EURUSD: Will It Retrace to POI?Our philosophy focuses on simplicity and precision, avoiding cognitive overload.
On the daily chart, EURUSD is trading within Range Zone.
If another daily candle closes bullish above $1.086 (the Daily Range Bottom), it could push the price up to the Range Top at $1.1, which is our Daily Point of Interest (Daily POI).
The Mid Daily Range may act as minor resistance on this move.
If EURUSD falls below the Daily Range Bottom, it enters a bearish zone, with the next target around Key Daily Level 1↓ at $1.066.
Alternatively, a bullish breakout above the Daily Range Top could extend gains to the Minor Daily Level at $1.112.
Though, this scenario is secondary as long as EURUSD remains within the Daily Range Zone.
Eurousd
EURUSD Analysis==>>Ascending Broadening Wedge Reversal Pattern!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD )has managed to form an Ascending Broadening Wedge Reversal Pattern near the Resistance zone($1.0980-$1.0912) and Yearly Pivot Point .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD-) between Consecutive Peaks .
I expect the EURUSD to attack the Support zone($1.0816-$1.0775) again in the coming hours.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
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Euro Declines Slightly - What Direction for Investors?Hello everyone,
Today, the Euro/USD exchange rate is recorded at approximately 1.05 USD for each Euro. On this day, the exchange rate has seen a slight decline of about 0.09% compared to the previous trading session.
The ECB has maintained a tight monetary policy to combat inflation, but I believe the bank may adjust its policy if economic data does not show positive trends. This creates pressure on the Euro. Additionally, recent economic data from the Eurozone indicates a sluggish recovery, particularly in the manufacturing and services sectors. This has diminished investors' confidence in the recovery potential of the European economy.
In the near future, the fluctuations in the Euro exchange rate may depend on new policies from the ECB and the economic developments in Europe. If the USD strengthens, the Euro will face downward pressure in the upcoming period.
EURUSD Analysis==>>Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern!!!EURUSD ( FX:EURUSD ) is moving near the Upper line of the Descending Channel , Support zone($1.0816-$1.0775) , and Support lines .
Regarding Classic Technical Analysis , EURUSD has already broken the Neckline of the Inverted Head and Shoulders Pattern ( Bullish Reversal Pattern ).
Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect EURUSD to rise to at least the width of the descending channel after breaking the upper line of the descending channel and SMA(100) and then attacking the Resistance lines .
⚠️Note: If EURUSD goes below $1.075, we must wait for more dumps to at least $1.069⚠️
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze (EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
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EUR/USD Pauses After Four-Day Slide as USD Rally EasesThe EUR/USD pair takes a breather on Friday, following a prolonged four-day losing streak, as the US Dollar's (USD) strong rally shows signs of slowing. The Euro attempts to stabilize after a tough week, with the pair hovering slightly higher, supported by a momentary pause in the USD’s upward momentum. Despite this pause, the outlook for the Greenback remains positive, particularly after Thursday’s encouraging US economic data, which continues to reinforce the idea of a resilient American economy.
USD Momentum Eases After Strong Economic Data
The US Dollar has experienced a robust run in recent weeks, driven by a strong economy and expectations of higher interest rates from the Federal Reserve. However, the rally took a pause on Friday, despite the release of better-than-expected US economic data. September’s Retail Sales increased by 0.4%, surpassing market forecasts, while the Initial Jobless Claims for the week ending October 11 came in lower than anticipated at 241,000, compared to an expected 260,000. These figures underscored the strength of the US labor market and consumer spending, further bolstering the Federal Reserve’s stance on maintaining elevated interest rates.
Even though the positive data continues to favor the USD, the currency’s upward trajectory has temporarily slowed, allowing the EUR/USD pair to consolidate after a sharp decline earlier in the week. This pause in the Greenback's rally offers the Euro some relief, though the broader trend remains USD-favorable in the near term.
Technical Outlook: EUR/USD Prepares for a Potential Rebound
From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD pair is showing early signs of a potential bullish rebound. The pair has bounced from a critical demand area, suggesting that buying interest is emerging at these lower price levels. Furthermore, the Commitment of Traders (COT) report reveals a significant divergence between retail and institutional sentiment. While retail traders remain predominantly bearish, large institutional investors—commonly referred to as "smart money"—have begun to increase their long positions on the Euro. This discrepancy in positioning could signal a reversal in market direction, potentially favoring the Euro in the near term.
Seasonality patterns also support a possible recovery in the EUR/USD, as historical data suggests that the Euro tends to perform well during this period of the year. Taken together, the technical indicators and seasonal trends point toward a possible bullish setup, where traders might look to enter long positions, anticipating further upside movement.
Conclusion: EUR/USD Seeks Stability as USD Rally Temporarily Stalls
The EUR/USD pair has found some much-needed support after several days of losses, as the relentless USD rally slows down following strong US economic data. Despite the positive fundamentals supporting the Greenback, technical indicators hint that the Euro may be on the verge of a recovery. The rebound from key demand levels, coupled with institutional long positioning and supportive seasonality, suggests that the EUR/USD could be setting up for a bullish move. Traders should remain vigilant, as the pair’s next move will depend on evolving market conditions and the upcoming data releases that could further influence the direction of both currencies.
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EUR/USD Extends Losses on Turnaround Tuesday as USD StrengthensAs anticipated in our previous analysis, the EUR/USD pair extended its losses on Turnaround Tuesday, breaking through a weak demand area that had little support from underlying fundamentals. The euro continued to slide as the US Dollar (USD) maintained its upward momentum, driven by a combination of economic data and market sentiment.
US Dollar Strength Backed by FOMC Minutes
The ongoing strength of the USD has been bolstered by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) minutes from the September 18 meeting. The minutes revealed that a "substantial majority" of Fed policymakers supported easing monetary policy with a 50-basis-point rate cut. However, they refrained from setting a specific timeline for future cuts, leaving room for further policy adjustments based on upcoming economic data.
The hawkish undertone of the FOMC's position has given the USD additional support in recent weeks, fueling its rally against major currencies, including the EUR.
FedWatch Tool Highlights Market Expectations
According to the CME Group’s FedWatch Tool, market participants are currently pricing in an 88% probability of a 25-basis-point rate cut at the next Federal Reserve meeting. This high probability reflects growing expectations of further monetary easing, which has helped sustain the greenback’s strength.
Upcoming US Economic Data to Watch
Looking ahead, the market's focus will shift to Thursday, when the US releases key economic data, including USD Core Retail Sales (m/m), Retail Sales (m/m), and Unemployment Claims. These reports are expected to inject volatility into USD-correlated currency pairs, particularly EUR/USD, as they will offer insights into the strength of the US economy and provide further direction for the USD.
Traders will closely watch these releases to gauge the health of the US economy and its potential impact on the Federal Reserve’s future rate decisions. Strong retail sales data and lower unemployment claims could strengthen the USD further, while weaker-than-expected figures may signal the need for more aggressive monetary easing.
Market Positioning and Technical Outlook
From a market positioning standpoint, recent data shows a shift in sentiment among speculators and commercial traders. Speculators have reduced their net long positions in the EUR, indicating decreased confidence in the euro’s near-term prospects. Conversely, commercial traders have increased their net long positions, suggesting that some institutional investors believe the EUR may be undervalued at current levels.
From a technical perspective, we are closely monitoring two key demand areas on the chart. The price is nearing these zones, and we are waiting to see how the market reacts before making any decisions about entering long positions. If the price finds support at one of these demand areas, it could signal a potential reversal or retracement. However, as always, patience is crucial in waiting for confirmation before executing any trades.
Conclusion
The EUR/USD pair remains under pressure as the USD continues to dominate, fueled by expectations of further monetary easing and strong economic data. While the pair is approaching key demand areas, traders should exercise caution and wait for clearer signals before entering long positions. With Thursday's US data releases on the horizon, the markets are set for increased volatility, and these reports will likely shape the next phase of EUR/USD's direction.
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EURUSD - 4H Bullish signsThe OANDA:EURUSD pair is currently positioned for potential bullish momentum, especially as the weakening of the US dollar becomes more evident. Technically, the EURUSD is showing signs of recovery, as the downward momentum appears to be weakening, and the price has reached a strong support zone. The recent decline in the USD due to a softer US jobs report, coupled with expectations of dovish action from the Federal Reserve, provides further support for a possible upward move in FX:EURUSD .
Additionally, with the European Central Bank (ECB) expected to take further action, possibly through a rate cut in mid-October, market sentiment around the Euro remains cautiously optimistic. If the pair breaks above the next resistance levels, the outlook for a continued rise seems strong, as the price aims for 1.1010 or higher. This aligns well with the technical analysis, where the support zone indicates a potential bounce in the coming sessions.
EURUSD Analysis==>>Short term==>>(Fundamental + Technical)Today's Fundamental analysis of the FX:EURUSD highlights several key factors:
1-Expected ECB Rate Cuts : With Eurozone inflation dropping below 2% in September, there is growing speculation about further rate cuts by the European Central Bank (ECB) in both October and December. These rate cuts would likely weaken the euro, as lower borrowing costs reduce demand for the currency.
2-US Economic Performance : The recent U.S. labor market report exceeded expectations, showing solid job growth and a lower unemployment rate. This has strengthened the dollar, with investors now awaiting the upcoming U.S. CPI report(10 October), which may offer insights into future Fed policy
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Now, let's go to the technical analysis of EURUSD .
EURUSD is moving in the Heavy Support zone($1.0982-$1.0916) and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ) , near the Support lines and 100_SMA(Daily) .
Also, Regular Divergence (RD+) between Consecutive Valleys .
I expect EURUSD to rise at least to near the Resistance zone($1.005-$1.0995) after breaking the Downtrend line .
Note: If EURUSD manages to break the Heavy Support zone($1.0982-$1.0916) and support lines, we can expect EURUSD to touch at least $1.0878.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
🔔Be sure to follow the updated ideas.🔔
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
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EUR/USD "FIBER" Bank Money Heist Plan on Bullish Side.This is our master plan to Heist EUR/USD "FIBER" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Long entry. Our target is Red Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is overbought / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bearish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
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Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
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Stop Loss 🛑 : Recent Swing Low using 2H timeframe
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EURUSD "The Fiber" Bearish Robbery Plan on Short sideHola ola My Dear,
Robbers / Money Makers & Losers,
This is our master plan to Heist EURUSD "The Fiber" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
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Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High
Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 2hrs timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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5 days ago
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Swing Trading Bank Robbery Plan Executed Successfully
EURUSD - 4H Bearish PhaseEUR/USD recently reached a key daily resistance zone, facing a strong rejection from that level, signaling potential further downside. The pair also lost the critical support zone below 1.11, consolidating under it for the past week. After this consolidation, EUR/USD has completed a pullback to the critical zone, making it technically ready to fall further. This structure offers a solid opportunity for short positions, with a clear rejection from both the daily resistance and the pullback to the previous support-turned-resistance.
Fundamentally, the U.S. Dollar has been gaining strength due to rising expectations of continued rate hikes by the Federal Reserve. In contrast, the Euro has weakened amid concerning Eurozone data, reflecting slowing growth and economic challenges. The divergence between the two currencies supports further bearish movement for EUR/USD, especially as the Dollar Index continues to rise.
As you can see in the chart, we previously shared a sell position at the 1.1117–1.1122 range. Now, with the technical and fundamental backdrop confirming further downside, this is a good opportunity to sell EUR/USD again, targeting further drops as market conditions remain favorable for the U.S. Dollar.
EURUSD "The Fiber" Bearish Robbery Plan on Short sideHola ola My Dear,
Robbers / Money Makers & Losers,
This is our master plan to Heist EURUSD "The Fiber" Bank based on Thief Trading style Technical Analysis.. kindly please follow the plan I have mentioned in the chart focus on Short entry. Our target is Green Zone that is High risk Dangerous level, market is oversold / Consolidation / Trend Reversal / Trap at the level Bullish Robbers / Traders gain the strength. Be safe and be careful and Be rich.
Note: If you've got a lot of money you can get out right away otherwise you can join with a swing trade robbers and continue the heist plan, Use Trailing SL to protect our money.
Entry : Can be taken Anywhere, What I suggest you to Place Sell Limit Orders in 15mins Timeframe Recent / Nearest Swing High
Stop Loss : Recent Swing High using 2h timeframe
Warning : Fundamental Analysis comes against our robbery plan. our plan will be ruined smash the Stop Loss. Don't Enter the market at the news update.
Loot and escape on the target 🎯 Swing Traders Plz Book the partial sum of money and wait for next breakout of dynamic level / Order block, Once it is cleared we can continue our heist plan to next new target.
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DXY - Looking to Big PictureWhen we look back, when Trump first came, Dxy showed a 5.5% increase, Dxy goes to 103.5. And Trump Dxy is too expensive, the dollar is too expensive, it should fall, the statements started. Then Dxy's 14% decrease went to 88.5. Now Dxy is around 102.
I bought it directly as a fractal from August 15, 2016. If Dxy comes to around 104 until the election, the rapid increase with Trump's arrival corresponds to 110s. It has been an expected area for a long time and when Trump Dxy is at 110s, similarly, if the decrease starts with him saying the dollar is too expensive, it goes to 94s, fractal.
Here, my hopes begin and I say that it is still expensive at those levels, we will go down to 86s. This means a 4-year never-ending mega bull.
I applied the same fractal to the euro, and the much-anticipated 1.02s are here again. If I can get a fund, I will look for swing shorts at 1.12s. The fractal and events looked pretty good to me. It also fit the channel nicely.
FX:EURUSD
Rebound EURUSD before the start of correction H4. 22.08.2024Rebound EURUSD before the start of correction
On the Euro I expect a rebound to the area of 1.1170
and the start of correction there.
The rebound was made, but the nuance is that the cumulative
continues to fall,
which means that they can still make an outburst to fill
the culmination volumes.
Without them they are unlikely to make a downward reversal.
They may reach 1.12, where there is also a strong option resistance,
and then down.
In any case, I will not enter without confirmation of volumes
and I advise you to wait for the conditions.
Market Analysis: EUR/USD Volatility on the HorizonThe EUR/USD forex market has exhibited relatively low volatility in recent years, characterized by choppy price movements. However, technical indicators suggest that a significant increase in volatility may be imminent.
While the fundamental drivers behind this potential shift are unclear, chart analysis implies a possible reversal in the long-term downtrend. A potential upward movement could see the EUR/USD exchange rate reach 1.13 and 1.23 over the medium to long term, potentially within the next 6-24 months.
It is essential to note that this forecast is based on technical analysis and should not be considered a definitive prediction. The timing and underlying causes of such a move are uncertain, and the market may be influenced by unforeseen events.
We recommend maintaining a watchful eye on the EUR/USD market, as a potential spike in volatility could occur in the coming years. This analysis is intended to stimulate discussion and consideration of possible future market developments, rather than a definitive forecast.
EURUSD Roadmap==>>1-hour time frameEURUSD is moving near the Resistance lines and Potential Reversal Zone(PRZ)($1.084-$1.081) .
According to Elliott's wave theory , EURUSD seems to be completing the Expanding Ending Diagonal .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD-) between two Consecutive Peaks .
I expect the EURUSD to decline at least to the target I have specified on the chart.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 1-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
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EURUSD is Ready to Go Up!!!EURUSD is moving in the Support zone($1.070-$1.062) and near the Support line .
Also, we can see Regular Divergence(RD+) between two Consecutive Valleys .
According to the theory of Elliott waves , EURUSD seems to have completed its 5 downward waves and we should expect upward corrective waves .
I expect EURUSD to trend higher in the coming hours.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EUR/USD Trades Higher on Monday After Rebound from supportsThe EUR/USD currency pair experienced a notable upward movement on Monday, following a rebound from critical support levels around 1.0700 and 1.0640 during the early European session. This rebound marks a significant shift after a period of pressure, largely attributed to potential risks emerging from France's financial situation. The speculation that Marine Le Pen's far-right National Rally (RN) may form a new government has raised concerns over France's fiscal stability, thereby dampening the Euro's appeal.
Technical Analysis
From a technical standpoint, the EUR/USD pair displayed a rejection at the 78.60% Fibonacci retracement level derived from the major swing low, precisely within the support area identified last week. This rejection was further supported by a double divergence observed in both the Relative Strength Index (RSI) and Stochastic indicators on the H4 timeframe, signaling a potential bullish reversal.
The Fibonacci retracement level is a crucial tool used by traders to identify potential reversal levels. The 78.60% retracement level, in particular, is considered a deep retracement and often indicates strong support or resistance. The fact that the price rejected this level suggests a strong bullish sentiment among traders.
Market Sentiment and Economic Factors
The broader market sentiment has been influenced by political developments in France. The potential ascendancy of Marine Le Pen's National Rally to government raises significant concerns over fiscal policy changes, which could impact the overall economic stability of France and, by extension, the Eurozone. Such political uncertainties often lead to increased volatility in currency markets, as investors adjust their positions based on perceived risks.
Despite the political uncertainties, no significant economic releases were scheduled for today, particularly concerning the Empire State Manufacturing Index for the USD. This absence of major economic data implies that the currency pair's movement is driven more by technical factors and geopolitical news rather than immediate economic indicators.
Outlook and Future Expectations
Looking ahead, traders and analysts are anticipating potential strong volatility in the EUR/USD pair as they await economic data releases in the coming days. The lack of significant economic news today leaves the pair susceptible to technical trading and news-driven volatility.
Given the current technical setup and market sentiment, a bullish impulse is expected in the EUR/USD pair. The rejection of the 78.60% Fibonacci level, coupled with the double divergence in the RSI and Stochastic indicators, points towards a potential continuation of the upward trend. Traders will be closely monitoring upcoming economic releases and political developments for further cues.
In summary, the EUR/USD pair's rise on Monday, following a rebound from crucial support levels, highlights the interplay between technical indicators and geopolitical factors. While the speculation surrounding France's political future weighs on the Euro, the technical rejection of key support levels suggests a potential bullish trend. As traders await more economic data, the pair is poised for further volatility, with a bullish outlook prevailing in the short term.
EURUSD Analysis(Continue to Fall)!!!EURUSD managed to break the Support zone($1.080-$1.078) , Monthly Pivot Point , and the Uptrend line . We can also consider this Breakaway Gap a sign of valid failure.
According to the theory of Elliott Waves , EURUSD seems to have successfully completed the Double Three Correction(WXY) .
Currently, EURUSD is completing wave 4 , and we have to wait for wave 5 to start.
After the completion of wave 4, I expect EURUSD to decline at least as far as the targets I have specified on the chart.
Euro/U.S.Dollar Analyze ( EURUSD), 4-hour Time frame ⏰.
Do not forget to put Stop loss for your positions (For every position you want to open).
Please follow your strategy; this is just my idea, and I will gladly see your ideas in this post.
Please do not forget the ✅' like '✅ button 🙏😊 & Share it with your friends; thanks, and Trade safe.
EURUSD bias for longs...Hello fellow traders , my regular and new friends!
Welcome and thanks for dropping by my post.
Let's see , long for eurusd for me :)
At the same time i am also bias to short
USDCHF
USDMEX (Mexican Peso)
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The analysis shared through this channel are purely for educational and entertainment purposes only. They are by no means professional advice for individual/s to enter trades for investment or trading purposes.
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Eur/Usd Ready to massive sell 155 pips!!Based on previous post i talked about how eurusd has broken. the head and shoulder neckline and price is now retresting the neckline has resistance, still the interest rate is neutral which mean dollar will gain liquidity cause of the interest rate differential so we see price respecting the 31.8% fib level which is also in confluence with the POC level of activity volume
NOTE; The only thing you have to worry about is NFP news later tomorrow and some news today. make sure you put stop loss and manage your risk. there is small probably it can do a fake out!
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