(Shorts) EURNZD Technical Analysis (May 18, 2018)Hello Traders,
Today we focus on Euro and for clarity, we are net bearish on the Euro going forward. Because of this predisposition, we are only looking for short positions and right now we have identified one in the daily chart. In breaking down this we shall consider price ranges and market participation. In this case, volumes play a critical role in our determination.
So, as we can see, prices are sliding down after rejection of higher highs on May 15. There, despite abnormal volumes, Euro bulls couldn’t push above April 26 highs of 1.730. What happened instead was a doji candlestick with a narrow trade range. The next day bears confirmed this sell move by closing lower with a bearish engulfing pattern.
Now, the best time for loading should could have been on May 17 but still shorting today could present with chance to turn in a profit albeit with more stops. Considering this set up, our ideal stops would be at April 25 highs of 1.730 and take profits at 1.6950 and 1.67.
This shall be our EURNZD trade plan for the next two weeks:
Sell: 1.708
Stops: 1.73
Take profit: 1.695, 1.67 and 1.65
Let me know what you think. Have a good time!!
Eurosells
(Sell) EURAUD Technical Analysis for April 27, 2018Hello Traders,
From Q1 2018, the Euro has been on a run. And yes, a nice steep run where buy holders are turning in a nice profit. There have been bumps along the way and that is normal. However, the thing is, stochastics are in the overbought territory and prices are likely to correct. Going forward, I shall recommend shorts in lower time frames because as it is, sell pressure is building up following periods of bearish divergence.
In the weekly chart, it’s clear that this week’s candlestick has a long upper wick meaning sellers are stepping up. This is what we were expecting now that we have these lower lows relative to the upper BB and a stochastic sell signal in place.
In the 4HR chart it’s obvious that sellers are in charge. In the course of the week we have seen these two humongous bear candlesticks that neutralizes bull pressure. This is on top of the stochastic sell signal with diverging %k and %d that is in place.
My EURAUD trade plan is as follows:
Sell: 1.6030
Stop Loss: 1.6100
Take Profit: 1.56, 1.51
Let me know what you think. Have nice trading day
This TA was first published by Dalmas Ngetich at Forex.Today
(Sell) EURAUD Technical Analysis for April 20, 2018Hello Traders,
Whenever there is synchrony, chances of making money is often high. At the moment, we are seeing this synchrony. There is a confluence of technical formations in different time frames and that is why I think selling the Euro can be a good strategy. This is why I think this is right. First, as we are taking a top-down approach with the weekly chart defining trend, we notice that prices are actually losing their initial bullish steam.
The stochastics gives a better hint of this and as you can see, they are turning from deep the overbought position with a sell signal already in place. Secondly, candlestick characteristics hint of a possibility of lower lows. By late March 2018, we had an inverted hammer with clear price depreciation relative to the upper BB and the following weeks we saw a follow through of this bear trend. Besides, there was a bearish divergence pattern accompanying this AUD price gain. It’s only this week where buyers are rejecting lower prices and have been pushing prices higher as this week’s candlestick shows.
In our entry chart, notice those long upper wicks in the past 3-4 candlesticks. All these point to strong sell pressure. Cementing this is the stochastic sell signal turning from deep the overbought territory just like in the weekly chart. I recommend sells at current prices with stops above this week’s highs. Because of this, my EURAUD trade plan will be as follows:
Sell: 1.5985
Stop Loss: 1.6030
Take Profit: 1.56, 1.52
Have a good trading day and let me know what you think!!!
Originally published at Forex.Today by Dalmas Ngetich