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You can buy it here.. Its fineOMXCOP:VWS Recent pullback is a fine buying opportunity. Maybe we bottomed and break the downtrend now, Maybe we have a leg lower to ~120 - a chance to back up the truck. In any case this one will AT LEAST double in value over the next 3 years. Europe will make a lot of windmills in the next 3 years, it is vital for the future of European energy independence, so if you believe there is a future - then this is a good company to build a position in this winter. Cheers.
OMXCOP:VWSLong
by PotatoJuice99
4
Macro Monday 39 - Euro Area Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI)Macro Monday 39 Euro Area Economic Sentiment Indicator (Next Release is this Wednesday 27th March 2024) Last week we covered the the Euro Area ZEW Economic Sentiment Index (the "ZEW Index") and learned that the sentiment data for the ZEW Index comes from 350 economists spanning the Euro Area (20 of the 27 EU member states that use the Euro currency). The ZEW Index attempts to provide a sentiment lead with economists factoring in their 6 month forward projections into the sentiment data. This week we look at a different more current sentiment indicator, the Euro Area Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI). The data for the ESI is derived from the businesses and consumers of all 27 EU Member States. The ESI therefore has a larger data set to the 20 countries covered in the ZEW Index. The ESI is closer to the truth of what businesses and consumers are currently experiencing on the ground across Europe. The ESI is not forward looking like the ZEW index, the ESI should be considered a coincident indicator presenting the current state of economic sentiment among businesses and consumers across the EU. In any event we can still use the ESI data and the chart to identify trends and to know where sentiment stands when it is released each month. Interestingly, at present the ESI figure is more negative than the ZEW Index. The ZEW is in positive sentiment territory (forward looking) whilst the ESI is firmly in negative sentiment territory (current outlook). Based on each data sets objective, you would think that the ESI would move into positive territory over the coming 6 months based on the forward looking positive ZEW Index. No guarantees of course. We can watch this as it plays out in real time and see if the ESI follows the ZEW Index. Lets have a closer look at the ESI The Euro Area Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) is a measure created by the European Commission to gauge economic confidence across the Euro Area. The survey data for the Economic Sentiment Indicator (ESI) is initially collected at the national level for each country within the Euro Area. These individual country results are then aggregated to create the overall ESI, which reflects the economic sentiment for the entire EU (all 27 countries). The data is also seasonally adjusted to account for regular seasonal variations and provide a clearer picture of the underlying economic trends. The data is derived from survey responses from the following economic sectors in each country (with weightings); 1. Industry (40%) 2. Services (30%) 3. Consumers (20%) 4. Retail (5%) 5. Construction (5%) Balances are constructed as the difference between the percentages of respondents giving positive and negative replies. The ESI data is scaled to a long-term average of 100 with a standard deviation of 10. This means that the average sentiment over time is set at 100. As the ESI’s scale centers around a mean of 100 values above this suggest higher-than-average confidence, while those below indicate lower confidence. It’s seasonally adjusted to reflect consistent economic trends. The Chart (above subject chart) The chart follows the structure discussed above and we have split the chart by color as follows: >100 = Above Average Economic Sentiment🟢Green <100 = Above Average Economic Sentiment🔴 Red ▫️ As you can see on the chart we made a record low in pessimism in May 2020 at 58.7 which was closely followed by a record high in optimism in Oct 2021 at 119.5. ▫️ The chart has arrows that are 17pts in length. You will see the arrows across the chart whereby if there was a greater than 17pt drop from the green zone into red the red zone, this historically has coincided with recession ▫️ The most recent drop from🟢119.5 in Oct 2021 to 🔴93.9 in Oct 2023 is a drop of 25.6pts, greater than the 17pt typical recession drop. "This time might be different" may actually apply because we had all time highs in sentiment in Oct 2021, however that does not detract from the fact we are currently firmly in negative economic sentiment sub 100 at 95.4. ▫️ You can see that any time we have fallen below the 85 level (red dotted line) we have confirmed a recession. This does not mean that you need a sub 84 reading for a recession, only that when this has occurred in the past, it only occurred during some of the deeper recessions. A quick note on the Euro Area terminology as this was bugging me as the ESI covers all 27 EU member states Euro Area Terminology? The term “Euro Area Economic Sentiment Indicator” can be somewhat misleading because the ESI indeed covers all 27 EU Member States, not just those in the 20 in the Euro Area or Eurozone. The name likely persists because the ESI is particularly significant for the Euro Area, where economic policies are closely aligned and the shared currency means that economic sentiment has direct implications for monetary policy. However, the ESI’s broader EU-wide scope allows for a comprehensive view of economic sentiment across the entire European Union, which is valuable for comparative analysis and policy-making at the EU level. Thank for coming along again, if you like the content and find it informative please let me know PUKA
ECONOMICS:EUEOI
by PukaCharts
2
EURGBP This Week: What's New ? Good Evening, Despite of the meetings the European Central Bank did and especially Bank of England in which it raised the inflation recently, we need to talk in technical analysis language and in an easy simplified language in which traders out there can claim what's going on. So here are the key points: - There is bearish order block set in 0.87081 level which is a good sign we're still safe going bear, in addition to a character of change that was broken below from the previous lower low. - Speaking of EMA's, the current candle is ready to the 50 EMA. Hopefully, things are still going in our favor (for those who are willing to go short). - In sort of Technical Indicators, the very most popular indicators, MACD, for example, admits strongly for going short in addition to RSI, was previously overbought and still in a high level. I can go much more further and give more and more advanced analysis, but I like to keep things simple and easy to catch so traders can find my analysis quite handy.
Short
by JawadShoukeir
1
European equities facing a headwindThe European equity index is a tough one to analyses. The index has had a strong recovery, however, there are still structural headwinds that the EU faces. Interest rates in the EU zone are unlikely to rise anytime soon whilst the Euro is likely to be deflationary going forward. The trading signals suggest that the index has reached a high point and needs a correction to the downside. Whether that's temporary or signals a consolidation range, remains to be seen. Please like and follow for daily posts on various asset classes. Please also share your views on the trading ideas and whether or not you find them to be of any value to you as a trader. Please note, this idea is shared for educational and discussion purposes only and should not result in speculative investment decisions in any asset class.
AMEX:IEVShort
by JesseMorgans
One last push before everyone starts to take profits (Europe 50)4000 is an interesting number for Europe 50 index. This is the value that acted as resistance in July 2007 which reversed around 80% of upward movement. Also, this was the highest point before the 2008 market crash. Europe 50 is increasing at an increasingly fast rate near a powerful resistance which could only be explained by one scenario. The market could very well be pushing the price upward before start taking profits. It wants to test the 4000 limit so bad, it barely tested the previous high resistance at 3860. It looks like the market going to skip past the previous high it had before the market crash in 2020. This is not a good time to buy Europe 50. US30 rejected twice at the level of Jan/2020. JAPAN225 had to fight 6 months to get past the pre-covid market level. AUS200 is still fighting the pre-covid market level for three months now. Does Europe 50 has a free ticket to pass this major resistance? I don't think so. Get ready for a big pump and dump. This is just an idea, not a financial advice.
OANDA:EU50EURShort
by titusj
DAX30 - Short into 2021Let's see what the go is. This is a long term view based upon one very important principle. Why are we selling? Price is expensive and volatile - during the election process in the US, the worlds relationships are affected The election is coming closer <45 days. The S&P500 and NAS100 are not shown here but use reference for our previous ideas to show where price has reached our over exposed markers. The stocks have recovered well from a V - shaped recovery, but the Gap fill has not occurred. Covid 19 - second wave has concerned EU governements - with further pumping of money to "control" the costs of job losses and curb closures. We have established a great supply or essentially a strongly overvalued market again in quick succession, however price will be giving some good areas to sell. Particularly a break of 13,000 down to 10,000 and beyond for an extension. Pay close attention to the markets like CAC, IBEX FTSE MIB and FTSE UK - all are showing signs of weakness and poor price action. The monthly shows us a perfect area which we are currently in to go short. Keep your average price consistent when closing out profits or losses - this is important in trade management. We are not selling at random times, there is a reason for this at specific levels. Because the market shows these levels. The trade we will be taking is the least path of resistance. Why follow us? Updates on our pairs as and when we can. Swing trade out looks 10 years combined experience in capital markets simple breakdowns for beginners to advanced . KISS - keep it simple stupid. we trade purely from naked charts, less indicators - remove the noise. If you like our work, please leave a like or comment. To all our followers, we appreciate the follow and likes. Thanks, Team Lupa
XETR:DAXShort
by LupaCapital
5
“EuroStoxx: going up as expected" by ThinkingAntsOk4H Vision Explanation: - Price broke the Descending Trendline and started its up move. - Price reached our first target at the Resistance Zone . - Price has potential to move up towards our main target at the Major Resistance Zone . - However, the Bearish Divergence could be indicating a pullback to the Support Zone before going up. Take a look at our Weekly and Daily Analysis! Weekly Vision: Daily Vision: Updates coming soon!
OANDA:EU50EURLong
by ThinkingAntsOk
"Top and Bottom Analysis" EUROSTOXX 50 by ThinkingAnts4H CHART EXPLANATION - Price is currently on an Ascending Channel and, after bouncing on the bottom of it, theres potential to move towards the top. - Price is above the previous resistance, trying to mark new max. It is currently in a Bullish Corrective Structure to continue the up move. - If price breaks 3457, the target prices are determined by Fibonacci Levels (3502 and 3556,8). Updates coming soon! MULTI TIMEFRAME VISION: - Weekly - Daily
OANDA:EU50EURLong
by ThinkingAnts
Possible EUR/CAD Short positionSELF DEVELOPMENT/METHODOLOGY/PSYCHOLOGY Chart time frame - H4 Timeframe - 1 week Actions on - A – Activating Event Currency Pair creating a Double Top . B – Beliefs Market will be rejected at @1.5400 level and move towards the first Target 1 level @ 1.5100 FX:EURCAD Trade Management Entered @ Still waiting for confirmation. Stop Loss @ Still waiting for confirmation. Target 1 @1.5200 Risk/Reward @ 3:1 Happy trading. Will let you know closer to the time if or when executed:) Follow your Trading plan, remain disciplined and keep learning !! Please Follow, Like,Comment & Follow Thank you for your support :) This information is not a recommendation to buy or sell. It is to be used for educational purposes only!
Short
by SMPTrader
Is Dax about to crash? I don't think so!It apears that DAX is likely to crash as it has formed a beautiful head and shoulder pattern. It is possible but I think DAX is less likely to break to the downside because: (a) DAX is completing the complex fourth Elliott wave which has retraced back exactly 38% of the third bullish wave started in June 2016. It is now likely to move up in the fifth wave. (b) DAX has not broken the bottom of the red channel (yet) which has remained intact since 2009. DAX can moves up after gaining support from the bottom of the channel. (c) Everyone thinks that it is about to crash and it cannot be that obvious!! Although anything can happen, but I think that DAX is more likely to move up from here, and reach the 15000 level before dropping back to around 10000. However, please pay attention to how the bottom of the red channel behaves. This idea will only work if the bottom of the red channel acts as support. If it breaks and starts to offer resistance, then the head and shoulder pattern will do what it is supposed to do! PS: This analysis is just for educational purposes and is not a recommendation to buy or sell. Please do your own research and trade at your own risk. Cheers ND
XETR:DAXLong
by ndau
1
Eur / Swiss - Flight to safety - Sell This is one of my longterm portfolio trades, I've been a Bull since August last year and sold my position and reversed into a Bear in May, we're now back into the range box and after a pullback up to 1.55 (unless we get further Swiss strength and fall now), I'm expecting a move down to 1.13,, it may at some point pullback to the centre line, but with the current Euro fundamentals, continued QE and no plan on increased interest rates, I doubt it... like the Euro / USD, we're going lower.
Short
by CBMotivation
European markets looking for a green close DAX30 IBEX35FX:GER30 FX:ESP35 BME:IBC FX:FRA40 INDEX:CAC European markets looks good after a negative open and leaving behind the minimum of the session they are seeking to reach important supports. FX:GER30 have resisted and maintained the 12000 support. US futures ES1! point to a slightly bullish opening, so that European indices are not affected by Chinese tariffs directly or with collapsing technologies, point to a positive close. Excellent opportunity to buy in these markets: FX:GER30 FX:ESP35 BME:IBC FX:FRA40 INDEX:CAC finance.yahoo.com
FX:GER30Long
by UnknownUnicorn1464680
EUR/USD under pressure? Let's take a look at this chart analysisOur First Daily Technical Analysis Monday, January 08, 2018 EUR/USD under pressure? Let's take a look at this chart analysis. The Euro weakened against the US Dollar on Friday. So, EUR/USD expected to create a new support zone or confirm the lowest support area. We are expecting that the bulls will taking control on this pair once it bounce back the soonest possible. Stay tuned, were going to update this analysis.
Long
by VillasonFundManagement
Global Equity Risks Increasing In The Coming MonthsA more cautious tone is appearing across global equity markets. Further gains to prove increasingly difficult to maintain. China poised to break higher? Global equity markets remain in their dominant bull trends. Investor portfolios are overweight and investor sentiment is positive. However, warning signals are now appearing, suggesting further gains are likely to prove increasingly difficult to maintain. Geopolitical risks are growing – for example, heightened tensions in the Middle East and increasingly strained rhetoric between the US and North Korea. Against this backdrop, the Volatility Index, VIX, which is a measurement of market volatility, is showing signs of a trend change. Since August 2015, the Volatility Index has been falling steadily. This reduction in volatility has helped to quell market fears and increased investor confidence. Their portfolios have thus been balanced around a ‘risk-on’ approach – overweight equities. Recent political developments are now being reflected in the VIX, as prices begin to trade higher from historic supports. Positive divergence in rising momentum studies and steady improvement in the proprietary Tension Indicator highlight potential for a price bounce into the coming months. As the VIX trades higher, volatility increases and investors become more cautious. This will lead to adjustments in portfolio equities, and a corrective pullback in equity prices. We thus maintain a cautious stance to US equities and expect further gains will prove increasingly difficult to maintain. The UK FTSE100 Index is also being driven by investor insecurity. Following the UK prime minister’s shock announcement of a snap General Election in June of this year, the FTSE100 has fallen sharply from historic highs. This sharp pullback is helping to unwind overbought momentum studies, and is expected to keep prices under pressure into the coming months. A break below 7000 would not do too much damage to the dominant bull trend. However, a close below the 6675/80 lows of November-December 2016 would increase downside risks, and lead to renewed portfolio reduction. Against this gradually deteriorating backdrop, European bourses are also coming under pressure. The European EuroStoxx50 Index and the German DAX Index are expected to turn away from current highs. In Asia, the Hong Kong Hang Seng Index is also vulnerable to a pullback. The China Composite Index, however, is showing signs of stabilisation within the prolonged consolidation pattern. Improving studies highlight potential for a break above critical resistance at the 3285, (61.8%) Fibonacci retracement of the 2015-2016 fall and 3301.66 high of November 2016. Subsequent gains would confirm continuation of the broad 2016 rally and turn investors outright bullish.
TVC:VIX
by Michael_Macdonald-XATSUK
DAX Back At Breakout Level - Worth A LongOur favorite European Index, the German DAX, escaped the bear market in early August, when it rebounded swiftly after initially rejecting mega-resistance at 10475-485, which it then took out very aggressively. This Monday sent a bearish shooting star candle on overbought conditions, calling for a healthy pullback. As securities often do, they retrace back to breakout levels. Today's session did exactly that and rebounded right at 10490, the former year highs. Daily oscillators aren't bottoming yet, and today's candle isn't really as attractive, as I would like to have it, I would risk a long, given the bullish long-term backdrop. Target at 10800 - Stop at 10450. Best,
INDEX:DEU40Long
by gorillacharts
EUR/USD ECB Announcement Trade Set UpPrice action has broken the downward daily trend line which now becomes support. Price is bullish above the trend line and break of 38.2% Feb level and is likely to consolidate around 1.1 while markets wait for the ECB interest rate and monetary policy statement due Thursday. A break to the up or downside is possible however my preference is towards a break down (Elliott Wave). Be ready to turn into a bear or bull based on the news result, equally appealing trade opportunities should be available on both sides of the market.
by Elliot_Myers
1