EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 17, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar has experienced a notable recovery after successfully achieving the designated target of Inner Currency Rally 1.077. This means the Euro has bounced back significantly and shows positive momentum in the currency market.
However, as the Eurodollar approaches the next selected mark, Key Res 1.092, it may encounter significant resistance. The price of this resistance level is essential, suggesting whether the Eurodollar will likely fall further.
Furthermore, if the Eurodollar fails to surpass the Key Res 1.092 level, it could continue its downward momentum and reach the Mean Support level of 1.084. This crucial support level will offer a substantial price platform against further downward movements. Therefore, it is also essential to keep an eye on the Eurodollar's performance at this level.
Eurodollar
A Volatile Bearish Trend: AI-Assisted 4-Hour Analysis of EUR-USDDear Esteemed TradingView Members,
I n the world of financial trading, precision and insight are invaluable assets. In today's dynamic market environment, it's imperative to embrace the right tools that provide clarity amid the ever-shifting tides of economic forces.
I n this piece, I delve into the intricate currency trading, focusing on the EUR-USD market. To capture the essence of this dynamic market, I've chosen to examine it through the lens of 4-hour candles. The rationale behind this choice is rooted in the recent uptick in EUR volatility. While lower timeframes may drown you in noise, the 4-hour candles offer an equilibrium, making it easier to discern patterns and identify emerging trends.
W hy 4-hour candles, you ask? Well, because they're versatile. Whether you're a swing trader, day trader, or even planning longer-term positions, these candles are a reliable tool in your arsenal. They filter out the commotion and provide a steady view of the market's ebbs and flows.
I looked at recent developments, and I saw a bearish trend that persisted until November 1, 2023. However, it's essential to note that the trend didn't seamlessly transition to a bullish one; instead, it appears to be exploring potential support levels. What's intriguing is the gradual deceleration of the decline, as evidenced by the volume indicator.
V olume plays a pivotal role in assessing market health, and traders frequently employ indicators like On-Balance-Volume (OBV) to confirm their analyses. Our chart showcases a possible demand zone, spanning from $1.044 to $1.052, accentuated by a prominent blue rectangle. This range is more than just a potential support zone; it's an indicator of market sentiment and a battleground of supply and demand.
O BV, the blue indicator at the bottom of the chart, corroborates the significance of this zone. It started a noticeable ascent on October 3, 2023, coinciding with the EUR price's descent into this area. This rise indicates a considerable demand that might be a precursor to multiple bullish surges, emerging from this very platform. Yet, each of these attempted upswings met the resolute barrier of the ascending resistance line, denoted by the striking purple trendline, nudging the price back toward the aforementioned demand zone.
T his oscillation serves to intensify the latent buying potential within the zone. However, it also reveals that the demand isn't robust enough yet to trigger a full-scale shift from a bearish to a bullish trend. The latest encounter with the resistance line on November 6, 2023, adds another layer to the analysis.
A t this juncture, our Random Forests machine-learning technique enters the fray. It paints a picture of a potential retreat in price towards the historical support zone. Remarkably, OBV barely budged in response to this rejection, suggesting that there's a substantial interest sandwiched between the resistance and support levels. This interest might lead to the execution of limit orders, propelling the EUR price downwards to the demand zone.
T o further enrich our analysis, the Gradient Boosting Machines (GBMs) algorithm highlights a crucial point. It indicates that the EUR price has begun to veer away from Exponential Moving Average (EMA) graphs in a manner that typically hints at weakness in the local bullish trend. This divergence could signify a probable return to the overarching bearish trend or, at the very least, a period of consolidation—a characteristic often observed on-demand platforms.
I n the ever-evolving landscape of financial markets, precision is the compass and insight of the North Star. As the EUR-USD market continues to unveil its secrets, your mission is to decode them with sophistication, warmth, and genuine expertise.
S tay tuned for more insights, and remember, in the world of trading, adaptability is the key to success.
It is not a financial advice. You are responsible for your funds. Take care of retaining volume more than fast gains. Do your research. The idea proposes only possibilities, and the market might act in a different way. Historic results don't guarantee future results. AI isn't omniscient.
Warm Regards,
Ely
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 10, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The Eurodollar has undergone a notable downtrend movement from our Key Resistance level of 1.075, a significant level of resistance that the currency has been unable to break through. As a result, it is now expected to gradually move towards the Mean Support level of 1.061, which is strategic support for the currency. Furthermore, the Eurodollar may extend its bearish momentum and reach the Mean Support level of 1.056, which is a firm level of support.
However, it is worth noting that the currency could rebound toward uncompleted Inner Currency Rally 1.077 and Key Res 1.075, a level of resistance that the Eurodollar tested in this week's trading session. If the currency breaks through these two levels, it could complete the current Inner Currency Rally 1.077 and continue its upward trend.
Euro vs US Dollar - EURUSD IdeaFX:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD Euro vs US dollar
Hi traders..
There's a 40% chance that the upward trend will persist in the mid-term. So, we're holding off and waiting for confirmation of a price downturn before diving into the selling trade.
If the upward trend is confirmed, we'll scrap this position.
⚠️ Disclaimer: The following insights reflect my personal perspective on the market, relying on publicly available information and historical data. While some opinions stem from my actual trades, others do not. I am not a financial advisor, and I bear no responsibility for your trading choices.
✅ Feel free to reach me out with any questions or recommendations. I am more than willing to assess and analyze any currency pair or index that piques your interest.
SHORT EURUSDEURUSD is still in its downtrend channel on the weekly and monthly timeframes.
On the weekly timeframe, a retest of the double top neckline was established at the resistance area and a reach of the upper channel of the downtrend and a triple top at smaller scale was formed and retested, which all possibly confirms its downtrend continuation with a break of area 1.04 to 1.03 and later to its previous low 0.95 and into the lower of the downtrend channel at 0.90.
Previous ideas:
Monthly timeframe
Weekly timeframe
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Nov 3, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
Make no doubt that the Eurodollar has jubilantly bounced above our Inner Currency Rally of 1.070 with an eye on the ensuing Key Res 1.075 and Inner Currency Rally of 1.077. The upcoming pivotal reversal will likely take us down to Mean Sup 1.056 and Key Sup 1.047.
Eur/Usd Pair Chart 2023/2024My pattern in Eur/Usd for next #5 months,
The euro faces the Federal Reserve interest rate decision later today. EUR/USD reversed its direction and closed in negative territory below 1.0600 on Tuesday after rising to a fresh weekly high above 1.0670. The Federal Reserve's (Fed) policy announcements later in the day could trigger the next big action in the pair.
EURO VS U.S. DOLLAR. TO LOW, OR NOT TO LOW. THIS IS THE QUESTIONThis publication is for Euro against U.S. dollar, and quick and simple as well as all other publications by @Pandorra
2023 is about the end, so let's take a look on technical perspectives for FX:EURUSD .
The main graph is EURUSD semi-annual 6-month chart (yes, they also exist on TradingView, as well as quarterly 3-month charts and annual 12-month charts).
EURUSD is being concentrated on multi year floor, with lowest levels at semi-annual close around 1.05 (actual again in this time).
Well, recently being inspired with finding NASDAQ:TLT multi year floor, I guess that breaking down the 1.05 floor in EURUSD can turn the price much and much lower.
Maybe to 1.6 Euro for 1 U.S. Dollar somewhere in mid or late 2020s, or early 2030s.
Patience.. Patience.. and once again Patience..
The Time will show.
EURUSD, short in near time.Hi friends 👋. A long time not writing about EURUSD pair and about Forex at all. So there's a situation when we have advantage of bulls waiting for closing - sell their positions. 📉 To be more correctly 60K contracts waiting for sell. Downward we have some support levels but my opinion price can going down to 1.0575. Follow me.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Oct 20, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
This week's trading saw the Eurodollar drawn to the Mean Res of 1.062, its main attraction. The intermediate price action may cause a pullback to Mean Sup 1.053 before resuming rebounding to Inner Currency Rally 1.070 with the completion of the pullback to follow.
EURUSD working with liquidityHello trader! A good setup has formed. There's a chance that before we hit yesterday's liquidity from below, we'll go up and take off two fairly high liquidities. Don't forget to set the stop-loss below the order block.
🚀Please support my efforts with the "Boost" button.
❤️And a comment is the best thing you can do for me now!
1.054 Weekly Level ⛏️ EurUsd EU may once again bounce off our 1.054 weekly level and increase 50-100 pips. We have a large range to fill to the left hand side up to 1.062 Daily level. This is take profit 1 for Eu Longs. Take profit 2 would be 1.064.
For Sell Scenario we are looking at a bearish weekly target 1 is 1.05 and the second Take profit area is 1.047 Daily level.
Potential Trading Opportunity: Euro Poised to Fall Parity with tAs you may be aware, the euro has been facing considerable pressure against the US dollar, and there is a growing possibility that it may soon reach parity or even dip below it.
Given the caution warranted in volatile markets, this idea aims to present a valuable opportunity for traders who are willing to navigate the risks involved. If you have been following the fluctuations in the foreign exchange market closely, now might be the time to consider shorting the euro against the dollar.
By observing the weakening Eurozone economic indicators, mounting concerns about the European Central Bank's monetary policy, and the resurgent strength of the US economy, it is becoming increasingly apparent that the downward trend in the euro's value is likely to continue.
For those traders with a cautious approach looking to capitalize on this downward movement, shorting the euro can potentially yield impressive returns. However, it is of utmost importance to approach this opportunity with careful consideration and ensure that you have undertaken thorough analysis of the market variables.
I strongly encourage you to perform research, including technical and fundamental analysis, before making any trading decisions. As a professional trader, I trust that you understand the importance of incorporating risk management strategies and setting clear profit targets.
EurUsd retraces 📎 / CPI Data as catalystEurusd retraced 100 Pips today with Infaltion data as the catalyst for a continuation of higher timeframe momentum.
How Surprised can we be of a move to the downside with the Weekly/Monthly timeframes doing just that for the last 3 months.
The news release was stronger than what was expected for the USD. Inflation is increasing at a faster rate than expected. Let's buy the USD as a safe haven given these uncertain and troubled times..
Technicals : Large Bearish candle just printed on the Daily timeframe. The next Daily candle will likely have a bottom wick and is why it is still reasonable to look for a continuation play. That said, with the anticipated London session volume, we may expect a pullback to 1.054 weekly level or 1.056 before observng more bearish movement on Eurusd
EURUSD will Attack to Downtrend line⏰(4-Hour)⏰🚀🏃EURUSD is moving in the 🟢Support zone🟢, and Regular Divergence(RD+) is seen between two consecutive valleys.
🌊In terms of Elliott waves , EURUSD seems to have completed the Zigzag correction(ABC/5-3-5 ).
🔔I expect EURUSD to rise to at least the Downtrend line after breaking the Resistance line .
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( NZDUSD ), 4-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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🧠Short-Term EURUSD Sentiment🔥
According to the latest currency news headlines, short-term sentiment towards the Euro appears slightly downbeat against the US Dollar. While both economies face inflationary headwinds, recent data surprises have painted a relatively weaker picture for the Eurozone bloc.
German industrial orders came in lower than forecast in the latest monthly report, underscoring the challenges manufacturers continue to face from high energy costs and supply chain disruptions. Additionally, French GDP growth slowed more than anticipated in Q3, raising concerns that the second largest Eurozone economy may be slowing.
Comments from ECB officials at regional central bank conferences this week reiterated the bank's commitment to further tightening of monetary policy in the coming months. However, they maintained a cautious stance, stressing that future rate decisions will depend heavily on incoming economic data. This leaves the policy path somewhat uncertain compared to the more hawkish Fed.
In contrast, US jobless claims came in above expectations last week, pointing to underlying resilience in the labor market. This boosted views that the Federal Reserve remains on track to deliver another supersized 75 basis point rate hike at its November meeting. Fed speakers struck a firm tone that inflation must be cooled through forceful rate actions.
Looking at Eurusd technicals, downside momentum has held above 1.0300 for now. However, near-term rallies continue facing resistance below 1.0500 on cautious short-term sentiment. The outlook could brighten if upcoming Eurozone data surprises higher or there are signs inflation is moderating more quickly than expected. But for now, traders appear to favor positioning for dollar strength on a short-term basis.
Technical key aspects of the short term trend and best entry/exit strategy based on the analysis provided in the TradingView charts:
- The short term trend of EURUSD across the timeframes analyzed (weekly to 4H) remains bearish. Price action has been declining within descending resistance lines and channels.
- Best entry for short trades was suggested to be after a bounce from resistance levels or pullbacks from oversold/oversold levels on indicators like the BB bands. This reduces risk of entering at highs.
- Given volatility in currency pairs, optimal stop loss placement would be above recent swing highs or structural resistance levels, around 20-30 pips above entry to limit downside risk.
- Initial profit targets were identified as lower support levels, around 50-100 pips below entry. This provides a favorable risk-reward ratio of at least 1:2.
- Additional extended profit targets aligned with longer term analysis include monthly or weekly demand zones and support levels offered by structural patterns like descending channels over 100-200 pips lower.
- Traders are advised to exit parts of their position at initial targets and move stops to breakeven on the rest, as well as trail stops closer as the trade moves in their favor, to lock in profits and limit risks of unexpected reversals.