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Euroshort

EUR/USD Short Setup: Leveraging the Retrace for a Downtrend PlayEUR/USD has retraced slightly, offering a good entry point for a short trade. The pair remains bearish, trading below the 200-day MA, with strong resistance near 1.062 holding firm. Targeting the 1.0400 price area, this trade aligns with the broader downtrend, supported by both technical and fundamental factors. Technical Overview: The current trend is bearish, with the pair respecting lower highs and significant resistance at the 200-day MA. The initial target is set around 1.0495, with the long-term aim at 1.0400. Price action confirms a sell opportunity as the retrace reaches resistance areas. Fundamental Context: The U.S. Dollar has regained strength, driven by optimism around pro-growth policies and a solid DXY rally. Meanwhile, the Fed remains cautious on rate cuts, signaling slower changes ahead. In the Eurozone, the ECB continues a dovish approach, focusing on inflation concerns while speculative short positions on the Euro rise. This reinforces the bearish outlook for EUR/USD. Upcoming speeches and economic data, including Lagarde’s address and U.S. TIC flows, could further influence the pair’s movement. This short trade aims to capitalize on the retrace within a bearish structure. With clear resistance levels and supportive fundamentals, the setup targets a move toward 1.0400. Risk management remains key as market conditions evolve. Note: Please remember to adjust this trade idea according to your individual trading conditions, including position size, broker-specific price variations, and any relevant external factors. Every trader’s situation is unique, so it’s crucial to tailor your approach to your own risk tolerance and market environment.
Short
by AR33_
4
Euro Shorts at 11 Months High: A Hedge Fund's Hilarious TakeIntroduction: Hold onto your hats because we've got some juicy news straight from the hedge fund world. Brace yourselves for a rollercoaster ride as we delve into the wild world of euro shorts, as reported by a certain hedge fund that knows how to tickle our funny bones. Get ready to chuckle and, of course, take some action! The Hedge Fund Report: Picture this: it's been a whopping 11 months since our dear hedge fund buddies decided to take on the mighty euro. And boy, have they been having a laugh! According to their recent report, the euro shorts have been quite the spectacle, providing us with a comedy show we never knew we needed. Call-to-Action: Join the Comedy Show and Short Euro! Now that we've had our fair share of laughter, it's time to take action, my fellow traders! The hedge fund report has given us a golden opportunity to join the comedy show and potentially make some handsome profits. So, here's our call-to-action: jump on the bandwagon and consider shorting the euro! But remember, trading is no laughing matter. Do your due diligence, analyze the market, and make informed decisions. Take advantage of this hilarious situation, but also stay vigilant and manage your risks wisely. After all, laughter is great, but profits are even better! Conclusion: In a world where trading can sometimes feel like a serious affair, it's refreshing to find humor in the markets. The euro shorts, as highlighted by our hedge fund friends, have given us a reason to smile and, more importantly, take action. So, traders, buckle up, embrace the comedy, and consider joining the euro shorting extravaganza. Happy trading, and may the laughter be with you! www.hedgeweek.com
TVC:EXYShort
by bryandowningqln
📈EURO analysis, Weekly insight into price behavior📉FX:EURUSD OANDA:EURUSD Hello Traders, please check out my previous ideas. Continuing from the previous analytical scenario, if the euro stabilizes above the red zone (crossing the weekly Bollinger midline), the price can climb up to the right shoulder. In the opposite scenario, if the price does not follow the conditions of the previous scenario, the price can fall to around 1.07676. ✌💥If you are satisfied with my analytical content, please share my ideas💥✌ ✍🐱‍👤Otherwise, make sure you leave comments and let me know what you think.🐱‍👤✍ 🤑🍾Thank you for your support. I hope you will gain profit by following my analyses.🍾🤑 CrazyS✌
Long
by CrazyS
1
The march to an inevitable North American world hegemony is ...... picking up pace. - A lot, lately! TLTR The war in the Ukraine was essentially over the day it began. Now, with western interests notably starting to fade, it will start to make it's way to the back pages of daily reportage. Why was this even an issue of US interests, to begin with? ... Washington had this far fetched dream - although, not entirely without historical bases - to create a Polish-Ukrainian-Lithuanian superstate , entirely funded on US interests, unifying over 80 million people, populating 5 million square kilometers, right up against the Russian Federation and China's western sphere of interests. Nice try! The real problem with this wishful thinking is multi-fold. While those above mentioned peoples do have a lot of similarities in culture, language and historically undesirable (for them) outcomes, the facts remain the same; - Ukrainians do not play well with others! Notably one of the most chauvinist cultures, their mistreatment of minorities is (or should be!) rapidly becoming legendary, the largest of which are the Poles; - "My enemy's (i.e. Russia) enemy is my friend." - As incredibly profound as that may sound, it also makes for extremely unstable, impossible to maintain alliances; - The Organization of Turkic States (Azerbaijan, Kazakhstan, Uzbekistan, Kyrgyzstan, Turkmenistan, Turkey) do have a lot to say about this and, not surprisingly, they do not approve - to say the least; - Then there is Turkey (a regional super power) which, not in the least, together with China, had managed nothing less than to broker a piece between Iran and Saudi Arabia; In summary, a now defacto Russian-Chinese-Iranian-Turkish coalition is enough to make even the United States to stop and think twice what it's wisest next step may be, in the region. OK, so no big deal. The US blew ~7% of it's annual defense budget on this still-born idea but, since it can, will likely call it a day , in the very near future. The EU , which is essentially nothing more than a German franchise, is looking at it's End of Days . The German industrial base managed to go 0-3, much like on the two previous occasions when they fielded their dream team , an outcome that is all but inevitable. Any doubt?! ... Just this week Volkswagen and BASF both announced that they are "considering to explore their North American options with regard to future investments". That is the German Industrial Base ! - Apparently looking to seek asylum in the US. German infrastructure and industry, which took over 30 years to build, only took two(2) short years to gut and to irreversibly break apart. No shock, there. Germans always had to be the best at whatever was the vogue of the day and clearly, self-mutilation and ultimately, economic suicide, not being an exception. (I spent a lot of time in Germany and to get a Wifi signal - cellular or otherwise -, the quality and frequency is right up there with Lebanon's. German pensioners blow their retirements on turtle neck sweaters because state sanctioned energy cut-backs simply turn off their central heating in the middle of January. The fastest growing manufacturing sector, as of right now, is wood-burning stoves! - The effect of which on the lumber industry is interesting, in itself but that's a whole other conversation.) Germany's largest trading partner is China! (40% of exports.) Chine is notably not found of the present, vigorous German ra-ra which would have the average mainstream news consumer believe that Kiev has won the war last christmas and that right now, Polish troops are storming the walls of the Kremlin, under German leadership. E.g. China, ultimately, does have an awful lot of pull in the case of German foreign policy and, lately, Beijing's patience appears to be wearing thin. Long story short; "It's been nice signing with you Coco, but it's over!" - Bet on it! China is dying! (Present tense.) As stated previously, the inescapable reality of a demographic collapse - it's first, truly major wave - is descending on China at the time of this writing. A total of 1/2 (50%) of China's population will not celebrate New Years Eve, 2035! - Leaving about 800 Million de-industrialized, de-urbanized, subsistence farmers in it's wake, by the middle of the next decade. As rapid extinctions go, this one is for the books. (As a personal reflection perhaps of mild interest, I have spent some time in the Mekong Delta, planting rice - just to see what it's all about. Afterwards I can safely state that there is no more expensive crop or an other, more soul-sucking, endlessly laborious occupation than rice farming! As for automation? ... What automation?! - It will never happen! To grow rice is a 24/7, all out battle with Nature, which uses up every living thing - including people and the environment - in a merciless fashion. I, personally, would much rather go back to pyramid building, as one of the slaves. My point being; Can anyone imagine china without rice? - ) In short, if there ever was a sure thing , this is it! (Feel free to do the rest of the math - i.e. a world without China.) Now, having argued why "everyone dies, except for the USA" , that, of course, is not the same as all of them will walk off into the sunset with a whimper . (Although, under the circumstances, even that isn't very far fetched.) Who will be able to muster at least a last, dying spasm, is yet to be seen but if it happens it will be violent! Be prepared! "Crises take much longer to unfold and run much deeper than anyone would expect." All that is outlined above is already happening (no more "unfolding" ) and perhaps with traders' typically myopic view, a lot that is about to hit the fan could seem "unexpected", at that moment. Don't be caught off guard! Trade it with the lay-of-the-land in mind and make the most of what promises to be a once in many-generation opportunity. EUR/USD Short Bias (from here on out, essentially for ever ); USD/CNH Long Bias (from here on out, essentially for ever ); US Equities & Treasuries over any off-shore, Bias p.s. The US of A still maintains marginally beneficial demographics, with no near term dangers on the horizon. On the top of that, it also boast one of the few optimally dispersed populations - from a systemic point of view. E.g. "Globalization", in reality, is just a less pointed pseudonym for US world hegemony.
Short
by Nemo_Confidat
8
EUR/USD Short; SELL here! Doesn't get any easier than this.Instead of recanting the otherwise already widely disseminated fundamental factors, a couple of fresh data points; - Central & Eastern European housing market in collapse; YoY -28% decline in residential prices; - The nagging (constantly revisited) issue of Russian exports of enriched uranium (fuel rods) to the EU (and the US) will now likely be "officially" voted on - whether to include them in the next sanction package. This constitutes <3% of Russian energy sales YET, it effects >35% of the EU's energy generation; (This would be the final, self inflicted blow to energy starved EU - especially for France.) As its been the tendency lately, the EU parliament rushes to pass one stupid, self-defeating act after an other. (Observe all the clowns in the current EU parliament.) In short, as stupid and self-defeatists as this idea was, from the word "Go", inline with the current, popular, parliamentary suicide wave, this may actually come to pass - gets included in the next sanction package. - The war in Ukraine is not going well - to put it mildly. (In major Ukrainian cities police and militia is nabbing 16 year olds off the streets, shipping them off to basic training camps. Much like during the final days of the 3rd Reich.) As it happens, the US has the tendency to cut lose the dead weight, in this case, dump this whole Pandora's Box on the EU's lap. [Not to mention that the US already has pretty much milked this whole situation close to it's maximum potential benefit. Even more reason to call it a day.) - Many more recent developments [just tired of writing them all down, having focused here on the couple of the more recent, relevant factors) which all point to one and the same direction. Most importantly, the EURUSD technicals point in one direction - and one direction only !-, as clearly as it could be imagined.
Short
by Nemo_Confidat
15
Divergence found on EUR/CAD pair 4-hourFor the last couple of months, the EUR has maintained a weak position against many of its trading partners. This includes the Canadian dollar. The Canadian dollar has benefitted immensely from the high cost of crude, in addition to the Bank of Canada (BoC) moving much faster than the European Central Bank (ECB) to start hiking interest rates in the face of inflationary pressure. Yesterday, the BoC enacted a 75 basis-points rate hike, its fifth post-pandemic hike. Today, the ECB is expected to deliver a 75-basis points rate hike, only its second post pandemic rate hike. TECHNICAL ANALYSIS. From the weekly timeframe, EUR/CAD is primarily on a downtrend. We also see a classic divergence in the Money Flow Index (MFI). The Money Flow Index (MFI) is a technical indicator that measures how money flows into and out of a security over a specified period. The MFI is an indicator that combines momentum and volume with an RSI formula. With a classic divergence, the MFI indicates a reduced volume as price trends downwards. (see related ideas) On the 4-hour time frame, we can see that the EUR/CAD pair has been consolidating in a tight range, between 1.2891 and 1.3242. If we eye the pair’s movement within this range, it contrasts with the weekly trend. In fact, the EUR/CAD pair is up 1.8% since the beginning of the consolation period starting august 24. If we apply an RSI on the chart, we might like to note that the recent bullish push is fast approaching the overbought bottom zone just above 1.3160. If the price level can break above 1.13178, you might expect an ever-growing resistance to upside all the way up to 1.3242.
by BlackBull_Markets
EURJPY ShortAccording to the higher timeframes (D,W) the price has formed a rising channel, hence a major indicator of a potential bearish pattern, and the price touched the upper trendline, retested it and now formed a bearish confluence. The price touched a major support zone, bounced back up/ pullback, but the bearish confluence is still strong. The price might be rejected at zone 138.2 - 138.9, then it maybe a bearish movement. I predict that the bears will get an upperhand. My entry point is 138 with stoploss at 139, just above the market major zone. Entry - 138.0 Sl - 139.0 Tp1 - 137, Tp2 -136 , Tp3 - 135 R:R is 1:3. Remember, only risk 1 - 2% of the account.
Short
by Vapari_Inc
2
$EUR/USD - Euro Putin a Tight Spot (short-term)Are Elliott waves pointing to a military incident in Europe? Gotland is a Swedish island in the middle of the Baltic Sea , commanding a key strategic position. In 1915 , the Battle of Gotland was a crucial moment in The Great War , with the navy of the German Empire being defeated by that of the Russian Empire . Assisting the Russian navy that day was a British submarine. It’s fair to say that such an allied arrangement is unthinkable today. Sweden has just sent troops to Gotland to shore up its defenses as alarm over Russian belligerence grows. This is a significant development and ups the ante in the stand-off between NATO ( the North Atlantic Treaty Organization ) and Russia . Tensions in Eastern Europe have been rising for the last few years as it became clear that President Putin of Russia was intent on re-establishing , if not the land mass, then certainly, the psychology of the Russian Empire . The 100,000 Russian troops parked on the border with Ukraine is testament to that . With NATO-Russian talks at a stalemate, the jungle drums of conflict are getting louder. If there were to be a military incident in Eastern Europe, then most people would think that the European Union euro would fall in value, at least initially. Such is the conventional causality thinking. It often seems like this when an event happens, but if we look closely, then a lot of the time we can see that Elliott waves were pointing to the financial market movement before the event took place . Check out the chart of the Turkish lira versus the U.S. dollar and you will see a very distinct triangle , pointing towards a weaker lira, ending in June 2016. In July 2016, a military coup was attempted in Turkey coinciding with a big slide in the lira ( I remember a Turkish economist colleague of mine at the time being completely unable to comprehend how the financial markets might be able to somehow anticipate an event like that ). Right now , the Elliott wave count for EUR-USD is suggesting that either a decline is underway immediately, or that a marginal new high above 1.1483 is required before a multi-big figure tumble. Could this coming depreciation of the euro coincide with a military incident in Eastern Europe? Do not be surprised if it does!.
Short
by ferGOD
4