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Market Analysis: EUR/USD Resumes IncreaseMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Resumes Increase EUR/USD started a fresh increase above the 1.0950 resistance. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a decent upward move from the 1.0880 zone against the US Dollar. - There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.0955 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair started a fresh increase from the 1.0775 zone. The Euro cleared the 1.0950 resistance to move into a bullish zone against the US Dollar, as mentioned in the last analysis. The bulls pushed the pair above the 50-hour simple moving average and 1.1000. Finally, the pair tested the 1.1150 resistance. A high was formed near 1.1146 before the pair corrected gains. It dipped below 1.1000 and tested 1.0880. The pair is again rising from the 1.0880 zone. There was a break above a key bearish trend line with resistance at 1.0955. The pair climbed above the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1146 swing high to the 1.0880 low. Immediate resistance on the EUR/USD chart is near the 1.1045 zone and the 61.8% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.1146 swing high to the 1.0880 low. The first major resistance is near the 1.1080 level. An upside break above the 1.1080 level might send the pair toward the 1.1145 resistance. The next major resistance is near the 1.1165 level. Any more gains might open the doors for a move toward the 1.1200 level. Immediate support on the downside is near the 1.0955 level. The next major support is the 1.0880 level. A downside break below the 1.0880 support could send the pair toward the 1.0830 level. Any more losses might send the pair into a bearish zone toward 1.0775. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
Euro Firms as U.S.-China-EU Trade Rift WidensThe euro hovered near $1.10, its highest since October 2024, as the dollar weakened and trade tensions escalated. China plans to impose 34% tariffs on all U.S. goods from April 10, following Trump’s 10% tariff on all imports, including 20% on EU and 34% on Chinese goods. France urged firms to halt U.S. investments, and the EU is preparing countermeasures. Markets now price in a 90% chance of an ECB rate cut in April, with the deposit rate seen falling to 1.65% by December from 2.5%. Key resistance is at 1.1100, followed by 1.1150 and 1.1215. Support lies at 1.0900, then 1.0850 and 1.0730.
by ChartMage
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 8, 2025 EURUSDAfter a tense week in which the US fully adopted a protectionist trade policy - despite lacking the necessary industrial infrastructure - tariffs on imports were imposed. The US now applies a general 10 per cent import tax on all goods from each country, as well as various ‘reciprocal’ tariffs calculated by dividing US imports by exports. After imposing a 34 per cent tariff on Chinese products, China responded with its own 34 per cent tariff on all goods imported from the US. Unable to find alternative solutions, the Trump administration threatened to impose an additional 50 per cent tariff on all Chinese goods, which is set to take effect on April 8. US data takes centre stage again this week, with the release of Consumer Price Index (CPI) data on Thursday. On Friday, producer price index (PPI) data and the University of Michigan (UoM) consumer sentiment survey are expected. Investors are raising bets that the Federal Reserve (Fed) will begin cutting interest rates to reduce recession risks. Markets are factoring in nearly 200 basis points of rate cuts through the end of 2025, despite the Fed issuing cautious policy statements indicating that trade uncertainty complicates any potential rate cut. Trade recommendation: SELL 1.0950, SL 1.1030, TP 1.0830
Short
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
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ICMARKETS:STOXX50Short
by Thief_Trader
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of April 4, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Euro has experienced a notable increase, surpassing resistance levels at 1.086 and 1.095 in the current trading session, thereby completing the Inner Currency Rally of 1.114. However, an intermediate price reversal has been observed, suggesting that the Eurodollar will continue to decline towards the support level at 1.090, with a potential extension down to 1.075. An upward momentum could emerge from either of these support levels.
by TradeSelecter
EUR/USD Holds Neutral Bias After NFPThe U.S. dollar has managed to regain some ground in the short term after several sessions of gains in EUR/USD. Currently, the pair is showing a downward move of just over 1%, following the NFP report, which showed 228,000 new jobs versus the 137,000 expected. This has slightly increased demand for the U.S. dollar in recent hours, as the market anticipates the possibility of higher inflation and, consequently, more restrictive Fed policy in upcoming decisions. Uptrend Since February 28, a strong upward trend has been in place, showing a clear buying bias in EUR/USD. So far, selling corrections have not been strong enough to break key trendline levels, making this the dominant formation to watch in the short term. RSI In the case of the RSI, oscillations have started to approach the overbought zone near the 70 level. Additionally, it is important to note that while EUR/USD has posted higher highs, the RSI has shown lower highs, reflecting a bearish divergence and signaling a potential imbalance driven by strong short-term buying pressure. This could eventually lead to downward corrections in the sessions ahead. Key Levels: 1.1000 – Major resistance: This level remains the most relevant round-number resistance on the chart. Sustained price action above this level could reinforce bullish momentum in the short term. 1.07911 – Near-term barrier: This level is located near the 200-period moving average and could serve as a tentative zone for future selling corrections. 1.06132 – Distant support: Positioned around the 38.2% Fibonacci retracement, this level marks a key breakpoint that, if reached, could invalidate the current bullish structure. By Julian Pineda, CFA – Market Analyst
by FOREXcom
EUR/USD Long to Short idea (1.08500 up to 1.10500)EUR/USD (EU) Analysis – This Week This week, EUR/USD looks promising, similar to GBP/USD, with multiple key points of interest (POIs) in close proximity. A clean, unmitigated 2-hour demand zone sits nearby, which could trigger a bullish rally if price reacts from this level. At the same time, price has been bearish over the past few days, forming a valid 9-hour supply zone from the recent downward push. I’ll be watching to see where price slows down and which liquidity level it targets first. Confluences for EU Buys: EU has been bullish for weeks, and this move could be a healthy correction before further upside. The U.S. dollar remains bearish, aligning with this bullish bias. A clean 2-hour demand zone has formed, which previously caused a break of structure to the upside. Imbalances and untapped Asia session highs still need to be taken. Note: If price breaks below this structural low, I will shift my focus toward sell opportunities. However, if that happens, we’ll know exactly where the ideal entry points for shorts will be.
Long
by Hassan_fx
Euro Rises Above $1.09 Despite Tariff ThreatsThe euro climbed above $1.09, showing unexpected strength after President Trump announced 20% tariffs on all EU imports. ◉ Fundamental Rationale ● The currency got a boost because the U.S. dollar weakened. Trump’s tariffs made trade tensions worse and worried people about slower economic growth. ● Also, new numbers showed Eurozone inflation fell to 2.2% in March, the lowest since November 2024. ● This lower inflation means the European Central Bank doesn’t need to raise interest rates, making the euro more appealing to investors. ◉ Technical Observation ● From a technical perspective, an inverse head and shoulders pattern has formed, hinting at a possible trend reversal. ● A breakout above $1.095 could pave the way for stronger bullish momentum.
Long
by NaranjCapital
Gold (XAUUSD) Buy Opportunity with Target at 3,138This 1-hour gold chart (XAUUSD) shows a possible buying opportunity around the support zone. The price has rejected this level three times, indicating strong support. The price action suggests a rounding bottom formation, with a potential upside move toward the resistance zone near 3,138. A breakout above this resistance could push the price higher, possibly testing the weekly high. However, if the support fails, a downside move could follow. Keep an eye on volume and confirmation signals before entering a trade. Take Profit Levels: TP1: 3,125 (minor resistance and reaction zone). TP2: 3,138 (main resistance target). TP3: 3,150+ (weekly high if momentum continues). Always monitor price action and volume confirmation for validation.
FOREXCOM:XAUUSDLong
by TRADE_CENTER_1
1
Fundamental Market Analysis for April 3, 2025 EURUSDEUR/USD saw a bullish spike on Wednesday after the Trump administration announced tariffs that were less severe than many investors expected given President Donald Trump's flurry of tariff threats over the past 72 days. While the specific tariff proposals are unclear, U.S. consumers should prepare for flat 10 percent tariffs on all imports, significant 25 percent tariffs on all automobiles and auto parts, and “reciprocal” tariffs imposed at different rates depending on the country. In addition, Trump has reiterated his intention to impose additional tariffs on goods such as copper, microchips, and other important imported consumer goods that are vital to the U.S. economy. As these tariffs are likely to drive up consumer prices in the coming months and there is no obvious alternative in the market to obtain foreign goods without incurring high import duties, inflationary pressures are expected to rise soon and persist longer than desired. According to Federal Reserve (Fed) officials, the uncertainty of the Trump administration's trade policy is likely to keep interest rates elevated for an extended period beyond previous expectations. European economic indicators are likely to remain moderately light for the rest of the trading week. Meanwhile, new US Non-Farm Payrolls (NFP) data is expected this Friday. The NFP report could have a significant impact on the markets as the US economy moves into a post-tariff phase, and the March labor statistics will be a key indicator of the impact of the Trump administration's tariff strategy. Trading recommendation: BUY 1.09100, SL 1.08400, TP 1.10300
by Fresh-Forexcast2004
Euro at Critical Demand – Is the Trend About to Flip?Euro reached an important zone for my setup, triggering a long position. Although it’s still trending below the fibcloud on the 4H timeframe, we’ve seen a solid 0.5% recovery from the recent low. I’m looking for this area to hold as support, with defined risk in case the setup invalidates. Technicals: • Price tapped into a major 4H support level where liquidity historically steps in. • The current move marks a 0.5% bounce from the low, showing early signs of demand. • Still trading below the fibcloud, but a reclaim of that zone would open the path toward 1.0850. • Setup includes a stop-loss below the most recent wick low, with a clear structure to build a higher low. Fundamentals: EUR-side strength: • ECB maintains a slower pace of rate cuts compared to the Fed. • Growth and inflation in the Eurozone are still challenges, but the ECB’s hawkish stance continues to support medium-term EUR strength. • The ECB may hike another 150 bps to reach a 4% terminal rate, which favors EUR upside. USD-side risks: • Trump announced plans to impose a 25% tariff on all car imports, including from the EU-adding geopolitical and trade uncertainty. • Traders remain cautious around further escalation in US-EU trade tensions. • US Initial Jobless Claims later today could bring weakness to the dollar if the data disappoints. In short, while the USD remains resilient, the EUR fundamentals and the current technical zone make this a compelling spot for a bounce. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Long
by AR33_
EUR/USD Long setup from the 3hr demand zoneSimilar to GBP/USD, I’m looking for long opportunities on EU. My key area of interest is the 3-hour demand zone, where I will wait for price to mitigate and accumulate before entering a position. Price has also changed character to the upside, further validating this demand zone as a strong point of interest. Additionally, there is a significant amount of liquidity to the upside that needs to be taken. The next major supply zone I have marked out is the 23-hour supply zone, which is further away. For now, my focus remains on the demand zone—unless price breaks below, creating a new supply level. Confluences for EU Buys: - Bullish market structure shift, with a clean demand zone left behind. - Unmitigated 3-hour demand zone, making it a strong area of interest. - Liquidity resting above, which price is likely to target. - DXY has been bearish, aligning with a bullish outlook for EU. Note: If price breaks structure to the upside without tapping my nearby demand zone, I will either wait for a new demand zone to form or look for a sell-to-buy opportunity from supply.
Long
by Hassan_fx
2
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 28, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: The Euro has experienced a downward trend in the current trading session, surpassing the Mean Support level of 1.078, where an intermediate price reversal occurred. The analysis indicates that the Eurodollar is expected to retest the Mean Resistance level at 1.086, with a possible resistance level marked at 1.095. A downward momentum may be initiated from either the Mean Resistance of 1.086 or 1.095.
by TradeSelecter
Gold (XAUUSD) Short Setup: Bearish Confirmation & Key TP LevelsThe chart suggests that gold (XAUUSD) is approaching a key resistance level near 3,102, aligning with a trendline. The price has formed a weak high, indicating potential exhaustion. A bearish confirmation at this level could lead to a decline toward the target zone around 3,037. If the price fails to break lower, further bullish momentum may push it beyond resistance. Watch for a break of structure (BOS) and bearish signals before confirming a short position. 1. First TP: 3,060 – A minor support level before the main target. 2. Second TP: 3,037 – A stronger support zone and key target. These levels provide a safe exit strategy for a short trade while minimizing risk. Watch for price action confirmation before executing.
OANDA:XAUUSDShort
by TRADE_CENTER_1
Eurozone Growth Slows, ECB Leans DovishThe euro hovered near $1.08, its weakest since March 6, as investors digested PMI data and ECB comments. Eurozone private sector activity grew at its fastest pace since August but missed expectations, with manufacturing rebounding and services slowing. ECB’s Cipollone and Stournaras signaled growing support for a rate cut, possibly in April, citing faster disinflation. Lagarde warned of weaker growth but downplayed inflation risks from EU-U.S. trade tensions, suggesting no rate hikes. De Galhau also noted room for further easing. Key resistance is at 1.0860, followed by 1.0950 and 1.1000. Support stands at 1.0730, with further levels at 1.0660 and 1.0600. 
by ChartMage
Market Analysis: EUR/USD RetreatsMarket Analysis: EUR/USD Retreats EUR/USD declined from the 1.0950 resistance and traded below 1.0850. Important Takeaways for EUR/USD Analysis Today - The Euro started a fresh decline below the 1.0850 support zone. - There is a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0820 on the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen. EUR/USD Technical Analysis On the hourly chart of EUR/USD at FXOpen, the pair struggled to clear the 1.0950 resistance zone. The Euro started a fresh decline and traded below the 1.0850 support zone against the US Dollar. The pair declined below 1.0820 and tested the 1.0775 zone. A low was formed near 1.0776 and the pair started a consolidation phase. There was a minor recovery wave above the 1.0800 level. The pair tested the 23.6% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0954 swing high to the 1.0776 low. The pair is now trading below 1.0820 and the 50-hour simple moving average. On the upside, the pair is now facing resistance near the 1.0820 level. There is also a key bearish trend line forming with resistance at 1.0820. The next key resistance is at 1.0850. The main resistance is near the 1.0865 level or the 50% Fib retracement level of the downward move from the 1.0954 swing high to the 1.0776 low. A clear move above the 1.0865 level could send the pair toward the 1.0910 resistance. An upside break above 1.0910 could set the pace for another increase. In the stated case, the pair might rise toward 1.0950. If not, the pair might resume its decline. The first major support on the EUR/USD chart is near 1.0775. The next key support is at 1.0750. If there is a downside break below 1.0725, the pair could drop toward 1.0700. The next support is near 1.0650, below which the pair could start a major decline. This article represents the opinion of the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand only. It is not to be construed as an offer, solicitation, or recommendation with respect to products and services provided by the Companies operating under the FXOpen brand, nor is it to be considered financial advice.
by FXOpen
EUR/USD Technical Analysis – Potential Reversal SetupThe EUR/USD 1-hour chart displays a recent downtrend with a series of lower highs and lower lows, forming a bearish market structure. The Harmonic patterns such as the Bat suggest potential areas of reversal, aligning with Fibonacci retracement levels. A Change of Character (ChoCh) at the latest low (XA 0.7872) signals a possible shift in trend. The presence of bullish reaction points, marked by green triangles and yellow circles, suggests buying pressure is increasing. Additionally, the projected upward trendlines indicate possible price targets at 1.08476 (T1) and 1.08885 (T2) . The oscillators at the bottom indicate oversold conditions, reinforcing the likelihood of a bullish correction. However, confirmation via price action and volume is necessary before entering long positions. A break above key resistance levels would further validate the upside potential.
Long
by BeaucoupPips
US PMI Strength Drives Dollar HigherEUR/USD is trading at $1.08 as the U.S. dollar strengthens on solid U.S. services PMI data, which signaled economic resilience and pushed yields higher. Confidence in the dollar was further enabled by Trump’s remarks suggesting not all April 2 tariffs will be implemented, with possible exemptions for some countries. Meanwhile, the euro is under pressure as its recent rally fades and Eurozone economic signals weaken, keeping EUR/USD on a downward path driven by dollar strength. Key resistance is at 1.0860, followed by 1.0950 and 1.1000. Support stands at 1.0730, with further levels at 1.0660 and 1.0600.
by ChartMage
Yields Weigh on EUR/USD: Euro at 1.0820EUR/USD is trading around 1.0820 on Monday, rebounding slightly from last week’s low of 1.0795. The euro has pulled back from its recent high of 1.0955 with uncertainty over Germany’s fiscal policy and rising global trade tensions. Caution persists before the April 2 announcement of new U.S. tariffs, which could weigh on the eurozone. Despite the modest recovery, the euro remains under pressure from stronger U.S. Treasury yields and demand for the dollar. Key resistance is at 1.0860, followed by 1.0950 and 1.1000. Support stands at 1.0800, with further levels at 1.0730 and 1.0670. 
by ChartMage
EUR/USD Daily Chart Analysis For Week of March 21, 2025Technical Analysis and Outlook: As indicated in the analysis conducted last week, the Euro has initiated a downward trend following a successful retest of the Mean Resistance level at 1.093. It is currently trending downward toward the Mean Support level at 1.078, potentially declining further to the Mean Support level at 1.061. Conversely, should the anticipated downward trend not materialize, the Eurodollar will retest the Mean Resistance level at 1.087, with an additional resistance level marked at 1.095.
by TradeSelecter