EURAUD H4 | Potential bullish bounce off pullback supportEUR/AUD could fall towards a pullback support and potentially bounce higher towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 1.64916
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Stop Loss: 1.64530
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that lies under the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 1.66170
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
Euro
Europe Keeps Working, Particularly Ex the Euro. Charting HEDJ.Foreign markets have made some headlines in recent months. The German Dax and French CAC 40 hit record levels toward the end of 2023. Those indexes are generally priced in local currency, and a rising dollar in 2023 led to relative underperformance among US-traded ETFs. The US Dollar Index (DXY) has consolidated around the key 104 level lately. Amid this FX volatility, non-US funds that hedge currency risk have their merit.
Research shows that hedging the dollar can work since US investors in international equities are susceptible to what is called “wrong-way” risk. That is, when stocks plunge, the move lower usually coincides with a surging dollar, compounding losses in foreign stock holdings. The WisdomTree Europe Hedged Equity Fund ETF (HEDJ) addresses this reality by focusing on holding shares in companies with significant exports while engaging in currency hedging to remove the risk of a declining euro.
What I like about HEDJ’s chart today is that it has climbed to new cycle highs as of last month, whereas traditional Europe index ETFs remain well under their mid-2021 highs. HEDJ has historically performed well during the first quarter, with shares rising 71% of the time in February and 79% in all March instances, according to data from Equity Clock. But what about the price action on the chart? I see positive signs there, too.
My featured chart illustrates that HEDJ continues to trend higher. Price is above both its rising 50-day and 200-day moving averages, and just recently held the key $41 to $42 zone. In terms of where the ETF may go from here, we can project a price target using the $31 low from October 2022 and the range highs between $41 and $42. That $10 to $11 height, added on top of the $42 breakout point, leads to a measure move price objective into the low $50s.
EURUSD: Detailed Structure Analysis 🇪🇺🇺🇸
Here is my latest structure analysis for EURUSD.
Resistance 1: 1.0898 - 1.0922 area
Resistance 2: 1.0973 - 1.1000 area
Resistance 3: 1.1106 - 1.1140 area
Support 1: 1.0793 - 1.0848 area
Support 2: 1.0724 - 1.0760 area
Consider these structures for pullback/breakout trading.
❤️Please, support my work with like, thank you!❤️
HelenP. I Euro will small correct, after which continue to growHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. A not long time ago price reached the 1.0825 support level, which coincided with the support zone and soon broke it. After this movement, the Euro made a strong impulse up to the 1.1000 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone, but at once rebounded and made correction. Then the price continued to move up and rose to the 1.1000 level again, but this time the Euro broke it and rose to the trend line. Next, the price rebounded from the trend line and made an impulse down, breaking the resistance level one more time, after which EUR rose to this level and then continued to decline near the trend line. As well, the price formed a wedge pattern, where the price fell to the support level, after which it rebounded and made an impulse up, exiting from this pattern and breaking the trend line. At the moment, the price continues to move up and I expect that the Euro will make a small correction, after which the price will turn around and continue to grow to the 1.10000 resistance level, which is my target. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EURJPY H4 | Approaching pullback supportEUR/JPY is falling towards a pullback support and could potentially bounce higher towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 160.176
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns with the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 158.608
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 162.091
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns with the 78.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURGBP H4 | Potential bullish breakoutEUR/GBP is trading close to a pullback support and could potentially break above a descending trendline to make a bullish rise to the upside.
Buy entry is at 0.85700 which is a potential bullish breakout level (wait for price to break through the descending trendline for confirmation).
Stop loss is at 0.85350 which is a level that sits under a pullback support.
Take profit is at 0.86150 which is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 66% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 70% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third-party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
Euro can break support line and continue fall to support levelHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the EUR a few days ago rising inside the upward channel, where it even made a fake breakout, but after this price turned around and made an impulse up to the 1.0785 support level. After this, the Euro broke this level, thereby exiting from the channel and started to trades in the range, where the price rose to the top part, which coincided with the resistance level and at once rebounded down to the buyer zone. In this zone, the price declined to the support line and at once rebounded back to the range, making a fake breakout, after which EUR reached the 1.1010 resistance level. In a short time price broke this level, and rose to the resistance line, but then the Euro rebounded from this line and made a strong downward impulse to the support line, breaking the 1.1010 resistance level, which coincided with the seller zone, one more time. Recently, the price bounced from this line and tried to rise, but failed and now trades very close to this line. In my mind, the Euro can bounce from the support line and rise to the resistance line, after which it will make a downward impulse to the support level, breaking the support line. For this reason, I set my target at the 1.0785 level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURUSD Top Down Analysis for todayIn this video, we take a close look at the EURUSD pair to ascertain where it is going.
Our analysis reveals we are to expect short-term bullishness on the 1 hour to drive prices into our 4 hour PB, following which prices are expected to drop significantly towards the 4 hour liquidity target.
EURO - Price can correct to support line and make upward impulseHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
When price entered to upward pennant, it at once bounced from support line and rose to $1.0845 level.
Soon, Euro broke this level, which coincided with support area, and rose to $1.1005 level, but at once made correction from it.
After correction, Euro made a strong upward impulse to resistance line of pennant, thereby breaking $1.1005 level.
But soon, price bounced from this line and in a short time declined lower this level, breaking it one more time.
Then EUR rose to resistance line, after which bounced down to support level, but recently it rose back to this line.
Possibly Euro can decline to support line and then make upward impulse to $1.0970, thereby exiting from pennant.
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EUR/USD Awaits ECB Meeting Amidst Shifting Market DynamicsEUR/USD Awaits ECB Meeting Amidst Shifting Market Dynamics
The EUR/USD pair is registering modest gains, hovering near the 1.0900 area in the early European trading session on Monday. All eyes are on the European Central Bank's (ECB) upcoming January monetary policy meeting, scheduled for Thursday. As of the latest update, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0897, reflecting a 0.03% increase for the day.
Technical Analysis:
From a technical standpoint, the price experienced a rebound around the 1.08500 support area, coinciding with the 61.8% Fibonacci level and the Dynamic trendline. These factors contribute to the pair's attempt to gather new bullish momentum for a sustained upward movement.
Shifting Market Sentiment:
Market sentiment has witnessed a shift as doubts grow regarding the likelihood of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut in March. Last week's positive US economic data, including Retail Sales and the Consumer Sentiment Index, have contributed to this change. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut in March has decreased to 49.3%, down from 81% just a week ago.
ECB's Cautious Stance:
In contrast, the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council members are exercising caution against prematurely easing financial conditions. The January policy meeting on Thursday is not expected to bring any policy changes. Traders will be keenly watching ECB President Christine Lagarde's post-meeting speech for indications on potential rate cuts this year. Investors anticipate a gradual approach by the ECB, with interest rate cuts likely in the spring, driven by sustained progress towards the 2% inflation target.
Upcoming Events:
The ECB's monetary policy decision is scheduled for Thursday, and no policy changes are anticipated. Additionally, Thursday will see the release of the US preliminary Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q4). On Friday, the Commerce Department will unveil the December reading on the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), a key inflation gauge for the Fed.
Conclusion:
As the EUR/USD pair maintains a bullish stance, the spotlight is on the ECB meeting and evolving market dynamics. Technical indicators suggest a potential upside, but external factors, including the Fed's stance and US economic data, contribute to the complex currency landscape. Traders should stay attentive to central bank communications and economic releases for a comprehensive understanding of the pair's future movements.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.10170 & 1.1140 in extension.
Euro H4 | Heading into resistanceThe Euro (EUR/USD) is rising towards a pullback resistance and could potentially reverse off this level to drop towards our take-profit target.
Entry: 1.09271
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level
Stop Loss: 1.09981
Why we like it:
There is a pullback resistance that aligns close to the 50.0% Fibonacci retracement level
Take Profit: 1.08445
Why we like it:
There is a pullback support level
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to Vantage (‘Vantage Global Limited’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘Everest Fortune Group’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by Everest Fortune Group.
EURAUD H4 | Potential bullish momentumEUR/AUD has just reacted off a pullback support and momentum could potentially carry price higher.
Buy entry is at 1.65166 which is a pullback support.
Stop loss is at 1.64450 which is a level that sits under an overlap support that aligns with the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level.
Take profit is at 1.66740 which is a pullback resistance.
High Risk Investment Warning
Trading Forex/CFDs on margin carries a high level of risk and may not be suitable for all investors. Leverage can work against you.
Stratos Markets Limited (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 67% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Europe Ltd, previously FXCM EU Ltd (www.fxcm.com):
CFDs are complex instruments and come with a high risk of losing money rapidly due to leverage. 72% of retail investor accounts lose money when trading CFDs with this provider. You should consider whether you understand how CFDs work and whether you can afford to take the high risk of losing your money.
Stratos Trading Pty. Limited (www.fxcm.com):
Trading FX/CFDs carries significant risks. FXCM AU (AFSL 309763), please read the Financial Services Guide, Product Disclosure Statement, Target Market Determination and Terms of Business at www.fxcm.com
Stratos Global LLC (www.fxcm.com):
Losses can exceed deposits.
Please be advised that the information presented on TradingView is provided to FXCM (‘Company’, ‘we’) by a third-party provider (‘TFA Global Pte Ltd’). Please be reminded that you are solely responsible for the trading decisions on your account. There is a very high degree of risk involved in trading. Any information and/or content is intended entirely for research, educational and informational purposes only and does not constitute investment or consultation advice or investment strategy. The information is not tailored to the investment needs of any specific person and therefore does not involve a consideration of any of the investment objectives, financial situation or needs of any viewer that may receive it. Kindly also note that past performance is not a reliable indicator of future results. Actual results may differ materially from those anticipated in forward-looking or past performance statements. We assume no liability as to the accuracy or completeness of any of the information and/or content provided herein and the Company cannot be held responsible for any omission, mistake nor for any loss or damage including without limitation to any loss of profit which may arise from reliance on any information supplied by TFA Global Pte Ltd.
The speaker(s) is neither an employee, agent nor representative of FXCM and is therefore acting independently. The opinions given are their own, constitute general market commentary, and do not constitute the opinion or advice of FXCM or any form of personal or investment advice. FXCM neither endorses nor guarantees offerings of third party speakers, nor is FXCM responsible for the content, veracity or opinions of third-party speakers, presenters or participants.
HelenP. I After correction, Euro can come back to $1.1000 levelHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. If we look at the chart, we can see how the price some days ago rebounded from the trend line and rose to the 1.0740 support level, which coincided with the support zone, but at once bounced and made correction back to this line. Later price rebounded from the trend line again and finally broke the 1.0740 level and even rose to the 1.1000 resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone and tried to break it, but failed and in a short time declined to support level, breaking the trend line. Then Euro bounced from this level and made a strong impulse up to 1.1135 points, thereby breaking the trend line and resistance level one more time. But the price cannot fixed and soon declined lower than the 1.1000 level with the trend line, breaking their again. Next, EUR rose to a resistance level, and a not long time ago it rebounded down. For this moment, I expect that the Euro will come back to the 1.1000 resistance level, therefore I set my target at this level. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
EUR/USD: Technical Analysis and ECB Policy DivergenceEUR/USD: Technical Analysis and ECB Policy Divergence
The EUR/USD pair finds itself within a range, delicately poised for potential movements as it hovers around the dynamic bullish trendline near the 61.8% Fibonacci zone. Additionally, the rejection of the 200-day moving average suggests the possibility of an impending bullish impulse aligning with the prevailing trend. This article explores both the technical and fundamental factors influencing the EUR/USD and delves into the nuanced stance of the European Central Bank (ECB) policymakers.
Technical Analysis:
The EUR/USD's current position within a range offers traders a strategic vantage point. The rebound from the dynamic bullish trendline around the 61.8% Fibonacci zone, coupled with the rejection of the 200-day moving average, indicates potential strength in the euro. These technical signals hint at the prospect of a fresh bullish impulse, aligning with the prevailing uptrend.
Fundamental Insights:
The ECB's policymakers are currently at a crossroads, making it challenging for traders to ascertain the future direction of interest rates. The lack of a clear message from ECB officials has resulted in hesitation among traders. President Joachim Nagel emphasized on Monday that it is premature for the ECB to discuss cutting interest rates, citing persistent inflationary pressures. In contrast, Governing Council Member Tuomas Valimaki expressed openness to considering rate cuts sooner than some of his colleagues.
ECB President Christine Lagarde added an additional layer of complexity by neither confirming nor denying expectations for cumulative rate cuts exceeding 150 basis points this year. Lagarde, while acknowledging the Eurozone's rising inflation, cautioned against premature optimism in the markets, citing the 2.9% year-on-year inflation rate in December.
Position Outlook:
Despite the policy divergence within the ECB, our position on the EUR/USD pair remains bullish. The technical signals, including the rebound from the bullish trendline and rejection of the 200-day moving average, align with our optimistic outlook. Traders should continue to monitor both technical and fundamental factors closely, navigating the intricacies of the forex market with a nuanced approach to risk management.
As the EUR/USD pair continues its journey within the range, staying informed about both technical patterns and central bank policies is crucial. Our bullish stance is rooted in the technical signals, but traders are advised to stay vigilant in response to evolving market conditions and policy developments.
Our preference
Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.10170 & 1.1140 in extension.
Euro can decline a little more and then make impulse upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Looking at the chart, we can see how the price some time ago reached the buyer zone, which coincided with the support level, and a short time later EUR broke this level and rose a little higher. But then, the price turned around and fell to the support line, which is located inside the buyer zone. Next, the price rebounded from the support line and started to rise. Euro rose to 1.0750 points, after which it made a small correction. Then price continued to move up and later reached the resistance level and even entered to seller zone, but at once bounced and declined to the support line, making a fake breakout of the 1.1000 resistance level. After this movement, the Euro rebounded from the support line and rose back to this level, making a little correction, after which made an upward impulse to the resistance line, breaking the resistance level. But a not long time ago Euro rebounded from this line and in a short time declined to support line, breaking the 1.1000 level one more time. Also soon, the price broke the support line and now EUR trades near. Possibly, the Euro can fall a little more, after which the price turns around and can start to rise to the 1.1000 resistance level. So, that's why I set my target at this level. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀