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Market Analysis: EUR/USD RalliesMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Rallies EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.0550 resistance. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a decent recovery wave from the 1.0360 zone against the US Dollar. - There is a connecting bullish trend line forming with support near 1.0570 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0360 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.0450 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the last analysis. The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.0550. Finally, the pair tested the 1.0635 resistance. A high was formed near 1.0637 and the pair is now consolidating gains above the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.0359 swing low to the 1.0637 high. Immediate support on the downside is near a connecting bullish trend line at 1.0570. The next major support is the 1.0500 level and the 50% Fib retracement level of the upward wave from the 1.0359 swing low to the 1.0637 high. A downside break below the 1.0500 support could send the pair toward the 1.0465 level. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.0425. Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.0635 zone. The first major resistance is near the 1.0665 level. An upside break above the 1.0665 level might send the pair toward the 1.0720 resistance. The next major resistance is near the 1.0750 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.0800 level. Trade on TradingView with FXOpen. Consider opening an account and access over 700 markets with tight spreads from 0.0 pips and low commissions from $1.50 per lot. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
1
Eur/Usd (Mar/04) Weekly biasHello everyone... as you can see 1.05 to 1.054 is major resistance and if you go to monthly-weekly chart you can see that + weekly 21 ema + D 100 ema-ma ............. but i think price can go above that area... Monthly Open above Monthly pivot also right now price is above weekly pivot and euro attacked this area so many times... ( but if price can't close above 1.054 is bad for euro ) ....................................................... ( This is an idea and entry-tp-sl placed for my own trade , you can change entry-tp-sl depends on your risk management )
Long
by btchodll
3
ECB Rate Cut Expected as EU Unveils €800B Defense PlanThe euro neared $1.08, a four-month high, as increased defense spending and borrowing strengthened Eurozone optimism. Germany’s CDU/CSU and SPD agreed to exceed 1% of GDP in defense spending and create a €500 billion off-budget fund. EU plans to mobilize €800 billion for defense, with €150 billion in loans and more fiscal flexibility. The ECB is expected to cut rates for the fifth time this week. Key resistance is at 1.0840, followed by 1.0900 and 1.0950. Support stands at 1.0760, with further levels at 1.0700 and 1.0650.
by ChartMage
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 5, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD pressed the gas pedal and rose 1.4% on Tuesday, climbing 140 pips in a single session as markets sold off the US dollar and bet that US President Donald Trump will find a reason to backtrack on his tariff threats. Key data for both Europe and the US is due out later this week, but trade war rhetoric will rule the roost in the middle of the week. US President Donald Trump, staying true to form, is already laying the groundwork for a U-turn on his own tariff threats. At midnight Eastern Time, a package of stiff tariffs of 25% on imported goods from Canada and Mexico went into effect. However, despite a brief bout of risk aversion early in the U.S. session, currency markets quickly regained their footing and placed a big bet on another retraction or postponement of tariff policy from the Trump administration. Economic data will be sparse in the European market mid-week as traders in the vols are wringing their hands in anticipation of two beats - the European Central Bank's (ECB) March rate meeting on Thursday, and the latest iteration of U.S. non-farm payrolls (NFP) data scheduled for Friday. This week's NFP data is likely to attract even more attention than usual as investors will begin to watch for any signs of economic weakness as consumers and businesses begin to crack under the weight of President Trump's global trade war threats. The ECB is expected to cut interest rates by another quarter of a percent on Thursday, bringing the main discount rate to 2.65% from 2.9%, while the deposit rate is expected to fall by a similar amount to 2.5% from 2.75% as the ECB tries to get ahead of rising recession risks and support the EU's broad and diverse domestic economy. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.06100, SL 1.05700, TP 1.06800
Long
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: In the initial rally attempt in this week's trading session, The Euro failed to reach our target of Inner Currency Rally 1.060 due to prevailing bearish sentiment. As a result, the market established a Mean Resistance target of 1.041. The current trend suggests a continuation of the downward price movement toward our designated target of Mean Support at 1.030, and there may be a retest of the Completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.020 via Key Support at 1.024. Conversely, if the anticipated downward trend does not materialize, we may witness the Eurodollar retesting the Mean Resistance level of 1.041 and subsequently target the Inner Currency Rally level of 1.060.
by TradeSelecter
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 28, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD remains under selling pressure near 1.0390 during Asian trading on Friday. The euro (EUR) is weakening against the US dollar (USD) amid risk-off sentiment. The US Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) price index will take centre stage later on Friday. Late Thursday, US President Donald Trump said that 25 per cent duties on imports from Canada and Mexico will take effect on March 4, rather than April 2 as he had anticipated the day before. Trump also said goods from China would be subject to an additional 10 per cent duties. He also promised this week to impose 25 per cent tariffs on shipments from the European Union. Tariff uncertainty from Trump is likely to weigh on the common currency in the near term. Cleveland Fed President Beth Hammack said on Thursday she expects the US central bank's interest rate policy to be put on hold for now amid a search for evidence that inflationary pressures are easing and returning to the 2 per cent target. Meanwhile, Atlanta FRB President Raphael Bostic said late Wednesday that the Fed should keep interest rates on hold, which continues to put downward pressure on inflation. The Fed's cautious stance could boost the US Dollar and serve as a headwind for EUR/USD. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0380, SL 1.0430, TP 1.0300
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EURUSD Correcting – Another Fall Ahead?Today I want to analyze EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) for a 15-minute time frame and whether EURUSD is ready to fall or not. EURUSD is moving in a Heavy Resistance zone($1.0537-$1.04500) . It also moves in the descending channel in the 15-minute time frame. According to the theory of Elliott waves , it seems that EURUSD has completed its 5 downward waves , and we should wait for corrective waves . I expect corrective waves to end either in a descending channel or eventually at a Resistance zone($1.0493-$1.0480) . I expect EURUSD to attack the Support lines in the coming hours, and if the Support lines break , we should expect a decline to at least 100_SMA(4-hour) . Note: If EURUSD breaks the Resistance line, we can expect more pumps. Please respect each other's ideas and express them politely if you agree or disagree. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 15-minute time frame. Be sure to follow the updated ideas. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy and updates; this is just my Idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
2
NETH25/NL25 "Netherland 25" Indices Market Bearish Heist Plan🌟Hi! Hola! Ola! Bonjour! Hallo!🌟 Dear Money Makers & Robbers, 🤑 💰🐱‍👤🐱‍🏍 Based on 🔥Thief Trading style technical and fundamental analysis🔥, here is our master plan to heist the NETH25/NL25 "Netherland 25" Indices Market. Please adhere to the strategy I've outlined in the chart, which emphasizes short entry. Our aim is the high-risk Green Zone. Risky level, oversold market, consolidation, trend reversal, trap at the level where traders and bullish thieves are getting stronger. 🏆💸Book Profits Be wealthy and safe trade.💪🏆🎉 Entry 📈 : "The vault is wide open! Swipe the Bearish loot at any price - the heist is on! however I advise placing Sell limit orders within a 15 or 30 minute timeframe. Entry from the most recent or closest low or high level should be in retest. Stop Loss 🛑: Thief SL placed at (936.00) swing Trade Basis Using the 3H period, the recent / swing high or low level. SL is based on your risk of the trade, lot size and how many multiple orders you have to take. Target 🎯: 900.00 (or) Escape Before the Target 🧲Scalpers, take note 👀 : only scalp on the Short side. If you have a lot of money, you can go straight away; if not, you can join swing traders and carry out the robbery plan. Use trailing SL to safeguard your money 💰. 📰🗞️Fundamental, Macro, COT Report, Sentimental Outlook: NETH25/NL25 "Netherland 25" Indices Market is currently experiencing a Neutral trend (Slightly Bearishness)., driven by several key factors. 🎇🎆Fundamental Analysis Earnings: Q4 2024 strong for Dutch firms (ASML, Shell), reported Jan 2025; Q1 2025 prelims suggest tech/energy resilience—bullish. Rates: ECB at 2.5% (ECB Data Portal)—low yields support equities—bullish. Inflation: Eurozone 2.8% (Eurostat, Jan 2025)—above target, mixed impact. Growth: Netherlands GDP ~1.5% (Eurostat Q4 est.)—steady, mildly bullish. Geopolitics: U.S.-China tariffs shift trade to Europe (ECB projections)—bullish. 🎇🎆Macroeconomic Factors U.S.: PMI 50.4, Fed 3-3.5%—USD softness aids Eurozone equities—bullish. Eurozone: PMI 46.2 (Eurostat, Feb 2025)—stagnation, bearish; ECB easing helps—bullish. Global: China 4.5%, Japan 1% (ECB forecasts)—slowdown, risk-off—bearish. Commodities: Oil $70.44—stable, neutral Trump Policies: Tariffs (25% Mexico/Canada, 10% China)—trade benefits Europe—bullish. 🎇🎆Commitments of Traders (COT) Data Speculators: Net long ~25,000 contracts (down from 30,000)—cautious bullishness. Hedgers: Net short ~30,000—stable, locking in gains. Open Interest: ~60,000 contracts—steady global interest, neutral. 🎇🎆Market Sentiment Analysis Retail: 50% short (global X posts)—balanced, mild upside risk—neutral. Institutional: Bullish on tech (ASML), cautious on growth (ECB forecasts)—neutral. Corporate: Dutch firms hedge at 935-940—neutral. Social Media Trends: Mixed—bullish to 950, bearish to 910—neutral. 🎇🎆Positioning Analysis Speculative: Longs target 940-950, shorts aim for 910-900 (global consensus). Retail: Shorts at 930-935—squeeze risk if price rises. Institutional: Balanced, tech-driven optimism. 🎇🎆Quantitative Analysis SMAs: 50-day ~885, 200-day ~860—price above both, bullish. RSI: 58 (daily)—bullish momentum, not overbought. Bollinger: 910-930—price at upper band, breakout potential. Fibonacci: 61.8% from 950-800 at 900—support below holds. Volatility: 1-month IV 13%—±10-point daily range. 🎇🎆Intermarket Analysis EUR/USD: Below 1.0500—EUR weakness, neutral for AEX. DXY: 106.00, softening—supports equities—bullish. XAU/USD: 2910—gold rise, risk-off—bearish. DAX: ~19,000, stable—correlated support—neutral. Bonds: Eurozone 2.2% (ECB)—low yields aid equities—bullish. 🎇🎆News and Events Analysis Recent: Eurozone GDP flat (Eurostat Q4 2024)—bearish; tariffs shift trade (ECB)—bullish. Upcoming: U.S. PCE (Feb 28)—hot data lifts USD/yields, pressures AEX; soft data rallies equities—mixed. Impact: Bullish short-term, PCE reaction key. 🎇🎆Next Trend Move Technical: Support 910-900, resistance 940-950. Below 910 targets 900; above 940 aims for 960. Short-Term (1-2 Weeks): Up to 940-950 if risk-off eases; dip to 900 if PCE strengthens USD. Medium-Term (1-3 Months): Range 900-970, tariff-driven. 🎇🎆Future Prediction Bullish: 950-970 by Q2 2025 if USD softens (DXY to 105), tariffs boost exports, or risk-on strengthens. Bearish: 900-890 if PCE lifts USD (DXY to 107), growth stalls, or risk-off intensifies. Prediction: Bullish short-term to 950, then sustained to 970 by mid-2025. 🎇🎆Overall Summary Outlook Netherlands 25 at 928.00 rides bullish fundamentals (tech earnings, ECB support, trade shifts) against bearish risks (Eurozone stagnation, PCE-driven USD strength). COT shows cautious longs, quant signals bullish momentum, and intermarket trends (DXY softness) support gains. Short-term rise to 940-950 likely, medium-term to 970 if PCE softens and trade benefits grow. 📌Keep in mind that these factors can change rapidly, and it's essential to stay up-to-date with market developments and adjust your analysis accordingly. ⚠️Trading Alert : News Releases and Position Management 📰 🗞️ 🚫🚏 As a reminder, news releases can have a significant impact on market prices and volatility. To minimize potential losses and protect your running positions, we recommend the following: Avoid taking new trades during news releases Use trailing stop-loss orders to protect your running positions and lock in profits 💖Supporting our robbery plan 💥Hit the Boost Button💥 will enable us to effortlessly make and steal money 💰💵. Boost the strength of our robbery team. Every day in this market make money with ease by using the Thief Trading Style.🏆💪🤝❤️🎉🚀 I'll see you soon with another heist plan, so stay tuned 🤑🐱‍👤🤗🤩
PEPPERSTONE:NETH25Short
by Thief_Trader
Fundamental Market Analysis for February 25, 2025 EURUSDThe rise in US inflation data last week triggered a new wave of risk aversion among investors. Now their attention is focused on the upcoming Personal Consumption Expenditure (PCE) inflation data, which is expected later this week. Traders are hoping that the rise in US core inflation will quickly fade early in the year and not lead to a new protracted battle with ‘transitory’ inflation that will be too high for the Federal Reserve (Fed) to go for a rate cut. Market participants expecting a faster pace of Fed rate cuts in 2025 are already feeling the pressure as US President Donald Trump tries to ignite a global trade war. In addition, another spike in inflation could extinguish any remaining hopes of a rate cut. On Monday, President Trump repeated his threats of imposing high tariffs on Canada and Mexico, warning that the tariffs were still due to take effect ‘next month’ after he recently caved in to tariff pressure and granted deferrals to nearly all countries he has targeted for import taxes on their citizens. German consumer price index (CPI) data as well as retail sales activity figures are also due out on Friday. The German data, which is an indicator of EU-wide data, is likely to attract the attention of some traders on Friday, but the key factor influencing the market will be PCE inflation in the US. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0500, SL 1.0550, TP 1.0400
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
EUR/USD Longs from 3hr demand zone My bias for EUR/USD (EU) aligns with my outlook on other dollar pairs, as the Dollar Index (DXY) has been trending lower, reinforcing the bullish momentum for EU, GU, and Gold. Currently, there’s a clean 3-hour demand zone that caused a break of structure to the upside—this is the move I’m looking to capitalize on. My expectation is for price to continue higher and target the pool of liquidity resting above. That said, if price shows a shift in character to the downside on the higher timeframes (HTF), I’ll reassess and look for potential opportunities to capitalize on that move instead. Confluences for EU Buys: ✅ Price is in a strong bullish trend, consistently forming higher highs and higher lows. ✅ The Dollar Index (DXY) remains bearish, supporting this bullish outlook. ✅ Liquidity above that price is likely to target. ✅ Clean 3-hour demand zone that remains unmitigated. Alternative Scenario: If price drops below the 3-hour demand zone, I’ll look for my next buy opportunity at the clean 6-hour demand zone around 1.03000, where price would be in a more discounted area. Stay sharp and trade smart—have a great trading week! 🤺
Long
by Hassan_fx
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: This week, the Euro reapproached our designated Mean Resistance level of 1.050 and reversed its upward momentum. This trend indicates a continuation of the downward price movement, establishing a new support level marked at 1.042. Further declines may materialize, with potential targets including Mean Support at 1.030, a weaker Key Support at 1.024, the completed Outer Currency Dip at 1.020, and the outermost target Outer Currency Dip at 1.005. Contrariwise, should the anticipated downward correction not transpire, the Eurodollar may experience an upward rally, possibly revisiting the Mean Resistance level of 1.050 and subsequently engaging with the Inner Currency Rally target of 1.060.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD – Breakout or Fakeout? Key Levels to Watch!Hello again EUR/USD has been pushing higher, testing a key resistance zone. The question is will it break through or get rejected? 📌 Here’s what I’m watching: 1.0541 is the key level price is hovering around. A clean break could push us towards 1.0644 & 1.0747. If it fails to hold, we might see a retest of 1.0450 and 1.0427. 👀 My Take: If price stays above 1.0541, we could see bullish continuation. But if we drop below 1.0450, then this might have just been a fakeout before heading lower.
Long
by QuantumFusion
2
Gold Breaks Out of Triangle Pattern: Targeting $2,970–$2,980This chart shows a breakout from a triangle pattern on the 1-hour timeframe for gold (XAU/USD). The breakout has occurred above the resistance of the triangle, indicating potential bullish momentum. - Resistance Zone: The previous resistance level was around 2,936–2,940, which was tested multiple times before the breakout. Now, this level may act as new support. - Target: The projected target for this breakout is near 2,970–2,980, aligning with the height of the triangle pattern. A successful retest of the breakout level could confirm further bullish movement toward the target zone.
OANDA:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
EUR/USD: A Small Bearish Bias Emerges at the 1.0464 ZoneDespite the Euro recent appreciation since February 11—gaining more than 2% —a new bearish bias has appeared, triggering a minor downside correction. The temporary strengthening of the U.S. dollar is occurring as markets await the release of the Federal Reserve meeting minutes scheduled for tomorrow. Possible New Trend Formation The recent upward movement in favor of the euro has created progressively higher lows since mid-January and early February. These higher lows suggest the potential formation of a new short-term uptrend. However, the price is currently testing a key resistance zone. Until a new higher high is confirmed, it is too early to validate a sustained bullish bias in EUR/USD. RSI Indicator The RSI remains above the 50 level, indicating some bullish momentum. However, its slope has started to decline as the price approaches resistance. If this trend continues, bearish pressure from the last session may gain more relevance. ADX Indicator The ADX line remains below 20, signaling neutrality in most recent price movements. This lack of a clear trend makes it difficult for EUR/USD to sustain the short-term uptrend. If the ADX remains neutral in the coming sessions, price action is likely to remain sideways rather than forming a strong directional move. Key Levels to Watch: 1.02373 – Distant Support: Lowest level in the past two months. Persistent bearish pressure at this level could invalidate the developing bullish formation in the short term. 1.04646 – Current Resistance: Aligns with January’s high and the 23.6% Fibonacci retracement level. A break above this zone could confirm a continuation of the new uptrend forming in recent sessions. 1.05994 – Key Resistance: Coincides with the 100-period moving average and the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement level. If the bullish momentum pushes price toward this level, it would confirm a much stronger uptrend in EUR/USD. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom