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EURO-USD

EUR/USD — The Most Bullish It’s Been For MonthsThe USD weakness playing through after Powell’s Put is evident in the valuation of the Euro. While I’ve argued that I simply can’t envision the multi-month range to be decisively broken, price action and volume is king as they reflect the market’s intentions. The close above the first layer of resistance at 1.1443 is a major warning sign that yet another attack towards 1.15 is on the cards. Notice, the retest of 1.15 would be just 4 days after it was last tested, which suggests sellers’ conviction is definitely waning. The pick up in the risk environment underpins the USD liquidation short-term, as does the latest fundamental developments by the Fed (blinking), which was well telegraphed by the widening of the German vs US bond yield spread. However, the economic data in the EZ is far from giving us much enthusiasm as the repercussion for a dovish tilt in the ECB monetary stance cannot be underestimated. The bond yield curve in Germany should be a red flag. Overall, it looks like an opportunity to be a buyer on weakness remains the scenario most attractive, especially if one considers that the downside is now supported by the backside of the 1.1443 + range POC at 1.14.
by FlowState
EUR/USD forecastLet’s talk a bit about USD. December job report has been strong with the US economy adding the most jobs since February. However, an increase in average hourly earnings won’t be enough to keep the dollar strong this year. Yes, over the short-term, we will see a rally in USD, but over a long-term dollar will dive. We expect 2 rate hikes this year. In recent speech Powell said all need to be prepared for flexible policy. This message brought worries into the markets. I don’t think investors trust much Powell and Fed. And should they? Greatest periods of economic growth were till Fed was established. What happened after? – Well, 10 recessions, few bubbles, Great Depression… Thomas Edison and Henry Ford warned us about this useless and dangerous system. I am not a Fed hater and I don’t think Fed as institution is a problem. Most important is how it’s managed, its policy and how transparent it is. Fed is trying to do all to keep you (and your money) away from gold and other markets. All they want is to sell their debt notes. Yes, Fed is a huge debt machine. The result will be terrible. I believe the debt bubble will be reason of the next financial crisis. I know many people trade crypto. But I don’t think it has a future. Central banks could make electronic central bank money many years ago. But they didn’t, because they don’t need it. There is no place for crypto in the central banks system. Sooner or later blockchain will be killed, as it happened with Esperanto. To be honest crypto is the 21 century version of tulipomania – don’t spend your money and time on it. Trade and invest into real assets ans it’s derivatives. A few weeks before the finicial crisis Bernanke kept repeating how strong is US economy and no drop of real estate prices will happen, having clear understanding world economy was in danger. What did they do to prevent it? – Nothing. Were they so stupid to fail? – No, they just didn’t care. $ 6 trillions were given out to support banks. Isn’t that funny? – Banks created 2008 crisis playing Mortgage CDO. Always, taxpayers pay for the crisis, not banks or Fed. Think about it, maybe Henry Ford was right and we have to change the system? But let’s come back to making money and see EUR/USD chart. Based on Fibo levels, I expect 1.1425 should be tested So, watch this range and go short if it gets rejected with same sl above daily resistance. Wave 3 should send this pair to 1.11650 and final wave to our target 1.11200. This range should be reversal point and big buying opportunity for long term traders.
by UnknownUnicorn1156963
EURUSD - SUPPLY & DEMAND ZONE ANALYSISHi traders. Whenever you are looking at a technical level, always ask yourself the following: - Am I buying at a potential bargain/wholesale/discount price? (supply or demand zones) - Why is there more likely to be more supply/demand orders at that area? (new traders entering/traders taking profit) - What are the underlying fundamental/sentiment drivers that should push price in my favour? (interest rates, business cycle, risk on/risk off) If all 3 are in your favour, take the trade, manage your risk and go for more than you've risked. Always remember this trade is only 1 trade in the next thousand you're going to take. Process over outcome!
Education
by leonrowe
EUR USD LEVELS OF TENDENCYEUR/USD -Typically tendency levels marked by black levels -Red rectangle show measured move calls overbalance -Possible direction when price will break the levels of tendency , marked by arrows -Remember about money management and take care about investment. ---------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------- -What do you think ? -How about your idea ? -Let's Talk ! ----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
by RadoslawRygielski
1
The pair updates the lows On the chart, we observe that the pair has updated the annual minima and reached the mark of 1.1205, after which the price was adjusted to the mark of 1.1310. The price could not overcome this mark and again went down. The Stochastic is still pointing up. The MACD, despite having left the bar graph, is still in the negative zone. Therefore, we advise you to look for points for entering short positions and set your Take Profits near the level of 1.1205
Short
by SuperForex