Euro
EURO - Price can reach resistance area and then continue to fallHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some days ago price started to decline inside falling channel, where it first fell to $1.0590 level and broke it.
Then price made retes and some time traded near this level, after which fell to $1.0385 level, and then bounced up.
Price made a gap and then reached $1.0590 level, after which it some time traded close to this level and then continued to fall.
EUR fell to $1.0385 - $1.0350 area and then tried to grow, but failed and dropped to support line of channel.
Thereby price broke $1.0385 level also and a not long time ago it turned around and started to grow from support line.
In my mind, Euro can grow to resistance area and then continue to fall to $1.0190 in channel.
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HelenP. I Euro can reach resistance zone and then continue fallHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. A few days ago price broke resistance level 2, which coincided with the resistance zone, and started to trades inside consolidation. In this pattern, the price rose to the top part and then at once made a correction movement to resistance 2. Then, the EUR some time traded near this level and then rebounded up to the trend line, which coincided with the top part of the range and then started to decline. In a short time, EURO declined to resistance 2, broke it, thereby exiting from consolidation as well and then some time traded between resistance 2. Later price dropped to resistance 1, which coincided with the resistance zone, and then started to grow to the trend line. Some time later it reached this line and then made impulse down to 1.0220 points, breaking resistance 1 too. Recently prices started to grow, so, in my opinion, EURUSD will reach the resistance zone and then continue to decline next. That's why I set my goal at 1.0240 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURUSD: Still bearish long term. Don't buy a falling knife.EURUSD remains heavily bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 34.500, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 21.396) as the 1 month Channel Down remains intact. The current 4H rebound is the bullish wave of the Channel and technically once the 4H MA50 is hit, it will turn into a bearish opportunity again. We are waiting for that signal to sell towards the bottom of the Channel (TP = 1.0200).
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EURO - Price can bounce up from support zone to $1.0430 pointsHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
A few days ago price traded inside flat, where it made a gap and then fell to $1.0470 level, after which started to grow.
Then Euro exited from flat and started to decline inside pennant, where it bounced from resistance line to $1.0470 level.
Price some time traded near this level and then broke it, after which fell to $1.0350 level and then started to grow.
In a short time, price rose to resistance line of pennant, after which bounced from it and fell to $1.0350 level.
Now, Euro traded near this level and I think that it can fall to support zone and some time trades inside.
After this, price can turn around and start to grow to $1.0430 resistance line of pennant.
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Euro can exit from pennant and continue to fall nextHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago started to grow and soon broke resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone and continued to grow in range. Later EUR reached the top part of the range and then made a correction movement to the resistance level, after which rebounded and quickly rose back. Then price started to decline and in a short time fell to the 1.0475 level and even made a fake breakout of this level, after which backed up to the range. But soon, the price turned around and dropped to the current resistance level, thereby exiting from the range and breaking the 1.0475 level. Next, the price made an impulse up inside the downward pennant, but later it made a small correction. After this, EUR rose to the resistance line of the pennant and then turned around and dropped to the support line, breaking the 1.0350 level, which coincided with the resistance zone. A not long time ago price bounced from the support line, therefore I think that the Euro can reach the resistance zone and then continue to decline, even exiting from the pennant pattern. That's why I set my TP at 1.0240 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EUR/CAD H1 | Heading into swing-high resistanceEUR/CAD is rising towards a swing-high resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.4971 which is a swing-high resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.5005 which is a level that sits above an overlap resistance.
Take profit is at 1.4887 which is a swing-low support.
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Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EUR/USD Under Bearish Pressure: A Market Analysis [Update]As anticipated in our previous analyses, the EUR/USD currency pair experienced significant downward pressure during the late American trading session on Wednesday, hitting its lowest point in almost a month, below 1.0350. Currently, while I am drafting this article, the pair has seen a minor rebound and is trading around 1.0410; however, the technical indicators still suggest a bearish outlook.
The price is nearing a critical area where it may continue to decline. Our analysis reveals an imbalance on the Daily timeframe that could signal a further downturn. For more detailed insights, please refer to the link provided below.
Following the last Federal Reserve policy meeting of the year, the central bank announced a reduction in its policy rate by 25 basis points, aligning with market expectations, bringing it to a range between 4.25% and 4.5%. In their accompanying statement, the Fed emphasized that they would take into account incoming data, the evolving economic landscape, and the balance of risks when evaluating future rate adjustments.
In the aftermath of the Fed's decision, the US Dollar (USD) gained substantial strength, leading to a sharp decline in the EUR/USD pair. Moving forward, our outlook suggests the potential for a new bearish correction in the market as we navigate these developments.
Previous close position SHORT
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EUR/USD Market Dynamics: Analyzing Recent Price MovementsFollowing our previous analysis, we anticipated the market's response to last week's robust U.S. economic indicators, particularly regarding the USD's strength against the EUR. After experiencing a notable bearish trend, the euro managed to recoup some losses, specifically retesting our pending order at 1.04380. As I write this article on December 23, 2024, the currency pair trades around 1.04130, providing a rejection of our entry point.
On Monday, the U.S. Dollar (USD) stabilized after a significant drop on Friday. This sell-off was prompted by weaker-than-expected growth in the U.S. Personal Consumption Expenditure Price Index (PCE). Specifically, the core PCE—a key inflation metric favored by the Federal Reserve—rose by 2.8%, falling short of the projected 2.9%. On a month-to-month basis, both headline and core PCE inflation inched up by only 0.1%, leading to speculation about the Federal Reserve's trajectory concerning interest rate adjustments in 2025.
Federal Reserve officials are beginning to signal expectations of fewer rate cuts in the coming year, as the disinflation process appears to be slowing and uncertainties loom over how President-elect Donald Trump’s upcoming immigration, trade, and taxation policies could affect the economy.
Given the current outlook, we are anticipating a continuation of bearish trends in the market.
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EURNZD, H1 - 12?31?24.Drawing fibonacci from last fvg created to previous high.
Price will retrace to next bid level, - fib 382 retracement, for bearish continuation.
Confirmations -
Level to retest - fib 382 retracement.
Level not to break - fib 382 retracement.
Trade Invalidity -
Change in market direction will be confirmed when price breaks 'price-point', 1.85252, and retests. Price must maintain level to continue bull-trend.
- FX_Dispenser,
You're Welcome.
Euro will exit from triangle and continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price a few moments ago entered to downward triangle and started to decline to the resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone. When the price reached this level, it broke it and continued to fall to the support level, which coincided with the buyer zone. After this, the price turned around and started to grow to a resistance level, thereby making a gap. Later, the price reached the 1.0630 resistance level, coinciding with the resistance line and then declining. Price also rose to almost the resistance line and then dropped to the support line of the triangle, breaking the support level. Euro some time traded below the 1.0400 level and later bounced up to the resistance line of the triangle, breaking this level again. At the moment, the price continues to trades near this line and I think that the Euro can correct to a support level and then rebound up, thereby exiting from the triangle. For this case, I set my TP at 1.0575 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Channel Up targeting the 4H MA200.The EURUSD pair broke above its 4H MA50 (blue trend-line) and following a Double Bottom bounce on the Support Zone on December 18, it started a Channel Up.
Having initiated that after a highly oversold 4H RSI, it shares many similarities with the November 22 Channel Up, which peaked just below the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line). This is where our current short-term Target is at 1.04900.
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Euro H4 | Approaching pullback resistanceThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop lower.
Sell entry is at 1.0453 which is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Stop loss is at 1.0544 which is a level that sits above the 61.8% Fibonacci retracement and a pullback resistance.
Take profit is at 1.0351 which is a swing-low support.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 64% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
EURO - Price can bounce up from triangle to $1.0480Hi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price declined inside a falling channel, where price fell to resistance level and some time traded between.
Then EUR fell to support line of channel, but soon backed up to $1.0500 level and continued to trades between it.
Later, price rose to resistance line and then made downward impulse, thereby breaking $1.0500 level and exiting from channel.
Next, Euro continued to fall inside triangle, where it first fell to support line, breaking $1.0400 level.
But soon, price rose to $1.0400 level and some time traded near, after which broke it and rose to resistance line.
So, I think Euro can little correct and then bounce up to $1.0480, exiting from triangle pattern.
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EURUSD: 4H MA50 crossing signals new rally.EURUSD is remains bearish on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 41.523, MACD = -0.006, ADX = 15.575) but today it crossed and closed a 4H candle over the 4H MA50 for the first time since December 10th. Along with that, it crossed above the LH trend-line, thus technically invalidating the short term bearish trend. Given the recent December 18th double bottom on the S1 Zone, the pattern that prevails is a Rectangle, thus today's breakout is technically targeting the patterns top. Consequently our target is near the R1 Zone (TP = 1.0600).
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HelenP. I Euro will break trend line and continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart we can see how the price rose to the rend line, making a first gap, and the started to decline to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. When the price fell to this level, it broke it, and then some time traded near the 1.0625 level, after which continued to fall next. Later Euro fell to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and then rose to almost the resistance level, making a second gap. After this, it made a small correction and then continued to move up to the trend lin, and when it reached this line, the price turned around and continued to fall. Some time later, EUR fell until to support level and then at once rebounded and quickly rose to trend line. Now, it trade close to this line and I expect that EURUSD will make little correction and then rebound up, higher than the trend line, breaking it and continuing to move up. That's why I set my goal at 1.0550 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
DXY Trading plan Here’s a more detailed
CAPITALCOM:DXY
DXY Trading Plan:
- **Buy Entry:** Enter a buy position around **107.800**, watching for price action confirmation at this level.
- **First Target:** **108.000** – This is the immediate resistance and serves as a safe partial profit-taking level.
- **Second Target:** **108.300** – A key resistance level, ideal for booking the remaining profits.
Risk Management:
- If **107.800** fails to break out or shows signs of reversal, **close the trade immediately** to minimize potential losses. Look for candlestick patterns, rejection wicks, or bearish momentum as warning signs.
Additional Notes:
- Monitor DXY momentum and overall trend direction on the 1-hour timeframe.
- Keep an eye on related macroeconomic data or news events that could impact dollar strength.
Euro can make small correction and then continue to growHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price started to decline inside the downward channel, where it at once rebounded from the resistance line and fell to the seller zone. Then price rebounded from this area and tried to grow, but failed and dropped to support line of the downward channel. Next, the price rebounded from this line and rose to the resistance line of the channel, breaking the resistance level. After this, the price some time traded in the seller zone and then broke the resistance level and dropped until to 1.0345 points, breaking the support level too, and exiting from the downward channel. Later Euro started to grow inside the upward channel, where it soon broke the 1.0385 level and then rose to the resistance line of the upward channel. After this movement, the price turned around and fell to the support level, where it some time traded near and then continued to grow near the support line of the upward channel. For this case, I think that the price can decline to the support level, after which turns around and continue to grow inside the upward channel. That's why I set my TP at 1.0450 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
GOLD sell setup If you’re planning a **sell entry at 2630** for gold, here’s a detailed plan for your setup:
---
### **Sell Entry at 2630**
#### **Rationale for 2630 Entry**:
1. **Resistance Zone**:
- 2630 is a psychological and technical resistance level where sellers might dominate.
2. **Overextension**:
- If gold reaches this level after a strong upward move, it could indicate overbought conditions and exhaustion.
3. **Market Sentiment**:
- Failure to sustain above 2630 would confirm bearish sentiment and likely trigger selling pressure.
---
### **Trade Setup Details**
#### **Entry**:
- **Sell at 2630**, ideally after confirming a rejection (e.g., bearish candlestick patterns like a shooting star, bearish engulfing, or strong wick rejections).
#### **Stop Loss**:
- Place the stop loss slightly above 2635 to protect against false breakouts.
- Alternatively, use the ATR (Average True Range) to calculate a dynamic stop.
#### **Take-Profit Targets**:
1. **Target 1**: 2620
- This is the next key support and provides a conservative risk-reward.
2. **Target 2**: 2608
- A strong support zone where buyers might re-enter.
3. **Target 3**: 2600
- If the bearish momentum is strong, this level could be reached.
---
### **Confirmation Signals Before Entry**
1. **Candlestick Patterns**:
- Look for a rejection near 2630 with patterns such as:
- Shooting Star
- Evening Star
- Bearish Engulfing
2. **Momentum Indicators**:
- **RSI**: Overbought readings (above 70) near 2630 confirm exhaustion.
- **MACD**: A bearish crossover or divergence around 2630 strengthens the sell case.
3. **Volume Analysis**:
- Declining volume on the move up to 2630 indicates a weakening bullish trend.
---
### **Risk Management**
- **Risk-to-Reward Ratio**: Aim for at least 1:2 or 1:3 to ensure a favorable outcome.
- Avoid entering immediately if price breaks above 2630 without signs of rejection.
---
### **Fundamental Watch**
1. **DXY Correlation**:
- If the DXY strengthens (moving toward 108.100), it aligns with a bearish gold move.
2. **Economic Data**:
- Monitor for any major data releases (e.g., U.S. GDP, inflation data, or Federal Reserve comments) that could influence gold prices.
CAPITALCOM:GOLD
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