Euro may continue to rise inside wedge, after a small correctionHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Analyzing the chart, we can see that the price initially climbed from the support line, which lies within the buyer zone, and quickly advanced to the resistance level, aligning with the seller zone. Following this movement, the price pulled back from the 1.0440 level and corrected down to the support line. It hovered around this level for a while before breaking through and dropping into the buyer zone, creating a gap. After that, the Euro began moving upward within a broadening wedge, but soon it retraced back to the support level again. From there, it rebounded and climbed to the resistance level, eventually breaking through and rising toward the upper boundary of the broadening wedge. However, at that point, the price reversed direction and started declining, quickly falling to the support line of the wedge and breaking the resistance level once again. Recently, the Euro bounced off this line and broke above the 1.0440 level again. Currently, it is trading within the seller zone, and I anticipate a correction toward the support line of the broadening wedge before the price resumes its upward movement. Given this outlook, my TP is set at 1.0540 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Euro
EURO - Price can break resistance level and rise to $1.0500Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price started to trades inside a triangle, bouncing from $1.0450 level and dropping to $1.0275 level.
After this, price bounced from this level and rose to resistance line of triangle and then started to decline.
Price fell to $1.0175 support line of triangle and then in a short time rose to resistance line and exited from this pattern.
Next, Euro started to trades another one triangle, where it reached $1.0530 points and then dropped.
Euro made a strong gap and later rose back to resistance line of triangle, but recently it fell below $1.0450 level.
Possibly, price can fall to support line and then bounce up to $1.0500 resistance line of triangle.
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U.S. FIRMS SWAP DOLLARS FOR EURO to lower funding costsU.S. FIRMS SWAP DOLLARS FOR EURO to lower funding costs—SMART MOVE?
(1/9)
Good afternoon, Tradingview! U.S. companies are flipping dollar debt into euros—slashing borrowing costs 📈🔥. Cross-currency swaps are the hot ticket amid rate gaps. Let’s break it down! 🚀
(2/9) – SWAP SURGE
• Trend: Dollar bonds morph into euros 💥
• Why: Eurozone rates lag U.S. by ~200 points 📊
• Volume: $266B in Jan ‘25 swaps, up 7% YoY
Lower rates, big savings—companies pounce!
(3/9) – THE TRIGGER
• Fed: Holds steady—U.S. rates stay high 🌍
• ECB: Eases up—eurozone softens 🚗
• Trump Tariffs: Stir inflation fears—volatility spikes 🌟
Dollar strength pushes firms to euro deals!
(4/9) – HOW IT WORKS
• Swap: Trade dollar debt for euro payments 📈
• Gain: Cheaper interest, currency hedge
• Impact: Millions saved, euro cash flows shine
It’s a financial jujitsu move—clever stuff! 🌍
(5/9) – RISKS IN PLAY
• Euro Flip: Stronger euro could zap savings ⚠️
• FX Losses: Hedging costs climb if dollar dips 🏛️
• Uncertainty: Fed vs. ECB—rate dance wobbles 📉
Smart bet, but not risk-free!
(6/9) – WHY NOW?
• Rate Gap: U.S. high, eurozone low—carry’s juicy 🌟
• Trump Effect: Tariffs fuel dollar power 🔍
• Global Ops: U.S. firms shield Europe earnings 🚦
Timing’s ripe—swaps are the shield!
(7/9) – MARKET VIBE
• Early ‘25: Swap restructures cash in 🌍
• Savings: redirected to debt, flexibility 📈
• Trend Watch: Grows if rate split holds
Companies adapt—financial acrobatics in action!
(8/9) – Dollar-to-euro swaps—what’s your take?
1️⃣ Bullish—Cost cuts win big.
2️⃣ Neutral—Works now, risks later.
3️⃣ Bearish—Euro rebound kills it.
Vote below! 🗳️👇
(9/9) – FINAL TAKEAWAY
U.S. firms swap dollars for euros—saving millions as rates diverge 🌍🪙. Tariffs and Fed fuel the play, but euro risks lurk. Genius or gamble?
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 19, 2025 EURUSDU.S. President Donald Trump said late Tuesday that he would likely impose tariffs on imports of cars, semiconductors and pharmaceuticals of about 25%, with an announcement to follow as early as 2 April.
Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky said a peace deal could not yet be concluded. He postponed his visit to Saudi Arabia, scheduled for Wednesday, until 10 March to avoid giving ‘legitimacy’ to the US-Russia talks. This uncertainty could lift the US dollar and serve as a tailwind for the pair.
Investors are awaiting the release of the minutes of the January FOMC meeting, which are due to be released later on Wednesday. This report could provide some clues as to how policymakers assess the risk of a global trade war.
On the other side of the pond, the ZEW Eurozone Economic Sentiment Index came in at 24.2 in February versus 18.0 previously, missing expectations. Rising bets that the European Central Bank (ECB) will cut interest rates three more times this year could put pressure on the Euro (EUR).
Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0450, SL 1.0500, TP 1.0350
EUR/USD: A Small Bearish Bias Emerges at the 1.0464 ZoneDespite the Euro recent appreciation since February 11—gaining more than 2% —a new bearish bias has appeared, triggering a minor downside correction.
The temporary strengthening of the U.S. dollar is occurring as markets await the release of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes scheduled for tomorrow.
Possible New Trend Formation
The recent upward movement in favor of the euro has created progressively higher lows since mid-January and early February. These higher lows suggest the potential formation of a new short-term uptrend.
However, the price is currently testing a key resistance zone. Until a new higher high is confirmed, it is too early to validate a sustained bullish bias in EUR/USD.
RSI Indicator
The RSI remains above the 50 level, indicating some bullish momentum.
However, its slope has started to decline as the price approaches resistance.
If this trend continues, bearish pressure from the last session may gain more relevance.
ADX Indicator
The ADX line remains below 20, signaling neutrality in most recent price movements.
This lack of a clear trend makes it difficult for EUR/USD to sustain the short-term uptrend.
If the ADX remains neutral in the coming sessions, price action is likely to remain sideways rather than forming a strong directional move.
Key Levels to Watch:
1.02373 – Distant Support: Lowest level in the past two months.
Persistent bearish pressure at this level could invalidate the developing bullish formation in the short term.
1.04646 – Current Resistance: Aligns with January’s high and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
A break above this zone could confirm a continuation of the new uptrend forming in recent sessions.
1.05994 – Key Resistance: Coincides with the 100-period moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
If the bullish momentum pushes price toward this level, it would confirm a much stronger uptrend in EUR/USD.
By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
EUR/USD: Dollar Surges,Technical Indicators Point to ReversalThe EUR/USD currency pair is showing a clear downward trend today, retreating from Friday's brief rally that saw it briefly touch the 1.051 level. Currently hovering around 1.0448, the pair's weakness is fueled by a slightly resurgent US Dollar. Buoying the greenback are climbing US government yields; the 10-year Treasury note, for instance, has risen to 4.51%, an increase of 4 basis points. However, the positive sentiment pervading global stock markets is acting as a counterweight, tempering the USD's potential for significant gains.
Analyzing the technical landscape, the price action appears to be hitting a critical juncture. The current trading range is approaching a clearly defined resistance zone, which also presents as a supply area. Compellingly, insights gleaned from the Commitments of Traders (COT) report reveal that retail traders hold a significant long position within this area. This, combined with a potential bearish seasonal trend, adds further weight to the possibility of a downward reversal.
Based on this confluence of technical indicators, we are actively watching for a potential price reversal within the identified resistance zone. The interplay of market forces and trader positioning suggests a bearish outlook for the EUR/USD pair in the near term.
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Euro can drop from seller zone to 1.0350 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can observe that the price was moving within a downward channel. After bouncing off the resistance line, it quickly dropped to the 1.0480 resistance level. It then broke below this level and continued to decline inside the channel until eventually breaking out and transitioning into a ranging phase. Within this range, the Euro dipped into the buyer zone, even slightly below it, before reversing and making a strong upward impulse toward the resistance level, briefly entering the seller zone. After that, the price dropped back into the range and soon made a sharp gap down, returning to the buyer zone. However, following this movement, the Euro started to rise again, climbing back to the 1.0480 resistance level in a short period and forming another gap in the process. The price even touched the seller zone before pulling back slightly and is now hovering near the 1.0480 level. Given this setup, I anticipate a rejection from the seller zone, leading to a decline. Based on this, my TP is set at 1.0350 within the range. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURO - Price can break support level and drop to $1.0370 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price started to grow inside a rising channel, where it soon broke $1.0255 level and continued to grow.
Then it made a correction and after this continued to move up and soon reached $1.0490 level and broke it.
After this, Euro started to decline and exited from a channel, breaking $1.0490 level too, after which continued to fall.
Price made a strong gap and dropped to support line of wedge, after which started to grow and later made another gap.
Next, EUR bounced up from support line of wedge and in a short time rose to $1.0490 level and broke it.
Now, it trades close this level and I think it can break $1.0490 level and continue to decline to $1.0370
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Fed Talk Lifts Dollar, EUR/USD Under PressureEUR/USD hovers around 1.0455, while the dollar index rebounded to 107 on Tuesday, snapping a three-day losing streak. The recovery followed remarks from Federal Reserve officials signaling a pause in rate cuts to focus on inflation control. Fed Governor Christopher Waller suggested holding off on cuts unless inflation trends match 2024 levels, while Governor Michelle Bowman stressed the need for more evidence before easing policy. Philadelphia Fed President Patrick Harker also supported maintaining current rates amid economic strength.
Markets now await this week’s FOMC minutes for further rate guidance. Last week, the dollar weakened due to mixed US economic data and reduced tariff concerns. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent noted that currency manipulation is now a key factor in trade strategy.
Technically, resistance stands at 1.0515, with further barriers at 1.0600 and 1.0650. Support lies at 1.0350, followed by 1.0275 and 1.0220.
EURUSD About to turn bearish again on Double StructureThe EURUSD pair has been on a Bullish Leg since the February 09 Low and is approaching the January 27 High, which is its technical Resistance level. Technically, every such test has been rejected down to at least the 0.786 Fibonacci level but since we might be within a Channel Up, it is possible to see one last push to complete a +2.68% rise from the February 09 Low.
The 0.786 Fib then will fall below the Channel Up so to account for that technical miss of support, our Target will be the 0.618 Fibonacci level at 1.03125.
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HelenP. I Euro may correct to trend line before continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. From this chart, it's clear that the price initially moved upward within a rising channel. At one point, it briefly dipped below the 1.0260 level but quickly recovered and pushed higher. After hovering around this level for a while, the price resumed its upward movement within the channel. Later, the Euro reached Support 1, which aligned with a support zone, and consolidated there for some time before breaking through. The price then climbed to 1.0520 before reversing and starting to decline. In a short span, it dropped back to Support 1, broke below it again, exited the channel, and fell further to the trend line, forming a strong gap and breaking through Support 2 along the way. However, the price soon reversed sharply, rallying back to Support 1 before correcting below the trend line. Following this correction, the price began to climb below the trend line, and after some time, EURUSD managed to break above both the trend line and Support 1. Currently, it is continuing its upward movement near the trend line. In my view, EURUSD is likely to drop back to the trend line before resuming its upward trajectory. With that in mind, I’ve set my target at 1.0560. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro will break resistance level and continue to grow nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. A few days ago, the price was trading within a range. It dropped to the seller's zone but immediately rebounded to the upper boundary of the range. Shortly after, the price began to decline, falling below the resistance level, breaking it, and exiting the range pattern. Following this move, the price dropped to the support line and continued to hover near it. Occasionally, it bounced back toward the resistance level but quickly reversed downward. The Euro continued to fall, reaching 1.0175 and breaking through the support level, which aligned with the buyer's zone. From there, it began to climb near another support line. Later, the price broke the support level once again but then rallied to the resistance level, breaking through that as well. Afterward, EUR formed its first gap, followed by a sharp drop to the buyer's zone, creating a second, stronger gap and breaking the support line. Subsequently, the Euro started to climb within an upward channel, where it formed a third gap. At the moment, it remains in this upward trajectory. Based on this, I believe the Euro will continue to rise within the channel and eventually break the resistance level. Once the breakout occurs, I expect the price to maintain its upward momentum, so my TP is set at 1.0550. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD’s Bullish Breakout—Targets Set for $1.046 & $1.049!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) came to the above of the 100_SMA(4-hour) once again and managed to break the Resistance zone($1.039-$1.033) and Resistance lines , and today we saw EURUSD made a pullback to this zone.
It is also possible that EURUSD will form an ascending channel , so we have to wait for the second hit to the Upper line and confirm its major point .
I expect the EURUSD to trend higher after coming above the 100_SMA(4-hour) and attacking the next Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) and Resistance lines .
The First Target: $1.04651
The Second Target: $1.04981
Note: If EURUSD touches $1.0347, we can expect more dumps.
Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame.
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EURCHF Last bearish sequence of the Channel Down.The EURCHF pair has been trading within a +2 year Channel Down pattern since the September 26 2022 Low and has lately found its price action ranging within the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) and 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
We are currently on the pattern's 2nd Bearish Leg and based on the 1D RSI's Higher Highs, we are in symmetrical terms on a High like November 17 2023. That was the price's last Lower High before the Bearish Leg bottomed on the 1.236 Fibonacci extension.
As a result, we remain bearish on EURCHF, targeting 0.91000 (Fib 1.236 ext).
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Dollar Weakens as Trade Tensions EaseEUR/USD is hovering around 1.0460 on Friday morning, while the dollar index remains near 107, poised for a 1% weekly decline. The drop is driven by easing trade tensions and expectations of a softer personal consumption expenditures (PCE) price index later this month. The dollar weakened 0.8% on Thursday after President Trump directed his administration to explore reciprocal tariffs on countries with unfair trade practices. However, since these tariffs are not expected immediately, concerns over retaliation and inflation eased, reducing uncertainty around the Fed's ability to lower borrowing costs.
Meanwhile, producer inflation data exceeded expectations, following strong consumer inflation figures from the previous day. Despite this, components of the report suggest that core PCE inflation, the Fed's key focus, may come in lower than anticipated.
Technically, 1.0460 is the first resistance level, with further barriers at 1.0515 and 1.0600 if the pair moves higher. On the downside, initial support is at 1.0350, followed by 1.0275 and 1.0220.
Euro H1 | Bullish uptrend to extend further?Euro (EUR/USD) has bounced off a pullback support and could potentially climb higher off this level.
Buy entry is at 1.0455 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 1.0420 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and beyond the descending trendline.
Take profit is at 1.0520 which is a multi-swing-high resistance.
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EURCAD: has bottomed and turned bullish.EURCAD is on a neutral 1D technical outlook (RSI = 45.274, MACD = -0.003, ADX = 32.435) as it rebounded on the bottom of the inner Channel Up, a pattern inside the 1 year Channel Up. If the price crosses over the 1D MA50, it validates the extension of this bullish wave. In that case, the trade will be long, aiming at a symmetric +2.90% increase (TP = 1.51500) like the previous wave.
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Euro Gains Ground on Ukraine Peace TalksThe EUR/USD traded at $1.04 on Thursday, gaining 0.1% for the day after rebounding from earlier declines. The euro found support amid optimism over a potential peace agreement between Ukraine and Russia, spurred by encouraging progress in diplomatic discussions. Despite rising U.S. Treasury yields strengthening the dollar, the euro remained steady.
U.S. inflation data exceeded expectations, tempering hopes for Federal Reserve rate cuts. While the dollar stays relatively strong, the euro’s stability suggests it could hold firm against the greenback. Moving forward, U.S. monetary policy and geopolitical events will be key factors influencing EUR/USD.
From a technical standpoint, the first resistance level is at 1.0460, with further resistance at 1.0515 and 1.0600 if the price breaks higher. On the downside, initial support is at 1.0350, followed by additional levels at 1.0275 and 1.0220.
EURO - Price may leave pennant and then start to declineHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price started to decline inside a falling channel, where it at once broke $1.0430 level.
In channel, price declined to $1.0250 level and then tried to grow, but failed and dropped lower $1.0250 level to $1.0175 points.
After this, price started to grow in rising channel, where it rose to $1.040 points, breaking two levels.
Then Euro exited from a rising channel and started to decline inside pennant, where it soon made a strong gap.
Next, price rose to resistance line of pennant, after which corrected, making a second gap and rose back.
Possible now, Euro can exit from pennant, rise almost to resistance level, and then fall to $1.0275
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EURJPY testing its 1D MA50. Buy opportunity even if rejected.The EURJPY pair is about to test its 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) today for the first time since January 31. We are on the 4th day of a strong rebound within a Rectangle pattern.
As you can see, every time the 0.785 Fibonacci retracement level of this Rectangle gets hit, the price reverses shortly after, targeting at least the 0.236 Fib. The bottom is also marked by a 1D RSI test of the 30.00 oversold level.
The rebound that follows, tends to pull-back after a 1D MA50 test, which is the 2nd opportunity to buy for those that missed the bottom. This time it is possible not to hit the 0.236 Fib as the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line) is involved and is the level that caused the January 24 2025, January 07 2025, December 30 2024 and November 15 2024 rejections.
As a result, a fair target would be just below it at 163.250.
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