💵Euro/U.S.Dollar💵 Analyze!!Euro is moving in Descending channel and makes the Double Three Correction(WXY) for completing the main wave B.
I expect that Euro will go down to the Support zone. And then it goes up to the Resistance zone & Important Resistance line.
🔅Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD ) Timeframe 1H⏰
🔴Resistance Zone🔴: 1.028$ until 1.025$
🟢Support Zone🟢:1.0079$ until 1.0068$
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy, this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
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Europe
2022/7/28 11:59 EUR/JPY analyse
Pivot Point: 137.6
Currently: Consolidating at this 138.6 level , its next support zone is at 139.8
Reaction: Resisted at 137.31 and retraced back to 136.75
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EUROPE is going to enter into recession soonThe closer the winter, the stronger Russia leverages against Europe become.
Main one being natural gas.
Europe imports 90% of it's gas and Russia was importing 40% of it. Prices were much cheaper than LNG since it was transferred through pipes.
Now, the biggest gas pipeline in Europe - Nord Stream is getting used by Russia as a weapon against European countries. By cutting supply to 20% of pipeline's power, Russia expects Europe to stop supporting Ukraine in it's attempt to defend the country. Surely, Russia plans to cut it completely in the near future when it will damage European economies the most.
Compare this year prices with 2021 and you will be terrified because it grew more than 10 times. And remember that during summer natural gas prices are the cheapest. As winter approaches and when Nord Stream will shut down completely we can easily double in price.
More than 25% of German businesses say they are considering temporary or complete shutdown. Already more than 8% of heavy industry in Germany were put on hold since factories stop being profitable because of increased manufacturing costs.
Bottom line: Fundamentally natural gas prices will grow and European economies will suffer.
By following fundamental analysis lets look at technical:
We updated historical highs, but that was false breakout. It's wise to look for continuation of bullish trend, that's why I draw 2 scenarios.
1. From current price we approach top of the false breakout and after some range push higher.
2. We will be in range for a couple days, using bottom trendline as support. Closer to the end of formation we will squeeze to the previous level and break through it.
What do you think of this idea? What is your opinion? Share it in the comments📄🖌
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P.S. Always do your own analysis before a trade. Put a stop loss. Fix profit in parts. Withdraw profits in fiat and reward yourself and your loved ones
Fading rallies in EURGBPEURGBP - Intraday - We look to Sell at 0.8475 (stop at 0.8505)
Although the bears are in control, the stalling negative momentum indicates a turnaround is possible. A higher correction is expected. The bias is still for lower levels and we look for any gains to be limited. We therefore, prefer to fade into the rally with a tight stop in anticipation of a move back lower.
Our profit targets will be 0.8390 and 0.8325
Resistance: 0.8460 / 0.8600 / 0.8720
Support: 0.8325 / 0.8200 / 0.8060
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Euro (EUR) vs The Dollar (USD) Goes Nuclear, A 20 Years EventWe have parity between the Euro and US Dollar for the first time in 20 years, something completely unexpected but it is happening now as the world changes and evolves.
This month took the EURUSD to a long-term support that based on technical analysis can lead to a pullback before prices continue to drop.
The current EURUSD bear market has been going for 5113 days/170 months or a little over 14 years.
I can't really say about timing but a pullback is due based on the technicals...
On a pullback, the main target/resistance is the counter-trendline, plotted here in blue named "Falling trendline".
Another possible scenario is straight down before a recovery shows up.
Chart:
Nuclear war?
Namaste.
EURUSD - CHOPPY!EURUSD
CPI print came out higher, we had bearish movement of EUR but we covered that before end of the day and now re-testing those support lows again break of these area then yes we have further bearish movement and I expect the next support areas to come swiftly in control BUT if we stay above these support areas and re-test out of those highs I expect short term bullish movement.
Keep in mind the fundamentals:
FEDs soon to go on black out and we have ECB next week. Now ECB they always behind, lag very much they do but could they do 1 hike rate? I mean sure recession is on the table can't really rule that out globally so overall we could be choppy until clear direction of ECB but overall DXY looks over done and when you keep an eye on 10's etc on yields it's inverting overall and that's where you've seen recession trade idea which was on my week ahead out look that can be seen via my trading view account links on YT - I stated very clearly CRUDE WTI its a recession trade, goes down less demand etc.
Patience is key!
TJ
BUY EURUSDJust an idea and trade at your own risk.
EURUSD remains bearish on the monthly timeframe with possible next target to the monthly lower downtrend channel at area 0.90.
EURUSD on the daily timeframe reached the lower downtrend channel (white lines) at parity.
Correction may be under way to the previous broken support and demand zone area (currently resistance and supply zone) at 1.0360-1.0400.
$EUR - UPDATED CHART (WHERE TO NEXT?)$EUR - UPDATED CHART (WHERE TO NEXT?)
HAPPY FRIDAY!
Soo...what a great week right one of my best weeks in ages great volatility for this summer as its understandable, now we do have NFP but I have ONE last remaining support for EURO to complete this inverse Cup & Handle Pattern.
We could reach 0.99550 areas. Today is another new low but we do also have NFP. Any lower of those areas I expect yr 2000 - 2002 price areas to come into play - PARITY! Next week I will be looking at this pair very careful and I will be sharing in the various platforms I am part of. Also, be wise - Don't be picking bottoms..
Be careful trading out there, keep an eye on the key levels and take care!
TJ
EUR/USD hits parity as short-term rate differentials widenThe euro-dollar pair ( EUR/USD ) achieved parity today, an occurrence not seen in nearly two decades (November 2002), as a fresh energy crisis in Europe threatens the onset of a recession.
It's been a rough year for the euro, losing nearly 11% of its value versus the dollar since January and 15% over the last 12 months.
The short-term (2-year) bond yields divergence between the US and Europe continues to widen, as the market anticipates that the Federal Reserve and the European Central Bank will continue to pursue distinct monetary policy paths.
The yield on a 2-year US Treasury note is 2.6 percentage points (260 basis points) higher than Germany's yield on the same maturity ( DE02Y ), the largest spread since the start of the year.
The upbeat data on the U.S. job market that was released on Friday cemented analysts' expectations of a further 0.75-percentage-point hike by the Federal Reserve in July, propelling the dollar's broad strength.
The exceptional resiliency of the U.S. job market has bolstered the convictions of an aggressive Federal Reserve. Non-farm payrolls in the United States increased much more than predicted in June (up 372k vs. 265k consensus), the unemployment rate stayed at historically low levels of 3.6%, and wages continued to climb at a solid clip. It implies that the labour market is still exceptionally tight and that the US economy is not yet in a phase of demand contraction, implying the need to persist with interest rate rises at a quick pace.
Even though the 14-day RSI continues to show oversold levels, from a technical point of view, widening US-Europe rate differentials, reflecting differing monetary trajectories by the Fed and ECB, might continue to exert downward pressure on the EUR/USD pair in the near future.
Idea written by Piero Cingari, forex and commodities analyst at Capital.com
💵Euro/U.S.Dollar💵(Road Map)!!!🗺️Today, we will check the EURUSD pair technical analysis in the Monthly timeframe chart. The EURUSD pair has been in a downtrend structure for 14 years , and the chart follows a Double Zigzag Correction based on Elliott Wave theory.
The Structure of the microwave C of Main wave Y is Expanding Ending Diagonal . Most probably, microwave 2 of the microwave C of Main wave Y will Finish in the Support Zone and at my TRZ (Time Reversal Zone).
🔅 Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD ) Timeframe Monthly ⏰
🔴 Resistance Zone 🔴: 1.24$ until 1.20$
🟢 Support Zone 🟢: 0.98$ until 0.956$
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy , this is just my idea, and I will be glad to see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
ADIDAS - It's time for a long ?Fundamentals:
- massive drop from the tops
- still good bussinses
- incoming football championships in the 2022 should boost the price
AT:
- reached the strong support, should at least made a correction up
- signal candle for trend change to upside
but this is only my point of view, not a recomendation.I wonder what do You think about this idea. Up, Down or maybe sideways ?
Eurostoxx Ultimate Pivot PointsReading charts is just one part of trading a bear market, another highly significant part is a solid understanding of market psychology, heuristics and biases. Having spent 14 years in a QE fuelled bull market where there were few inexplicable events and certainly no major forced liquidation events, it is easy to understand why so many participants get so excited about two days of asset flows out of commodities and into tech names. Yes, the market can go higher from here, yes it can go lower, but calling a major bottom and repeatedly getting attached to these short squeezes is all part of the psychological conditioning that has been happening to many over the last 14 years. Therefore we would suggest waiting for extremes where there is nobody else left to buy or sell, this is where the odds are stacked firmly in one's favour. Patience. Discipline. And more patience.
ECB President expects another rate hike in SeptemberEUR/USD 🔼
GBP/USD ▶️
AUD/USD 🔼
USD/CAD 🔽
XAU ▶️
WTI 🔼
In their respective speeches, the leaders from the European Central Bank and Reserve Bank of Australia (RBA) both agreed for raising interest rates to limit inflation within 2-3%, while hinting at returning to more rounds. EUR/USD managed to close at 1.0509, currently on the rebound to 1.0530. In his speech, the RBA Governor also expects high inflation rates for the rest of 2022. AUD/USD closed at 0.6948 and is slowly recovering from 0.6944.
GBP/USD and Gold Futures mostly traded flat yesterday, the British Pound exchange rate against the greenback is mostly unchanged at 1.225, with minor gains and a sluggish growth rate. The UK Consumer Price Index on Wednesday should provide further information on the growth of price levels. Meanwhile, Gold futures have experienced minor oscillations at a high of 1,847.7, to close at 1,840.7.
The Canadian currency was weakened by a sudden drop in crude oil prices last week, USD/CAD closed at 1.2979, and the Existing Home Sales in May for the US and Core Retail Sales for Canada will be released tonight. Crude oil closed at 108.77, then soon returned to 110.06 a barrel.
More information on Mitrade website.