Get started

Eurodollar

The ECB balance sheet vs the FEDThe head of the European Central Bank #ECB Madame Lagarde claims the #ECB is at a different point in time to the Federal Reserve #FED. She claims it is premature to talk about winding down the Quantitative Easing (#QE) as the Fed has indicated a schedule to roll back liquidity. The graph indicates otherwise interestingly the EUD USD liquidity indicates the Fed continues to fund the ECB balance sheet therefore QE inflation has no end during 2022.
ECONOMICS:EUCBBSShort
by edrodven
5
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 16, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar experienced a decline during this week's trading session. It crossed our Mean Support level of 1.074 and Inner Currency level of 0.075 before quickly bouncing back to the Mean Resistance level of 1.079. Currently, the currency is in a primary downward trend and is expected to continue until it reaches the Inner Currency Dip of 1.065 via Mean Sup 1.071. However, an intermediate price trading at Mean Res 1.079 may cause a potential extension to 1.084.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 9, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar traded lower in this week's trading session by completing our Inner Currency Dip of 1.075 and settling in a tight range, hovering above our Mean Sup 1.074 and under Mean Res 1.079. The Eurodollar is in a primary downward trend, which will continue until the support level marked at Mean Support of 1.074 and the Inner Currency Dip of 1.075 is broken. Once these levels are eliminated, the currency will continue to decline toward the next Inner Currency Dip of 1.065. However, an intermediate upward movement is possible, in which case the currency might retest the Mean Support level of 1.084.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Feb 2, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: During this week's trading session, the Eurodollar exhibited a high degree of fluctuation and volatility, revolving around our Mean Support level of 1.084. Despite the fluctuations, the currency failed to rise above our Mean Resistance level of 1.090 to sustain a meaningful rebound. Currently, the Eurodollar is in a primary downward trend, which will continue until the support level marked at Mean Support 1.076 and the Inner Currency Dip level of 1.075 are breached. Once these levels are eliminated, the currency will continue to decline towards the next Inner Currency Dip of 1.065. However, there is a possibility of an upward movement, in which case the currency might retest the Mean Support level of 1.090 once again before continuing its downward trend. It is important to note that breaching the Mean Resistance level of 1.090 is essential for a sustained dead-cat rebound. Therefore, traders should observe these levels closely and trade accordingly to make the most of the current market situation.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Displays Resilience Amidst Market FluctuationsIn a turn of events, the EUR/USD pair rebounded during the latter half of Thursday's European session, recuperating from its earlier dip to 1.0780, the lowest level since December 13. Closing on a positive note, the pair currently maintains its position above the 1.0880 area as the near-term outlook suggests a bullish trend. The intriguing dynamics in play are further heightened by the imminent release of key economic indicators, notably the Non-Farm Employment Change, Average Hourly Earnings (m/m), and the Unemployment Rate, set to unfold today. The strategic analysis points toward a potential pullback before definitively breaching the dynamic resistance of the range channel, setting the stage for a robust upward trajectory towards our target point. The US Dollar, however, found itself on shaky ground during Thursday's American session. This was attributed to declining US Treasury bond yields, spurred by lackluster employment-related data releases. Notably, Weekly Initial Jobless Claims rose to 224,000, marking the highest figure since early November. The ISM Manufacturing PMI survey further contributed to the Dollar's decline as the Employment Index dropped to 47.1 in January from 47.5 in December. As the market eagerly awaits the Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report, expectations are set at a forecasted rise of 180,000. During the post-meeting press conference on Wednesday, Federal Reserve Chairman Jerome Powell hinted at potential rate cuts sooner than anticipated if unexpected weakening in the labor market occurs. An NFP reading below 150,000 may reignite expectations for a rate cut in March, resulting in continued weakness for the USD against its counterparts. Conversely, a figure exceeding 200,000 could delay the policy pivot to May, potentially triggering a rebound for the USD in the American session. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a 25 bps rate cut in March currently stands at 37.5%, while it reaches 60% for May, reflecting the market's anticipation of potential shifts in the Federal Reserve's monetary policy. Our Preference: Following the previous analysis, we have adjusted the stop loss to 1.07200. We anticipate a pullback to around 1.08500 or above, with the expectation of further upward movement.
Long
by FOREXN1
2
EURUSD,🟢Is it also bullish? (Read the caprion) Well as you can see, the market structure is bullish now and the price had a deep retracement move to the extreme bullish order block. In addition, we can see the price created the liquidity above the order block that makes the demand zone more valuable. As a bullish target, we can define the liquidity above the equal highs as a first target and also we can expect the price to break the previous high. 💡Wait for the update! 🗓️29/01/2024 🔎 DYOR 💌It is my honor to share your comments with me💌
Long
by VahidTradingCR
1
EUR/USD:Analyzing Impact of FOMC Decision and Powell's RemarksEUR/USD: Analyzing the Impact of FOMC Decision and Powell's Remarks The EUR/USD experienced a notable reversal following the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) release, as Chairman Jerome Powell's remarks influenced market sentiment. This article delves into the aftermath of the FOMC decision, the Eurozone's recent inflation data, and the upcoming economic indicators influencing the EUR/USD outlook. FOMC Decision and Powell's Remarks: The FOMC opted to keep interest rates unchanged, aligning with widespread expectations. Powell's press conference introduced a cautious tone, emphasizing the need for "greater confidence" in inflation reaching the 2% target before considering rate cuts. While a March rate cut is not the base case, Powell's comments triggered increased demand for the US Dollar and impacted Wall Street. EUR/USD Technical Analysis: Despite the initial bearish impulse, the EUR/USD found support around the 1.08000 level. The subsequent bullish candle indicates an attempt to recover lost ground. A long-term bullish forecast is maintained on the H4 timeframe, emphasizing the potential resilience of the Euro against the US Dollar. Eurozone Inflation Data: The Eurozone's preliminary estimate of the January Harmonized Index of Consumer Prices (HICP) showed an annual rise of 2.8%, in line with expectations. The core annualized reading, although slightly easing to 3.3%, remained above the anticipated 3.2%. This data provides insights into the inflationary pressures within the Eurozone. US Economic Indicators: In the United States, the January Challenger Job Cuts revealed a significant increase, with employers announcing 82,307 cuts compared to December's 34,817. Later releases, including Initial Jobless Claims, Q4 Unit Labor Costs and Nonfarm Productivity, and the January ISM Manufacturing PMI, will be closely watched for their impact on the labor market and overall economic health. Upcoming Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) Report: As employment-related figures take center stage, the market awaits Friday's NFP report. These indicators contribute to the broader understanding of the US labor market and could influence the trajectory of the EUR/USD pair. Conclusion: The EUR/USD's response to the FOMC decision and Powell's comments reflects the intricate dynamics between major central bank policies. With a focus on upcoming economic indicators, including the critical NFP report, traders will navigate evolving market conditions and potential shifts in the currency pair's trajectory.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
EUR/USD:A Resilient Recovery Amidst Economic Data and Market...EUR/USD:A Resilient Recovery Amidst Economic Data and Market Sentiment Shifts The EUR/USD pair demonstrated a commendable recovery, reclaiming lost ground on Monday as an improved market sentiment put pressure on the US Dollar. This resurgence was marked by a significant rejection at the 1.08000 level, coinciding with the 78.6% and 88.60% Fibonacci levels, signaling a potential shift in the prevailing bearish trend. The Stochastic RSI on the H4 timeframe contributed to this optimistic outlook by displaying a divergence. Despite mixed European data, with Germany reporting a contraction in Q4 GDP, the overall Eurozone GDP surprised on the upside, posting a 0.1% increase from the previous year. Additionally, the Economic Sentiment Indicator for January met expectations at 96.2, while Consumer Confidence contracted to -16.1 during the same month. Attention in the market is now turning towards key US data releases, with January's Consumer Confidence and JOLTS Job Openings report taking center stage. These figures are particularly relevant in the lead-up to the highly anticipated Nonfarm Payrolls (NFP) report scheduled for the following Friday. Concurrently, market participants eagerly await the Federal Reserve's monetary policy decision slated for Wednesday. As the EUR/USD pair appears to find a new bullish impulse within the confines of a bearish channel, traders are anticipating an increase in value. The short-term target for this potential bullish movement is set at 1.1000 in the coming days, pending the outcome of critical economic data releases and the Fed's policy decision. Our Idea: Long positions above 1.06700 with entry at 1.08000 and targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
EUR/USD Faces Pressure Amidst ECB Remarks and FOMC AnticipationEUR/USD Faces Pressure Amidst ECB Remarks and FOMC Anticipation EUR/USD experienced a decline on the last Monday of the month, closing near the psychological level of 1.08000. The downward pressure was influenced by remarks from the European Central Bank (ECB) and the looming Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting. The breach of the dynamic trendline and a dip below the 61.8% Fibonacci level placed the price just beneath the 78.6%, within the range and approaching the 88.6%. Technical Indicators: Stochastic indicators signal oversold conditions, accompanied by a slight divergence. The potential policy shift hinted by the ECB has prompted a decline in the Euro, with market focus now shifting to the upcoming Fed decision. The recent strong economic growth and inflation in the US present a challenging decision for Powell and the Federal Reserve. Market Dynamics: Buyers are striving to maintain the exchange rate above the 1.0800 level in anticipation of Wednesday's FOMC decision. Despite a drop in US Treasury yields, USD bulls are not finding the push they need, resulting in the EUR/USD trading at 1.0809, down 0.39%. Outlook: The focus remains on buying opportunities for EUR/USD at a discounted exchange rate, anticipating a potential increase in value. Traders are advised to stay vigilant for market developments and the outcome of the FOMC decision, as it could significantly impact the direction of the currency pair. Our preference Long positions above 1.06700 with entry at 1.08000 and targets at 1.1000 & 1.1150 in extension.
Long
by FOREXN1
2
🚀EURUSD is Ready to GO UP🚀🏃 EURUSD is moving near the 🟢 Support zone($1.0800-$1.0756) 🟢. 🌊According to the theory of Elliott waves , EURUSD seems to have completed its five downtrends . 💡Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys . 🔔I expect EURUSD to rise at least to the end of wave 4 at the 🔴 Resistance zone($1.0916-$1.0880) 🔴 in the coming hours or the coming week . Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Long
by pejman_zwin
1
EURUSD Analysis(➡️RR=2.00)🏃 EURUSD is moving in the 🔴 Resistance zone($1.0910-$1.0880) 🔴 and near the Downtrend line . 🌊According to Elliott's wave theory , Bitcoin seems to have completed wave 4 at the 🔴 Resistance zone($1.0910-$1.0880) 🔴. 🔔I expect EURUSD to continue to Decline at least to the 🟢 Support zone($1.0800-$1.0756) 🟢. -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- EURUSD 🔴Position: Short ✅Entry Point: 1.08877 USD (Stop Limit Order) ⛔️Stop Loss: 1.09380 USD 💰Take Profit: 🎯 1.08372 USD RR==1.00 🎯 1.07869 USD Risk-To-Reward: 2.00 Please don't forget to follow capital management ⚠️ Please pay attention to the style of opening the position.⚠️ -------------------------------------------------------------------------------- Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰. Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open). Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post. Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
Short
by pejman_zwin
3
EUR/USD Awaits ECB Meeting Amidst Shifting Market DynamicsEUR/USD Awaits ECB Meeting Amidst Shifting Market Dynamics The EUR/USD pair is registering modest gains, hovering near the 1.0900 area in the early European trading session on Monday. All eyes are on the European Central Bank's (ECB) upcoming January monetary policy meeting, scheduled for Thursday. As of the latest update, EUR/USD is trading at 1.0897, reflecting a 0.03% increase for the day. Technical Analysis: From a technical standpoint, the price experienced a rebound around the 1.08500 support area, coinciding with the 61.8% Fibonacci level and the Dynamic trendline. These factors contribute to the pair's attempt to gather new bullish momentum for a sustained upward movement. Shifting Market Sentiment: Market sentiment has witnessed a shift as doubts grow regarding the likelihood of a Federal Reserve (Fed) interest rate cut in March. Last week's positive US economic data, including Retail Sales and the Consumer Sentiment Index, have contributed to this change. According to the CME FedWatch Tool, the probability of a rate cut in March has decreased to 49.3%, down from 81% just a week ago. ECB's Cautious Stance: In contrast, the European Central Bank (ECB) Governing Council members are exercising caution against prematurely easing financial conditions. The January policy meeting on Thursday is not expected to bring any policy changes. Traders will be keenly watching ECB President Christine Lagarde's post-meeting speech for indications on potential rate cuts this year. Investors anticipate a gradual approach by the ECB, with interest rate cuts likely in the spring, driven by sustained progress towards the 2% inflation target. Upcoming Events: The ECB's monetary policy decision is scheduled for Thursday, and no policy changes are anticipated. Additionally, Thursday will see the release of the US preliminary Gross Domestic Product Annualized (Q4). On Friday, the Commerce Department will unveil the December reading on the Personal Consumption Expenditures Price Index (PCE), a key inflation gauge for the Fed. Conclusion: As the EUR/USD pair maintains a bullish stance, the spotlight is on the ECB meeting and evolving market dynamics. Technical indicators suggest a potential upside, but external factors, including the Fed's stance and US economic data, contribute to the complex currency landscape. Traders should stay attentive to central bank communications and economic releases for a comprehensive understanding of the pair's future movements. Our preference Long positions above 1.07700 with targets at 1.10170 & 1.1140 in extension.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
EUR/USD: Navigating Market Volatility Post-US CPI ReleaseEUR/USD: Navigating Market Volatility Post-US CPI Release After experiencing a notable Pump and Dump scenario on Thursday following the US Consumer Price Index (CPI) release, the EUR/USD has managed to reposition itself for growth. The US Dollar (USD) faces challenges in finding demand, and as of the current moment, the price is trading at 1.09585. Market Volatility and Inflation Figures: Thursday's market witnessed heightened volatility as mixed inflation figures from the US took center stage. The US Bureau of Labor Statistics (BLS) reported a 3.4% year-on-year increase in the Consumer Price Index (CPI) for December. This followed the 3.1% surge in November and surpassed market expectations of 3.2%. The Core CPI, excluding volatile food and energy prices, rose 0.3% on a monthly basis, aligning with analysts' estimates. Surprisingly, these inflation figures did not significantly alter market expectations regarding the Federal Reserve (Fed) policy outlook. The CME FedWatch Tool indicates a consistent probability of around 70% for a 25 basis points rate reduction in March. Producer Price Index (PPI) Outlook: Looking ahead, the Producer Price Index (PPI) is anticipated to rise by 1.3% in December on a yearly basis, up from the 0.9% recorded in November. A smaller-than-forecast increase may challenge the USD's stability leading into the weekend. However, a print at or above 1.5% could revive concerns over stronger producer inflation, potentially impacting the Fed's ability to control consumer inflation and influencing the EUR/USD. Forecast for EUR/USD: Our forecast for the EUR/USD remains bullish. The price is well-supported by the 200 Moving Average and the dynamic trendline of the bullish channel. Additionally, the Stochastic indicator is outside the oversold area, providing further evidence in favor of a potential bullish impulse. Our preference Long positions above 1.0770 with targets at 1.1140 & 1.1200 in extension.
Long
by FOREXN1
1
💹 EURUSD next week prevision 💹It could go down to points of 1.08773. If it brakes this floor it could go to areas of 1.08102. If it fails to brake the minimum of 1.08773, it could enter an uptrend to look for movement 3 of the Elliot wave until 1.10016 minimum (100% fibo point of the previous inverse wave), being able to continue rising until the point 1.1039. (127% fibo point), to continue with a retracement of the elliot wave movement 4 to the point 1.09087 (23.6% fibo point) and then go looking for the movement 5. If it goes down enough to break the point from C, we would have new B (1) and new C (2). You have to wait for confirmations by looking at corresponding indicators.
by Jordi_MM1
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of Jan 5, 2024Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Eurodollar has experienced significant price fluctuations throughout this week's trading session. It has fallen below our Mean Support level of 1.100, indicating a potential decline towards the established Mean Support of 1.075. It is highly probable that the Eurodollar will retest the Mean Resistance level of 1.098. The current violent movement of the Eurodollar around our crucial Mean Support of 1.090 and Mean Resistance of 1.098 is a clear indication of the same.
by TradeSelecter