EURUSD Idea/ Forecast |euro buy signal2 scenarios for the EURUSD.
1st scenario, with a 60% probability, decline to the channel support line in the price range of 1.01930.
Entry around 1.01930, with the first target of 1.02450 and the 2nd target of 1.02785.
In the 2nd scenario, upward movement with high acceleration,
The first target is 1.02785 and the second target is monthly resistance at 1.03850
Goodluck
Eurodollarfutures
EuroDollar Futures CurveThe EuroDollar futures market is pricing in rate hikes as seen by the upward slope on the left, but the peak of the curve (contracts which expire in June and September of 2023) suggests that investors believe rates will reach their high and then go down after that and keep going down well into the foreseeable future.
This is an ominous sign that the Federal Reserve, and likely central banks all over the world, will be forced to abandon their current monetary policy tightening cycles and go back to near zero or zero rates once again (and likely quantitative easing of an unprecedented magnitude as well. $200B per month in treasuries?).
Bottom line, the downward slope in yield marks the approximate time of the next recession, according to the bets that are currently on the table. As always, anything can happen and opinions can change.
Buy the dip < Sell the rip