Euro
EURUSD Confirmed sell signal with MA50 (1d) confirmationEURUSD broke below the MA50 (1d) for the first time since August 2nd, which is a technical sell signal.
The MA50 (1d) has been the pivot of the Ascending Triangle and every break below it has delivered more downside.
Trading Plan:
1. Sell on the next rebound to the MA50 (1d).
Targets:
1. 1.078000 (Support A).
Tips:
1. The MACD (1d) is posting the same pattern of the December top. Technical sell signal.
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Notes:
Past trading plan:
Euro can rise a little and then continue to decline nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price entered to range, where at once fell to the current resistance level and then rebounded up. EUR rose to the top part of the range and then turned around and dropped to the resistance area, thereby exiting from the range. After this, the price started to grow inside the upward channel, making a fake breakout of the 1.1030 level. Inside the channel, the price rose to the 1.1175 level, after which rebounded and fell to the support line of the channel, and then it backed up. EUR even rose higher than the seller zone, reached the resistance line of the channel, and then made a correction movement, breaking the 1.1175 level again. After this, the price in a short time rose to the seller zone and then made an impulse down, thereby breaking the 1.1175 level, and exited from the upward channel. Also soon, Euro broke the 1.1030 level and now it is trying to grow. For this case, I think that the price can grow to the resistance area and then continue to decline more. That's why I set my TP at 1.0900 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Is It Still Bearish for the EURUSDWhile on the Monthly and Weekly we see this pair in a bearish swing, on the Daily, it appears to be in a Bullish swing. We have seen prices while sustaining the bullish swing, go through a strong bearish retracement. Price has come all the way into the Daily reversal zone.
At this point, we expect to see some form of reversal and for prices to begin the bullish extension towards the Daily liquidity target.
Where this happens, we will look to enter on long positions, using the panzy pips trading system.
In the unlikely event that prices continue to dip and the zone is breached, we will be look to see prices head for the Weekly liquidity target down below.
For whatever it is worth, the more likely direction, as at now, is a bullish reversal in the current zone, followed by a rally all the way up towards the Daily liquidity target.
EURUSD formed the first 4H Death Cross in 4 months.The Double Top on EURUSD last time we mentioned it (September 23, see chart below) worked perfectly and followed its technical bearish bias as not only did the price got rejected but also broke below the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) and marginally the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the May's Channel Up:
At the same time, the pair just completed its first Death Cross on the 4H time-frame in almost 4 months (since June 14) and every time in the past 2 and more years (except June 14) that it made that formation, it gave a solid medium-term (at least) sell signal.
As a result, there is no reason to diverge from the 1.08350 bearish Target, which as with the February 14 Low, it is on the 0.618 Fibonacci retracement level.
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EURUSD 6/10/24Starting off the week with euro to the US dollar. I bearish bias came into play as we thought it might. we now have a longer term bearish outlook for this pair. We swept all of the liquidity that was based on the lower end of price action except for the low that we have marked which is relatively close to current price We have an area of supply to watch if we pull back to go lower. We also have a liquid high that's seated above that point. So take into consideration that we may break through the short term trajectory that we have made. this can give us a higher pullback to the upper higher time frame water block if this happens we are still expecting a short main bias here is for the area of supply to be tapped into in price action to sell to the low that we have marked.
Trade safe, stick to your plan and your risk.
EURO - Price can reach resistance area and then bounce downHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price rose to $1.1135 level, which coincided with the resistance level, and at once bounced down.
Price fell to $1.1005 level and then started to grow inside wedge, where it in a short time reached $1.1135 level.
After this, price some time traded between this level, until it finally broke it and then rose higher than resistance zone.
But then, EUR turned around and made strong downward impulse, thereby exiting from wedge and breaking $1.1135 and $1.1005 level.
Also, price little fell more, but recently it turned around and started to grow, so, I think it can reach resistance area.
Then Euro can bounce from resistance zone and start to decline to $1.0900
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EUR/USD Potential Rejection at Resistance ZoneAlthough EUR/USD isn't yet approaching the resistance zone, I'm anticipating that when the price returns to this level, we could see a rejection. This could lead to a pullback, offering a potential short opportunity once the price reaches this resistance.
EUR/USD Faces Downside as Powell's Hawkish Remarks Boost USDThe EUR/USD pair remains under pressure as Fed Chair Jerome Powell's hawkish remarks on Monday continue to support the US Dollar (USD), capping any significant upside potential for the Euro (EUR). Powell’s stance suggests that the Federal Reserve is still focused on curbing inflation, which has strengthened the USD and weighed on the major pair.
At the same time, expectations for more rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB) have contributed to keeping a lid on the EUR/USD. This comes ahead of key economic data releases, particularly the flash Eurozone Consumer Price Index (CPI) for September. The pair, as predicted last week, is currently trading within a supply area, with price action forming a double top pattern. According to the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, retail traders remain extremely bullish on the Euro, while larger institutional players are more cautious, signaling potential downside risks.
The flash CPI report, due later today, is expected to show that inflation in the Eurozone likely fell below the ECB’s 2% target in September. This follows a notable drop in Germany’s CPI to its lowest level since February 2021, which reinforces expectations for a 25 basis point rate cut at the ECB’s next policy meeting in October. A softer CPI print would likely reaffirm these rate cut bets, applying further downward pressure on the Euro.
However, even if the CPI reading comes in higher than expected, the market reaction could be muted. The modest strength of the USD, supported by Powell's comments and the overall hawkish stance of the Fed, suggests that EUR/USD may struggle to gain upward momentum. The path of least resistance for the pair remains to the downside, as the technical setup points to a potential bearish continuation.
In conclusion, with the EUR/USD pair trading in a supply area and forming a double top, coupled with a cautious outlook from institutional traders, the risk of a bearish continuation looms large. Key economic data, including the Eurozone CPI, will be closely watched today, but the fundamental backdrop remains in favor of the USD, keeping pressure on the pair. Traders should remain alert to further downside movement, especially if the ECB rate cut expectations solidify.
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EURUSD loosing downside momentumFX:EURUSD
The EURUSD is in the key Fibonacci Retracement level of between the 78.6% and 88.6% levels, volume is starting to decline to the downside, we have almost a complete 5-wave move, and we have a positive RSI divergence reading, after it reach oversold levels. Nice Risk-Reward ratio here, even if it manages to sweep the lows a little bite.
HelenP. I Euro will break support level and continue to decline Hi folks today I'm prepared for you Gold analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price some days ago declined to the trend line and then at once rebounded up. Then the price reached the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and even made a fake breakout, after which declined below. Next, the price broke this level, made a retest, and then continued to move up to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Euro entered to resistance zone, but soon turned around and dropped to the trend line, making a fake breakout of the 1.1150 level. Some time later price rebounded from the trend line and quickly backed up to the resistance zone, breaking the 1.1150 level one more time. Euro some time traded near this level and a few moments ago dropped to almost the support level, thereby breaking the resistance level with trend line. For this case, I expect that the Euro will fall to the support level, then make a small move up, after which break this level and continue to move down. Or, it can break the support level at once and continue to decline, without movement up. That's why I set my goal at 1.0800 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro can exit from range and continue to decline nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price entered to wedge and at once started to decline to the support line from the resistance line. After this, the price turned around and made a strong impulse up to the resistance line of the wedge and then at once made a correction movement. Next, EUR continued to move up and soon reached the 1.1030 support level, but at once made a correction to the support line of the wedge and then rebounded up, breaking this level. After this, in a short time, the price rose to the seller zone, where it turned around and started to decline. Euro exited from the wedge and started to trades inside range, where it fell to the buyer zone. Soon, the price turned around and rose to the 1.1180 resistance level, which coincided with the top part of the range, making a fake breakout of the 1.1030 level. Also then, the EUR tried to break the resistance level, but failed and a not long time ago dropped to the support level. Just now, the price trades very close to this level inside range. For this reason, I think the price can break the support level, thereby exiting from the range and continuing to move down. Therefore I set my TP at 1.0920 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Euro H4 | Falling to swing-low supportThe Euro (EUR/USD) is falling towards a swing-low support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.1005 which is a swing-low support that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level.
Stop loss is at 1.0985 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support and the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level.
Take profit is at 1.1071 which is an overlap resistance.
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EUR/USD Decline, USD Gains Momentum as Strong Job DataThe US labor market continues to exhibit strength, bolstering the US dollar as recent data beats expectations. The US JOLTS Job Openings report, released on Tuesday, showed a surprising increase of 329K job openings, rising from a revised 7.711 million in July to 8.040 million in August. This unexpected surge reinforces the resilience of the US economy, providing near-term support to the US dollar. Additionally, today's ADP private sector survey reported that 143K jobs were added in September, exceeding the 120K forecast, while August's reading was revised upward from 99K to 103K.
These positive labor market signals have intensified the dollar's bullish momentum, particularly against the euro. As we previously forecasted for EUR/USD, the price rejected our key Supply area and has already reached the first take-profit target. With the pair edging closer to our second target, the US dollar's strength looks set to drive EUR/USD lower, with the next potential support sitting at the 1.09500 area.
Strong US Labor Data Drives Dollar Higher
The JOLTS and ADP reports reflect the robustness of the US labor market, providing the Federal Reserve with more room to maintain higher interest rates. With job openings and private sector employment both outperforming expectations, market sentiment is increasingly favoring the US dollar as investors anticipate the Fed may continue its hawkish stance.
The surge in job openings suggests that demand for labor remains high, which could keep inflationary pressures elevated and justify further rate hikes or prolonged tight monetary policy. Likewise, the ADP data highlights sustained private-sector job growth, reinforcing the overall strength of the labor market and lending further support to the greenback.
EUR/USD Under Pressure: Aiming for 1.09500?
On the technical front, EUR/USD remains under pressure after rejecting the Supply area as anticipated in our earlier forecast. The pair has already hit the first take-profit level, and further downside appears likely if today's US Unemployment Claims report comes in better than expected. A less severe unemployment figure compared to the forecast would strengthen the dollar further, pushing EUR/USD toward the 1.09500 support zone.
The pair has been trending lower due to a combination of strong US economic data and a weaker euro, as the European Central Bank (ECB) takes a more cautious approach to monetary policy. This divergence between the Fed and the ECB has weighed heavily on the euro, and with US data continuing to outperform, the trend could persist in the near term.
Key Data to Watch: US Unemployment Claims
Today, the market will focus on the release of US Unemployment Claims data, which could further influence the direction of EUR/USD. Should the report come in better than forecast, indicating a continued decline in unemployment, the dollar would likely strengthen further, pushing the pair closer to the 1.09500 mark.
In conclusion, the combination of strong US labor data and hawkish expectations for the Federal Reserve is fueling dollar strength, pressuring EUR/USD lower. If today's unemployment claims report aligns with the recent positive trend in US employment, a continuation of the bearish momentum could drive the pair to our next target. Traders should watch the unemployment claims release for further confirmation of this downward move.
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EURUSD: Dollar going stronger than EuroThe orange circle, shows the exact moment where, at the same time, ICEUS:DX1! crossed over CME:6E1! and the 200-sma was in the middle of this crossover.
The Dollar futures are gaining stregth while on the other hand, Euro futures are falling in price.
After the crossover, a strong bearish candle cross the support, the price remain in congestion with yesterday price closing at 1.10533.
Today the price is already below a support during early september and a resistance in the week after.
Indicators: Besides the 200sma. The RSI is projecting to go overbought or at least close, while DMI- is increasing the direction and ADX is confirming the trend strength.
EURO - Price can rise a little and then bounce down to $1.1010Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price bounced from mirror line and made upward impulse, thereby breaking $1.1010 level.
Then price started to trades inside flat, where it at once rose to resistance level, which coincided with top part of flat.
After this, EUR turned around and in a short time fell to mirror line and then bounced up again.
Later price reached $1.1200 level again and some time traded near, after which turned around and started to fall.
Euro fell to mirror line and recently broke it, so, now it trades very close to this line inside flat.
I think that price can make a move up, higher mirror line, and then continue to decline to $1.1010 level.
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DAX: Anticipating a Healthy Retracement Amid Weak Eurozone DataThe DAX is showing signs of losing momentum after three consecutive bullish days, despite making new highs. Technically, it’s time for a healthy retracement towards the 19,100 zone to provide a solid base for continued bullish action. I plan to take advantage of the pullback, profiting from the downside move. If the price spikes and hits the stop loss, I will reenter the trade once the setup confirms itself again.
Technical Analysis:
• The 4H chart suggests that the market is struggling to maintain bullish momentum after the recent highs.
• A retracement towards 19,200 is expected, aligning with key support and Fibonacci levels, which would signal a healthier continuation of the uptrend.
• The price action appears to be in need of consolidation before further bullish progression.
Fundamental Analysis:
On the fundamental side, the Eurozone economy continues to struggle, as reflected in the recent PMI data. Manufacturing PMI figures across Europe are underwhelming, with most of the key economies showing contraction or slower growth:
• Spanish PMI (53.0) exceeded expectations, but other economies, such as Italy (48.3) and France (44.6), show weaker performance.
• The overall sentiment in the Eurozone remains fragile, which may further support the case for a pullback in the DAX index before any sustained bullish moves.
Given the technical and fundamental outlook, I’m positioning for a retracement in the DAX, expecting a drop to 19,100. If the trade does not play out and spikes toward my stop loss, I’ll be prepared to reenter once conditions align again. It’s essential to stay patient and trust the setup.
Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.