Eursektrade
EURSEK approaching support, potential for a bounce!
EURSEK is expected to drop to 1st support at 10.48813 where it could potentially react off and up to 1st resistance at 10.50905.
Trading CFDs on margin carries high risk.
Losses can exceed the initial investment so please ensure you fully
understand the risks.
EUR/SEK - LONG TERM BEARISH OPPORTUNITYIt's been 5 months now since EUR/SEK has been sailing under the Daily 50 EMA.
It has now also broken the Daily 200 EMA.
What we can expect to happen next is a complete breakout of the 200 EMA and the beginning of a long term bearish move.
The confirmation that we need is for the price to fail to move and find support back above the Daily 200 or 50 EMA.
If it successfully consolidates under it, then we have a go for a push higher down.
This is my own analysis. You should never ever, even if it's the most profesionnal trader, take his words blindly. Do your own analysis and enter the trade on your own terms.
Trade safe.
EUR/SEK - Possible Move - RiskyWe can see EUR/SEK drop till 10.55 as it's Friday and some long positions are being closed. Furthermore, as the currency makes lower lows, it will drive the fear of the bulls and they will close their positions to secure their profits, making EUR/SEK fall.
If you do trade this pair, do not risk more than 1% as it's very high risk.
Also, take into consideration the ~20 pip spread.
EURSEK longEntry @ break of second waves 0.618 retracement
Stops @ new low below first waves 0.618 retracement or below 0.500 retracement (multiple violation of strong supports) based on preference
Target @ first waves -0.272 level (third wave completion), or alternatively at previous high.
After 3 failed tests price broke out from range and in spite of returning a second clear breakout happened confirming the significant buying power. The previous resistance currently functions as strong support. Fibonacci confluences also adding up to the current support zones strenght, violation of that zone would invalidate the current plan.
In case of exhaustation a new range may estabilishes within the blue rectangle where the trade should be re-evaluted or closed with a moderate loss.
Contrsuctive comments are welcome
Make or Break ResistanceAs predicted, it found support on the previous high-trend line. SEK is releasing 'Industrial numbers in within the half hour, also EUR is releasing PMI within the hour. Depending on the released numbers, I strongly believe EURSEK is a long. Buying volume seems much stronger than selling. No cash build to be seen the last week. If it breaks above the 200MA (orange line), i'm in for a long position. (I do not trade the golden cross. In my experience it's not reliable, I mostly ignore it - but if you don't like that. Stay away from this one.)