EURUSD - Vertical CurrencyIt is time again, after all the updates of the old analysis to create a new again to keep the overview. The-euro-sticks to the trading plan but the speed might surprise some people.
The vertical time sends greetings - welcome vertical markets, which will all accompany us in the next few months in various markets. Because my focus is on the higher level of the dayly and Weekly Chart, I do not lose myself in Swing or Daytrading, hoping to take the big and decisive moves with me.
The-EURUSD-now has room to reach the target area of 1.191. The resistance there should not be broken but it should then start a significant selloff and quickly go back to new lows.
Greetz from Hanover
Stefan Bode
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P.S.S. Rendite, Zinsen, Dividenden, Aktien, Edelmetalle, Beteiligungen, Wandeloptionsanleihen, Wald, Ackerland, Rinder, Immobilien, Photovoltaik …. gehören neben einen kleinen Anteil Kryptos ebenfalls in ein ausgewogenes Portfolio ;-)
Eurodollarlong
Fibonacci Long For The EUR/USDThe daily chart for the EUR/USD pretty much sums up today’s action. A big red candle is forming and downside support is coming into play.
To capitalize upon the sell-off, a long position from just above the daily 62% current wave retracement is a viable entry. Here is the trade:
1)Entry: Buy 1.1611
2)Stop Loss: 1.1572
3)Profit Target: 1.1636
4)Risk vs Reward: Sub 1/1
Convergence of technical indicators is always a good thing. While the 62% retracement (1.1608) stands alone, the proximity to the round number of 1.1600 gives credence to its potential effectiveness. This trade will remain valid until Friday's close.
Part 4 - Risk-off August - EUR/USD DailyEUR/USD – Daily Resistance & Support:
Resistance: 1.1800 / 1.2000 / 1.2150 / 1.2300 / 1.2800 / 1.2500
Support: 1.1500 / 1.4450 / 1.1310 / 1.1100 / 1.0800 / 1.0450
EUR/USD – Summary:
Expected to commence a Bullish Sequence which could reach 1.2000 or even 1.2150 Levels
Bearish Impulse expected at or around 1.2150 Levels
EuroDollar - Knife Catching is Fun(Trade this on 1Broker in my signature link for no-fees BTC-settled markets with social trading)
Sudden dump targeting stops under last week's low.
Conveniently did not sweep out June 1 liquidity.
I like the prospects of a day trade.
Long: 1.6519 (can get in cheaper now)
Stop: 1.519
Target: 1.828
R:R 2.84
Let retail sell the bear flag short. I believe if price hits my stop it'll head to new lows on longer time frames and is too dangerous to risk.
On the other hand you're longing an absolute doom candle, so that's always uncomfortable.
Stops and targets are how you navigate while doing your best to guess.
Will be a public trade on 1Broker when active. You can "copy" me on the platform as well.
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EU Fib Support and Resistance Zones: EURUSD zones of interestThese are price zones that Fibonacci analysis show to be important points.
Chart is expanded vertically to reduce overlap in price labels.
There are zones above and below currently display, drag chart around.
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See the Related Ideas below for ideas on how I use such zones.
EURUSD- Short tf (4hr) analysisThe EURUSD has being in a bullish trend since December 25 2016 (based on the Weekly tf) and the trend should resume albeit the temporary sell off as shown on the 4hr tf.
For the 4hr tf, I have shown the evolution of the trendline for price action with Trendline 1 being the major trendline, while Trendline 2 is a more recent and steeper trendline. Trendline 1 is therefore stronger than Trendline 2.
I have marked 3 areas in light green where the market offers support for the EURUSD
The actual number derived based on price projection (y axis) for the different support areas are given below:
floor 1: 1.23906 and 1.23960
floor 2: 1.23561 and 1.23599 (this intersects Trendline 2 so it is does offer a strong support for the EURUSD)
floor 3: 1.22977 and 1.22959 (This intersects Trendline 1 so I will consider floor 3 stronger than floor 2)
If EURUSD breaks via floor 1 then look for floor 2 to possibly provide support and if it doesn't then floor 3.
I have also marked Ceiling 1 and Ceiling 2 on the chart. These are resistance areas for the EURUSD and the range for each "ceiling" is given below.
Ceiling 1: 1.24874 and 1.24894
Ceiling 2: 1.25326 and 1.25329
P.S. Ceiling 3: ( I could not mark this on the chart as it is still a bit far away): 1.26107 and 1.26225
Most conservative trade : Wait for price action to move above the most recent high (i.e. 1.25568) and buy the BREAKOUT!. Your take profit area would be 1.26107 (the lower range of Ceiling 3). Your SL will be calculated based on how much you are willing to risk on the trade for this set up.Generally anything that offers a risk/reward of >3:1 is good.
Slightly Aggressive approach If price attempts to break above 1.24603 and then SL will be just under the lower range of floor 1: E.g. 1.23877
MOST Aggressive approach BUY as soon as the market opens and put your SL just below the lower range of floor 2. So maybe 1.23531
I like using 3 Moving averages and my personal preference is for the 40 EMA, 21 EMA and 9EMA. I use the slope of these 3 EMA's a a great way to also determine the trend. Currently, all 3 Moving averages have a rising slope so there is no reason to believe that the bullish trend in the EURUSD is over. A close in price action below Trendline 2 and also the 3 EMA's having a negative slope would make me REALLY consider my bullish bias for the EURUSD. If not, the EURUSD should remain bullish.
EURUSD LONGFX:EURUSD Euro Finally Broke out of the Consolidation Regions of 1.1700-1.1800 and Is set to Make Higher Highs on its Bull Run in 2018.
On an 1h Timeframe we are seeing some Channel Resistance keeping Price Tame. More Recently, we have had a 1H Bearish Closure below the 6 EMA Showing some Bearish Actions. I will be Looking for longs around 1.1925 or at the Channel Support
Euro Dollar back to range 1.04/1.15 Analyzing the Euro Dollar chart on a weekly time frame, it is clear how pair failed to break below 1.04. This level hold again ( third time ), giving bulls the strength to push the quote higher. Natural target for the upward movement is 1.15. A personalized stochastic to filter out most of fake signals is now crossing above the oversold area, thus confirming the bullish idea. However, in order to have a better signal, let's wait to cross above the area.
The analysis is valid for medium / term only.
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