There is no easy way out. Only painful exits now.Well done. Central banks did a great job. "QE worked and got us out of a recession". "The old models do not apply anymore" and bla bla bla this time it's different.
Dumb money made a dramatic entry in the markets this year, individual investing in volume terms went from something like 10% in 2019 to 30% in 2020.
And this includes market makers so retail you could say now makes more than half of the volume really (and used to make 1/5).
Alot of this volume is not legit stock picking but day gambling it is important to mention.
I think the price is going to skyrocket into a bubble before crashing hard.
Unlike the 30s where a lot of Germany pain was caused by foreign investors (USA) leaving - they were paying for Germany reparations - now the US stock market and economy crashing won't harm as much European countries, to the contrary capital will come back home and some growth should happen also with megacorps leaving the USA and coming to Europe (they already have their HQ in low tax Ireland & 75% of tech workers are foreign born).
Any third world country getting reparations from the USA especially the socialist ones is going to beg the IMF and Europe siiigh so either Europe will bend over and give them every thing they have or give just as much or just a little more they are already giving which won't be enough and those countries will end up like Sudan and so on.
Ivory Coast that between the 80s and 1999 declined massively has bounced back since the military coup (the soldiers cleaned up the country), Ghana said screw you we don't want your charity anymore a few years ago, Nigeria is doing fine...
Algeria is going to starve to death, Haiti well lol...
I estimated what the indice to GDP looked like since the 1920s a while ago:
In a few decades the new generations will call "the 20s" the 2020s and the 1920s will be like the middle ages, an extremely long time ago in dark times they know nothing about, people lived completely differently and all they know about it is 1 or 2 stereotypes from some phone video game.
People that say the media used to alarm us about global warming will get called liars and "old" and deniers.
I'm going to get rich by the time the rich are hated, gg my luck. I don't live in the USA though so should be all good. I have so many countries I can move too I am genetically diversified like an investment. Muricans though are done, and Puerto Rico isn't the holy grail. Multinationals couldn't care less they'll just move to Europe or the UK go say hi to their globalist friends. Multinational umbrella octopus corps have been profiting hard from China at the expense of the low skill workers not sure if China opening the markets and going liberal made much of a difference, the recent China dark turn sure didn't change much actually octopus corp is probably better off with obedient cheap slaves.
Umbrella corp is probably eagerly waiting for the USA to implode so they can hire cheap slaves there too especially for the slightly more advanced too.
I think alot of the antifa people are the tech guys that lost their jobs to migrants & China (you'd expect them to be strongly pro-Trump and maybe they'll end up being more than this, probably actually, let's not forget what Berlin SS recruiter reported "most of are recruits are ex-Antifa").
Disgusting corp wins on both sides:
- cheap slaves working in sweat shops with suicide nets
- americans that lost their jobs and purchasing power end up supporting the far left which is in megacorp best interest
Win-Win.
Hatred filed Antifa is getting more violent (who would have thought?) and they are now not just hitting people but murdering them, a new station security guard that is an Antifa member gunned down a pro Trump person. The media says he was not Antifa "verified by independent fact checkers" ye that guy literally 3 days before was being sarcastic about people that call Antifa not a group but an idea, and straight up said several times he WAS a member. The evidence is still online. He even has some of their symbols on him on pictures AND when he cowardly killed that man that slapped him.
Civil war soon. Too much hate. Since 1600 there has been a major bloody war every 76-78 years and it's been 75 since the last one.
The marxists sure are out for a fight I mean they're not hiding it they say they want blood.
I already covered the subject and am sort of repeating myself but this is investing, constant re-evaluation, not my fault if I was right from the start :D
Anyway I bought the tech stocks indice and might buy more later as it keeps ranging or slowly going up, getting ready for a potential big bubble rally.
I will NOT buy the next dip. I'm saying bye bye to the USA in the next year or 2 at most. Will be very careful.
Maybe it does not have to be crazy violent and painful, California Washington & Oregon make their own country that will become a 4rth world country utopia and the rest of the USA will be just fine. I wonder if Hawaii would join the West Coast?
The 47 states and a couple of territories.
If some states start to leave the Union, people are going to predict they'll all leave and make a huge communist block but in advance nah.
The most west ones and that's it. No big deal. USA Canada UNASS (Union of North American Socialist States, and after 10 years they figure out there is a no no word in there and rename it SUNAS but still sounds bad so USSNA but then it sounds too much like USA so...).
Money printer go brrrrr.
Europe
FTSE UK100 FTSE 100 we will see a change of tenure, put it in the comments.
They have marked supports and short- and medium-term resistance
This month we will be following it on our list and also the DAX, CAC AND IBEX35
A cordial Greeting L.E.D
In Spain at 6/10/2020
USD/CHF triangle breakoutHello,
As you can see on the hourly chart, a symmetrical triangle just occured.
Long position at breakout point around 0.9110.
Target: 0.9210 as per the measurement strategy (distance between lowest and highest point of the triangle which is around 100 pips)
Risk reward: 10
Already 50% of the target got achieved.
Good luck
EUR/USD !!!critical levels to watch!!!Hello everyone,
The pair is trading around a very critical support levels:
1- On the daily chart (left picture): on the verge of breaking the 50 SMA for the first time since May.
2- Tested the uptrend line from below which is a typical bearish behavior upon breakout.
3- On the 4H chart (right picture): Broke below 200 and 240 SMA for the first time since May.
4- Getting close to breaking the uptrend support line that's been holding since August.
Watch out for the above levels, do not trade before a confirmation of breakout and be aware of false breakouts.
Good luck, have a nice trading week.
SELL EURUSDEurope is losing the coronavirus battle again.
Spain, Portugal, France, etc. They have relapsed into high levels of infected people after having spent a very relaxed summer recovering.
A double-top channel has kept the price of the euro in continuous consolidation. It seems to me that on Monday it will fall again ... and then it will bounce again towards 1.20.
IBEX35 Trade still in play. Huge R:RI initially posted IBEX 35 set on July 30, it's taken quite longer than I thought it would but the trade is still in play with even better risk reward ratio.
Original chart
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See related links for previous idea
Good Luck!!!
EUR/USD deeper retracement aheadHello everyone,
As you look on the chart above, a negative picture for the pair is being favorable for the following reasons:
1- Broke below the uptrend line that has been intact since May.
2- Broke below the 20 SMA.
3- Hit the 50 SMA for the first time since May.
Initial target is at 1.1690 and even deeper at 1.1495 March high.
Good luck
EUR/USD Uptrend support line intactHello traders,
EUR/USD is trading above an uptrend support line that has been accompanying the pair since mid May, making higher highs and higher lows.
It is also worth mentioning that the pair is trading above all its main moving averages.
The up trend is supported by slightly hawkish Lagarde's speech last week and dovish FOMC, and that is making the fundamentals between the two currencies narrower than before.
Long positions are safe as long as the pair is trading above the medium term up trend support today at 1.1760, and the critical support at 1.1690.
Next resistance level/bulls target is at 1.1965 followed by 1.2010.
Good luck
TESLA IS LOSING VALUE CAUSE OF PORSCHE?After a strong bull behavior in the first half of 2020, now is starting to get bear as we can see the MACD indicator changing the price with a non-stable William’s Alligator index due to the necessity of a readjustment in the price. As Tesla has become the most valuable automotive Industry, recently Porsche have announced that they will make only Electrical Cars, making the German house a very strong competitor in the Europe field mainly, due to that the price as the exclusivity have fall. Not a financial advice.
Entry zone: 369.15
Stop lose: 388.67
Target zone: 330.74
EURUSD SEPT 6TH - 11TH OUTLOOK OUR VIEW OF EURUSD, POSSIBLE BULLISH CONT. TO THE 1.20'S
MA'S CROSSED UP
WEEKLY PRICE CLOSE REJECTION OF THE LOWS
BULLISH PRICE PATTERN
SHOULD THE OPPOSITE OCCUR, AND A BEARISH TREND BEGINS THEN WE WILL LOOK
FOR A RETEST OF MARCH 9TH HIGH 1.15 (THIS CAN HAPPEN LATER)
FEEL FREE TO COMMENT BELOW...
Euro priming up for 1.25?We’ve recently talked about the potential demise of the U.S. Dollar. What currency is poised to benefit the most from the devaluation of the dollar? Euro is the first thing that comes to mind.
Shortly after the safe-haven trade that pushed the dollar up against major currencies, the Euro started to rally over the U.S. dollar. After strongly piercing through 1.10, a relatively strong downtrend alongside piercing and 1.15 with relative strength, It is eyeing up a similar push up on these factors.
Technical trends point to a move higher in the Euro
Pointed above, we can see that the push past 1.10 – 1.11 broke a 2-year downtrend for the Euro. Furthermore, we can see a similar pattern where the Euro against the US Dollar consolidates for about two weeks before making a push upwards, usually on the back of positive data coming from Europe alongside harmful data coming from the United States. It shows that bulls are most likely just looking for any excuse to push the pair higher.
Euro wants to take the throne as the world’s reserve currency
This is quite unlikely ever to happen, as many commodities such as Gold and Oil are settled using the U.S. dollar. Nevertheless, the current headwinds pushing the U.S. Dollar downwards have been giving the world’s second reserve currency a time to shine.
Europe has relatively outperformed the United States regarding the Coronavirus, benefiting the Euro
The United States has consistently been posting 200,000+ new daily recorded Coronavirus cases, with the government doing little to nothing to prevent the further spread of the Coronavirus. Meanwhile, Europe has attempted to restrict the virus’s spread by imposing mandatory lockdowns in many countries. However, their reopening may be too early as we can see a resurgence in many countries in Europe. However, there is still a stark difference in how the governments have come together to fight the virus, and this may prove to be a game-changer in the long term for the Euro.
And obviously, U.S. dollar weakness
The U.S. Dollar is suffering strong headwinds due to inflation concerns, quantitative easing, and general risk-off sentiment in the markets. This may also signal a show shift in European bonds and equities, with U.S. investors looking elsewhere for yield.
Considering the U.S. dollar’s headwinds alongside recent strength in the Euro, it is likely we may see the Euro blow past 1.20 against the U.S. dollar on any positive news regarding Europe.
EUR is overbought and has been struggling with major resistanceHello everyone,
In this chart you can see the major EUR/USD longterm downtrend. And as we can now see the Euro has come up to a major inflection point.
Currencies turn over a longer period so we should still see 45-60 days of chopiness between 1.18-1.20. And then I'd give a 70 % Probability of the Euro going down against the dollar.
Though most recently the (the last few days) the dollar has weakened more although still within the parameters of this trade. A weekly close could give more info on where the Euro is going.
For perspective check out the other ideas linked below.
Thank you,
Stay safe, stay liquid.
Did The Unsustainable EUR/USD Growth Come To An End?EUR/USD has made an incredible run over the last two months. It is extremely rare to see such an increase in the forex markets. However, all things must come to an end.
Trading forex, the trend has always been much more important than any other market. And here we can observe resistance to our uptrend.
There is a confluence of three important things that I will be discussing here:
1. Horizontal Resistance
We can see a resistance block that has created a lot of friction for EUR/USD. So far there were multiple attempts around the 1.19 zone, but none of them successfully made it through
2. H&S
There is a head and shoulders pattern forming, which is another bearish sign. We are currently moving towards the right shoulder, which means that we might see a temporary increase but ultimately we expect a drop.
3. Trend Reversal
If you zoom out we can see the big orange line which shows that the trend has been going upwards consistently but now is making a turn downwards. Also the RSI shows a similar pattern (I took a larger RSI length of 30 to show that) where it now goes into a negative momentum of <50 RSI.
All of these combined give me confidence that the price will drop, and caused me to give the 'short' recommendation.
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EUR/USD Uptrend over ?The pair faced some fresh strong bearish pressure as we go through the end of the week. The move is probably fueled by weak Eurozone PMIs today, which raised investors fears of a slow recovery in the continent that might push the ECB to proceed with additional stimulus.
Also, rising Covid-19 cases in some European countries is shifting the risk for the pair to the downside.
Looking at the chart, the market already broke below the 20-SMA which provided some support in the recent past, and is trading below an uptrend line on the 4H chart.
The bullish bias remains valid as long as the pair is trading above a Daily uptrend shown on the chart above, today at 1.16.
Good luck