EURAUD The 1D MA50 is the sell signalThe EURAUD pair had been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the August 17 2023 High. At the moment it has made a direct Lower High (December 27 2024) at the top of the pattern but the rejection is contained above the 1D MA50 (blue trend-line).
That is the sell confirmation level as whenever this broke after a Lower High, we had a bearish signal. As a result, wait for a bearish break-out and then sell, targeting the 1W MA300 (red trend-line) at 1.61000.
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Euro
EURO - Price can correct to support area and then bounce upHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Some time ago price entered to flat, where it some time traded between $1.0460 level and top part of flat.
Later, when price reached top part of flat again, it turned around and started to decline, and soon broke $1.0460 level.
Price exited from flat and continued to decline in falling channel, where it some time traded near resistance area first.
Next, Euro dropped to support level, after which at once bounced up to resistance line of channel and then fell back.
Also, price fell to support line of channel, but soon backed up and now trades close to $1.0260 level.
In my mind, Euro can fall to support area and then bounce up to $1.0380 support line of falling channel.
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EURUSD Top of the Channel Down. How to trade this.The EURUSD pair gave us a solid short-term buy last time (January 13, see chart below) that easily hit the 1.02850 Target:
The price remains near the top of the 5-week Channel Down and technically this is a sell signal. Our Target is 1.01250, which is the -2.30% minimum decline that has taken place within this pattern as a Bearish Leg.
If the price rises more however and breaks above the 4H MA200 (orange trend-line), it will be the first time to do so since October 01 2024, and a technical buy signal. In that case, take the loss on the sell and go long instead, targeting 1.06250, which is both marginally below the starting level (Resistance 1) of the Channel Down, as well as significantly below the 2.0 Fibonacci extension.
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EURUSD 19/01/25
Here's the revised version without bullet points:
This week marks a special occasion as we celebrate the birthday of our head mentor!
Heading into the week, we maintain the same bias as last week: focus on the lows being taken out, while the highs serve as key entry areas. The game plan is straightforward. Look for a solid pullback to sell into the lows, or wait for the lows to be run and then target a pullback to current highs or newly formed highs yet to emerge.
Our bias remains bearish, so patience is key. Wait for a run on the highs before taking action. There’s no need to overcomplicate things—if you’ve been following Orion, everything is already in place.
Trade safely, trust Orion, and always stick to your risk management plan.
"Bitcoin 2025 Peak Projection: Bullish Momentum Towards $110K Based on the chart:
1. **Major Uptrend from 2017-2025**: The long-term trendline shows consistent upward momentum, connecting key lows from 2017, 2021, and beyond. Bitcoin remains in a bullish macro structure.
2. **Key Fibonacci Levels**:
- The **1.382 Fib extension (94,770)** served as a critical resistance but was broken and now acts as support.
- The **1.618 Fib extension (109,690)** represents the next potential resistance, aligning with the projected 2025 peak.
3. **2021 Peak and 2022 Bottom**: The chart emphasizes Bitcoin's cyclical behavior, with the 2021 peak followed by a sharp 80% correction to the 2022 bottom. This highlights the possibility of a significant pullback after a new peak.
4. **Current Price Action**:
- A breakout from a consolidation channel has fueled the bullish rally.
- Bitcoin is approaching the **trendline resistance and 1.618 Fib level**, indicating a possible exhaustion zone near **110,000**.
5. **Projection for 2025**:
- A potential peak around **110,000** is expected, followed by a correction. The downside targets might include a return to the **94,770 level** or the long-term trendline for support.
### Strategy:
- **Short-term bullish bias** as Bitcoin trends toward 109,690.
- **Prepare for a reversal** around 110,000, targeting key retracement levels like 94,770 for support.
- Watch for patterns or confirmations near resistance before initiating any sell trades. CAPITALCOM:BTCUSD
Euro can fall to buyer zone and then start to move upHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. By observing the chart, we can see that the price entered to pennant and started to decline. In this pattern, the price fell to the 1.0355 level and broke it, after which continued to decline to the buyer zone. In the buyer zone, the price reached the support line of the pennant and started to grow near this line, and later reached the resistance line. Soon Euro exited from the pennant pattern and rebounded up, higher than the 1.0355 resistance level, after which it made a small correction and then started to decline inside the downward channel. Inside this channel, the Euro broke the 1.0355 level one more time and fell to the support line, after which tried to reach the resistance line, but when it almost touched it, the EUR dropped to the buyer zone, breaking the 1.0250 support level. Next, the price fell to the support line, after which made a strong upward impulse, thereby exiting from the channel and breaking the 1.0250 level again. Euro some time traded near this level and then rose to the resistance level, after which started to decline. In my opinion, the Euro can fall to the buyer zone and then start to move up to the 1.0355 resistance level, where is locates my TP. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
EURBGP: Sell signal on the Channel Down top.EURGBP is almost overbought on its 1D technical outlook (RSI = 68.286, MACD = 0.003, ADX = 49.271) as it crossed over the 1D MA200 and almost touched the top of the short term Channel Down. This is a solid first entry for a short, the second being under the 1W MA200 near the dashed trendline of the long term Channel Down. Target the 0.786 Fibonacci retracement level (TP = 0.82800).
See how our prior idea has worked out:
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Is EURUSD Set for a Reversal? Watch the Potential Reversal ZonesThe recent release of Core PPI and PPI m/m published in lower than expected , signaling a potential decrease in inflationary pressures in the U.S. This could lead to speculation about a more dovish stance from the Federal Reserve, which might weaken the U.S. Dollar and provide support for other currencies, including the Euro.
Let’s analyze how this data could influence the EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) chart.
The EURUSD is moving through a Heavy Support zone($1.036-$1.011) .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has completed the main five waves (downward) , and we can expect upward waves .
I expect EURUSD to start rising again from the lower Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) and Uptrend line and then attack the upper Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) . If this zone is broken, we should wait for the EURUSD to attack the Resistance line .
🙏Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree.
⚠️Note: If the EURUSD goes below the lower Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ), EURUSD may fall further.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame⏰.
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Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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HelenP. I Euro can fall to support zone and then start to riseHi folks today I'm prepared for you Euro analytics. Some days ago price reached a trend line and then started to decline inside a downward wedge, where it soon declined to the resistance level, which coincided with the resistance zone. Euro some time traded in this area and then broke the 1.0550 level and fell to the support line of the wedge, after which rebounded, making a gap, and entered to the resistance zone. Some time, the EUR traded between the resistance level, and when the price reached the trend line, it turned around and started to decline, breaking the resistance level finally. Later Euro fell to the support level, which coincided with the support zone, and at once rebounded to the trend line. After this movement, the price at once rebounded from the trend line and made a correction to the support line of the wedge, breaking the support level, but soon, the price quickly backed up. Now Euro trades near this level and I expect that the price can fall to the support zone and then rebound up to the trend line. When it reaches this line, EUR will break it and continue to move up, for my mind. That's why I set my goal at 1.045 points. If you like my analytics you may support me with your like/comment ❤️
Euro can start to move up to resistance level and break itHello traders, I want share with you my opinion about Euro. Observing the chart, we can see how the price some days ago entered to downward channel, where it at once rebounded from the support line to the resistance line and then started to decline. Long time, the price fell near the resistance line of the channel, until it reached 1.0455 points, after which it moved up to the resistance line and then dropped to the support line, breaking the 1.0410 resistance level. Then Euro exited from a downward channel and rose to the 1.0410 level, which coincided with the seller zone and some time traded between. Later it made a downward impulse to the current resistance level, which coincided with the resistance area and even fell a little lower than the 1.0250 level, after which started to trades inside a triangle. In this pattern, the Euro in a short time rose to the resistance line, which is located in the seller zone, and then fell to the support line back, breaking the 1.0250 level one more time. Also recently price exited from a triangle pattern and now it continues to decline. So, in my opinion, the Euro, after exiting from the triangle can decline a little more and then start to grow to the 1.0250 resistance level (1st TP). Then, the price will break this level and make a retest, after which continue to move up to 2nd TP - 1.0360 points. Please share this idea with your friends and click Boost 🚀
Fundamental Market Analysis for January 16, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding near 1.0295 in the early Asian session on Thursday. Lower than expected US Consumer Price Index (CPI) data for December raises the possibility that the US Federal Reserve (Fed) may cut interest rates twice this year, putting pressure on the US Dollar. However, growing concerns over Eurozone economic growth could limit the major pair's gains.
The US Dollar (USD) declined after weaker than expected US core CPI data, fuelling expectations that the Fed's easing cycle is not yet over. Markets now expect the US central bank to cut rates by 40 basis points (bps) before the end of the year, compared to around 31 bps before the inflation data was released.
Across the ocean, the European Central Bank (ECB) cut rates four times last year and traders expect three or four changes this year due to concerns about the Eurozone's weak economic outlook. Rising bets on further ECB interest rate cuts could undermine the euro (EUR) against the U.S. dollar in the near term.
Later on Thursday, investors will be watching Germany's Harmonised Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) for December and the ECB monetary policy meeting report. In the US, the main events will be retail sales data for December and weekly initial jobless claims.
Trade recommendation: Watch the level of 1.0260, when fixing below consider Sell positions, when rebounding consider Buy positions.
EURO - Price can continue move up to $1.0420, exiting of pennantHi guys, this is my overview for EURUSD, feel free to check it and write your feedback in comments👊
Recently price started to decline inside falling channel, where it bounced from support line and rose to resistance line first.
Then Euro turned around and dropped to $1.0380 level, some time traded near and later broke it.
Next, Euro exied from channel and fell to support level, after which bounced from this level to $1.0380 level.
Price broke this level, but soon it turned around, broke this level again, and started to decline inside pennant.
In pennant, EUR fell to support line, after which rose to resistance line of this pattern, breaking $1.0245 level.
Now, I think that Euro exit from pennant, reach resistance level, and break it, after which continue to grow to $1.0420
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Euro / Dollar Long IdeaWe see reaction on Day FVG. Create 4h below Day FVG. Its mean have good support for long to attack 1.317 Buy side
DXY have good reaction on Day + Month sibi for forex its time to buy
+ We form candle Week bisi, maybe will be Unicorn Model (manipulation) and next phase will be distribution
+ SMT gbp/euro
Will see, what happen after inaguration Tramp
EURUSD Falling Wedge on a bullish divergence.EURUSD is trading inside a long term Falling Wedge and today is posting a strong bullish 1day candle.
The 1day RSI is on a Bullish Divergence (higher lows) for almost 3 months, indicating that a long term trend change to bullish is about to take place.
We expect the first bullish wave upon the Wedge's break out to be contained under the 1day MA200.
Buy and target 1.06900.
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EURUSD Channel Down bottoming on oversold 4H RSI.The EURUSD pair has been trading within a Channel Down pattern since the December 06 2024 High. The 4H RSI is oversold (<30.00) and every time it has been so on this pattern, it was a buy opportunity.
The target of those buy signals has been the 4H MA50 (blue trend-line). We expect the price to be at least 1.02850 when it hits it.
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Fundamental Market Analysis for January 13, 2025 EURUSDData from the US Bureau of Labour Statistics (BLS) released on Friday reported that non-farm payroll employment (NFP) rose by 256k in December, exceeding market expectations of 160k and beating the revised November figure of 212k (previously reported at 227k).
The unemployment rate fell to 4.1% in December from 4.2% in November. Annual wage inflation, as measured by the change in average hourly earnings, fell slightly to 3.9% from 4%.
US labour market data for December is likely to reinforce the US Federal Reserve's (Fed) stance on keeping interest rates unchanged in January, which will support the dollar against other currencies. Markets expect the Fed to keep the benchmark overnight interest rate in the range of 4.25%-4.50% at its 28-29 January meeting.
In addition, traders expect four interest rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB), which are expected to occur at each meeting through the summer. ECB policymakers seem to be comfortable with these expectations as inflationary pressures in the Eurozone remain largely under control.
The head of the ECB and the Bank of France said that interest rates will continue to move towards a neutral rate ‘without slowing down by the summer’ if upcoming data confirm that ‘the pullback in price pressures does not remain in place’.
Trade recommendation: Trading mainly with Sell orders from the current price level.
Euro Back to Parity?The possibility of EUR/USD reaching parity remains a realistic scenario under current macroeconomic and geopolitical conditions.
1. Diverging Monetary Policies
In light of Tump 2.0 and the potential impact of increasing inflation due to the introduction of tariffs, the Federal Reserve is seen to be backing down on its path to keep cutting rates.
On the current plans for only 2 rate cuts in 2025, elevated U.S. interest rates could continue to bolster the U.S. dollar, as higher yields attract foreign investment, increasing demand for USD.
On the other hand, the European Central Bank (ECB) faces mounting pressure to ease its policy stance.
The Eurozone economy has shown signs of stagnation, with Germany, the region's economic engine, teetering on the brink of recession.
A dovish ECB weakens the euro relative to the dollar, contributing to downside pressure on EUR/USD.
2. Weakening Eurozone Economy
The U.S. economy has remained relatively resilient, supported by robust labor markets and consumer spending.
Conversely, the Eurozone has struggled with sluggish growth and energy dependence, leaving it more vulnerable to external shocks.
3. Geopolitical Risks
The ongoing effects of the Russia-Ukraine war continue to strain Europe’s energy sector.
While the region has reduced its reliance on Russian natural gas, high energy prices remain a structural challenge, eroding business competitiveness and consumer purchasing power.
Heightened geopolitical tensions globally have fueled risk-off sentiment, benefiting the safe-haven U.S. dollar.
4. Technical Analysis
EUR/USD has been trading in a downward trend since October 2024, after reaching a peak of 1.12.
Should the pair break below the round number level of 1.02 (and 61.8% Fibonacci retracement level from the longer term) the path to parity becomes increasingly plausible, with 1.00 serving as the next major psychological support.
The 50-day moving average remains below the 200-day moving average, forming a " death cross " pattern, which indicates bearish momentum. Additionally, the TSRI MACD crossover indicates continued selling pressure but room for further downside.
Conclusion
The conditions are aligned for EUR/USD to reach parity.
While short-term volatility and market sentiment may delay this move, the structural drivers of dollar strength and euro weakness remain firmly in place.