EUR/USD to tag 1.11 before its next leg lower?It is good to finally see the USD strength we were calling for finally come into play. It may have a little further to run, which could see further downside on the weekly chart for EUR/USD. But first, we look at a potential long on the daily and 4-hour chart, taking the weekly analysis into account.
Euro
EURUSD Long-term Sell Signal confirmed.The EURUSD pair confirmed with last week's closing the start of a new bearish sequence as it closed the 1W candle in deep red below even the 1W MA200 (orange trend-line). This established not only the previous High as the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 11-month Channel Up but also posted an identical long-term Top sequence as the July 17 2023 weekly candle.
As you can see on both tops a long-term series of red weeks was initiated, both of then stopping on the Higher Lows trend-line of the Channel Up. As a result, our 1.0900 medium-term bearish Target appears to be a modest one as it is where we anticipate the first wave of buyers (Support) on the 1W MA50 (blue trend-line) 1W MA100 (green trend-line) cluster. This may provide a bounce similar to February 12 2024.
As a side-note, notice how the 1W RSI posted a similar rejection - reversal top on the 70.00 overbought barrier, same as July 10 2023.
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EURO - Price can exit from pennant and then start to move upHi guys, this is my update on a different timeframe for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price entered to falling channel, where it at once made a gap and then reached resistance line.
Next, price fell to support line, breaking $1.0880 level, but soon EUR made upward impulse from this line.
Price broke $1.0880 level and exited from falling channel, and continued to move up inside pennant.
In pennant, price later reached $1.1075 level, broke it, and even rose a little higher than resistance area.
But a not long time ago EUR fell to support line, breaking $1.10750 level again, and now continues trades close.
In my mind, Euro can exit from pennant and then bounce up to $1.1150, breaking resistance level.
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EURO - Price can leave wedge and fall to support levelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price rose higher than $1.1000 level but soon declined back, after which turned around and started to grow in channel.
Inside channel, price broke $1.1000 level and reached later $1.1105 level, which broke soon too.
After this, price reached resistance line of channel and then corrected $1.1105 level, exiting from rising channel.
Next Euro bounced up to $1.12015 points and started to decline inside wedge, where it in a short time fell.
Also, price broke $1.1105 level one more time and a not long time ago it EUR started to grow near support line.
So, I think that Euro can reach resistance level and then bounce down to $1.1000 level, exiting from wedge.
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EURNZD - NEW BREAKOUT Hello Traders !
On Thursday 25 July, The EURNZD reached the resistance level (1.83844 - 1.84623) and failed to break it !
The price broke the support level (1.79254 - 1.79915).
This key level becomes a new resistance !
So, I expect a bearish move 📉
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TARGET: 1.77500🎯
HelenP. I Euro will continue to decline, breaking support levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some time ago price declined to support 2, which coincided with the support zone, and some time traded near until it broke this level and fell to the trend line. Then EUR started to trades inside a wedge, where it rebounded from the trend line, which is the support line of this pattern, and rose to the resistance line, breaking support 2 one more time. Next, the price corrected the trend line, after which rose to the resistance line and then repeated this movement. Later Euro made an impulse up from the trend line and exited from the wedge pattern, broke support 1, and even rose a little higher than the resistance zone, but soon backed up. A not long time ago price rose from the resistance zone, after which at once turned around and dropped back. Now, I expect that EURUSD will make a small movement up and then continue to decline, breaking the trend line with the support level. Therefore I set my goal at 1.1015 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EUR/USD on the Move - Eyes on the 1.17 Target!💶📈 EUR/USD on the Move - Eyes on the 1.17 Target! 🚀💥
Hey traders, it's time to look at one of the most traded pairs in the forex world: EUR/USD. This pair has been a fascinating ride, and now we are entering a pivotal moment once again.
Since I shifted focus towards crypto and volatility, my forex trading has become more selective. Trading fewer times but with more patience has brought great results, and this approach has worked exceptionally well in recent months.
🔍 Key Insights:
We had a perfect short at 1.232, riding it all the way down to parity. Not many believed we’d see EUR/USD drop to 1.00 or lower, but we anticipated it, and it played out as expected.
The next major move was the reversal at parity, and we've been long since. With EUR/USD now reclaiming the 1.11 level, the charts are pointing towards a possible further move upwards.
While there is a 35% chance of EUR/USD retesting 1.10, the majority of the indicators suggest continued support, and I’m looking at a target of 1.17.
I had great success focusing on USD/JPY shorts, but now it’s time to re-enter EUR/USD, which has been a phenomenal trade from 0.97 to 1.12. I’m considering increasing my positions, with eyes on that 1.17 target.
Don’t forget to check my recent DXY (Dollar Index) post, as these markets are closely connected and tell a similar story.
Also, keep an eye on Bitcoin—I believe it’s going to make headline news soon!
One Love, The FXPROFESSOR 💙
Euro can drop to 1.1100 points, thereby exiting from wedgeHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price a few moments ago entered to range and dropped from the support level, which coincided with the support area to the buyer zone. When the EUR fell to this area, it some time traded very close to the bottom part of the range and later rebounded up to the support level. Also, inside the range, the price formed three gaps, and on the third gap, the Euro exited from range, entered to wedge, and dropped to support line of this pattern. Later price turned around and started to grow, after which in a short time rose higher than the 1.0900 level, breaking it finally and then made a retest. After this price rebounded from the support line of the wedge and rose to the resistance line, but a not long time ago EUR rolled down from this line. At the moment, I think that the price can rise almost to the resistance line of the wedge and then drop, thereby exiting from the wedge. For this case, I set my TP at 1.1100 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURO - Price can little fall and then continue rise in channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price broke $1.0785 level and entered a flat, where it soon made a gap and reached the top part.
Next, price turned around and declined to $1.0785 level, after which bounced and started to grow in rising channel.
Also, EUR left flat, and in channel, it soon reached $1.0980 level, but at once made correction movement.
Then price bounced up from support line of channel, breaking $1.0980 level, and rose almost to resistance line.
But price made little correction and now continues to move up inside rising channel, so, I think it can little decline.
After this, Euro can turn around and continue to move up to $1.1290 inside rising channel.
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EurUsd → so bullishhello guys.
let's dive into eurusd
Breaking the Channel:
The price has broken out of a previous channel, which suggests a potential bullish momentum continuation. This breakout is marked as a significant event that has shifted the trend.
The Last High Broken:
The chart indicates that the last significant high around the $1.1169 level was broken. This breakout above the previous high is a strong bullish signal, suggesting further upward potential.
Internal Trendline:
There’s an internal trendline within the broader trend that could act as support if the price pulls back. The price might retest this trendline before moving higher.
Potential Bullish Move:
After breaking the last high, the price may retrace slightly to retest the breakout level or the internal trendline, before continuing its upward move.
The next potential target appears to be in the region of $1.1300, where the price may find the next significant resistance.
Current Price Action:
The price is currently hovering around $1.1166, slightly above the previous resistance, which now acts as support. This area will be critical in determining if the price continues its bullish trajectory or pulls back for a deeper retest.
This analysis underscores a bullish outlook for the EUR/USD pair, emphasizing the importance of the broken resistance level and the potential for further gains if the trend continues. Traders should watch for a retest of the breakout level to confirm the strength of the move.
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EURUSD approaches mother of all Resistances from the 2008 crisisThe EURUSD pair broke through all major medium-term Resistance levels, with the latest being the 1W MA200, but is now facing perhaps the most important Resistance of all. That is the Lower Highs trend-line, that started during the height of the 2008 U.S. Housing Crisis on July 2008.
As you can see on this 1M time-frame, this Resistance is technically the top of the 19-year Falling Wedge pattern, which encompasses different cycles of foreign exchange price action, such as the 1M MA200 (orange trend-line) turning from a multi-year Support to multi-year Resistance etc.
The presence of the 1M MA100 (green trend-line) adds more selling pressure to the current Resistance cluster, which had the last major long-term rejection on July 2023 and before that on February 2018 (along with the 1M MA200 that time).
Ideally, the sell signal will get strengthened if the 1M RSI gets rejected on its 15-year Resistance Zone. As a result, a rejection within the multi-year Falling Wedge, will most likely see EURUSD test the Symmetrical Support Zone (blue), which only broke once during the recent 2022 Inflation Crisis.
If however the price closes a 1M candle above the Lower Highs of the Wedge, we will turn bullish long-term towards the 1M MA200, aiming at around 1.2000.
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Euro H4 | Potential bullish bounceThe Euro (EUR/USD) is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher.
Buy entry is at 1.1149 which is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.1088 which is a level that lies underneath a pullback support and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 1.1221 which is a level that aligns with the 161.8% Fibonacci extension level.
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CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
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Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
HelenP. I Euro can make small movement up and then start fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some days ago price reached the support zone, which coincided with support 2 inside the upward channel, and after a small correction, it broke this level. Also, the price made a gap, after which rose to the resistance line, making a second gap and later corrected to support 2. After this movement, the Euro turned around and rebounded up from the trend line to support 1, but at once fell back to the trend line, thereby exiting from the channel as well. Price some time traded near the trend line and then made impulse up from this line to 1.1200 points, thereby breaking support 1, which coincided with one more support zone. Now, I expect that EURUSD will make one more movement up and then drop to the trend line. That's why I set my goal at 1.1120 points, which coincides with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro can rebound up from buyer zone to 1.1190 pointsHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Looking at the chart, we can see how the price hit the support level, broke through it, but then quickly turned around and dropped to the lower part of the range. After that, the EUR reversed and bounced back up to the 1.0960 level, broke it again, exiting the range, and then climbed to the resistance line. The price then reversed and made a correction move to the support line, after which it started to rise near this line to the current support level. When the Euro reached this level, it broke through and kept rising until it hit the resistance line, but not long ago it turned around and made a correction move to the buyer zone. Right now, the price is trading near this zone, and I think the EUR might drop to the buyer zone before rebounding up. So, that's why I set my TP at 1.1190 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Could demand for the dollar pick up once more today?The dollar saw strong bids overnight as robust macroeconomic data (unemployment claims and Composite PMI) functioned as bullish catalysts.
With Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell kicking things off at the Jackson Hole Symposium later today, could we see another round of higher demand for the greenback and thus a further a decline in EUR/USD?
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 68% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 73% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EURO - Price can fall from support line of wedge to $1.1000Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered to rising channel, where it at once broke $1.0735 level and some time traded in support zone.
Later EUR reached support line of channel and then bounced up to resistance line of channel, breaking $1.0735 level.
Also, price made a gap, after this, Euro exited from channel and entered to wedge, where it fell to support line at once.
After this, price made upward impulse from support line of wedge, higher than $1.0945 level, breaking it.
Price some time traded between this level and a not long time ago bounced up to resistance line of wedge.
Now, I think that Euro can rise to resistance line and then bounce down to $1.1000, exiting from wedge pattern.
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EUR/USD Soars to 2024 Highs as Fed Rate Cut Speculation GrowsThe EUR/USD pair extended its rally for the fourth consecutive day, reaching new 2024 highs around 1.1170. This surge has been fueled by continued weakness in the US Dollar (USD), which has been under pressure as market sentiment shifts.
The US Dollar Index (DXY), a measure of the USD’s strength against a basket of major currencies, fell below the critical 101.00 level for the first time since December 2023. This decline was exacerbated by the release of the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) Minutes, which hinted at the possibility of an interest rate cut by the Federal Reserve (Fed) in September.
From a technical perspective, the EUR/USD pair bypassed its first supply area without a significant rebound and is now approaching the second supply zone, a key area where a potential sell reversal is being closely monitored. The latest Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals an interesting divergence: retail traders remain bullish on the pair, while commercial traders and large funds appear to be positioning themselves for a move in the opposite direction.
The likelihood of a rate cut has been a focal point for traders. The CME Group’s FedWatch Tool currently shows nearly a 60% chance of a 25 basis point reduction at the Fed's September 18 meeting, a slight decrease from around 70% the previous day. Despite the FOMC Minutes supporting the possibility of lower rates as early as next month, Fed Governor Michelle Bowman urged caution, suggesting that rate reductions should be gradual if inflation aligns with the Fed’s 2% target. Her comments indicate a desire to avoid an overly restrictive monetary policy that could stifle economic growth.
Should the Fed opt for more substantial rate cuts, the policy gap between the Fed and the European Central Bank (ECB) could narrow in the medium to long term. This convergence may further support the EUR/USD pair, particularly as market participants expect the ECB to implement two additional rate cuts this year. Such a scenario could provide additional upward momentum for the EUR/USD, pushing it even higher in the coming months.
EURO - Price can bounce down from resistance line of channelHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price entered to wedge, where at once broke $1.0830 level and rose until to resistance line of wedge.
Also, price formed a gap and later it started to decline from resistance line to $1.0830 support level.
When EUR reached this level, it broke it and fell to support line of wedge, after which made upward impulse.
Price exited from wedge, broke $1.0830 level, and rose to $1.1000 level, after which started to trades in rising channel.
In channel, Euro first made correction and then in a short time rose to $1.1000 level again and broke it.
Now I think that price can bounce down from resistance line to $1.0940 support line of rising channel.
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HelenP. I After movement up, Euro will start to declineHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. A few moments ago price rebounded up from the trend line and rose to support 2, which coincided with the support zone. Soon, the price broke this level and continued to grow, but later turned around and made a correction movement to support 2. Next, the price bounced and some time traded near this level until it reached the trend line, after which it made impulse up to support 1, which coincided with one more support zone. After this movement, the EUR rebounded down to the trend line, after which at once bounced and made an impulse up again, but at their moment it broke support 1 and even rose higher than the support zone. Just now, the price continues to grow, for this case, I expect that EURUSD will make one movement up and then start to decline to the trend line, thereby breaking the support level. That's why I set my goal at 1.1025 points, which coincided with the trend line. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️