CAC40 #HVF for a doubleBig Pattern = Big Moves
Long consolidations = Fast Breakouts
The #NIKKEI had a beautiful chart pattern and we are seeing the explosive up moves occur in that market.
The French stock market - along much Europe hasn't done much for over two years
But we are quickly approaching Target 1 of a large --- non conventional HVF
Is it monetary stimulus or economic growth that causes the CAC to double?
Don't know ...
One is more desirable of course.
But the same boys
cheering the US stock market screaming higher after a decade plus of stimulus. zero rates and buybacks, does it matter?
@TheCryptoSniper
Europeanstocks
EURO STOXX 50 Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022 EURO STOXX 50 Weekly Volatility Forecast 17-21 October 2022
We can see that currently the volatility is around 4.14%, falling from 4.33% of the last week.(using DAX volatility, which is highly correlated with euro stoxx 50/600)
At the same time, its currently place on the 75th percentile based on the ATR calculations.
With this in mind, around this percentile, we can expect an average weekly movement from the open price of the candle of:
In case of a Bullish movement : 1.94%
In case of a Bearish movement : 2.35%
With the current volatility point, we have a 19.5% probability that the end of the weekly candle is going close either above of below the next channel:
TOP : 3529
BOT : 3235
At the same time, there is currently a 75% probability that we can touch the previous high of the weekly candle 3450
And there is a 28% probability that we can touch the previous low of the weekly candle of 3250
Lastly, currently the rating from the moving average is around -78% indicating a very bearish trend(and we can confirm this since november 2021)
MC (LVMH) in a decisive situationThe long term consensus for EURONEXT:MC is still bullish . In this bullish context , it has formed a flag pattern on the daily chart which is a continuation pattern looking to be confirmed by a breakout . If this pattern is confirmed by a significant breakout and a close above the upper line , then the price would have a high probability to continue upwards toward the (847-852) area .
If price fails to break above the upper line and breaks below the lower line , then we could wait for price to return and find support on the 598-602 area , and look for a potential buy opportunity depending on the market conditions .
If price fails to find support on the 598-602 area ,the. we could expect a return to around the 558-562 area , and look for a potential buy opportunity depending on the market conditions.
Stay tuned for any upcoming updates .
Requests,Suggestions and Remarks are all welcomed .
ADYEN Reaches the COVID Bottom of this ChannelEURONEXT:ADYEN has just reached the point I have been anticipating since my stream on 16 December 2021. In the sloped trend lines I have drawn, the current price aligns directly with the COVID bottom in March 2020. I'm trying to find other signs of reversal, but I can't find any except the wick on the current candle which still has three trading days to close.
I would like to keep this in sight. Looking at the S&P500, I concluded in yesterday's stream that we will not get a V-shaped recovery this time. I believe some stocks will get a V-shaped recovery, but not the S&P500 as a whole. I anticipate a slow recovery for Adyen until RSI, MACD and moving averages catch up with the big drop.
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European equities facing a headwindThe European equity index is a tough one to analyses. The index has had a strong recovery, however, there are still structural headwinds that the EU faces. Interest rates in the EU zone are unlikely to rise anytime soon whilst the Euro is likely to be deflationary going forward.
The trading signals suggest that the index has reached a high point and needs a correction to the downside. Whether that's temporary or signals a consolidation range, remains to be seen.
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One last push before everyone starts to take profits (Europe 50)4000 is an interesting number for Europe 50 index. This is the value that acted as resistance in July 2007 which reversed around 80% of upward movement. Also, this was the highest point before the 2008 market crash.
Europe 50 is increasing at an increasingly fast rate near a powerful resistance which could only be explained by one scenario. The market could very well be pushing the price upward before start taking profits. It wants to test the 4000 limit so bad, it barely tested the previous high resistance at 3860. It looks like the market going to skip past the previous high it had before the market crash in 2020.
This is not a good time to buy Europe 50.
US30 rejected twice at the level of Jan/2020.
JAPAN225 had to fight 6 months to get past the pre-covid market level.
AUS200 is still fighting the pre-covid market level for three months now.
Does Europe 50 has a free ticket to pass this major resistance? I don't think so. Get ready for a big pump and dump.
This is just an idea, not a financial advice.
DAX: Channel Up making a bottom.DAX is trading within a Channel Up on the 4H chart (RSI = 36.715, MACD = -1.100, ADX = 34.094) since lat June. Following the Higher High at 13,300, the index pulled back to make contact with the 4H MA50 (blue line), which last time (July 10th) provided a rebound. We expect a similar pattern but if it fails we are prepared to close the position and turn into selling towards the 12,400 Support, where the price can contact the 4H MA200 (orange line) for the first time since May 14th.
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Banco Santander: Bullish in 2020. Investment opportunity.The bank like the industry as a whole is on a long term bearish trend since the pre subprime mortgage crisis in 2007. On the 1W chart we see a clear bearish curve (RSI = 42.379, MACD = -0.083, ADX = 31.053, Highs/Lows = -0.0432) with Lower Highs and 3.1000 as the Support.
Since 2009, once the price crosses the 1W MA200 (orange line) SAN becomes a long term Sell opportunity. At the moment the RSI fractal is posting a bottom sequence and since we are that close to the 3.1000 Support we are turning bullish on Santander for the year and will sell once we cross the 1W MA200.
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FTSE: Bullish and bearish scenario explained.The UK index was strongly sold near the 7,730 Resistance this month and has so far reacted with a decline. This drop is so far being contained on the 1D MA200 (orange line). 1D has turned neutral (RSI = 47.582, MACD = 11.270, ADX = 21.739) which is normally an indication of support.
Following the Golden Cross late in December, this sequence is similar with the last Golden Cross occurrence in April, 2019. Same pattern with a top afterwards, rejection and support on the 1D MA200. So as long as the orange rectangle (seen on the chart) holds, we are bullish towards 7,670 - 7,730. If the orange barrier breaks, then selling will most likely escalate towards the 7,000 1W Support.
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DAX Futures: European equities due in for a correctionWhile our outlook on the Eurozone and markets remain supportive, a technical opportunity to fade highs in the European stock market has arisen. We will initially look to fade highs into our liquidity bloc targets however will allow ECB/Lagarde commentary to provide ultimate macro direction across our portfolios. Sensitivity remains from the downside from here.
- Put exposure added to all of our directional portfolios.
Euro Stocks approaching key fib level - GDAX! (D30EUR)Hello friends. Fibonacci Time Zones as recently seen in bitcoin can be very useful, particularly the .618. Like all fib tools, there are many ways to use them but, I have found this to be the most effective. They can be used to explore timing for calling tops, bottoms, reversal areas, or important zones.
We can see here from the .236 and .382 time zones in DAX's trend signify reversal points, which is what I expect from the .618 being that the moving fibs have us in an oversold zone now.
Looking back, we can see that DAX rarely maintains a breakout into this zone, having done this once only recently leading to the rally in December 2017.
Most often, a breakdown from this level leads to a test of the green zone below (also calculated with Fibonacci MA).
In addition to these factors, TD Sequential is just hours from completing a 9 - 13 countdown signalling a potential sell opportunity.
Watch for DAX to show signs of weakness soon.
Good luck traders
RTSI: Confirmed long term bullish break out.The Russian stock market has crossed above its long term (since 2008) long term bearish pattern this March and is currently aiming at the 1,340 1W Resistance. There is potential that the former Lower High trend line will turn into support now. Our long term target on this market is 1,500.
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