Eurodollar
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of August 18, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
The price action of the Eurodollar remained downwards as projected by Trade Selecter by completing our major target Outer Currency Dip 1.087. However, a strong rebound is possible with Mean Res 1.101 as a target. On the downside, price action might take us to the Next Outer Currency Dip of 1.070.
All moves to the upside are --> Relief Rallies? 🤨Market sentiment people, that's what we are trading at this point.
0:0 Monthly timeframe
2:05 weekly timeframe
3:30 Daily timeframe
5:50 4hr timeframe
9:11 1hr timeframe
11:40 recap of recent trade
Combining technicals and fundamentals. Technicals clued us in the last few days of July. Fundamentals confirmed out thoughts on Aug 10th. The market is trending to the downside. Do you think we have more to give? Probabilities are there but you can be right and still lose. Waiting on confirmation after a retracement to 1.09 weekly level would be most ideal but we might just drop without a retest. I think it's possible that we can probe further into the daily support zone at 1.0853
Critical thinking and rational has helped me be on the right side since late July. Check the publishing linked below from July 31st.
📈EURUSD 4H deadly analysis📉FX:EURUSD
OANDA:EURUSD
FOREXCOM:EURUSD
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Eurusd : Bullish USD data and Inflation Fears 🛫 Hello everyone. Switching things up today with a in-depth look into recent sentiment and my thoughts on the last 5 bearish weekly candles on EURUSD.
A mix of Bullish USD data and the fact that inflation looms above all of our heads has caused market participants to flock into the Safe haven USD.
What are your thoughts on this decrease of EURUSD back into the range that EU has been stuck in since January? Thanks for joining me for another analysis and reading this far. See you in the next analysis!
No 😵 not flat over the past 24 Hours Eurusd? Eurusd fav prices, fundamentals breakdown, and looking forward
0:0 Monthly Timeframe
1:25 Weekly timeframe
2:32 Daily timeframe
4:36 4hr timeframe
7:50 FOMC meeting minutes during upcoming NY
8:49 1hr timeframe
9:30 Retails sales data from today
Price bounced from weekly support +40 Pips as expected, looking for more accumulation in next 5 trading days
Ohh gosh, I don't want to overthink this one. I'm afraid it may turn out to be the case.. We have retraced back to our weekly support level 1.09 and are unchanged over the past 24 hours. The daily candle has pulled all the way back down and closed bearish, the 2nd bearish close this week after the strong selloff on Monday. The Daily candle also retested the bottom of structure from the range we observed over the first 2 weeks of August. The monthly candle is pulling down and we've been doing so since Interest rates during the final week of July. The Weekly timeframe has so far completed our fakeout concept from 1.1025 down to 1.09. The question is will we see this fakeout continue it's way down to the next weekly zone(and also monthly zone) 1.07?
Just follow the system though and have no worries. Nothing is achieved with worry, but suffering. Trust in thy system and experience and gold shall line thy pocket in due time. Safe trading everyone , cheers
Sellers Beware 🖾 Weekly Demand Level [1.09] ↗️I care about where candles close! 😂
0:0 Monthly timeframe
0:53 Weekly timeframe
3:47 Retail Sales & Manufacturing data
4:31 Daily timeframe
6:29 4hr timeframe
9:22 1Hr timeframe
9:40 Bias
12:14 be flexible
I pay attention to where candles close. Yes, it is important, because this is the concept that really validates any data collection during backtesting. No indicators needed, just paying attention to how candles close relative to our key zones AKA levels. 1.09 is a key area for us. Thus far, we have done an impressive job of closing above 1.09. As long as we stay within a vicinity of 1.09, my bias this week and the next will remain bullish. I like support and resistance bounces as it's a fundamental part of my system.
Looking 2 weeks out / EurusdThe Weekly candle last friday closed below 1.1024. After today July 31st, we can also observe the monthly candle just closed below 1.1024. The monthly candle left a very large top wick but ultimately closed below 1.1024. 1.1024 is our May Monthly resistance zone as well as our weekly resistance zone. The market has now confirmed a fakeout on the Daily timefrmae and has created a resistance with the most recent Daily bearish candle. The Bearish candle retested and rejected the top of the range being 1.1024. I'm anticpating that Eurusd will now head towards the bottom of the range around 1.09 weekly support level and 1.085 daily support level.
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of August 11, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
This week, the price action of the Eurodollar remained stagnant between the Mean Res 1.102 and Mean Sup 1.094. Thursday's reversal tips its hand to continue the pivotal down-move mode with the target, Outer Currency Dip 1.087. However, another jump toward the Mean Res 1.102 level is also possible in this rigged market.
What Happened Eurusd? 📻 CPI Fails as Bullish Catalyst What happened EU?
0:0 Monthly timeframe
1:03 Weekly timeframe
2:59 Daily timefraem & CPI talks
6:20 Simplify your T.A.
7:26 4hr timeframe
9:53 1hr timeframe
Bulls Failed at 1.1025 Weekly resistance Key Level! CPI was not the catalyst and the brave warrior to save the princess from the high tower.
When CPI moves we really move, and so not only did we fail to hold above 1.1025 weekly key level after an intial 34 pips spike with CPI, we also dropped back down on the daily candle to the open price. Observing the daily candle we can see a much larger top wick than a body on the candle. After completing a fakeout 2 weeks ago when the weekly candle closed back below 1.1025 weekly key level, this level has since acted like the greek god Zues. Nothing can stop it from getting it's way! Not NFP last week and Not CPI this week! Using this reasoning how can I not look for some short opportunities to end the week?? idk we'll see have a safe rest of the trading week. risk management is the real zeus let's be honest.
Impending [CPI] Volatility 🏁 Cut L's Short and Let profits run!Okay everyone, buckle up your seat belts!
0:0 Federal reserve goals for inflation & Monthly timeframe
2:15 Weekly timefraem
3:17 Daily timeframe
5:09 4hr timeframe
9:45 Careful with CPi, it can move hard!
10:00 1hr timeframe
The time has come for August CPI and it's also a special occasion🦁. This is the first report in over a year in which inflation is expected to increase in the CPI Y/Y. Looking back into history, it is shown that inflation doesn't come down in a linear fashion. This signals that the fed will have to hold interest rates higher for longer to reign in spending. The federal reserves goal is to achieve a 2.0% CPI Y/Y . The CPI Y/Y is expected to increase from 3.0% Y/Y to 3.3% Y/Y. If the CPI is less than 3.0% Y/Y like 2.9% for example then we can observe the fed moving closer to it's goal and should see risk on assets be favored and consequently safe haven assets like the USD decrease in value. Thus, pumping up EU towards 1.108 Daily resistance zone. I like this since the price has been doing what I thought it would do all week and is moving as accordingly for my analysis.
With all this said, I could be wrong as we may see inflation not only increase, but increase more than expected thus seeing a price dump on EU towards 1.09 weekly support level. Only trade with money you can afford to lose and Tbh I didn't trade news for the first 2 years. I sat on the sidelines and there is nothing wrong with that. See you in the next vidoe and thanks for reading this far!
Ranging as we await ⏳ [CPI] VolatilityHello everyone welcome back to another video. Not expecting much prior to CPI on thursday!
0:0 Monthly timeframe
1:18 Weekly timeframe
3:32 Daily timeframe
6:15 4hr timeframe
8:05 1hr timeframe
Just ranging until then between our Daily resistance level 1.1008 and 1.093 Daily support level, in which we bounced off of today and I was taking buys, unfortunately to no avail. You can be right abut the direction but still lose. That's the tough part of trading and it can be frustrating but risk management and a focus on trading psychology always come first to protect much valued capital. Price in the meantime may pop it's head up to 1.0986 1hr resistance zone or push back to the highs of our range.
I am favoring an increase on EURUSD with CPI data on thursday and would prefer to see EURUSD hold to the lows of structure around 1.0951 1hr zone and 1.0937 daily support zone while gathering sell side liquidity prior to a launch with CPI back towards 1.108 Daily resistance level. I will not be closed off to longs if we are back at the highs of structure though prior to CPI.
Return to the lows prior to Inflation data 🧐Thanks for reading this! Really enjoy doing these vidoes.
0:0 Monthly timeframe
1:33 Daily timeframe
3:42 Daily timeframe
7:12 4hr timeframe
9:22 1hr timeframe 3:35 Bias
My Idea for for this week : with our quite, no news market conditions through the first 3 daily candles of the week, I can observe a decrease towards 1.09373 Daily support level or a tap into 1.09 weekly support. When U.S. Dollar CPI arrives on thursday, and it is expected to increase, I can visualize a blast off in favor of the EUR. Now, increasing inflation is technically not good for the USD and the federal reserves goals. The market often doesn't do what it's supposed to do. I'm favoring this idea. The opposite would be an increase to the highs of our range near 1.10236 weekly level and 1.1036 4hr resistance zone prior to CPI.. and then a consequential dump in favor of the USD. Either way we must remain flexible with our bias and let the market lead.
(EURUSD) : HUGE Possibility of Going UpHey guys, I hope you all doing well. For EURUSD, I think there is a good opportunity to buy (Long-Term : up to 1.144) since we had a clear Up-Trend, higher highs and higher lows pattern recently. I also put SL below the last HL cuz I think if the chart breaks the 1.062 there will be no chance to rise again and it will fall all the way down.
May you all be PROFITABLE,
EURUSD: Still seeing some strength hereEven writing this I’m thinking it could be a crazy idea with USD strength in play, but let’s see...
I think we’ll see some early weakness from the USD before a momentum shift that will see DXY reverse up (maybe by end of the week). I think the EURO is still looking strong, bouncing back from the falling following the ECB rate hike pause. ECB are hawkish around further hikes and USD CPI numbers this week may indicate a pause is coming from the FED, this idea may have played out by then. I’ll be tightening my SL at 13.30 GMT this Thursday.
So for now looking to go long provided we breakout and retest the falling trendline on the daily from the 1.275 high. We’ve been in a strong uptrend for months and I think the moves in the next few weeks could start to show reversal back down, but for now we still have higher highs and higher lows, support held nicely last week and had confluence to not break the 100 and 200 EMA on the daily, so I'm still bullish with this one for now.
I’ll hopefully be tp’ing around 1.124 to see if we get a double top or continuation up, which would bring the 1.14 centre line of the rising channel quickly into play (which could well happen if the US CPI is better / lower than expectation).
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of August 4, 2023Technical Analysis and Outlook:
In this week's session, the Eurodollar has decreased to our Outer Currency Dip of 1.087. This has resulted in a very weak Mean Res of 1.102. However, Friday's reversal could indicate a potential extension of the dead cat bounce to Mean Res 1.109, while the Mean Sup of 1.094 is lingering below.