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EURUSD Near Top Of Channel — Correction Imminent!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is trading in the Resistance zone($1.1310-$1.1162) , near the upper line of the descending channel and the Monthly Pivot Point . In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has completed five main impulse waves , and with the break of the Uptrend lines , we should expect corrective waves . Most likely, EURUSD is completing microwave 4 , and we should expect the next decline and the formation of microwave 5 . I expect EURUSD to fall to at least $1.1073 , and the next targets are marked on the chart. Note: If EURUSD touches $1.1330 , we should expect further gains. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 4-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 15, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is holding near 1.12000 in Thursday's Asian session, recovering the day's losses as the euro (EUR) gains momentum ahead of the preliminary Eurozone gross domestic product (GDP) report for Q1 2025 to be released later in the day. The euro is being bolstered by growing confidence in its role as a reserve currency. Analysts at Capital Economics noted that the single currency is now in its strongest position in years and is closing the gap with the US dollar (USD) in global reserves. This shift is partly due to the policies of US President Donald Trump, which are seen as undermining the traditional appeal of the USD as a “safe-haven currency”. Further boosting the euro's reserve status was Germany's move to loosen fiscal restraints to boost defense and government spending, sparking additional demand for the currency. Meanwhile, European Central Bank (ECB) officials continue to emphasize the need for further interest rate cuts amid growing confidence that U.S. tariff measures will not significantly boost inflation in the eurozone. While interest rate cuts usually have a negative impact on the euro, the currency has so far remained resilient. EUR/USD is also finding support from a softer US Dollar as markets remain cautious amid continued, albeit slightly diminished, trade uncertainty. Attention now turns to upcoming US data releases, including retail sales and the Producer Price Index (PPI). Adding to the broader context, speculation is growing that Washington may favor a weaker dollar to boost its trade competitiveness. The Trump administration has argued that an overvalued dollar puts U.S. exporters at a disadvantage against competitors with weaker currencies. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.11900, SL 1.11400, TP 1.12600
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 12, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD is retreating from the gains made in the previous session, trading near 1.12400 in Monday's Asian session. The Euro (EUR) has been under pressure since European Central Bank (ECB) official Olli Rehn said last week that the ECB may consider cutting interest rates at its next meeting, provided that upcoming forecasts confirm a continued trend of disinflation and slowing economic growth. Despite this, EUR/USD found some support thanks to optimism surrounding the trade talks between the US and China that took place in Geneva. Both sides reported “substantial progress” after two days of talks aimed at de-escalating the ongoing trade dispute. Chinese Vice Premier He Lifeng called the talks an “important first step” in stabilizing bilateral relations, while U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent echoed his sentiment, noting significant progress. Markets are now awaiting Washington's response to the European Commission's proposed countermeasures against U.S. tariffs. On Thursday, the Commission launched a public consultation that outlined potential tariffs on up to 95 billion euros worth of imports from the U.S. if trade talks break down. Meanwhile, the U.S. economic outlook remains uncertain. Federal Reserve (Fed) officials have noted the risk of stagflation, and Fed Chairman Michael Barr has warned that higher tariffs could disrupt supply chains, leading to higher inflation, lower growth and higher unemployment. Investors remain cautious as further escalation of trade tensions could pose serious problems for the US economy. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.12300, SL 1.11900, TP 1.13000
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD bearish outlookEUR/USD Weekly Outlook – Bearish Scenario in Play This week’s outlook for EUR/USD is leaning towards a bearish continuation. Price recently respected the 3H demand zone and gave a clean bullish reaction following the expected Asia low sweep. I didn’t manage to catch an entry as it happened quite late in the day. However, that same demand zone now looks to be weakening, potentially leading to another break of structure to the downside. Alternatively, we could see price push higher from this demand zone and mitigate the 8H supply zone I’ve marked out — which is the origin of the last break of structure. It’s also a strong POI given its location away from liquidity and at an extreme structural point. Confluences for EUR/USD Sells: - Multiple breaks of structure to the downside (pro-trend setup) - Failing 3H demand zone already mitigated - Liquidity resting below current price - Strong 8H supply zone sitting above the Asia highs - DXY is showing short-term bullish momentum, aligning with EUR/USD bearish movement P.S. If price doesn’t push higher into the 8H supply zone, I’ll be watching for a new supply zone to form mid-week for a more immediate short opportunity. Will keep this updated — have a great trading week everyone!
Short
by Hassan_fx
3
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 9, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar exhibited signs of weakness following a rebound at the Mean Resistance level of 1.137. With decisive, vigorous bearish price activity, the currency pair decisively breached the critical Mean Support level of 1.128. Current market indicators suggest that the Euro will likely close on a Mean Support level of 1.119, moving further towards an Outer Currency Dip at 1.111. However, it is essential to acknowledge that upward dead-cat rebounds may re-emerge at the present price range level.
by TradeSelecter
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Trims GainsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Trims Gains EUR/USD extended losses and traded below the 1.1250 support. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro struggled to clear the 1.1380 resistance and declined against the US Dollar. - There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1240 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair failed to clear the 1.1380 resistance. The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.1300 support against the US Dollar. The pair declined below the 1.1250 support and the 50-hour simple moving average. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1200 level. A low was formed at 1.1196 and the pair is now consolidating losses. The pair is showing bearish signs, and the upsides might remain capped. There was a minor increase toward the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1381 swing high to the 1.1196 low. Immediate resistance on the upside is near the 1.1240 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.1240. The next major resistance is near the 1.1290 zone and the 50-hour simple moving average or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1381 swing high to the 1.1196 low. The main resistance sits near the 1.1335 level. An upside break above the 1.1335 level might send the pair toward the 1.1380 resistance. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1420 level. On the downside, immediate support on the EUR/USD chart is seen near 1.1200. The next major support is near the 1.1165 level. A downside break below the 1.1165 support could send the pair toward the 1.1120 level. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
EURUSD Is Ready to Break Resistance LinesEURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is trying to break the Resistance lines , it has tried several times in the past few days but failed. Will EURUSD succeed this time? In terms of Elliott wave theory , it seems that EURUSD has completed the main wave 4 near the Support zone($1.1300-$1.1160) and Support line , and we should wait for impulsive waves . Breaking the Resistance zone($1.1480-$1.1420) can confirm the end of the main wave 4 . Otherwise , the main wave 4 can have other forms. I expect EURUSD to break the Resistance lines in this attack and rise to at least $1.1384 , and the next target can be around $1.1437 . Note: If EURUSD can break below $1.1272(the worst Stop Loss(SL)), we can expect more dumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S. Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put a Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
1
EUR/USD) Big Support level Analysis Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update Technical analysis of EUR/USD on the 1-hour timeframe. The idea centers around a potential reversal from a major support zone, aiming for higher resistance targets. Here's a detailed breakdown: --- 1. Big Support Level A strong horizontal support zone is highlighted around 1.1275–1.1290. Price is currently reacting off this level, suggesting a potential bullish reversal. 2. EMA 200 as Resistance The 200-period EMA (~1.1346) is above current price, possibly acting as a dynamic resistance. A break and hold above it could confirm bullish momentum. 3. Resistance Levels & Target Points The first target is the 1.14367 resistance level, a clear supply zone. The second target point is around 1.15622, aligned with a previous major high and strong resistance zone. 4. RSI Indicator RSI is at 44.02, indicating neutral to slightly oversold conditions—this supports a potential bullish move, especially from support. 5. Forecast Path The chart projects a likely pullback and breakout pattern: Rebound from the support zone. Break through EMA 200 and minor resistance. Rally toward first and second targets. Mr SMC Trading point --- Summary of the Idea: This is a trend-reversal-to-continuation setup, with EUR/USD expected to rise from a key support area toward 1.14367, and potentially 1.15622, provided price holds above the support and breaks the EMA 200. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
Long
by SMC-Trading-Point
20
Euro Pressured Ahead of Fed DecisionThe euro is trading around $1.1315 on Tuesday, pressured by a stronger U.S. dollar ahead of the Federal Reserve’s policy decision, where rates are expected to remain unchanged. However, the dollar still faces headwinds from doubts over its safe-haven appeal and President Trump’s unpredictable tariff stance. A dovish Fed or continued skepticism toward the dollar may limit euro losses. Resistance levels are seen at 1.1460, then 1.1580 and 1.1680, while support rests at 1.1260, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1150.
by ChartMage
EUR/USD) one side of breakout and move Read The ChaptianSMC Trading point update technical analysis of the EUR/USD currency pair on the 1-hour timeframe, showing two ptential scenarios based on price behavior around a key supply zone. 1. Key Levels: Resistance/Target Point (Upper): ~1.15729 Supply Zone (Current Price Area): ~1.14100–1.14500 Support Level/Target Point (Lower): ~1.12658 200 EMA: ~1.13581 acting as dynamic support 2. Current Price: EURUSD is trading at 1.14167, just above the 200 EMA and at the bottom edge of the supply zone. 3. Scenarios Outlined: Bullish Scenario: If price breaks and holds above the supply zone, it may continue toward the upper resistance level at 1.15729. This move would be supported by bullish momentum and potentially a breakout strategy. Bearish Scenario: If price rejects the supply zone and fails to break above convincingly, a reversal is expected. The target for this bearish move is the support zone near 1.12658. 4. Indicators: RSI (Relative Strength Index): Around 49, neutral zone but potentially recovering from oversold. Suggests indecision, with momentum that could swing either way depending on price action at the supply zone. Mr SMC Trading point Trade Ideas: Long Trade Setup (Breakout): Entry: Break and retest above ~1.14500. Target: ~1.15729. Stop Loss: Below ~1.14100. Short Trade Setup (Rejection): Entry: Rejection candle formation around 1.14300–1.14500. Target: ~1.12658. Stop Loss: Above ~1.14700. Overall Idea: This is a dual-scenario setup, where the market structure at the current supply zone will determine direction. The chart encourages traders to wait for confirmation before committing to either a breakout or a reversal strategy. Pales support boost 🚀 analysis follow)
by SMC-Trading-Point
12
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of May 2, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Euro currency has shown weakness in this week's trading session and is resting at the Mean Support designation marked at 1.128. The current trajectory indicates that the Euro is targeted to the downside, with a Mean Support level of 1.119 and an Outert Currency Dip of 1.111. However, it is essential to recognize that upward dead-cat rebounds may re-emerge from the Mean Resistance level or Outer currency Dip.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Short term longs to a supplyThis week, I’ll be watching to see how much downside momentum remains after price reacted from my 8H supply zone. Just below the current price action, there’s a clean 3H demand zone I’m expecting price to mitigate — which could spark a bullish reaction or a short-term bounce. My next supply zones are further above on the 2H and 5H timeframes, so I’ll be waiting to see whether we get another break of structure from this move, which could create a new, tradable supply zone. Ideally, I’ll wait for a Wyckoff schematic to develop at one of these key POIs before committing to a trade. Confluences for EUR/USD Buys (Short-Term): - Multiple liquidity points to the upside that price may seek to take out. - A clean, unmitigated 3H demand zone just below the current level. - The DXY is still showing weakness, aligning with bullish short-term EU moves. - This could be a counter-trend opportunity before a larger sell-off resumes. P.S. While my bias leans more towards selling from higher up, I’ll be open to counter-trend longs if the lower POIs hold. Just remember to keep your risk management tight and only take trades with clear confluence and confirmation.
Long
by Hassan_fx
Euro Slips to $1.13 After Strong AprilThe euro dipped toward $1.13 on May 1 after a 5% April gain, as the dollar found support in Trump’s optimism about trade deals with India, Japan, South Korea, and China. Markets awaited Friday’s U.S. jobs data for Fed policy clues. The U.S. economy shrank 0.3% in Q1, partly due to import spikes ahead of expected tariffs. Meanwhile, the Eurozone grew 0.4%, driven by strong domestic demand. German inflation eased to 2.1%, though core rose slightly, while France’s annual rate held at 0.8%. Resistance levels are seen at 1.1460, then 1.1580 and 1.1680, while support rests at 1.1260, followed by 1.1200 and 1.1150.
by ChartMage
Fundamental Market Analysis for May 2, 2025 EURUSDThe EUR/USD pair attracted moderate buying interest during the Asian trading session on Friday and demonstrates a desire to consolidate above the psychologically important level of 1.13000. At the moment, spot quotes seem to have broken a three-day series of declines, reaching a two-week low near 1.12650, recorded on Thursday, amid repositioning of market participants awaiting the publication of key macroeconomic indicators from the Eurozone and the United States. Representatives of the European Central Bank (ECB) earlier expressed concern over the risks of lower inflationary pressures in the region. In this regard, market participants are waiting with special attention for the preliminary data on the consumer price index (CPI) in the eurozone. Indicators that turned out to be lower than forecasts may strengthen expectations of the ECB key interest rate reduction by 25 basis points following the results of the meeting in July. Such a development could put pressure on the single European currency and contribute to the resumption of the EUR/USD corrective movement from the level of 1.1575 - the maximum since November 2021, recorded last month. In the United States of America, investors' attention is focused on the upcoming Non-Farm Payrolls report (NFP), according to forecasts of which the US economy could create only 130 thousand new jobs in April, which is significantly lower than the March value of 228 thousand. At the same time, the unemployment rate, according to preliminary estimates, will remain at 4.2%. These data may have a significant impact on expectations of further monetary policy steps by the Federal Reserve (Fed), which, in turn, will affect the dynamics of the US dollar and determine the short-term trajectory of EUR/USD. Additionally, the persistent expectations of a looser monetary policy of the Federal Reserve System (FRS) restrain the potential for strengthening of the US dollar, despite its three-day rise to local highs. In particular, market participants have increased expectations for four 25 basis point interest rate cuts before the end of this year, after recently released statistics pointed to an unexpected contraction in US GDP - for the first time since 2022. As a result, the dollar bulls' positions remain limited, which provides support to the EUR/USD pair. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.13100, SL 1.27500, TP 1.14200
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 25, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the most recent trading session, the Euro successfully retested the completed Outer Currency Rally level at 1.142 and completed the subsequent target identified within the Outer Currency Rally at 1.157. Consequently, the Euro experienced a firm decline to the Mean Support level of 1.131. However, it is essential to recognize that upward momentum may re-emerge, facilitating a retest of the Key Resistance level at 1.151 or potentially leading to a further decline toward the next support level designated as Mean Support at 1.119.
by TradeSelecter
Trump Reassures on Trade and FedThe EUR/USD traded near 1.1350 on Friday, while the US Dollar Index rose above 99.5, recovering from earlier losses. The dollar strengthened after President Trump reassured markets that trade talks with China would continue, despite Beijing’s denials. Optimism also grew on reported progress with Japan and South Korea. Earlier, Treasury Secretary Bessent said US-China tariffs must be reduced significantly for real progress, increasing hopes for a deal. Trump also eased monetary policy concerns by stating he never planned to remove Fed Chair Powell. Although Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack mentioned a rate cut in June if needed, renewed trade optimism lifted the dollar. Key resistance is at 1.1460, followed by 1.1580 and 1.1680. Support lies at 1.1260, then 1.1200 and 1.1150.
by ChartMage
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VELOCITY:STOXX50Short
by Thief_Trader
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Dips From HighsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Dips From Highs EUR/USD declined from the 1.1570 resistance and traded below 1.1470. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a fresh decline after a strong surge above the 1.1500 zone. - There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1440 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair rallied above the 1.1500 resistance zone before the bears appeared. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.1500 support zone against the US Dollar. There was a break below a key bullish trend line with support at 1.1440. The pair declined below 1.1410 and tested the 1.1310 zone. A low was formed near 1.1308 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.1370 level. The pair climbed above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1573 swing high to the 1.1308 low. EUR/USD is now trading below 1.1440 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.1410 level. The next key resistance is at 1.1440 and the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1573 swing high to the 1.1308 low. The main resistance is near the 1.1470 level. A clear move above the 1.1470 level could send the pair toward the 1.1570 resistance. An upside break above 1.1570 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.1650. If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.1335. The next key support is at 1.1310. If there is a downside break below 1.1310, the pair could drop toward 1.1265. The next support is near 1.1220, below which the pair could start a major decline. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
EUR/USD Shorts from 1.5500 back down My analysis this week is quite similar to GU. I’ll be looking for short opportunities to target a demand zone below current price. We’ve seen consolidation over the past week, which has built liquidity on both sides—and it's only a matter of time before that liquidity is swept. What I’ll be watching for is a reaction at the current supply, where I’ll wait for price to slow down and distribute, giving us an opportunity to catch a retracement down toward a key area of interest for buys. If price reaches 1.12000 or lower, I’ll be looking for signs of accumulation and potential longs from there. Confluences for EUR/USD Sells: - The DXY has been bearish, but is approaching a demand zone, which could cause a reversal—aligning with EU shorts. - A strong weekly supply zone is in play, which could trigger a bearish reaction. - Plenty of liquidity and imbalances lie to the downside, ready to be cleared. - A retracement is likely, considering the extended bullish momentum recently. - Current consolidation suggests a breakout is near, and this supply zone is my nearest POI for shorts. P.S. Stay flexible—once the consolidation breaks, assess how price behaves. Don’t lock yourself into one bias; always be prepared to adapt to what the market shows you.
Short
by Hassan_fx
7
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 18, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: During the current trading session, the Euro has demonstrated a successful pullback to the anticipated support level of 1.128, from which upward momentum has emerged. Consequently, the currency is positioned to retest the previously completed Outer Currency Rally level of 1.142, potentially advancing towards the subsequent target marked next Outer Currency Rally at 1.159. However, it is essential to recognize that there is a possibility of downward momentum re-emerging should the Euro challenge the completed resistance at 1.142 or the forthcoming target of 1.159.
by TradeSelecter