after which rebounded, making a gap, and entered to the resistance zone. Some time, the EUR traded between the resistance level, and when the price reached the trend line, it turned around and started to decline, breaking the resistance level finally. Later Euro fell to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and at once rebounded to the trend line. After this movement, the price at once rebounded from the trend line and made a correction to the support line of the wedge, breaking the support level, but soon, the price quickly backed up. Now Euro trades near this level and I expect that the price can fall to the support zone and then rebound up to the trend line. When it reaches this line, EUR will break it and continue to move up, for my mind. That's why I set my goal at 1.045 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURO - Price can continue move up to $1.0420, exiting of pennantHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to decline inside falling channel, where it bounced from support line and rose to resistance line first.
Then Euro turned around and dropped to $1.0380 level, some time traded near and later broke it.
Next, Euro exied from channel and fell to support level, after which bounced from this level to $1.0380 level.
Price broke this level, but soon it turned around, broke this level again, and started to decline inside pennant.
In pennant, EUR fell to support line, after which rose to resistance line of this pattern, breaking $1.0245 level.
Now, I think that Euro exit from pennant, reach resistance level, and break it, after which continue to grow to $1.0420
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EURO - Price can break resistance level and continue to riseHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price traded inside flat, where it declined to resistance area and then rose to top part of flat.
Also, when price rose to top part of flat, EUR made a first gap and then made downward impulse.
Price exited from flat and continued to decline inside falling channel, where it broke $1.0760 level and continued to fall.
Later price reached $1.0520 level, some time traded near, and then declined to $1.0335 points, exiting of falling channel.
Euro started to grow inside rising channel, where it made a second gap and some time traded between $1.0520 level.
Now price trying to break $1.0520 level, and I think it can break it and continue to grow to $1.0720 in channel.
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