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Euro can reach resistance level and then rebound down to 1.1080Hello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price entered to downward wedge, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line, which is located in the seller zone, and started to decline. In a short time price fell to the support line of the wedge, and then tried to grow, but failed and continued to decline to the buyer zone. In the buyer zone, EUR reached the support line of the wedge and at once rebounded up, thereby exiting from the wedge and breaking also 1.1035 level. Then price continued to grow until it reached the 1.1135 resistance level, which it even tried to break but failed and made correction to the support level, and even lower. Later EUR entered to another wedge, where it fell firstly to the support line and then started to grow. In an upward wedge, the Euro rose almost to a resistance level, thereby breaking the 1.1035 level. At the moment, I think that the price reach a resistance level and then rebound down, thereby exiting from the wedge. Also then, the Euro will continue to decline, therefore I set my TP at 1.1080 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
11
EUR/USD Holds Steady Above 1.1120 Ahead of Crucial Fed Rate ...EUR/USD Holds Steady Above 1.1120 Ahead of Crucial Fed Rate Decision As the first London session kicks off this morning, EUR/USD is maintaining its position above the 1.1120 level, with market participants eagerly awaiting today's Federal Funds Rate decision by the U.S. Federal Reserve. The decision is set to dominate market sentiment, with investors and traders closely watching for any signs of policy shifts or forward guidance. Current Market Sentiment From a technical standpoint, not much has changed since our previous analysis. The Commitment of Traders (COT) report continues to highlight a significant divergence between retail traders and institutional investors. Retail traders remain overwhelmingly long on the pair, suggesting their optimism for further upside. However, "smart money," often represented by institutional traders, continues to take a bearish stance, positioning themselves for potential downside. This disparity in positioning further adds to the uncertainty surrounding EUR/USD’s near-term trajectory. As the pair trades within a daily supply zone, the potential for a bearish reversal remains on the table. The supply zone, which has acted as a resistance level, continues to cap any significant bullish advances, keeping the risk of a sharp pullback intact. Fed Decision: The Key Catalyst All eyes remain on the Federal Reserve’s policy verdict, which could serve as the key driver for the next move in EUR/USD. The Fed's decision on interest rates, along with its forward guidance, will likely dictate the pair's direction in the coming days. A more hawkish stance from the Fed could fuel U.S. dollar strength, potentially pushing EUR/USD lower. Conversely, any dovish signals might provide the pair with a fresh catalyst for breaking through the current resistance levels. For now, EUR/USD continues to hover above 1.1120, but the looming Fed decision may be the tipping point that decides whether the pair resumes its bullish momentum or succumbs to the bearish sentiment from institutional traders. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and 👍 HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
3
EUR/GBP H4 | Potential bullish bounceEUR/GBP is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 0.8413 which is a pullback support. Stop loss is at 0.8390 which is a level that lies underneath a swing-low support. Take profit is at 0.8453 which is an overlap resistance that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
2
EURUSD Channel Down hitting its top. Sell opportunity.The EURUSD pair rebounded on Friday on its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and today the price is testing the top (Lower Highs trend-line) of the 3-week Channel Down pattern. This presents an strong sell opportunity on an excellent Risk/Reward ratio and the upside is limited to the top but the downside having much room to drop to the bottom of the Channel. The previous Bearish Legs declined by -1.41% and -1.56% respectively. As long as the price is closing below the top of the Channel Down, our target will be the 1D MA50 (red trend-line) at 1.09900 (-1.26% from the top, negative progression relative to the previous Bearish Legs). ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EUR/USD Kicks Off the Week on a Positive Note Ahead of Crucial..EUR/USD Kicks Off the Week on a Positive Note Ahead of Crucial Fed Decision The EUR/USD pair began the week with positive momentum, hovering around the 1.1000 mark ahead of the London session on Monday. Investors are keeping a close eye on the upcoming US Federal Reserve (Fed) policy decision, which is expected to have a significant impact on the market later this week. The key question remains: will the Fed cut rates by 25 basis points (bps), or will it take a more aggressive approach and reduce rates by 50 bps? According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the odds are nearly split, with a 48.0% probability of a 25 bps rate cut at the Fed's September meeting. The market's indecision reflects the broader uncertainty surrounding the Fed's next move as economic conditions remain mixed. While inflation data has shown signs of cooling, other indicators point to a resilient economy, leaving investors to speculate on the extent of monetary easing that may be announced. All eyes will be on the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) press conference, where Fed Chair Jerome Powell is expected to provide crucial insights into the central bank's future stance on interest rates. Should Powell signal a more aggressive easing approach, it could weigh heavily on the US Dollar, potentially pushing the EUR/USD higher. Conversely, a more cautious outlook could lead to a stronger dollar, capping any further gains for the euro. From a technical perspective, the week begins with little change in the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which shows that retail traders are still overwhelmingly long on the euro. In fact, retailer positioning is at its highest point since August 2023, signaling a potential reversal opportunity for contrarian traders. As the EUR/USD approaches a key supply area, a retest could trigger a pullback, with the price poised to drop if the supply zone holds. Given the heavy retail interest in long positions, we are looking for a short setup in the EUR/USD. A pullback from the current levels, especially around the supply area, could offer an attractive opportunity for bears. With the market bracing for the Fed's policy decision and retail traders heavily invested in long positions, the coming days could provide pivotal moments for the EUR/USD pair. As the week unfolds, the Fed's policy signals will be key to determining the next directional move for the EUR/USD. For now, traders should remain cautious and watch for any shifts in sentiment as the market digests the Fed's decision and the FOMC press conference. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and 👍 HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
2
Trading Idea: GBP/EUR Resistance BreakoutCurrent Resistance Level: GBP/EUR is currently facing a resistance level. If the price breaks above this resistance, it could signal a potential bullish breakout. Next Target: After the breakout, the next key resistance level becomes the target. Bullish Pattern: There is also a potential bullish pattern forming, which could further support the breakout scenario. A confirmed breakout above the first resistance could lead the price to rally toward the second resistance level. Confirmation: Wait for a clear break and close above the current resistance, and a confirmation of the bullish pattern, to strengthen the breakout signal. Risk Management: Consider placing a stop-loss below the previous support level to manage risk in case of a false breakout.
Long
by WaveRiders2
EUR/USD Bullish Setup: Anticipating a Bounce from Key SupportHello traders! Today, I’m analyzing the EUR/USD pair on the 1-hour time frame. We’ve seen some strong movement recently, but right now, the price is approaching a critical support level. This level has held strong in the past, and based on my analysis, I believe we could see a bullish bounce from this zone. Here’s what I’m looking at: Support Level: The price is nearing support level, a key area where it has previously bounced. If the price retests this level and holds, it could signal a continuation of the bullish trend. Price Action Patterns: I’ll be watching closely for bullish reversal candlestick patterns, like a hammer or bullish engulfing pattern, to confirm the strength of the support. This would suggest buyers are stepping in, and the price could start to rise. Momentum Check: I’ll keep an eye on the overall market momentum by observing the price movement around the support zone. A slowing down of the sell-off or a shift in momentum could further support the idea of a bounce. Risk Management Strategy: To manage my risk, I’ll set a stop loss slightly below the support level to safeguard against any potential breakdown. For profit targets, I’m eyeing as the first goal, with room for more gains if the bullish momentum continues.
Long
by WaveRiders2
EUR/USD Rallies Amid Weakening Dollar, Approaching Key SupplyOn Thursday, the EUR/USD saw a rally as the US Dollar (Greenback) weakened, providing support to the euro's upward momentum. However, despite this rally, the pair now enters a critical phase of rejection as it approaches a key supply area, which has previously acted as resistance. This supply zone could trigger a potential pullback in the coming sessions, especially as market participants weigh technical factors against broader economic conditions. The release of US Producer Price Index (PPI) inflation data failed to significantly impact market movement, offering little fuel for volatility. Despite the softer inflation data, the overall market remains focused on the Federal Reserve's future policy direction. Speculation over potential rate cuts continues to dominate market sentiment, with traders looking for clearer signals as the central bank navigates its next steps in light of ongoing economic conditions. From a technical perspective, nothing has fundamentally shifted in terms of the broader outlook for EUR/USD. The euro continues to benefit from dollar weakness, but key resistance levels—such as the approaching supply area—remain intact. A pullback at this level could signal the market’s hesitation to push higher without more significant changes in either economic data or Fed policy. As the pair nears this important technical zone, traders should remain cautious. The fundamentals underpinning the current market environment haven't changed dramatically, and until there is a clearer shift in the macroeconomic landscape or central bank policy, the euro's recent gains may face hurdles. Nevertheless, with ongoing dollar softness and a Fed-centric market focus, the EUR/USD remains a pair to watch for further developments. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and 👍 HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
Euro can rebound up from wedge to 1.1120 resistance levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see that the price rose inside the upward channel, where it reached the buyer zone, which coincided with the support level and some time traded in this area. Then, the price broke the 1.0830 level and soon reached the resistance line of the upward channel, after which turned around and in a short time declined to the support line of the channel and at once made impulse up, making a fake breakout of the 1.0830 support level. Next, the price continued to move up and later reached a resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. After this, the price exited from the channel and broke even 1.1120 level, and then rose a little higher seller zone, but soon turned around and started to decline inside the wedge. In this pattern price broke the resistance level and declined to the support line, after which at once rebounded up to the 1.1120 level and then continued to decline. Now Euro trades near the support line of the wedge and in my opinion, it can rebound up from this line to the resistance level, thereby exiting from the wedge pattern. That's why my TP is located at the 1.1120 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Long
by LegionQ8
Pre ECB Rates Decision Analysis12th September (ECB Rates Pending) DXY: Climbing towards 102 resistance, could push higher if EUR weakens, needs to break 102.20 for further upside to 102.70 NZDUSD: Sell 0.6135 SL 20 TP 60 (Hesitation at 0.6110) AUDUSD: Sell 0.6685 SL 20 TP 60 GBPUSD: Sell 1.3030 SL 25 TP 60 EURUSD: Rates decision pending, straddle opportunity, Sell 1.0985 SL 20 TP 45 USDJPY: Sell 143.50 SL 50 TP 150 USDCHF: Buy 0.8585 SL 40 TP 80 USDCAD: Sell 1.3580 SL 30 TP 70 Gold: Needs to stay below 2520 for downside to 2500
TVC:DXY
by JinDao_Tai
EURCAD Sell continuation signalThe EURCAD pair is trading on the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line) within the 10-month Channel Up. The previous time we had a peak rejection like this, the pair declined by at least -3.88%. The similarities even between the 1D RSI fractals are obvious. Our Target is 1.46550. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
2
EURUSD: Channel Down expected to bottom & give a buy opportunityEURUSD is bearish on its 4H technical outlook (RSI = 33.975, MACD = -0.002, ADX = 38.295) as the 2 week Channel Down is on a bearish wave under the 4H MA50 and just over the 4H MA200. Technically this is already LL region but the bottom might take a while to form, as August 29th - Sep 3rd did, grinding inside a Rectangle. Testing the 1D MA50 inside a new Rectangle potentially, could make an ideal technical bottom. We will target the 0.618 Fibonacci level following that (TP = 1.10850), same as the September 6th LH. ## If you like our free content follow our profile to get more daily ideas. ## ## Comments and likes are greatly appreciated. ##
by InvestingScope
EUR/AUD H4 | Falling to overlap supportEUR/AUD is falling towards an overlap support and could potentially bounce off this level to climb higher. Buy entry is at 1.6516 which is an overlap support that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. Stop loss is at 1.6383 which is a level that lies underneath an overlap support and the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level. Take profit is at 1.6706 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns with the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level. High Risk Investment Warning Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you. Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 62% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com): CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 59% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money. Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com): Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com): Losses can exceed deposits. Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd. The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Long
by FXCM
Euro will rise almost to resistance line and then continue fallHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price entered to upward channel, where it at once made a first gap and then broke the 1.0780 level, which coincided with the buyer zone. Then price rose to the resistance line of the channel, making a second gap, after which turned around and in a short time declined to the support level, which coincided with the support line of the channel. After this movement, the Euro rebounded and continued to move up inside the channel, until it reached a resistance level. Price broke this level, which coincided with the seller zone, and then exited from the channel also, but when it reached the resistance line, EUR turned around and started to decline. Soon, the price broke the 1.1135 level and continued to decline, but recently price rose to this level, after which rebounded and continued to fall. Now, I think that the Euro can little rise, maybe almost to the resistance line, and then continue to decline next. For this case, I set my TP at 1.0920 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Short
by LegionQ8
2
EURUSD - 4H Bearish PhaseEUR/USD recently reached a key daily resistance zone, facing a strong rejection from that level, signaling potential further downside. The pair also lost the critical support zone below 1.11, consolidating under it for the past week. After this consolidation, EUR/USD has completed a pullback to the critical zone, making it technically ready to fall further. This structure offers a solid opportunity for short positions, with a clear rejection from both the daily resistance and the pullback to the previous support-turned-resistance. Fundamentally, the U.S. Dollar has been gaining strength due to rising expectations of continued rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. In contrast, the Euro has weakened amid concerning Eurozone data, reflecting slowing growth and economic challenges. The divergence between the two currencies supports further bearish movement for EUR/USD, especially as the Dollar Index continues to rise. As you can see in the chart, we previously shared a sell position at the 1.1117–1.1122 range. Now, with the technical and fundamental backdrop confirming further downside, this is a good opportunity to sell EUR/USD again, targeting further drops as market conditions remain favorable for the U.S. Dollar.
Short
by Sober_Trading
EURUSD Sell signal confirmed.Last week (September 03, see chart below), we called for a major sell on the EURUSD pair as it closed a strong 1W red candle, almost at the top (Higher Highs trend-line) of the 11-month Channel Up: On Friday we got a strong confirmation of this sell signal as it closed in deep red and large wick on top, indicating a reversal of the short-term bounce. Naturally, today's opening to the week is equally bearish and we still expect that to be the first stage of the new Bearish Leg of the Channel Up. We already have set a 1.0900 Target last week, which would make an ideal test of the 1D MA200 (orange trend-line), but this week we establish a 2nd one as well at 1.08000. That would be just above Support 1 and the bottom (Higher Lows trend-line) of the Channel Up, almost a -3.95% decline, which since July 2023 and the pair's two major Bearish Legs, has been the minimum % decline we've had. ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- ** Please LIKE 👍, FOLLOW ✅, SHARE 🙌 and COMMENT ✍ if you enjoy this idea! Also share your ideas and charts in the comments section below! This is best way to keep it relevant, support us, keep the content here free and allow the idea to reach as many people as possible. ** ------------------------------------------------------------------------------- 💸💸💸💸💸💸 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇 👇
Short
by TradingShot
EUR/USD: Bearish Bias Amid Dollar Strength and ECB Rate Cut Ex..EUR/USD: Bearish Bias Amid Dollar Strength and ECB Rate Cut Expectations Last Friday, the EUR/USD pair attempted to recover some of its losses from the previous week, following an initial decline in the US Dollar. The greenback weakened after the release of the ADP Non-Farm Employment Change and Unemployment Claims, which delivered less-than-encouraging economic signals. However, the dollar quickly regained ground thanks to positive results from the Final Services PMI, ISM Services PMI, and Crude Oil Inventories, all of which helped to boost investor confidence in the US economy. Despite this brief rebound in EUR/USD, the pair's upside potential seems limited. Recent inflation data from the eurozone has heightened market expectations that the European Central Bank (ECB) will implement a rate cut at its upcoming policy meeting on Thursday. This looming policy shift has created a bearish outlook for the euro, as lower interest rates typically reduce the attractiveness of a currency in global markets. From a technical perspective, our bearish stance on EUR/USD remains unchanged. Over the past two weeks, the pair has struggled to maintain its rally after hitting a major supply area, which has now turned into a formidable resistance zone. Adding further to this bearish sentiment is the Commitment of Traders (COT) report, which reveals that retail traders are predominantly bullish on the euro, while institutional players, often referred to as "smart money," maintain a bearish position. This divergence suggests that the euro's recent attempts to rally may lack the institutional support needed for sustained upward momentum. Seasonality also favors a bearish trend for the euro at this time of the year. Historical data shows that the EUR/USD pair tends to weaken during this period, aligning with our current forecast. The combination of technical resistance, COT positioning, and seasonal trends points to further downside risks for the euro. On the chart, I have highlighted a key demand area where the price could potentially drop. This zone may act as a magnet, pulling the pair lower before triggering a possible retracement. If the price reaches this level, we may see a short-term bounce, but the overall bias remains bearish unless there is a significant shift in fundamentals or technical indicators. In conclusion, the EUR/USD pair faces several headwinds, including dollar strength, expectations of an ECB rate cut, and bearish technical and seasonal factors. Traders should remain cautious as the pair approaches key demand levels, and any short-term rallies may be limited by broader market forces. ✅ Please share your thoughts about EUR/USD in the comments section below and HIT LIKE if you appreciate my analysis. Don't forget to FOLLOW ME; you will help us a lot with this small contribution.
Short
by FOREXN1
1