Eurplndaily
ridethepig | PLN Market Commentary 2020.02.19The outflows from Poland have been staggering to say the least, large sharks abandoning ship before the storm reaches shore. Notice how the NBP (National Bank of Poland) has been dovish even though inflation ticks higher ...everything is fine right...
We traded the PLN devaluation versus CZK previously, now I prefer EURPLN longs as my 'weapon' of choice. There is room for a leg into 4.3075x and 4.333x as the extension.
Thanks as usual for keeping the support coming with likes, comments and etc. An important round of G10 and EM macro FX charts coming over the next few sessions ...
ANALYSIS ON EURPLNANALYSIS ON EURPLN
Welcome to my analysis
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30Min CHart
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Interesting Point of interest In the EURPLN pair.
- Price above 100/200 day EMA.
- sell at top 4.29000 zone.
- Expecting more downward momentum.
- Watch 4.2500-4.21600 for take profit.
- MACD showing bearish divergence
Stay Tuned
EUR/PLN - 200 Pips OpportunityEUR/PLN has broken over the 200 ema on the 1 hour chart. If it finds supoprt on top of it and it doesn't break it back down, we can expect it to push higher up.
The spread is about 15 pips for this pair, so make sure you calculate your lot size with your spread put into consideration.
EURPLN While We Wait For Important NumbersThis is one of those higher spread pairs, but with a tight SL and a quick to action response, I trust this one to be a fine trade. I have a small position currently on the short side and hopefully can cash in tomorrow or the day after. Buying power seems weak, looking over the indicators, on the Stochastic - which I do not have on this chart - also indicates exhaustion on the buying side. Trade this one with caution, on the monthly and weekly chart it's near previous tested resistance.
EURPLN Reverse confirmationI believe we got a trustworthy reverse. The resistance at 4.29275 have been tested before. It broke out yesterday of the reverse cup, and is heading north of the 10EMA. Volume haven't picked up yet, so be aware it might do a drastic spike down over the next days, before continuing up. I have a bigger SL because I plan to hold this one for some time. For good practice, try and see weekly, 4h and 1h charts. The resist confirmation is really strong on this one.
EURPLN Last trend line breakoutDepending on how the EUR will perform when the number come out through out the week. I believe EURPLN will continue down. But I will keep an eye on the 200MA, it need to break the line confidently before it's a save bet.
