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Europe

Terribad economic data EURUSD sh*** itselfIf this is a sell the rumor buy the news thing then EURUSD might bounce soon as economic data was released (for germany) and was bad, it's at the bottom of the channel too. But idk... I would not buy. Keeping most of my trading accounts in USD myself for now, since early 2018... Looks like it is about to crap itself big time. Probably a bit of hesitation first. Rates still negative in globalist europe and not getting better. Europe still compassionate for now and taking millions of migrants in. Do not forget about "With Brexit the UK economy will collapse" This will age in the most hilarous way (: Watch europe collapse politically economically and "currencilly". After Brexit, Frexit Polexit Italyxit? Let Germany enjoy its 500 million retirees or whatever that is, its 500 millions "refugees" that go back to the country they supposidely ran from as vacations that are not participating in the economy and just more mouths to feed "free money". They're investigating deep negative rates, bunch of clowns all of them. It's so obvious and straight forward. More refugees and old people that get free money, less business people, finance people, and wage workers to pay for all that free stuff, troll central banks going negative rates to pay for it ====> currency goes "Prrfffft" like a fart turning into a diarrhea. "Free stuff" does not exist in nature. Everything has a price. Politicians with pea size brains and huge compassionate hearts won't change 4 billion years of laws of nature. Every single organism has had to spend calories AND/OR take risks to get its required calories and nutrients. Lions spend calories to chase antilopes, lions take risks if they attack a hyppo, then they have to defend their meal, plants have to produce their own protection against UV to get energy, they also take risks popping out of the ground like this, so even plants that are primary producers and considered to get their requirement "for free" aren't really getting it for free. Gnus are way too stupid to know it, but they take a huge risk when they go to the watering hole. The risk is getting ripped apart by hungry crocs. Printing magical ressources out of thin air or letting people borrow magical ressources at magical mathematically impossible negative rates to magically create value out of thin air is a recent human invention. You won't ever see bears inventing & eating herbivores that they'll hunt later on and end up never hunting. The law of conservation of mass-energy is still being thought about but at least on our planet it has been verified. It has been demonstrated in chemical reactions at least. Minds change over time. Superpowers end up being considered weak nations, and the herd laughs at saying poor countries can become big ones and the opposite too. Europe is slowly but surely shifting into one big joke. They're going to end up in some serious trouble.
by MrRenev
1
Juventus: Bearish trendToday I have a quite unusual stock. Instead of watching Italian football, why not watching some Italian stocks. First of all we can see a bearish trend to the resistence line (1.1185). However, at this point it could reverse. Points to consider: - There is not high volume fluctuations (price will not increase/decrease drastically) - Price quite below EMA 8 so the bearish trend will continue (also was proved with EMA 12 and the result was the same). - RSI (important): it is trading at a very low value (30 approximately) so it could speed the decreasing trend up.
MIL:JUVE
by lukdesimone
EUR/USD: Short Signal 23:43:01 (UTC) Mon Jan 6, 2020With this trade setup, we're looking to take advantage of market structure. A confluence adding an additional detail of confluence is the key institutional level of 1l12. The right should (15m was valid), and no we see a nice shooting star 15m pattern before getting choppy. At the moment 1.12 is holding as resistance. We will be looking for a retracement extension shown in the green shownside target which is the 1.27. 4-hr doji, hanging man, and bearish entities are reasons why I am confident in thus short sell to 1.1 Trade at break even. WIll continue to hil dthis trade short into the week. Trade posted in channel. 23:43:01 (UTC) Mon Jan 6, 2020 *This is not financial advice. Forex carries a high level of risk not suitable for all investors.*
Short
by TayFx
3
EUR/USD Short Setup 20:30:40 (UTC) Sun Jan 5, 2020With an entire year of liquidity ahead of us we can finally remain back to normal. However with the increase in unexpected geopolitical risk, we've seen metals, oil , and a general risk-off sentiment seen by the market. We can now trade with the expectation of normal liquidity as major smart money and institutions are back online.\Make sure stop loss are in place (double check) as the chances of trump tanking or shooting up the market is high. The threats for the wrong are nothing to be unaware of especially with capital that is related to safe havens.There was a quote Sharp so off that was seen at the exact level of resistance posted last week here on this page. We now have seen a 4-hr morning store, rejecting the back of this trend line. My bias is short, and my downside target is 1.1 Last friday we couldn't enter a trade because it continued to push, however the retracement has begun. I am now looking for short entries for the euro .I think we will push up to the price shown where I will enter short to 1.1 20:30:40 ( UTC ) Sun Jan 5, 2020 *This is not financial advice. I am not a licensed financial advisor. Seek a licensed financial advisor before making any investment decisions. I am not responsible for losses or gains that may or may not occur in the marketplace. Forex carries a high level of risk not suitable for all investors.* *This is not financial advice. Forex carries a high level of risk not suitable for all investors.*
Short
by TayFx
7
Brazilian Real to trade higherLooking at the recent changes in Brazil the technicals and fundamentals are lining up for a stronger BRL. BRL may open stronger Thursday, as the central bank delivered an expected 50bp rate cut, but notably removed the following sentences from the statement. “In the Copom evaluation, the evolution of the basic scenario and the balance of risks prescribes an adjustment in the degree of monetary stimulus, with a reduction of the Selic rate by 0.50 percentage points. The Committee considers that the consolidation of the benign scenario for prospective inflation should allow an additional adjustment of equal magnitude." It also took out the phrase "in any further adjustments in the degree of stimulus" from the following line in the October statement: “The Copom understands that the current stage of the economic cycle recommends caution in any further adjustments in the degree of stimulus.” - S&P followed the rate decision by upgrading Brazil’s outlook from stable to positive. Looking at the technicals the EUR/BRL is currently at the Monthly Pivot and is making lower highs and lower lows - finding resistance above. There is a lot of possible liquidity below the Yearly Pivot as this acted as strong support from the summer.
by ForexVox
ridethepig | EURUSD 2020 Macro Map + Flow BreakdownAfter failing to clear 1.12xx before Christmas it is a good time to update the infamous macro chart. The floor is showing signs of permanently raising higher and with markets itching to play the reflation theme in H120, USD devaluation entering into play via Fed flooding USD supply side and we are going see a sharp reversal triggered here with momentum on the channel break in Q120. Lets start by digging deeper into how we got here; those who have followed my post since 2018 will remember the Long Term EURUSD chart: After an exhaustive 2nd wave via protectionism fuelling trade war outflows and causing European macro numbers to ran out of steam, we FINALLY started to find a floor via ECB Tiering : For those with an understanding in waves, you will notice the picture is a lot clearer on the weekly : Although expensive with rollovers the lows have been very tradable, a loud well done all those who caught the initial breakout which we traded live here: Support for USD is starting to run out... with all roads leading to weakness the highs in DXY are likely set for a very long time. We are trading the very highs in the range on the monthly chart, it's crunch time. The USD 2019 Macro Chartbook: We are sitting at the loading zone for year-end, for the flows and target-wise I am aiming for 1.16xx in Q420 and beyond 1.20xx into 2021. Invalidation for the trade will come in below 1.095xx and reassessment of the bullish view will only be necessary if we break through the gap from 2017 French Elections (both are highly unlikely to test now as USD devaluation has already begun via repo crisis). Plenty of resistance above the market, I would expect chop to continue into January and with liquidity dry we can look to add to our longs when participants return to their desks on 27th. Good luck to those trading EURUSD in 2020 and already in longs or for those waiting patiently on the sidelines for the breakout to form. As usual thanks sooo much for keeping your support coming with likes and jumping into the comments!
Long
by ridethepig
19
Brexit FUD is over. Labour party worse result since 1935!I am so proud of the UK. In the 1930s they rejected the growing populism in the world, and in 2019 they did the same. All the propaganda, all the demonizing, and the forces of anti-freedom still lost, but a huge margin! And if europe falls, we shall go on to the end. We shall fight in France, we shall fight on the seas and oceans, we shall fight with growing confidence and growing strength in the air, we shall defend our island, whatever the cost may be. We shall fight on the beaches, we shall fight on the landing grounds, we shall fight in the fields and in the streets, we shall fight in the hills; we shall never surrender. The short sellers got scammed hard. "Oh no the GB economy will collapse if they leave". Those shorts have started to burn. Their will be suckers rally, which I intend to join. But I see the pound going up in general (different pairs may have different results at least the GBP against the EURO will I am nearly certain, continue to skyrocket). Bears are getting their faces ripped off... The perfect move would look like this: We need a desperate attempt by GBP bears to get filled at a high RR in a high probability area. What is good for us, on tradingview, Boris Johnson said he wanted the UK to be a world leader in tech innovations and finance. They totally understand and support what we do, and want more of it. I think the UK is going to be pretty safe from extremism as it has always been. I wonder what deal they're going to get and how things will be for Ireland, and what will happen in Scotland, for some reason alot want to stay in the EU. The experiment is about to fall apart, they should at least wait a few years before making emotional decisions... There are so many medium sized and small countries in europe but a huge block like what it become is too much. Different cultures languages etc... Did they think they could create something like the United States? Germany Austria and Hungary could merge, maybe a little more, and being bigger like this would make them more relevant, Belgium the Netherlands and Luxembourg could merge to not be as small, Denmark Sweden Norway maybe Finland, Estonia Latvia Lithuania could merge. I think it would be beneficial to them to make unions of 3 to 5 countries, rather than have all these tiny places, who knows or cares about Slovenia seriously? Instead of 35 irrelevant countries in Europe, it could be a place with a few large federations or unions. Right now to me Europe is: UK - Portugal - Spain - France - Italy - Germany - Poland - Ukraine - Romania - Greece - (Sweden) - (Turkey) - (Maghreb) - (Russia) - The Rest In () the places that are peripherical to "main" europe. Europe maybe made sense right after WW2, but this does not make as much sense anymore (also, we built a huge empire around germany to keep their conquest ambitions tamed?). Europe is too ambitious and makes little sense. It's so big that it doesn't work and no one outside of it takes it really seriously. The place could have around a dozen merged states instead of 35+ and they would all have a certain importance, it would make european countries more relevant and recognizable, China would speak to the Polish Lithuanian commonwealth and take them seriously, but you think they care about Latvia and Belarus? Does anyone in the USA Or SEA have any clue Belarus even exists? Poland + Lithuania + Latvia + Estonia + Belarus + Ukraine have a combined population of 100 million and a GDP of 900 billion, close to 1 trillion, which could bring them to the table with the big boys. They would actually be in the top 20 and a force to be reckoned with not some collection of "third world dumps". But by themselves even the biggest ones - Poland and Ukraine - bring smile to people, no one takes them seriously. Poland lmao, it's even a joke in west europe to call someone Polish. Europe has to fall for european countries to grow together and bloom? Because why consider some alliances if you can just join europe. Would also be nice to be able to trade some relevant (and uncorrelated) currencies because mini currencies like the Polish Zloty let me tell you they suck! And low liquidity, high spreads... The currency doesn't even move by itself according to its own country economy... We live in an open world, earth is much bigger than europe, so tiny countries do not make much sense anymore. This doesn't mean they should go for the complete extreme with an union of 25 countries that speak different languages... As usual, people are only able to think in extremes, and it failed. AS IT ALWAYS DOES. Good riddance. Long live the queen.
Long
by MrRenev
1
EURAUD Reversal PatternThis idea is similar to my GBPAUD idea which is still valid. Awaiting the break and close is our trigger. EURAUD hit a resistance zone at 1.6320. We have been in an uptrend, but one factor which goes against this idea would be the swings, or higher lows, are not very prominent. However, there are 2 swings in the trend which is good for our trading. We can see the bounce to make another higher low has been sold. It appears we will be making our FIRST lower high with the break of the 1.6210 zone. This is the zone I am watching for a break. 1.6120 is a previous flip zone and 1.6095 is a demand zone both of which we can target.
Short
by Uncharted-FX
2