EUR/USD -27/8/2023-• Technical long term picture for the Euro/Dollar pair is a bit mixed at the moment and at a critical area
• The yearly rally from 0.95 to almost 1.13 represents the 61.8% retracement level of the 2021 decline from 1.22 to 0.95
• The above statement gets us wondering whether the 2022-2023 rally is a trend reversal and bullish trend or just a correction of the preceding decline
• On the other side, there is an ascending channel and a higher highs higher lows identified since early March and it is still intact despite the recent drop
• The bottom trend line support of the channel along with the previous swing low around mid 1.06s are very critical in this scenario
• A break of the channel and the support level highlighted on the chart (1.0640) confirms a deeper decline and a break of the high lows series which invalidates the up trend
• Further below there is a strong support around 1.05 followed by 1.0220
• If the bullish trend were to persist and the series of higher highs stay intact, we can expect a move up to 1.14-1.15 levels
• What might trigger such dramatic moves is the jobs report in the upcoming week, inflation data in the coming weeks and any hint of a prolonged pause or surprise hike by any of the ECB or the FED
EURO-USD
EURUSD LONG!!Hey Traders,
We back with new update on EU,
So what we see here is quite clear and determined our view on chart
We expecting more drop on our determined level according to different levels according to it's time-frame,
In higher time-frame we are strongly bearish however in lower-frame we can expect price to have correction and ofc we can have trade counter-trend of weekly,
So we expect bullish move in lower time-frame and then after correction in higher TF we can have trade on bearish trend,
Stay tuned for new updates, we try to keep our community as update as possible,
As always any question comment me bellow,
Wish you all the best
@fxshzd team
EURUSD: Fall at the start of this weekSeeing Euro weakness coupled with USD strength at the start of this week.
Think we'll quickly test the 1.09 region so my TP will be just above this, where the falling channel meets support.
We're in a downward trend that's supported by fundamental news. There's a lot going on this week but I think it's inevitable that this local trend will continue for a few more periods.
EURUSD: Bearish Reentry with a Potential Bearish ButterflyThe previous .786 entry got stopped out at much lower prices with a tight stop and now we are showing potential for reversal again at the 1.272 Fibonacci Extension and PCZ of Potential Bearish Butterfly as the RSI goes well above the last overbought reading. Given the scenario, I'd say it's worth trying again with a stop above the next Fibonacci extension.
EURUSD - Bullish Short-Term ExpectationThis expectation is a framework to look for a potential trading setup; I don't just execute based on these levels, I always wait for confirmations on lower timeframes
This Analysis was done using my complete Strategy which includes:
- Smart Money Concepts
- Multi Timeframe Liquidity and Market Structure
- Supply And Demand
- Auction Theory
- Volume Analysis
- Footprint
- Market Profile
- Volume Profile
- WYCKOFF
- ETC
EUR/USD Short-Term prediction(6/2/2023)Hello Traders
Last week EUR/USD was moving inside of a bearish channel and then, this week, took the chance of the weakened USD and broke out from it.
It seems the bearish movement has been reversed and we should expect some upward corrections.
Our technical view has been shown in the chart.
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Thanks For Reading
Team Fortuna
-RC
(Disclaimer: Published ideas and other Contents on this page are for educational purposes and do not include a financial recommendation. Trading is Risky, so before any action do your research.)
#Euro Bearish despite doji formation, Primary Support at $1.0700Past Performance
Euro is bearish, and gains on May 26 were turbulent, supportive of sellers. However, with a doji forming and prices trending below $1.0760, there are hints that sellers could press on. Thus far, prices are around last week's lows at $1.0700 and could break lower in spite of today’s gains.
#EURUSD Technical Analysis
The short-term trend favors sellers. Resistance remains at $1.0760, and it is yet to be seen whether bears will press on, forcing prices below $1.0700 primary support. The doji bar on May 26 points to indecision and volatility. After sharp losses in the past two weeks, the Euro will likely bounce back, closing above $1.0760. Still, if this pans out depends on how prices react at $1.0760 in the short term. A sharp, high-volume close could see the Euro edge higher. If not, losses mirroring the recent pattern could heap more pressure on the Euro, sending it toward $1.0500.
What to Expect?
Sellers are firmly in control, but price action may favor short-term bulls. All this depends on if buyers will build from last week, expanding towards the $1.0760 reaction line.
Resistance level to watch: $1.0760
Support level to watch: $1.0700
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Euro Crumbles as USD Bulls Push On, Up Next $1.0500?Past Performance
The immediate trend is resoundingly bearish and is apparent in the daily chart. Despite earlier attempts by Euro bulls, gains were quickly reversed as USD pressed on. As it is, there may be more losses today as price action aligns with last week's trend.
#EURUSD Technical Analysis
The sharp drop on May 24 shows that USD bulls are firmly in control. Prices are now trending lower, retesting last week’s lows meaning every attempt higher may be an opportunity to double down. Notice that bear bars are riding the lower BB. It points to intense liquidation pressure. Therefore, with prices dropping, traders may ride the trend as long as $1.0850 or May 18 highs hold. The short-term target is $1.0500, or March 2023 low.
What to Expect?
The trend is clear, and bears are dominant. As USD bulls push harder in a breakout, traders may position themselves for more losses as bears press on. This preview is valid as long as prices are below May 18 highs.
Resistance level to watch: $1.0850
Support level to watch: $1.0760
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Euro Sell-Off Continues, Bears Step Up Targeting $1.0500Past Performance
The Euro is dumping hard. From the daily chart, sellers are stepping up their liquidation, forcing the coin. Although yesterday's losses could be climatic, the bar is wide-ranging and defines the upcoming EURUSD price action. As it is, not only can traders target $1.0730 but also set sight on $1.5000 in days ahead.
#EURUSD Technical Analysis
Sellers are in the driving seat, and USD bulls are unrelenting. This formation is as expected as aligned in the weekly chart where sellers are confirming last week's losses. Moreover, bear bars are riding the lower BB, which remains diverged from the 20-day moving average, indicating intense selling pressure and high volatility. At this pace, and if today ends up lower, USD bulls may look to sell even more as long as prices are below $1.0850—or May 18 highs. In this case, the immediate target will be March 2023 lows at $1.0500.
What to Expect?
Unless otherwise there is an unexpected expansion reversing yesterday's losses, the downtrend remains, and sellers can continue dumping on every attempt higher toward May 18 highs. The short-term target at $1.0730 could be tested earlier as swing traders expect more drawdowns in the upcoming session.
Resistance level to watch: $1.0850
Support level to watch: $1.0500
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Euro is Selling Off; Will Prices Drop to March 2023 Lows?Past Performance
The Euro remains under intense selling pressure and is in a bear formation. USD bulls seem to be getting started, looking at the rapidity of the recent sell-off. From the daily chart, the immediate resistance level is at $1.0940 as sellers press on, targeting $1.0730 and $1.0500.
#EURUSD Technical Analysis
The sell-off continues, and USD bulls appear unrelenting. With the sell bars banding along the lower BB, price action suggests that bears have the upper hand with increasing momentum. As such, there could be unloading opportunities in lower time frames, provided prices are trending below $1.0940. At this pace, the Euro may drop even below $1.0730, especially if prices easily slip below yesterday's lows at around $1.0810.
What to Expect?
Sellers are in the driving seat, and the Euro is being dumped. From the weekly chart, there appears to be more legroom for bears to press on. There is a three-bar formation with last week's bar bearish, swinging price action to favor aggressive sellers.
Resistance level to watch: $1.0940
Support level to watch: $1.0810
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Euro Collapsing, USD Bulls Target $1.0730Past Performance
The Euro is disintegrating following the events of last week. With the path defined, sellers can continue looking for entries to unload as they press on, targeting $1.0730. The middle BB caps the upside as a floating resistance level, while $1.100 is a fixed reaction line that must be broken for buyers to push higher.
#EURUSD Technical Analysis
Presently, sellers have the upper hand, which will be the case, provided prices are banding along the lower BB. Notice that May 12's bar had no lower wick suggesting that the liquidation pressure was strong. This could spill to this week. In that case, local resistance will be at $1.0940, or around May 12's high. Any drop below 1.0850 may trigger even more sell-off, allowing sellers to double down in lower time frames.
What to Expect?
The downtrend is in motion after gains from March. In a breakout formation, prices are dropping, with above-average volumes pointing to participation. For this to change, there must be wide-ranging wicks reversing recent losses.
Resistance level to watch: $1.0940
Support level to watch: $1.0730
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
#Euro Dropping, USD Bulls Targeting 1.0860 in a BreakoutPast Performance
Euro bulls are losing momentum, allowing USD bulls to double down. As it is, EURUSD is within a bearish formation with primary resistance at $1.1100. With prices below the middle BB and 1.0965 broken, sellers can look for entries with targets at 1.0860 and 1.0730 being immediate and medium-term targets.
#EURUSD Technical Analysis
After sharp gains from March through April, prices are cooling off in a welcomed retracement. There is a double top following rejections of bulls early this month. Since prices are below the middle BB and 1.0965, breaking out below the range, traders can search for unloading opportunities. Tight resistance remains at 1.0965, but ideally, resistance remains at 1.1100. Short targets will be at 1.0860 and 1.0730, key reaction points of the Fibonacci retracement levels of the March to April trade range.
What to Expect?
USD bulls will likely press on, reading from the current sharp losses in the European session. Prices are dropping as USD bulls have broken below yesterday's lower range. As such, the bearish preview stands as long as prices are below the middle BB and $1.1100
Resistance level to watch: 1.1100
Support level to watch: 1.0860
Disclaimer: Opinions expressed are not investment advice. Do your research.
GBPAUD Possible Long Setup H1On this pair, we have a market that is in conflict between two zones, one of supply and one of demand. According to my strategy, both zones are valid for the search for long or short scenarios. At the moment, the market has created a bullish setup that I have highlighted in yellow in the 1.86 zone. The objective will be to wait for the price to reach that zone and then aim for a long position with a target of 1.875.
Let me know what you think.
Happy trading to everyone.
Forex48 Trading Academy
EURCHF The Short is coming!EURCHF is pushing downwards after the ECB's interest rate hike, with the euro weakness and strength of the Swiss franc considered the ultimate safe haven currency along with the yen. The objective now is to wait for it to drop to the 0.9710-0.9730 zone before considering a long or short scenario.
Let me know your thoughts in the comments.
Good trading to everyone, bye.
Forex48 Trading Academy
EURUSD BREAKS OUT TO NEW HIGHSThe daily chart seemed to have put in the low for the month of May. Additionally, yesterday's daily candle closed above the daily resistance level of 1.10500 -- as drawn on the chart below. Therefore, for this trade, I'm looking for a BUY after a retest of the broken resistance level for a potential 8:1 reward/risk ratio. A close below 1.10500 would invalidate this trade. Also, we are approaching a key level 1.11200 -- keep an eye on that. Good luck!
~ Happy Trading, Cheers! 💰
EURUSD SHORT TO $1.029📉 (670 PIPS OPPORTUNITY!)Place a sell stop at the green confirmation zone, let sellers accumulate positions & come down when they're ready. Analysis ONLY valid if price crosses our confirmation zone.
Selling Confluences:
🚫Higher TF Selling Confluence.
🚫Markets Overbought With Choppy Price Action.
🚫Buying LQ Already Taken.
🚫5 Wave Impulse Move Complete.
Drop a like/follow if you agree or let me know what you think✅
Xau/UsdHello traders! In my opinion, in short term is pair is buy.
The price will make a retest at the 1987.00 level and will also give confirmation for a move up to the 2008.20 level.
Be careful and wait for a confirmation!
Don`t forget to look at the economic calendar!
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GOOD LUCK!
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EURUSD: Bearish Outlook For Next Week 🇪🇺🇺🇸
EURUSD has nicely respected a key horizontal structure resistance.
The price retraced and broke and closed below a solid rising trend line.
I believe that the pair may keep falling next week.
Goals: 1.0792 / 1.075
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EURUSD Outlook 31 March 2023Recent Euro data indicated that inflation growth in Germany has eased which was one of the contributors towards the upward move on the EURUSD.
Overnight the EURUSD traded up to the 1.0930 resistance area, but has since retraced below the 1.09 round number price level.
If the DXY bounces strongly from the 102 price level, with a sustained recovery in strength, look for the EURUSD to trade below the 1.0860 price level to signal a more sustained downside potential toward the 1.0760 support level.
However, following with the trend, if the EURUSD breaks above 1.0930, the next key resistance level is at 1.1035 (which was the last swing high, reached in February(
US Futures - Mid-UK Open - Rejection of 4,000?Good morning! Let's take a look at today's financial news. European shares rebounded yesterday, with bank shares leading the way, after authorities and regulators took action to ease concerns about the global banking industry. The US banking system was also affirmed to be "sound and resilient" by the US Financial Stability Oversight Council . Meanwhile, business confidence in Germany , the largest economy in Europe , improved more than expected, mainly due to business expectations . Gold prices dropped for the second consecutive session to below $1,970 per ounce on Monday, following government efforts to stabilize the banking system. The Federal Deposit Insurance Corporation announced that First Citizens Bancshares Inc. would acquire Silicon Valley Bank's deposits and loans, which helped soothe investors' anxiety for now. Deutsche Bank shares also rose by over 3% in Europe . Earlier this month, fears of an economic recession caused by recent banking turmoil in the US and Europe led to investors seeking the safe-haven of gold , pushing its price up by more than 7%. The pound sterling fell to $1.22 on Monday, down from its seven-week high of $1.234, due to concerns about the global banking system and the possibility of a recession in the US . Last week, global bank shares fell following the sudden collapse of two US lenders and the rescue of embattled Swiss bank Credit Suisse . However, investors welcomed the news that First Citizens BancShares Inc. would acquire all of Silicon Valley Bank's deposits and loans from the regulator. Meanwhile, the Bank of England increased its key bank rate by 25bps to 4.25%, while leaving the door open for more rate hikes should inflation persist. The euro remained slightly above $1.075 on Monday, down from its seven-week high of $1.0929, due to investors dumping riskier currencies amid worries over global banking turmoil and recession . Despite this, the Euro is likely to regain ground as the policy divergence between the ECB and Federal Reserve is set to widen. In contrast, markets expect a near 90% chance that the Fed stands pat in May and delivers a rate cut in July. Brent crude prices reached over $75 per barrel on Monday, building on gains from the previous week as assurances from US regulators [/b