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Eurodollar

Retest 1.083 prior to more Downside -> EurUsd 🐺Based off fundamentals and apparent momentum in the market, my bias remains as bearish for the EurUsd currency pair. The Monthly candle has reteaced nearly all of it's gains as we come to a close in 2 days. The the top wick signals rejection from the high of the Monthly resistance to me (1.103). This coincided with Jobs data and Increasing inflation data and the last few weeks we have observed bearish momentum in the market. Yes this week so far we have recieved some buying pressure off the 1.0805 daily support level. Although with GDP data forecasted to remain unchanged tomorrow and Housing data expected to grow for the U.S. economy, I can observe more potnetial USD strength to end the March Monthly candle. First target is 1.0805 retest of the Daily support level, then 1.08 4hr zone and ultimately 1.0768 weekly level
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
4
Fundamental Market Analysis for March 26, 2024 EURUSDEUR/USD is unable to capitalize on a good bounce from 1.08000, a three-week low, and has been fluctuating in a narrow range during Tuesday's Asian session. Spot prices are currently trading around 1.08400, almost unchanged for the day, and remain at the mercy of US Dollar (USD) price action. Last week, the US central bank said that it still intends to cut interest rates by 75 bps this year. That said, several Fed officials expressed concerns over stagnant inflation and stronger than expected US macroeconomic data. This, in turn, kept traders from placing new directional bets on the US Dollar and led to a subdued/limited price scenario for the Euro-Dollar pair. On the other hand, the common currency is undermined by expectations for a June rate cut by the European Central Bank (ECB). In fact, Bank of Italy Governor Fabio Panetta said on Monday that the ECB is moving towards an interest rate cut as inflation is falling rapidly and approaching the 2% target. Separately, ECB chief economist Philip Lane said the central bank may consider changing interest rates once it becomes more confident that wage growth is slowing and inflation is returning to the 2% target as forecast. This contributes to limiting the EURUSD's upside. Trading recommendation: Trade in the channel 1.0800-1.0870 on a bounce from the levels.
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
⚠️EURUSD Analysis(Falling Soon)⚠️🏃 EURUSD is moving near 🔴 Heavy Resistance zone($1.1185-$1.0980) 🔴and Resistance lines and 🟡 Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) 🟡. 🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , EURUSD seems to have succeeded in completing the corrective Zigzag(ABC/5-3-5) inside the Ascending Channel . 🔔I expect EURUSD to move towards the 🟢 Support zone($1.0920-$1.0870) 🟢after breaking the 🟢 Support zone($1.0810-$1.0757) 🟢. Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
16
Trading with the Risk-Off Sentiment 🐻📉 Hello Traders! Welcome back to another Top-Down Analysis of EurUsd. I've found that only trading 1 Pair/Instrument is a great way to reduce your risk exposure in the markets. There are a few reasons for this --- 1) I only have to pay attention to the news announcments for the -EUR & -USD 2) The currency pair has it's own nuances and characteristics that I may not understand If i were to trade many pairs. 3) It's session-session behavior is easier to follow since I'm only following 1 pair With that said, Eur/Usd did decrease over the previous session as I anticipated and called out in the Analysis. This was for a few reasons.. Market sentiment has shifted to risk-off slightly due to increasing inflation and better than expected NFP jobs data (also boosts inflation). We also have interest rates in 2 days and there is uncertainty about that.. (even more of a reason to buy the safe haven dollar) Next target for shorts is 1.08510.. In the meantime it is possible that we may pullback to 1.089 Daily resistance level that was created today for a last minute retest before more downside to come. I have a strong Bearsh bias leading up to interest rates here 0'0 intro and monthly timeframe 1:41 weekly timeframe 3:02 daily timeframe 517 4hr tiemfame 8:01 1hr timeframe
Short
by ShrewdCatfx
1
Let's Talk Liquidity! ⚒️At first, Liquidity may seem like an abstract and confusing concept reserved for only those Finance nerds and geeks to tackle. Turns out it's really not too sophisticated after all and can be though of in terms of Fomo. Fomo if you are not aware already is simply a concept related to chasing the market because of a Fear of missing out. Any action out of fear is typically not the best choice. In trading, this is especially true. Liquidity is what the market needs prior to a big move. Liquidity doesn't necessarily mean that the market needs to pin an extreme low or high from the previous session. Liquidity is also gathered when the market ranges/consolidates for awhile. If you go back and backtest, you will observe that preceding a large move, the market usually consolidates first. Liquidity also dries up during Asian session. You can observe that the volatility is much smaller than London/Ny session as the market moves alot less # of pips. Liquidity dries up prior to news annoucnemnts becuase of uncertainty obviously. This is the very reason why the market moves so much during news is because of lower participation from larger market participants, therefore an increased chance of wild and random price movements. This is explained more in depth in this concept video, Let's talk Liquidity.
Education
by ShrewdCatfx
Weekly Price Review / EurUsd 2nd Week March 24'🏗️We Depreciated -46.4 Pips this week on EurUsd. This was due to profit taking from the increase in recent weeks, CPI data that wasn't favorable for the Federal Reserve's goals, and confluence with a Weekly Resistance Level 1.095. In this Analysis we begin by looking at how the Monthly and weekly timeframes pulled to the downside. We then go down to the 30 minute timeframe where we observe market structure and analyze how news releases impacted price behavior. We finish the analysis by breaking down price behavior on a session to session basis throughout the week. 0:0 Monthly timeframe and Introduction 1:19 Weekly Timeframe 2:10 daily timeframe 2:39 4hr timeframe 3:15 30m timeframe and Analysis Leave a Rocket and/or comment below for similar videos.
by ShrewdCatfx
2
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 15, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading, the Eurodollar had difficulty surpassing our Mean Resistance level of 1.097. As a result, it continued to move towards our Mean Support level of 1.087, which could lead to further selling pressure, resulting in a decline to the Mean Support level of 1.080. Nevertheless, the currency could reach the Inner Currency Dip of 1.100 before potentially resuming a bearish trend.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Analysis: Anticipating Breakout Amidst Supply ZonesLast Friday, EUR/USD reached its highest level since early January, climbing above 1.0983 before reversing course during the American session to close the day with minor losses. As Monday's morning session unfolds, the price action is characterized by an Inside bar pattern on the H4 timeframe, indicating a period of consolidation as traders await a breakout in either direction. Notably, the price has approached two significant supply areas (highlighted in red rectangles), prompting traders to anticipate a possible retracement. In anticipation of potential market movements, we have set a sell limit at the 1.1000 area in case of a false breakout, aiming to take profit above the inside bar range before a potential drop. Our ultimate take profit target stands at 1.0700. Friday's data from the US revealed that Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) surged by 275,000 in February, surpassing market expectations of 200,000. However, this robust reading failed to bolster the USD. The Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) revised January's increase downward to 229,000 from 353,000, while the annual wage inflation, as measured by the change in Average Hourly Earnings, dipped to 4.3% from 4.4% in January. Additionally, the Unemployment Rate rose to 3.9% from 3.7%, while the Labor Force Participation remained steady at 62.5%. The benchmark 10-year US Treasury bond yield declined towards 4% after the release of the February jobs report, contributing to the continued weakness of the US Dollar against its counterparts. However, profit-taking activities ahead of the weekend provided some support to the currency. With no high-impact macroeconomic data releases scheduled for Monday, investors are likely to closely monitor risk perception indicators to gauge market sentiment. In light of these developments, we anticipate a retracement in EUR/USD as traders assess the broader market dynamics and position themselves accordingly.
Short
by FOREXN1
1
2 Setups & 8 Trades / Scalping Trades Review #2 🚌Hello Traders, another Scalping Review video analysis! 8 Trades today (4/8 or 50% Win rate on the day). I traded 2 different setups today. - Fakeout Against the Trend (2 Trades ) and - Fakeout with the Trend (6 trades) .. I earned more today trading the latter.. typically, trading with the trend is not a bad idea and my results showed that today :) . Although, going against the trend can provide great Risk/Reward opportunities and so we cannot discount that setup. What are your thoughts on the Trading day review? Please leave your feedback below if you enjoyed/disliked the 2nd part of this video series, Scalping Trades Review.
by ShrewdCatfx
2 Setups & 3 Trades / Scalping Trades Review 🎋Hello Traders! This short video details my Trading Day. I traded 2 different setups today for a total of 3 individual trades. I won all 3 trades :). 2 Of the trades were Short trades as we had price rejecting Weekly Level 1.09510 to begin the week. We also had confidence to put on these Short trades since the London 4hr candle closed bearish and the current 4hr candle was bearish at that time. Rewinding just a bit for context purposes.. Originally price was consolidating during London session in a 10 pip range between 1.09460 and 1.09360. Then we began to observe some downward movement shortly after New York session opened. We started to move back towards the low price created during NFP on friday (1.09180). As we tapped into this price is when I began to look at the charts to scalp. We placed 1 Buy trade today as we creased the Low price of Friday's daily candle which turned out well. I did get in a bit early and so that was the least profitable of my 3 winning trades today.
by ShrewdCatfx
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 8, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's trading, the Eurodollar saw a remarkable surge, breaking through our Mean Resistance levels of 1.085 and 1.090. The currency marched forward with significant momentum, leaving behind the previous trading range. However, based on the recent price trend and market analysis, we anticipate the Eurodollar will retrace its steps and move lower toward our projected Mean Support level of 1.087. This could trigger further selling pressure, leading to a decline to the Mean Support level of 1.080. Despite this, there is a possibility of the Eurodollar reaching the Inner Currency Dip of 1.100 before potentially resuming a bearish trend.
by TradeSelecter
EurUsd Buyers battle @ 1.086 4Hr Zone ⚔️Hello traders welcome back to another Analysis. //// 0:0 Monthly/Introduction 1:06 Weekly Timeframe 2:24 Daily timeframe 2:58 4Hr timeframe 4:15 1Hr timeframe //// We have upcoming (USD) PMI manufacturing data during the next NY session to look out for. It is expected to expand overall but decrease slightly from the last data point. Coming out of last Friday and during Monday's price action we observed Risk on sentiment with the Eur being favored. Maybe this will come to a halt, and during today's price action we will see a retracement back down with the positive expected USD data. If Risk-On sentiment continues, a candle closure above 1.086 on the 1hr and especially the 4hr may confirm solid long orders up to the next daily level (1.0888).
by ShrewdCatfx
Eur/Usd March 24'... Risk on Sentiment? 🕶️Eurusd new monthly candle! The February monthly candle closed a bearish doji candle. This suggests that we may continue a bearish descent from the January monthly engulfing candle. At the same time it appears that price is respecting Weekly level 1.0763 and there is Risk-On Sentiment in the markets following optimistic Cad inflation data from 2 weeks ago. Apologies if this analysis was a bit scattered and have a nice day! 0:0 Intro and Monhtly timeframe 1:50 Weekly timeframe 3:31 Daily timeframe 3:51 back to Monthly to explain new monthly candle potential 5:10 back to daily timeframe 6:53 4Hr timeframe 8:16 1Hr timeframe Attempted a brief analysis but ofc it ran longer than I would've liked :)
Long
by ShrewdCatfx
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 1, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: In this week's trading, the Eurodollar lacked significant price movement, revolving around the Mean Resistance level of 1.085. This means that the currency has been experiencing a period of consolidation with no clear direction. However, based on recent price trends, we expect the Eurodollar to move towards our Mean Support level of 1.077. This may trigger further downward movement, leading to an additional decline. If the downward movement continues, the Eurodollar could reach the Inner Currency Dip at 1.065, which is the primary target. The Inner Currency Dip 1.065 is where the currency is expected to have the most significant support, and a reversal in trend can often occur. However, this decline will happen gradually, with Mean Support levels at 1.070 and 1.067 as intermediate upside price effects. It's important to note that various factors, such as economic data releases, political developments, and global events, can influence the Eurodollar's movement.
by TradeSelecter
Eur/Usd silent commentary analysis 📻2 Hours after London Close 2/28/24. Eurusd we observed a wild day of volatility as a large 50 pip bearish move during london session was duly corrected by a Bullish New york session. Price moved away from our Daily resistance level 1.0885 today and pulled back as the monthly candle comes to a closure. This is not abnormal to observe when the monthly candle closes. GDP Preliminary numbers contracted today and missed expectations of 3.3% Q/Q. It was 3.2% so a difference of .1%. This was enough to cause a sudden 4 pip drop followed by an 8 pips increase in 2 minutes. This was a catalyst for the bullish sentiment all morning for the Eur/Usd ad therefore the Eur. Key levels and session behavior described in more detail in the video.
by ShrewdCatfx